MrXYZ's NRL thread

MrXYZ · 07-16-11, 02:45 AM

Originally posted by NEW_WORLD

good luck with your plays
but i heard rabbitohs missing some key forwards, is it true?

Yeah, it's been a big problem for them all season. I still think they'll be too good for the Roosters.

Missing players for today's game:
Roy Asotasi
Sam Burgess
Dave Taylor
Luke Stuart
Scott Geddes

Good luck with your plays!

MrXYZ · 07-16-11, 06:56 AM

Saturday 16 July

SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs SYDNEY ROOSTERS
RABBITOHS -2.0 @1.92

GAME TOTAL UNDER 42.0 @1.90

NORTH QLD COWBOYS vs WESTS TIGERS
TIGERS -2.5 @1.92

PENRITH PANTHERS vs PARRAMATTA EELS
EELS +2.0 @1.92

Two golden point games, unbelievable. A fantastic day thanks to some luck. Total cashed by 1 point as did the Eels game.

Today: 3-1
Round 19: 6-1
Record so far: 23-11 67.65%

Beniphone · 07-16-11, 06:44 PM

Nice round bro, keep it up

Brian891 · 07-16-11, 07:04 PM

anybody liking manly ml tonight?

MrXYZ · 07-16-11, 08:28 PM

Originally posted by Beniphone

Nice round bro, keep it up

Thanks! Good luck today.

Originally posted by Brian891

anybody liking manly ml tonight?

Knights tough at home & possible rain are a factors to think about with the ML play, but Manly should win this one.

MrXYZ · 07-16-11, 08:38 PM

Sunday 17 July

CANBERRA RAIDERS vs MELBOURNE STORM
STORM -3.5 @1.87

MANLY SEA EAGLES vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
SEA EAGLES -6.0@1.95

Going with both favourites, square maybe, but these are games they're expected to win & should to so today. Canberra have a genuine shot at an upset, but it's hard to see them getting past one of the best defensive squads in the comp.

NEW_WORLD · 07-16-11, 11:22 PM

good luck with your bets

Brian891 · 07-16-11, 11:27 PM

im with u on manly but taking em ml. good luck!

MrXYZ · 07-17-11, 03:18 AM

Originally posted by NEW_WORLD

good luck with your bets

Originally posted by Brian891

im with u on manly but taking em ml. good luck!

Thanks guys, hope you cashed those 2 easy wins today!

MrXYZ · 07-17-11, 09:10 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Sunday 17 July

CANBERRA RAIDERS vs MELBOURNE STORM
STORM -3.5 @1.87

MANLY SEA EAGLES vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
SEA EAGLES -6.0@1.95

A great day to be a sports bettor with both teams steamrolling their opponents. I also had a big last minute play on the Manly ML & nothing beats watching your picks cash in by half-time.

However they won't always be this easy. NRL is a cruel sport & there's still a long season ahead. One more game to go in Round 19 so it's back to work.

2-0
Round 19: 8-1
Record so far: 25-11 69.45%

Bazz27 · 07-17-11, 08:43 PM

Got a multi still alive for 1.5/u - crows +18.5, manly ml, st geo -1.5 (last leg ???

) n was at manly game, knights were painful to watch, zero direction in attack n 4 -0 down after 40 odd secs

s2230011 · 07-17-11, 09:00 PM

Well done MrXYZ .. killed it this week!!

It was a great week for all league tipster but one must be careful now ... Newcastle were going well with their no names playing, but last week with some stars back from injury they are struggling again, I think they will struggle for most of the season, they were bad yesterday and just as bad against the Cowboys on Monday night.

jididii · 07-18-11, 01:44 AM

Very nicely done,great picks thank you!

Jididii

MrXYZ · 07-18-11, 03:29 AM

Thanks guys.

Yeah, it's important to keep it in perspective as it can easily go the other way & end up with a losing week. But having had enough bad beats in my time it's sweeet to cash these plays.

MrXYZ · 07-18-11, 03:33 AM

Monday 18 July

CRONULLA SHARKS vs ST GEORGE-ILLAWARRA DRAGONS

SHARKS +8.5 @1.87

Good luck!

MrXYZ · 07-18-11, 04:42 AM

Dragons smashing them. A terrible call by me on this game, my apologies.

MrXYZ · 07-18-11, 06:36 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Monday 18 July

CRONULLA SHARKS vs ST GEORGE-ILLAWARRA DRAGONS

SHARKS +8.5 @1.87

Was expecting the Sharks to keep this one close lol. Got this one totally wrong, no excuses. Still an outstanding 8-2 result.

0-1
Round 19: 8-2
Record so far: 25-12 67.57%

Round 20 is shaping up as a tough one for NRL tipsters. Look at this card:

Bulldogs vs Parra
Melbourne vs Broncos
Souths vs Warriors
Roosters vs Tigers
Titans vs Cowboys

I'll get to work on these games but my advice for Round 20: pick your spots carefully & be extra-disciplined with your bet sizing. I'm expecting some tight lines and as a result we'll see plenty of action to keep the books happy. This guarantees a lot of punters won't be.

MrXYZ · 07-19-11, 03:25 AM

Round 20, from Centrebet:

Broncos & Souths undervalued IMO.

MrXYZ · 07-22-11, 01:04 AM

Friday 22 July
PARRAMATTA EELS vs BULLDOGS

More rain forecast & an even contest becomes even more unpredictable. Expect a slower tempo, fumbled passes, plenty of bombs & players aquaplaning across the tryline. It's a tough one to call but I'm going with the Eels in this one.

EELS ML @1.87

MrXYZ · 07-22-11, 02:39 AM

Adding:
PARRAMATTA EELS vs BULLDOGS
GAME TOTAL UNDER 33.5 @1.90

TAB has the best line IMO, other books have it at 30.5 - still a reasonable shot considering the rain.

It's a sharp line & a couple of dropped balls could sink our play. But in these conditions, a score over 30 is unlikely.

Good luck!

hawley · 07-22-11, 02:42 AM

GL on that under

Pinny opened it 28.5 and it climbed to 31.5 with the over still juiced although I imagine every man and his dog would have seen a low total and jumped on the over

MrXYZ · 07-22-11, 04:29 AM

Friday 22 July
MELBOURNE STORM vs BRISBANE BRONCOS

I was wary of taking the Storm, backing any team to go 9 in a row is always a risk, but they'll be too good for the Broncos today.

STORM -4.0 @1.87

MrXYZ · 07-22-11, 05:22 AM

Originally posted by hawley

GL on that under

Pinny opened it 28.5 and it climbed to 31.5 with the over still juiced although I imagine every man and his dog would have seen a low total and jumped on the over

Maybe a sucker play by the books to open it low. Get punters on the over because it looks good, even with the rain.

MrXYZ · 07-22-11, 07:12 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Friday 22 July

PARRAMATTA EELS vs BULLDOGS
EELS ML @1.87

GAME TOTAL UNDER 33.5 @1.90

MELBOURNE STORM vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
STORM -4.0 @1.87

Storm outclass the Broncos 22-6 for a great start to Round 20, but then Eels lose by a golden point again! As expected we had a low scoring game & easily cashed the total play.

Round 20: 2-1
Record so far: 27-13 67.50%

benrama · 07-22-11, 06:55 PM

Good work mate, you've got a good read on these games. I'm really liking Cronulla today against the Knights, though the rain is causing this week to be hard to cap.

MrXYZ · 07-22-11, 08:49 PM

Originally posted by benrama

Good work mate, you've got a good read on these games. I'm really liking Cronulla today against the Knights, though the rain is causing this week to be hard to cap.

Thanks

I'm leaning Cronulla too, it's definitely the play. It looks like the worst of the weather is over & it'll hopefully clear up.

messiah029 · 07-22-11, 10:03 PM

still leaning towards cronulla if paul gallen doesnt play? and gidley will prob be back for the knights

MrXYZ · 07-22-11, 11:51 PM

Originally posted by messiah029

still leaning towards cronulla if paul gallen doesnt play? and gidley will prob be back for the knights

It looks like he won't play but I'm still taking Cronulla. Good luck today!

MrXYZ · 07-23-11, 12:05 AM

Saturday 23 July

NORTH QUEENSLAND COWBOYS vs GOLD COAST TITANS
COWBOYS ML@1.95
GAME TOTAL OVER 40.5 @1.90

Although Titans have their moments, they deserve their spot at the bottom of the ladder. Going with the Cowboys, even without JT they'll take this one. The over is pretty sharp but there'll plenty of tries to get the total over the line, just.

CRONULLA SHARKS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
CRONULLA ML @1.91

Both teams got crushed last week & have plenty to prove. St George were simply awesome, they swept aside Cronulla way too easily, while the Knights were lucky that Manly switched off in the second half. Otherwise they would've lost by 50 points. Gallen is unlikely to play while Gidley returns, but still taking the Sharks. This isn't a game to go big on though, as it'll be close.

messiah029 · 07-23-11, 01:19 AM

good plays

, best of luck with em

MrXYZ · 07-23-11, 02:46 AM

Saturday 23 July

WESTS TIGERS vs SYDNEY ROOSTERS
TIGERS -5.5 @1.85 - bought 1 point.

benrama · 07-23-11, 04:43 AM

On fire mate! Good entertaining game the NQ vs Titans game, NQ deserved to win.

I like the Tigers too, but always hate those -5.5 to -6.5 spreads, think I'll have an action wager and combine it with the Wallabies to win tonight.

MrXYZ · 07-23-11, 06:51 AM

Originally posted by benrama

On fire mate! Good entertaining game the NQ vs Titans game, NQ deserved to win.

I like the Tigers too, but always hate those -5.5 to -6.5 spreads, think I'll have an action wager and combine it with the Wallabies to win tonight.

Thanks, what a game! I usually buy a point when it's -6.5, hate that spread too. Looks like the Wallabies will cash in for you, congrats!

MrXYZ · 07-23-11, 07:11 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Saturday 23 July

NORTH QUEENSLAND COWBOYS vs GOLD COAST TITANS
COWBOYS ML@1.95

GAME TOTAL OVER 40.5 @1.90

CRONULLA SHARKS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
CRONULLA ML @1.91

WESTS TIGERS vs SYDNEY ROOSTERS
TIGERS -5.5 @1.85 - bought 1 point.

Cowboys in trouble early but powered home to take the game and the over. Cronulla bullied by the Knights in a disappointing result. I really thought they'd get this one.

Tigers looked like they'd be reading headlines of a Roosters upset, but steadied to win & cover the spread. If you didn't buy the point, Benji's field goal cashed the -6.5 line.

A terrific day! However the round's not over yet & some tough games to come.

Today: 3-1
Round 20:5-2
Record so far: 30-14 68.18%

aunty jack · 07-23-11, 07:11 AM

hi. i took a few moments to scan through your thread. some very good wins here. congrats.

just wondering where you're from and how you managed to get such a solid grip on the nrl, if you don't mind me asking?

cheers.

no, i'm not the tax man...