MrXYZ's NRL thread

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  • rohan22no
    SBR Sharp
    • 07-20-11
    • 365

    #1471
    mental
    Comment
    • MrXYZ
      SBR MVP
      • 02-18-11
      • 2342

      #1472
      Originally posted by rohan22no
      mental
      I hope you didn't fade it.
      Comment
      • MrXYZ
        SBR MVP
        • 02-18-11
        • 2342

        #1473
        Originally posted by MrXYZ
        Finals Week 1
        SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs MELBOURNE STORM
        Game Total UNDER 34.0 @1.90 x5

        Winner! Souths too good for the Storm 20-10. I set this one at 32.5 & was proven right. Video ref helped, but had they awarded Slater's try it still would've gone under. Well done by the Rabbits. I did not expect a 10 point victory.

        Today: 1-0 +4.5 units
        NRL Finals: 1-0 +4.5 units +$225
        NRL Season record: 79-2-75 -14.10 units -$725
        Comment
        • MrXYZ
          SBR MVP
          • 02-18-11
          • 2342

          #1474
          SYDNEY ROOSTERS vs MANLY SEA EAGLES
          ROOSTERS -2.5 @1.95 x2

          The Roosters should keep rolling tonight. Square play with everyone factoring in the 2 extra days rest to prepare & Brett Stewart ruled out for Manly. But sometimes it pays to go with the crowd & the Minor Premiers should should win by at least 4 points.
          Comment
          • rohan22no
            SBR Sharp
            • 07-20-11
            • 365

            #1475
            Originally posted by MrXYZ
            I hope you didn't fade it.
            Didn't fade, but didn't tail for 5 units! Good pick
            Comment
            • MrXYZ
              SBR MVP
              • 02-18-11
              • 2342

              #1476
              Half time play
              SHARKS vs COWBOYS
              2nd Half Game Total OVER 19.5 @1.90 x1
              Comment
              • MrXYZ
                SBR MVP
                • 02-18-11
                • 2342

                #1477
                SYDNEY ROOSTERS vs MANLY SEA EAGLES
                Game Total OVER 34.5 @1.90 x1
                Comment
                • MrXYZ
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-18-11
                  • 2342

                  #1478
                  I've of the best games I've ever seen. Roosters in a brutal win 4-0.

                  Too many plays, should've just stuck with the Roosters. Poor discipline cost me a profitable day.

                  Today: 1-2. -0.10 units -$5
                  NRL Finals: 2-2 +4.4 units +$220
                  NRL Season record: 80-2-77 -14.20 units -$710
                  Comment
                  • MrXYZ
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-18-11
                    • 2342

                    #1479
                    CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
                    BULLDOGS -3.5 @1.90 x2

                    Even though Bulldogs haven't been impressive this year, in a sudden death finals game they should deliver the goods, experience is everything at this time of the year.

                    To be fair, have to disclose that I've used a bonus bet to hedge with the Knights at +4.0. so for me this game is effectively a risk free play. However I'm confident the Bulldogs roll to a big win & prove the Knights didn't deserve a finals spot over the Titans or Broncos.
                    Comment
                    • MrXYZ
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-18-11
                      • 2342

                      #1480
                      Knights looking the much better team so far. What a try from Uate!
                      Comment
                      • OZnBa Fan
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 05-24-12
                        • 697

                        #1481
                        The bulldogs season is cooked they don't look like scoring
                        Comment
                        • MrXYZ
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-18-11
                          • 2342

                          #1482
                          It was all over for the Bulldogs after they couldn't score in that set against 12 men.
                          Comment
                          • MrXYZ
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-18-11
                            • 2342

                            #1483
                            Manly & Storm are heavy faves for Week 2 of the finals. Only play I like so far is Knights +8.0.
                            Comment
                            • Dr.Gonzo
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-05-09
                              • 4660

                              #1484
                              Melbourne could be shot, Newcastle might even win outright.
                              Comment
                              • MrXYZ
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-18-11
                                • 2342

                                #1485
                                MELBOURNE STORM vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
                                KNIGHTS +8.0 @1.90 x2

                                Getting it now before it moves to 7.5.
                                Comment
                                • MrXYZ
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-18-11
                                  • 2342

                                  #1486
                                  MANLY SEA EAGLES vs CRONULLA SHARKS
                                  MANLY -10.0 @1.90 x2

                                  Without Carney it's going to be very difficult for the Sharks to cross their line and they'll give away penalties all night to slow down a relentless Manly attack. It's a square play and it remains to be seen how effective Brett Stewart will be on his return from injury. But there's just too much talent on this team and a 12+ point win is a likely outcome.
                                  Comment
                                  • davopnz
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-12-12
                                    • 1736

                                    #1487
                                    stewart out
                                    Comment
                                    • MrXYZ
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-18-11
                                      • 2342

                                      #1488
                                      I still think Manly have a shot at covering the spread. Stewart being out makes the Under a good bet.

                                      Adding:
                                      SEA EAGLES vs SHARKS
                                      Game Total UNDER 36.5 @1.90 x2



                                      Comment
                                      • MrXYZ
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-18-11
                                        • 2342

                                        #1489
                                        Buried. Manly win 24-18. Dead wrong on both plays.

                                        Today: 0-2. -4 units -$200
                                        NRL Finals: 2-4 +0.4 units +$20
                                        NRL Season record: 80-2-79 -18.20 units -$910
                                        Comment
                                        • MrXYZ
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-18-11
                                          • 2342

                                          #1490
                                          MELBOURNE STORM vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
                                          Game Total UNDER 34.5 @1.90 x2

                                          Got this at Sportsbet. Most books have the under at 1.85. It might hit 34 by kick off.
                                          Comment
                                          • Tim Gerry Mander
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-14-12
                                            • 869

                                            #1491
                                            Were you at Miranda this afternoon?
                                            Comment
                                            • 16johnnymac
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-27-10
                                              • 3499

                                              #1492
                                              Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                              MELBOURNE STORM vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
                                              Game Total UNDER 34.5 @1.90 x2

                                              Got this at Sportsbet. Most books have the under at 1.85. It might hit 34 by kick off.
                                              How confident do you feel about this play?
                                              Comment
                                              • MrXYZ
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-18-11
                                                • 2342

                                                #1493
                                                Originally posted by 16johnnymac
                                                How confident do you feel about this play?
                                                I'm expecting 30-32 points tonight. Small margin for error although keep in mind their previous encounters this year have landed on 30 & 33. I read the Manly/Sharks game completely wrong but still confident the under is the stronger play in NRL sudden death games. Bennett coached teams usually take the 2 points in penalty scenarios as well.

                                                However we could see another soft defensive effort by the Storm, and the Knights have been unpredictable all year, so they could bury the under by half time.
                                                Comment
                                                • MrXYZ
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-18-11
                                                  • 2342

                                                  #1494
                                                  Wow. A huge win for the Knights as they hold on 18-16 to cash both plays!

                                                  Next weekend's action: Souths vs Manly & Roosters vs Knights.

                                                  Today: 2-0 +3.6 units +180
                                                  NRL Finals: 4-4 +4.0 units +$200
                                                  NRL Season record: 82-2-79 -14.20 units -$710
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Domestic
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-10-09
                                                    • 6323

                                                    #1495
                                                    Great capping, congratulations.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MrXYZ
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-18-11
                                                      • 2342

                                                      #1496
                                                      Originally posted by Domestic
                                                      Great capping, congratulations.
                                                      Thanks mate. Had some luck go my way with that total, I was certain Storm were going to crash over to score towards the end.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Domestic
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-10-09
                                                        • 6323

                                                        #1497
                                                        Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                                        Thanks mate. Had some luck go my way with that total, I was certain Storm were going to crash over to score towards the end.
                                                        Yeah, I had the over 34.5. Could have gotten $6 in live betting for under 34.5 when Newcastle scored their last try, I should have hedged.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MrXYZ
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-18-11
                                                          • 2342

                                                          #1498
                                                          Preliminary Final 1
                                                          SYDNEY ROOSTERS vs MANLY SEA EAGLES
                                                          MANLY +6.5 @1.90 x2
                                                          Game Total UNDER 35.5 @2.00 x2

                                                          At this end of the season it's all about experience and Manly have a proven track record unlike the talented but over hyped Rabbitohs. Too many points on offer to pass up. Also rolling with the Under. TAB NSW's offering 2.00, great value from the squarest book in Oz.

                                                          Good luck.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • apeterlives
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 11-26-10
                                                            • 572

                                                            #1499
                                                            On eagles +7 as well, bol
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MrXYZ
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-18-11
                                                              • 2342

                                                              #1500
                                                              Not looking good. Manly came out flat & Souths hammered them in that opening 15 minutes.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • apeterlives
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-26-10
                                                                • 572

                                                                #1501
                                                                Tale of two halves
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MrXYZ
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-18-11
                                                                  • 2342

                                                                  #1502
                                                                  Manly through to the Grand Final, beating Souths 30-20!



                                                                  Today: 1-1 -0.20 units -$10
                                                                  NRL Finals: 5-5 +3.80 units +$190
                                                                  NRL Season record: 83-2-80 -14.40 units -$720


                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MrXYZ
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-18-11
                                                                    • 2342

                                                                    #1503
                                                                    Preliminary Final 2
                                                                    SYDNEY ROOSTERS vs NEWCASTKE KNIGHTS
                                                                    ROOSTERS -7.5 @1.90 x3


                                                                    The drug scandal has been overblown and should not stop the Roosters from executing their game plan. Knights beat the rubbish Bulldogs and out of shape Storm to get this far & do have a realistic shot at covering. But I'm going with best team in the NRL to book themselves a grand final ticket by 10+ points.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dr.Gonzo
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-05-09
                                                                      • 4660

                                                                      #1504
                                                                      The drug scandal is agenda driven propaganda from the media, ASADA an the NRL have stated there is no investigation into this. Massoud also incorrectly leveled accusations against two Easts origin players regarding illicit drugs, when it turns out it was non-NSW club players.

                                                                      I'm more worried about LOD's injury.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Tim Gerry Mander
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 11-14-12
                                                                        • 869

                                                                        #1505
                                                                        SBW in doubt too
                                                                        Comment
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