MrXYZ's NRL thread

[MrXYZ]

Unbelievable luck. Warriors score a last minute try in the corner & the sideline kick slots in to cash the over!

[Tim Gerry Mander]

Thats it mate
Start the great run
You need a little luck sometimes!

[MrXYZ]

Thanks TGM.

[MrXYZ]

ST GEORGE DRAGONS vs SOUTHS RABBITOHS
SOUTHS -4.0 @1.90 x3

[Tim Gerry Mander]

Giddy up!

[MrXYZ]

Cash it! Souths never in doubt in a 26-6 romp over the Dragons. Feels good to have a winning day in this tough season.

Today: 2-0 +5.40 units $270
NRL Season record: 4-9 -10.50 Units -$525

[MrXYZ]

No plays for me today, was too drained from NCAA hoops. A wager on Kentucky -1 made sure I was glued to the action until the final buzzer.

Liked the Titans to cover but didn't pull the trigger. Also the under both games.

Although pleased with a pair of wins, the harsh reality is that I'm still down $525 for the NRL season. Also the units have been creeping up. Had 12 at risk this weekend, which shows a lack of discipline and impatience. The urge to 'get back to even' has buried many bettors and is one of the main reasons the Sportsbooks are so profitable.

[MrXYZ]

NORTH QLD COWBOYS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
COWBOYS -6.0 @1.90 x1

Cowboys are pretty much done for the year from what I've seen so far. But for me they're worth a max 1 unit risk against the Knights. In a letdown spot after an emotional win last week, they could be in for a tough night.

[MrXYZ]

Easy money! Cowboys too good for the Knights, final score 28-2.

Today: 1-0 +0.90 units $45
NRL Season record: 5-9 -9.60 Units -$480

[MrXYZ]

PENRITH PANTHERS vs SOUTHS RABBITOHS
Game Total OVER 36.0 @1.90 x2

Both teams went under last week and so we have a low total. I'm expecting 38+ tonight. Worth the extra risk for me at 2 units. Good luck.

[MrXYZ]

Rain is killing the over. No excuses. Fundamental stuff.

[HeisenBet]

I took the over too mate, why can't NRL teams score in the rain? Doesn't tend to have such an impact on scoring over here.

[Tim Gerry Mander]

Panthers were awful
How many chances do they need?
So much ball in souths 20m zone, with their big backline, surely Idris/mansour could barge over?

Nothing I've seen so far has changed my mind.
Panthers will struggle to beat the good teams.
Wallace and Soward - waste of money!

[aussieH]

What is the weather like in Canberra and Sydney I like the over in the eels and tigers but worried about the field conditions

[Donkey]

Weather is ok in canberra at the moment but there may be some drops around game time. Going to the game today so I can probably give an update closer to kick off.

[aussieH]

Cheers mate.

[MrXYZ]

CANBERRA RAIDERS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
Game total OVER 41.5 @1.90 x2

Either team could jump out to an early lead and turn this into a scorefest. Rain has been forecast so it might get detailed like last night's total. Still think its worth 2 units risk.

[MrXYZ]

Buried. This was a tough loss.

Today: 0-1 -2.0 units -$100
NRL Season record: 5-11 -13.60 Units -$680

[MrXYZ]

WESTS TIGERS vs NORTH QLD COWBOYs
COWBOYS -2.0 @1.90 x3

[aussieH]

Gee the discussion is very quiet this year


what are the pitch conditions in the west tigers game

[Tim Gerry Mander]

Yeah, totally fkd
Not many want to contribute

[dRavidC]

bloody cowboys and warriors - two of the most talented rosters both at the bottom of the ladder...

[Tim Gerry Mander]

Liking over in the bulldogs game

[MrXYZ]

NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS vs CANTERBURY BULLDOGS
BULLDOGS -1.5 @1.90 x3
Game Total OVER 42.5 @1.90 x3

Rolling with the Bulldogs despite the 'new coach angle' at play. Warriors need to clean out the garbage much like the Eels & Panthers have done. Their losing culture won't be fixed by a promoted assistant coach and a couple of stars dumped to reserve grade. Bulldogs meanwhile won't have to grind out an elite defense like they did last week and could cash the over by themselves.

Risking too many units on this game but f**K it.

NRL Season record: 5-12 -16.60 Units -$680

[MrXYZ]

Gee the discussion is very quiet this year

what are the pitch conditions in the west tigers game

Yeah, totally fkd
Not many want to contribute

The NRL's been a killer this year. Posters on SBR have given up, even Sando disappeared.

bloody cowboys and warriors - two of the most talented rosters both at the bottom of the ladder...

Cowboys are done. They can't win at full strength and now have Origin coming up.

[Tim Gerry Mander]

Good luck chief!

[Tim Gerry Mander]

Warriors defence decides to show up today

[aussieH]

I have actually done okay on NRL this year. I don't much about it as from Vic but being playing the underdogs and totals so my interest is growing.

I like the Bulldogs for 1 x unit. (posted after them match has started and they are down by 6 points so not a good start.

Second game I like the Under 38 points for 2 units and Manly at -12. I am somewhat assuming ground conditions are heavy in Sydney as it it pouring at the SCG. Regardsles sof the condition i like the under. Bad weather only helps.

[Tim Gerry Mander]

Dogs wake up
Over looking better

[hedgejob]

Manly played in bad weather last week and it was a try fest.

[MrXYZ]

Like the over in the Manly/Cronulla game too. Weather's cleared up in time for kickoff.

Bulldogs should still get the win, would be ahead at half time but bombed a couple of chances. The over's dead.

[Tim Gerry Mander]

Sickening end
Missed conversions proving costly

[MrXYZ]

Should've pulled the plug weeks ago but like every degen knows, it's hard to stay away. My BR for the NRL was $5k. I've lost 22.6% and we're not not even halfway through the season.

I'm too competitive and hate losing, that was my undoing. What a retard to think 'I won't let the NRL beat me.' Well it has.

NRL Season record: 5-14 -22.60 Units -$1130

[dRavidC]

unlucky mate

[MrXYZ]

MELBOURNE STORM vs ST GEORGE DRAGONS
Game Total OVER 42.0 @1.90 x3

Bulldogs/Warriors has to be one of the worst beats I've ever had but time to move on. One last play for round 6. No value on the spread for Storm backers but expecting a high scoring game regardless who wins.