Without LOD & SBW the Roosters could grind it out & win by 4-6 points. I might buy out of the play. I can't see Knights going through however. It would be 4 straight road wins & the biggest upset of the year, but not without precedent. in 2011 we saw the Warriors go on a dream run all the way to the grand final. I think the line was 7.5 and manly won by 8.
-
Comment -
Cash it!
As Dr Gonzo predicted SBW was confirmed as a starter. Roosters were frustrated early but once they got rolling it was bye bye Knights and the play was never in doubt. They smashed their way to a huge 40-14 win and look near unbeatable heading into the Grand Final against Manly.
Today: 1-0 +2.70 units +$135
NRL Finals: 6-5 +6.50 units +$325
NRL Season record: 84-2-80 -11.70 units -$585Comment -
Grand Final
SYDNEY ROOSTERS vs MANLY SEA EAGLES
ROOSTERS -2.5 @1.90 x5
Roosters will be at full strength for the game, and even though Manly are well deserved finalists they'll come up short this time. We should see the minor premiers hoist the trophy with a 4+ point win. Found this number at Sportsbet but it's still worth a play up to -3.5.Comment -
Adding:
ROOSTERS ML @1.70 x2
There's some good NRL grand final promo offers for Aussie punters. I'm rolling with Sportsbet's 'money back if your team loses by 10 points or less' deal. Centrebet meanwhile has 'money back if your team is leading at half time but loses.' Both are $100 limit. By no means are they risk free bets.
Bookmaker's got the best deal out there with no limit on Roosters -2.5 or Manly +2.5 @2.00.
That's it for me, laying off the total but lean UNDER. The public will most likely hammer the Roosters so if you like Manly it's best to hold off until closer to game time on Sunday.Comment -
Well done on the finals series.Comment -
Cashed both plays with the Roosters winning 26-18. Entertaining game, Manly was set to cover until that try by Jennings. One of the best I've ever seen.
A solid Finals result was rewarding after a disappointing regular season. I'm not done with this game yet. The Rugby League World Cup starts at the end of the month and there's good money to be made.
Grand Final: 2-0 +5.20 units +$260
NRL Finals: 8-5 +11.70 units +$585
NRL Season record: 86-2-80 -6.50 units -$325
Comment -
Rugby League World Cup
NEW ZEALAND vs SAMOA
Game Total OVER 49.5 @1.90 x3
Expecting non-stop action in this one with NZ possibly scoring every time they get the ball. They should cover but -34.5 is unplayable. Samoa may be outmatched but they're a proud team & won't be intimidated. It should be a fun game to watch, especially the Haka (war dance) battle that Island nations engage in before games start.
I'll be picking my spots in the World Cup carefully. Same unit size as regular NRL season: $50.Comment -
Bet365 had this at 48.5, I'm tailing both you lads GLComment -
Thanks fellas, good luck & let's cash this.Comment -
NZ win 42-24. Easy money!
World Cup: 1-0 +2.70 units $135Comment -
Rugby League World Cup
AUSTRALIA vs FIJI
Game Total OVER 56.5 @1.90 x1
Late night degen play. Australia should cash this one by themselves.Comment -
USA vs WALES
Game Total UNDER 46.5 @1.90 x3
Too high a number to pass up. Expecting it to max out at 42.Comment -
PAPUA NEW GUINEA vs SAMOA
Game Total UNDER 47.5 @1.90 x1
Found this number at Sportsbet. PNG's defense should do just enough to scrape this one home. I'm a big fan of the Islander nations in the tournament and this should be an entertaining game to watch. So just 1 unit at risk.Comment -
2nd half play
PNG vs SAMOA
2nd half Game Total OVER 26.5 @1.90x1Comment -
Samoa win 38-4. Got caught up in the game & made a dumb halftime bet.
Today: 1-1 -0.10 units -$5
World Cup: 3-2 +4.3 units $215Comment -
USA vs SCOTLAND
USA +8.0 @1.90 x1
Although I'm expecting Scotland to win, Sportsbet is off by 2 points. Most books are offering 6 or 6.5. Great value.Comment -
Was looking good with USA up by 8 at half time, but then Scotland stormed home for a final score of 22-8.
Today: 0-1 -1.0 units -$50
World Cup: 3-3 +3.3 units $165Comment -
NEW ZEALAND vs PNG
Game Total OVER 59.5 @1.90 x3
A minimum of 10 converted tries needed to cash this one. But NZ's all-star line up is set to steamroll the hapless Kumuls. Unlike the NFL, the clock rarely stops in League so it's always a risk with these massive totals.
The unplayable lines will continue all the way to the finals so might just sit back an enjoy the games rather than put money on them.Comment -
40-0 at half time.Comment -
Cash it! NZ win 56-10.
Today: 1-0. +2.70 units +$135
World Cup: 4-3 +6.0 units $300Comment -
ENGLAND vs FIJI
Game Total UNDER 48.5 @1.90 x1Comment -
Winner! England beats Fiji 34-12 to cash the under.
Today: 1-0 +0.90 units +$45
World Cup: 5-3 +6.9 units $345
Comment -
your going well in this tournament mate keep it up
Comment -
Thanks mate. Good luck with your plays.Comment -
WALES vs COOK ISLANDS
COOK ISLANDS ML @2.00 x0.5
Small play as this is a tough fame to call, but I think the value is with Cook Islands at even money.Comment -
Cash it! Cook Islands survive a late charge from Wales to win 28-24. A small profit but no regrets. It was always going to a be close game.
Today: 1-0 +0.50 units +$25
World Cup: 6-3 +7.4 units $370
Comment -
Rugby League World Cup Quarter Finals this weekend. Here's the opening lines:
New Zealand -42.5 @1.91 vs Scotland +42.5 @1.91
Australia -56.5 @1.91 vs USA +56.5 @1.91
England -37.5 @1.91 vs France+37.5 @1.91
Samoa ML @1.52 -5.5 @1.91 vs Fiji ML @2.55 +5.5 @1.91
So far I like Fiji +5.5 & USA +56.5. These are early leans only, haven't done much work on the games yet.Comment -
NZ vs SCOTLAND
2nd Half
NZ -22.5 @1.90 x1Comment -
NZ win 40-4. A dumb play, no excuses.
Today: 0-1 -1.0 units -$50
World Cup: 6-4 +6.4 units $320Comment -
AUSTRALIA vs USA
Game Total OVER 62.5 @2.00 x1Comment -
ENGLAND vs FRANCE
1st Half Game Total OVER 25.5 @1.90 x2Comment -
Australia end up winning 62-0. Thurston missed too many conversions and buried the over. England salvaged the night leading 22-6 at half time over France.
Today: 1-1 +0.90 units +$45
World Cup: 7-5 +7.3 units $365Comment
