As far as dogs go like North today and swans tomorrow, a little surprised at the +22.5 on offer, makes me wonder why..
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I like Norths and maybe the over in GC/Hawks game.Comment -
Oh now you're just rubbing it in talking about getting a tan AND the $4 cocktails. Remember Mr Gee if you're not already hitched that is, if you happen to meet any of the local ladies, when you're on the rocket fuel and you may not have full faculties, it's an idea to check the package before taking delivery, if you get my drift.
Onto more serious matters, I'm considering Hawks -99.5 @ $4.25, score going over the 196.5 is highly probable. Wouldn't be surprised if Hawks TT end up 160-180. Have a feeling the Suns are in for a thrashing down in Tassie. Just checked Hawthorn TT on sportsbet is 132.5!?!?!?
I was leaning Essendon and the under, seems more people are on Kangas though. Might have to rethink that one. North do have a bit of momentum and Essendon are in a slump of sorts.
Forecast for Launceston from BOM for today. Shouldn't hamper scoring.
LAUNCESTON:
Forecast for Saturday :
Fine and mostly sunny with light to moderate, chiefly northwest winds.
Precis Fine. Max 13Comment -
Lmao alt. The gf is here so if I find one I hope we don't cross swords
Yeah got sidetracked. Didn't cap.
Just playing my early leans for action. Off for a massage then 2nd half and lunch.
Got north 8.5 1xand cats 22.5 1.5x.
Good luck all!Comment -
haha
Hawks and Suns is on live FTA here, was just listening on radio and flicked on the TV to see what wasn't worth watching and there's actually something worth watching. Bonus!
Suns are looking competitive again this week
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for some reason as a tiger supporter, well maybe that explains it but i am 50/50 about tonights match vs brisbane! Its a should win game but they usually lose those
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I think Brisbane sneak a win.Comment -
As a Lions supporter I don't have high hopes. Richmond always seem to do well against Brisbane from memory.
Hawks by 50 at 3Q time
North up by 13 late 3QComment -
Yay for north. Essendon are really overvalued right now.
Someone gimme a play on the Richmond game. I'm not sure what will be on at the bar tonight. Battle of the bottom feeders. Bris were good at home v north (similar type of team to the tigers)
Bookies look like they prob got middled in the suns game, lol, fukem. Suns will have days like this but a hard team to fade atm.Comment -
Brisbane v Richmond Under 191.5 surely has to be the dreaded "L" word?
Brown is lacking form and confidence, Riewoldt is unlikely to kick a bag.Comment -
Neither team can defend though and tigers love to run. Its the kinda game that could be higher scoring than u think.
Under worries me too much to play it...
Just got the pub schedule. Cats game on, no need for action junkie play
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I've gone with it. Can't decide on a winner.
Richmond are 4th in least opponent disposals per game, 1st in least opponent marks. Only stat Brisbane have in their favour is getting hitouts from Leuenberger. Brisbane averaging 11 goals a game conceeding 15, Richmond averaging 14, conceeding 15. When they played in RD 6 it went over 200 at the G, usually little humid in Brisbane although it's fine there tonight, but I doubt it will happen again. Could be wrong, hopefully not
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Ugh, sorry about your under. Richmond aren't a good team to back if you like unders.
So fukn hungover today. The bloody bounty :/ too old for it!
Playing freo at the close for 1x today.Also swans 23.5 - nothing in my numbers suggests a thumping..
Good luck all. Let's close out a good weekend.Comment -
All good, still up for the weekend would have been nice to sweep my straight bets over 2 days though, can't complain. I'll remember that about Richmond next time I consider totals. I just thought the total was a tad high with Brisbane being pretty shite with Brown out of sorts, Wish I had have listened to you about laying more chalk and that total but damn kinda wish I had have multi'd my picks as usually do each batch of events this week haha.
I initially went Freo and put the +3.5 in a multi with Swans 23.5, Overeem and Barnett on SF and Canterbury SU. After mulling it over, without Sandilands and their record at the G I'm not liking as Freo much anymore. Thinking Melbourne could bounce back big after a shocking effort last week. Not sure what to play as a straight bet on this game.
Get a nice curry and sweat that booze out
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Bad day for both of us
May get a chance to watch eagles over lunch, so action play-45.5. 1x. Swept bases (2-0) this morning so a break even day so far.Comment -
Ps a bit drunk already. I decided bintang and more bintang was the solution.
Go eagles!!Comment -
Bad luck on that, the Melbourne -39.5 was paying $5
When I saw Freo's record against Melbourne on footywire this morning I felt the multi with the Freo +3.5 was doomed, that was the only multi I though to include Overeem and Barnett SU parlayed with too, which I knew were pretty sure things but crap value at $1.30 on their own. Consecutive weeks there's been a fight where the general consensus is it's "guaranteed to not go the distance" - "don't blink" and all that, I take the prop to not go the distance at around $1.20 with similarly priced lines on AFL/NRL to get even money and it turns into a boring decision. Carlton 1-39 isn't looking good either
Enjoy those beers. I could do with one myself after fudging up today after 2 good days of more sensible betting.Comment -
would get on the hawks ML or Line now, its good right now cause of the chance franklin missing a match. If franklin is playing the odds will change dramatically!Comment -
I doubt Franklin will play, if he doesn't get suspended for a few weeks then there's something wrong with the tribunal... oh wait...Comment -
hahaha....tribunal, biggest punters around. How can they work it in there favour this week?Comment -
Just up on centrebetComment -
Hawks 1.47 at sportsbet....line 15.5Comment -
Screens of the sportsbet opening lines for comparison, imgur addon for firefox comes in handy
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out of the two bookie odds pictured, which would be the best value bet for the round at the moment?Comment -
I think Sandilands is due back for Freo this week, they'll probably easily cover against the Lions, take that from a Lions fan though.Comment -
well i thought brisbane could beat richmond and im a richmond supporter. see what happened there. freo in freo with sandilands is a sure bet, without sandilands, still feels like a sure bet against brisbane. no offence. h2h only though.Comment -
I only took Brisbane in a small multi for the odds with a few other half hearted picks I didn't care to play straight, deep down I knew Richmond would win, your mob have a decent record against us, even in our glory years I recall you had a win or two against us when we were near on unbeatable. I played the under cause I thought we both sucked enough for the score to go nowhere near 191.5, no offence.
But yeah, after last weeks performance at the G with or without Sandilands you could pretty much mortgage your house and life savings on Freo ML this week.Comment -
Well I got fvcked yesterday. Serves me right for being an action whore. At least a weekend 4-4 split.
Drunk again. Fading centrebet and taking manly tonight
Cmmmooon. CBF even looking at opening lines now. Maybe tomorrow
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I'm quite zonked myself, I worked all weekend and this was my one day to get into the ale.
Centrebet sending out emails about Eels having last 2 wins over Manly?
This is what I use to help determine my NRL picks - http://www.nrlstats.com/
I don't seem to get the centrebet despite signing up with my iinet email. Only the sportsbet/sportingbet mails.Comment -
Franklin gets 1 week. Sure the hawks will still win anyways.Comment -
Will they win by 16 points or more?
The thing that has me worried is some of Essendon's injured players of previous weeks have a few games under their belt now, after coming back from injury. It's a neutral venue.
Franklin being out won't make a lickn' difference, just my opinion, I know many people will disagree. They will probably share the goals better.
I still think Hawthorn will probably win by a comfortable margin, I just want a sure bet
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Total for tonight's game is up on sportsbet at 185.5, sure it opened at 188.5 about 20 mins ago. I've been kinda busy so not 100% if I have it confused with the odds of $1.88
Any leans?Forecast for the rest of Friday
Summary Max 17 Mostly cloudy. Melbourne area
Mostly cloudy. Isolated light showers possible until this evening. Winds northwesterly averaging 10 to 20 km/h.
Hawks without Buddy, potentially minus a few goals.
Goal Averages Per Game
Hawthorn
14.7 For
10.9 Against
Essendon
14.8 For
12.8 AgainstComment -
I'd say the total is about right, maybe a little over but the game could be a shoot-out. Having no idea what the Hawks forward line will look like makes it difficult.Comment
