AFL opening spreads

Gee · 06-10-11, 04:29 AM

Line movement now going as expected. Now at 16.5 where I expected it to be

lets bury the books tonight!

Bic · 06-10-11, 04:30 AM

Like them as well but I got a bad number as was on early

Alt75 · 06-10-11, 04:40 AM

Best of luck guys

Gee · 06-10-11, 10:31 PM

:clap: nice start to the weekend.

Hope it can keep going with Eagles -6.5 for 3x. I think they are significantly undervalued again. Crows always fuk me though, so you may want to fade

A lot of love for Gold Coast tonight. Anyone know what the weather is like up there? Over could be a sensible play.

maroona · 06-10-11, 11:03 PM

Gee its overcast at the moment, but rain is forecast and looks like its not too far away, will most likely be raining by gametime..

brettels · 06-10-11, 11:19 PM

weather will be fine!!!!! a slight drizzle at the most for only a few minutes!!! according to weatherzone!

aunty jack · 06-10-11, 11:20 PM

good call on the saints... and best of luck with the eagles.

for what it's worth, it's cold, bleak and miserable in brisbane/g'coast right now with the rain closing in this arvo and evening. close your eyes and you could be in melbourne! (sorry to those victorians on the forum).

the new kids on the block are not without a chance tonight, although it's hard to run the form guide over them... and of course, they're keen for their first home win at metricon stadium. (metricon? wasn't that one of my nephew's transformers?)

NEW_WORLD · 06-10-11, 11:21 PM

good luck with your plays

Brian891 · 06-11-11, 12:37 AM

crows just disappeared. every time i hedge i swear, team comes out on fire and then just implodes. 33-0 run. oh well. i wussed out. hedge is a hedge.

Brian891 · 06-11-11, 12:43 AM

grr. so mad at myself. hedged parlay with crows +7.5. it is gonna be an 8-10 goal blowout. 2nd week in a row i did that. good luck on your play gee!

Gee · 06-11-11, 12:45 AM

Thanks guys

Eagles just outclassing them in the 2nd quarter. Up by 27. Hope it continues.
I dont think the Suns are without a chance. I think North win though.. I'm just not sure if they cover.

edit: that sucks brian. at least you make some profit. gotta look on the bright side.

kingsr · 06-11-11, 01:01 AM

What a 2nd by eagles!!! 7 unanswered goals! Boom!

Brian891 · 06-11-11, 01:59 AM

its all the wind, and eagles have it for last quarter. game over. crows too stupid to adjust and couldnt put enough points up while they had it. made a game of it for a quarter but thats it. good win for gee.

Brian891 · 06-11-11, 02:00 AM

match on the line and crows have been outscored 22-1 in 4th. ugly. i turned it off. new to game and love it, but performances like this are just as awful to watch as bengals or lions in nfl.

Ace_of_Spades · 06-11-11, 02:14 AM

Got a funny feeling the Hawks edge out the Cats tonight and the +14.5 looks decent to back. Provided Franklin is back, which i think he is.

Brian891 · 06-11-11, 02:22 AM

so ace geelong not a strong bet h2h by any means? im awake and bored so i was thinking of playing them or roos.

Ace_of_Spades · 06-11-11, 03:17 AM

Last 5 games they have met, the Hawks have lost, but they have been close enough to take a shot with the Hawks + the points.

Gee · 06-11-11, 03:39 AM

Its a good game to watch - Hawks/Geelong. The square in me likes Geelong but I'm going to stay away.

I am going to take the bait and play Kangaroos -21.5 for 2x though

So, it hasn't started on foxtel yet, but whats the go with the weather? Total is down to 179.5. I assume it has to be the weather. No other reason for the line drop.

Ace_of_Spades · 06-11-11, 04:03 AM

Which game are you referring to with the weather?

Gee · 06-11-11, 04:03 AM

Edit. No play on total. Was watching it till close and it looks like the game started one min early. Damn liked over, but was down to 176.5 by close, so maybe I dodged a bullet.

Damn. 2 goals in first 2 mins

Gee · 06-11-11, 04:39 AM

Ace: was talking about north/gold coast game.

air betting the under here. a bit annoyed i missed out on that bet.

at least north are winning by 43 points in the first quarter

this could be a massive start to the weekend.

Ace_of_Spades · 06-11-11, 05:45 AM

12 goals in 1 quarter in the Hawks/Geelong game

Bic · 06-11-11, 07:24 AM

Pow, good win

Ace_of_Spades · 06-11-11, 07:58 AM

Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades

12 goals in 1 quarter in the Hawks/Geelong game

And still goes under

Gee · 06-11-11, 08:36 PM

Unbelievable that went under.

I'm glad I wasn't on a total in that game. With the top teams, you can also get huge quarters and scoreless quarters.

Today I'm going to go with Lions TT o/66.5 2x. Looking over the other two games, but not sure I'll play them. Freo/Bombers is a coinflip. I'm leaning Sydney too, but I dunno...

Gee · 06-11-11, 11:11 PM

Brisbane terrible.

Taking Swans -21.5 for 1x.

Gee · 06-11-11, 11:51 PM

Adding Bombers/Dockers o/193.5. 2.5x.

Ace_of_Spades · 06-12-11, 12:22 AM

Do like the over. Can see both teams collecting a 100+ each.

SoV · 06-12-11, 12:48 AM

Originally posted by Gee

Adding Bombers/Dockers o/193.5. 2.5x.

Didn't know you had a thread. Will see me more here.

I LOVE AUSSIE SPORTS

TwoWays · 06-12-11, 12:50 AM

Originally posted by Gee

Brisbane terrible.

Taking Swans -21.5 for 1x.

Tough luck on TT for the Lions, Gee. 3 early goals in the fourth quarter...then thought they had a chance. Now Swans can't kick straight or this game would have been over by half.

Gee · 06-12-11, 01:46 AM

Yeah, shitballs.

Sydney miss about 14 set shots and kick 21 points.

Brisbane were terrible, but ended up just being one straight kick away (makes you think of the near misses, even though I didn't deserve that one).

Lets get the over to salvage the day. Going to finish +money on the weekend whatever happens.

Gee · 06-12-11, 01:52 AM

Originally posted by SoV

Didn't know you had a thread. Will see me more here. I LOVE AUSSIE SPORTS

Crows yesterday

Good to see you making your way back here buddy.

I wasn't going to do a thread. It started off with a spreadsheet, but when that was doing well, thought i'd post my plays too. I've never kept a record for AFL before, but its going as well as it has every year. It makes me think AFL is beatable - i.e. 60% is not a pipe dream.

C'mon Over! 4 goals in the first 5 mins helps

SoV · 06-12-11, 02:48 AM

Reading the line helps, and having you around is a massive bonus. Did well in the NRL earlier, posted the play in chat. Looked dead at HT but they scored frequently in the 2nd half.

Over looking decent. Bombers need to start scoring. Line movement suggests they will come back strong in the 2nd half. Let's hope so.

EDIT: Need more scoring! COME ON BOMBERS!

Gee · 06-12-11, 06:50 PM

Tough loss. Tough day. Oh well.

I'm still up for the weekend, but gave most of it back yesterday. These things happen.

I've put in a bit of a strange multi today: Miami Heat ML/Collingwood -13.5 paying even money. 1.5x on it. Also Miami -1.5/Collingwood -1.5. Lets get it. I don't really like the pies spread. If you are just playing that game, i like Pies 1-39, but dont trust that with Collingwood. I just can't see them losing. Melbourne overvalued after beating a pathetic bombers team.

I expect I'll have a bet on the Pies too, but we will see how the Heat game turns out.

Gee · 06-12-11, 09:48 PM

Absolutely epic fail on multi.

Should stay away from NBA. just not my game.

Actual AFL play is Collingwood TT o/105.5. 4x. My second biggest play of the year.

Square as fuk, so, hrm. Could ruin my week or make it.