Originally Posted by
lordkai35
hey guys, first apology for some pathetic plays. nothing went my way last weekend but lets turn it around this week which looks like a fairly predictable tipping round.
going to play some round specials first, i will post single match plays before games start.
Leading points scorer for THIS round:
looking at the games i expect the inform sides to decimate bottom 8 and out of form sides. round begins with melb/souths. historically this game has been low scoring and both are quality sides that will try to keep this tight. i dont see smith scoring more than 10 points as he rarely scores tries whilst a reynolds wont score more than 8 points from goals. parra/tigers looks to be high scoring however benji is a poor goalkicker whilst parra's goalkicker (not 100% sure with hayne's return rumoured he may kick) mullaney has NEVER scored more than 10 points in a game. sharks/knights and manly/warriors look to be tight matches as teams are on the same level as each other, warriors will stay competitive knowing they need to win to make the 8. broncos/dragons, scott prince wont score more than 10-12 points whilst dugan will not score more than 10 without two tries. bulldogs/titans i expect bulldogs to demolish titans, however trent hodkinson needs a try to score over 10-12 points (he rarely scores try) and hes goalkicking has been hit/miss last couple of weeks. this leaves roosters/canberra and nqld/panthers
0.6 x James Maloney ($7 sportsbet)
-roosters have been demolishing inferior opposition and they will win by 20+ if they play at their current form. raiders are horrible on the road and with internal issues surrounding milford's release, fergo's 1st game back, all signs point to a poor performance. i expect roosters to put at least 4-5 tries on them and maloney has a knack of scoring in blowouts. i think he is the best bet for leading point scorer this round.
0.4 x thurston ($11 sportsbet)
-last week cowboys turned up with a completely different team. they were ruthless and clinical putting 5 tries on south which is not an easy task. they must win all their games to play finals and hanging onto that thread of hope, they will perform this week. they are playing a panther's team with BIG outs in highmen plum, docker, sika manu. panthers pack is pretty much relying on tim grant and with the likes of tamou/scott/tsims/taumololo cowboys are too big too strong too fast for depleted panthers. daniela in ctrs doesnt help penrith either. i think this game has a good chance of being a blowout and thursto might snatch a try. so making the minor play here
note: sometimes this market is available after friday night games so if you think players on friday night might score big, you can wait until after those games, however odds change dramatically