Horse Racing questions and answers

[str]

hey str

do you feel the race a horse had prior to a win can have an effect on it repeating ?

an even run or slow fade vs better (faster) company might propel a horse more than a win or competitive effort in the race prior to the win .. along the lines that there might be more of a tightening effect that carries forward exiting the faster race vs a good finish in the slower one .. like winning via feeling the relief of the class drop might be more likely to carryover for one more race

Really important question for me to try and relay my thoughts correctly without screwing it up. So I think I might approach this question by breaking it down. Because there are so many scenarios to that last win, I really do not want to type something that is not fully explained.
Let me figure out how to break this down into shorter responses over several posts instead of one long rambling mess which I would otherwise end up typing.

The early answer is it depends on too many scenarios when you talk about the race BEFORE the win to give one answer. I will try and put together a few scenarios over a few different answers. This one will keep me busy for a while. Lol.
I'll be back to start ASAP. Thanks JBEX.

[JBEX]

Really important question for me to try and relay my thoughts correctly without screwing it up. So I think I might approach this question by breaking it down. Because there are so many scenarios to that last win, I really do not want to type something that is not fully explained.
Let me figure out how to break this down into shorter responses over several posts instead of one long rambling mess which I would otherwise end up typing.

The early answer is it depends on too many scenarios when you talk about the race BEFORE the win to give one answer. I will try and put together a few scenarios over a few different answers. This one will keep me busy for a while. Lol.
I'll be back to start ASAP. Thanks JBEX.

apologize if I opened up a can of worms str lol ..no need to bother if you'd rather not and it makes sense to me that it's not a straightforward one size fits all answer .. I will (not right now) give you one example that I like and set parameters for variables like time in-between,distance and class..
appreciate you offering to do it either way

[str]

apologize if I opened up a can of worms str lol ..no need to bother if you'd rather not and it makes sense to me that it's not a straightforward one size fits all answer .. I will (not right now) give you one example that I like and set parameters for variables like time in-between,distance and class..
appreciate you offering to do it either way

Its a wide ranging question for sure. I like it though. What I will explain is how I saw and see different scenarios. It m ight make sense or not really register with everyone. That's fine. Certainly more than one way to handicap. But if people wanted to see how I made certain judgements about things, if that helps, I'm all for it. This entire thread has been about helping people see from other directions what others ( me) ,(I) saw. I hope it helps.

[JBEX]

Its a wide ranging question for sure. I like it though. What I will explain is how I saw and see different scenarios. It m ight make sense or not really register with everyone. That's fine. Certainly more than one way to handicap. But if people wanted to see how I made certain judgements about things, if that helps, I'm all for it. This entire thread has been about helping people see from other directions what others ( me) ,(I) saw. I hope it helps.

look forward to see how you view this or maybe more accurately different types of scenarios involving this situation .. I will hold off on my example for now so we can focus on what you have to say about it

[JBEX]

deterministic (R9 , #10 , 5-1 , ) is scheduled to make his 5yo debut in the maker's mark mile (grade 1) at keeneland on Friday .. the favorite is last year's breeders cup mile winner