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Horse Racing questions and answers -
Sportsbook Review Forum
IMO the field was pretty weak on paper. All except Mikes horse. As you know, very well bred, and ironically bred to love mud as well, but I doubt that had much to do with it. With that long a work tab, Mike was working this horse with long on his mind the entire time. Why? Because when you see all those 1/2 mile works after a solid 5/8ths work, those are the portion of the exercise that went fast enough to be timed. My guess is he was actually working 7/8ths or a mile but NOT fast off the pole. A two minute clip for 3/8ths and a finish up in what he was timed at. When you see a 5/8ths and it is followed by a 1/2 mile and then a race, that makes sense. It's like a wake up call 1/2 mile for the horse to get them on their toes and sharp for next week. But when you see three of those after a nice 5/8ths work, they are much more than that. A sharp quick work, 4-5-6 days before is a sharpener. Those slower 1/2 mile works are the tail end of longer exercises that are building lung capacity, strength, and of course, where and when to expect to pick things up.
The 1:28 is probably a decent time over that winterized track especially for a two year old firster. That deep a track, which is to be expected this time of year for added cushion to fight freezing temps, is demanding but he has trained over it so he was that much fitter.
I don't know if Mike goes down south or not. An option is to simply take his time into January and maybe find a race in February going that distance or a mile ( or 1 1/16th), and by the 3rd race it is late March and he has beaten winter, has a fresh horse and is ready to put together a 3 year old year.
Do keep an eye out for him. It will be fun to watch Mike handle this one in the next few races.
Shame I has away and didn't see this in time yesterday. I could have explained a lot of this beforehand but whatever. at least you can see what all Mike was doing and kind of read between the lines.
Thanks JBEX. Nice call !
no problem str
it was more of a letting you know than a pick..thought you would've been interested and too bad you were occupied yesterday with everything you saw going on with the works
when I said makes sense to start later I realize that's a secondary factor vs the horse is ready to run ..still an added positive if your capping
something at aqueduct (if not parx) probably a more likely scenario..winning
@ 7f puts him in a good spot to find a follow up race and lots of good distance options at aqu ..have to think there might be a 7f or mile race for 3yo only in february there ..be a fun follow
Comment
batt33
SBR Hall of Famer
12-23-16
5982
#9277
Originally posted by JBEX
with the sire/dam-sire combo definitely bred for distance and to love mud..7f and starting a little later in the 2yo season makes sense..an impressive win but talk about running in a bog ..geez 1:28 lol
so unless he's just a lot better in mud this could be a really nice horse .. maybe wind up at gulfstream if pino runs there ..will keep an eye out for him
.
Nice call!
Comment
JBEX
SBR Posting Legend
01-02-12
23205
#9278
by army mule..turf paradise R3 #2 you'reinthearmynow (8-1) @ 3:10
Comment
batt33
SBR Hall of Famer
12-23-16
5982
#9279
[COLOR=rgba(77, 76, 76, 0.9)]Caldera Workout Report [/COLOR] Caldera breezed five furlongs in 1:01.40 on Sunday morning over a muddy track. Your son of Liam’s Map always traveled comfortably on the outside of fellow maiden Big Walk and appeared to have plenty of horse under him if he was ever called upon. Given that there was plenty of moisture in the track, the barn wasn’t looking for anything special in addition to there being no immediate race targets. The next available maiden special weight option falls on January 25th going one mile and one-sixteenth but there will likely be the option of considering an extra before that as well.https://cdnb-media.myracehorse.com/b...5600674238.mp4
Comment
batt33
SBR Hall of Famer
12-23-16
5982
#9280
[COLOR=rgba(77, 76, 76, 0.9)]Straight No Chaser Workout Report [/COLOR] Straight No Chaser breezed a sharp half mile in :48(6/56) flat this morning at Santa Anita Park. Per usual, your son of Speightster did this effortlessly. Trainer Dan Blacker couldn’t be happier with where we are at currently and didn’t want him to do anything more than he did today. “I don’t know if he can go any slower,” laughed Blacker but, “I’m really pleased with him right now.”
[COLOR=rgba(77, 76, 76, 0.9)]Moonlit Courage Workout Report [/COLOR] Moonlit Courage breezed an unrecorded quarter (two furlongs) this morning at Santa Anita Park under exercise rider Jose Contreras. Your daughter of Omaha Beach is still in the early stages but everything continues to progress forward as planned.https://cdnb-media.myracehorse.com/b...5503042305.mp4
Comment
batt33
SBR Hall of Famer
12-23-16
5982
#9282
[COLOR=rgba(77, 76, 76, 0.9)]Black Tie Optional Update (Stylishly) [/COLOR] The newly named Black Tie Optional continues to do well down at Wavertree Stables where he received a brief break from training over the holidays. He will resume galloping this week with the goal of beginning to breeze towards the end of January.
Comment
JBEX
SBR Posting Legend
01-02-12
23205
#9283
Originally posted by batt33
Nice call!
thanks batt..as I explained it was more of a heads-up to str than a pick..and the other things of interest 2yo fts,nice ped ..if it were an ordinary claiming race probably wouldn't have brought it up..turns out will be following
.
Comment
batt33
SBR Hall of Famer
12-23-16
5982
#9284
Originally posted by JBEX
thanks batt..as I explained it was more of a heads-up to str than a pick..and the other things of interest 2yo fts,nice ped ..if it were an ordinary claiming race probably wouldn't have brought it up..turns out will be following
.
Gotcha... you always seem to find those interesting horses!
Comment
JBEX
SBR Posting Legend
01-02-12
23205
#9285
Originally posted by batt33
Gotcha... you always seem to find those interesting horses!
everything just came together with him and turns out he might be a good one..not a lot of activity on monday's also contributed
.
Comment
str
SBR Posting Legend
01-12-09
11629
#9286
Originally posted by JBEX
by army mule..turf paradise R3 #2 you'reinthearmynow (8-1) @ 3:10
Looks just fine in there. He is Grey. First AM one I have seen?? Don't recall seeing another one but probably have.
Comment
JBEX
SBR Posting Legend
01-02-12
23205
#9287
Originally posted by str
Looks just fine in there. He is Grey. First AM one I have seen?? Don't recall seeing another one but probably have.
I agree on both points ..dam sire was a very good gray and also the sire of arrogate
Comment
JBEX
SBR Posting Legend
01-02-12
23205
#9288
Originally posted by str
Looks just fine in there. He is Grey. First AM one I have seen?? Don't recall seeing another one but probably have.
Originally posted by JBEX
I agree on both points ..dam sire was a very good gray and also the sire of arrogate
hard to figure that no effort..maybe the heavier than avg schedule past 4 months finally caught up to him ..all speculation
.
Comment
JBEX
SBR Posting Legend
01-02-12
23205
#9289
saturday
by army mule..turfway R6 #6 wisconsin gal (9-2) @ 3:30
listed stakes @ 6f for newly turned 3 year olds
.
Comment
str
SBR Posting Legend
01-12-09
11629
#9290
Originally posted by JBEX
hard to figure that no effort..maybe the heavier than avg schedule past 4 months finally caught up to him ..all speculation
.
I watched the rerun of this race and while the picture was blurry making watching him closely really hard to do, the horse was off the bit and not willing to engage into the first turn. He broke fine, and was ok for a few strides but that was it. The rider did the right thing and let him settle but the horse was just not willing to engage from that point. As he turned for home, his stride was very short . So much so that I could not quite tell if he was still on his left lead. I think he was. But he goes out of view and I could not see anymore.
Obviously something went wrong just a stride or two after the break. Just could not see enough to say what.
Comment
Madison
SBR Hall of Famer
09-16-11
6432
#9291
AQ R4 Dutrow runs 1,2. Both fav's.
Comment
lesterdymond
SBR MVP
07-25-11
2357
#9292
Happy New Year STR, Eazy, JBex all the horse fellas
No sport or hobby like Horses. “Horse players are some of best people on earth “ boa12 2024
Comment
str
SBR Posting Legend
01-12-09
11629
#9293
Originally posted by lesterdymond
Happy New Year STR, Eazy, JBex all the horse fellas
No sport or hobby like Horses. “Horse players are some of best people on earth “ boa12 2024
Thanks Lester. Indeed they are !
And to take it further, the horse players, if ever given the chance to get to know the horse workers on the backstretch, they would go like peas and carrots as Forest would say. Some of the best people I ever had the pleasure of meeting.
Happy New Year to you sir. All the best.
Comment
str
SBR Posting Legend
01-12-09
11629
#9294
Originally posted by Madison
AQ R4 Dutrow runs 1,2. Both fav's.
Thanks Madison.
It's just Ricky being Ricky. The other one will most likely win next out.
I just posted this in the newbie forum but it can apply to anyone who wants to become a better gambler.
Thought I would post it here as well. If this helps one person, it will be well worth it.
A discussion on chasing bets, doubling up to get even and things of that nature.
Comment:
"If you take that gamblers competitiveness and point it towards beating the sport, whichever that might be, then you fuel the itch towards gaining an edge, continuing to learn and eventually beating the game. It is that simple to say but so hard to try. Thing is, once you achieve that, it is a compulsion in itself to continue doing so. It takes discipline at first but that becomes a part of the process soon after."
A perfect response:
Finally learning not to chase is like reaching nirvana or a state of enlightenment for a gambler. Before a gambler learns this they are lost in the wilderness.
Amen to that.
Comment
JBEX
SBR Posting Legend
01-02-12
23205
#9296
Originally posted by lesterdymond
Happy New Year STR, Eazy, JBex all the horse fellas
No sport or hobby like Horses. “Horse players are some of best people on earth “ boa12 2024
agree with your sentiments on the game and people who play it..happy new year lester!
Comment
Madison
SBR Hall of Famer
09-16-11
6432
#9297
Originally posted by str
Thanks Madison.
It's just Ricky being Ricky. The other one will most likely win next out.
Didn't bet, but 2nd placer was mine. I seem to be back into "Master of 2nd/place" LOL.
Happy and Healthy new year again sir!!
Comment
Madison
SBR Hall of Famer
09-16-11
6432
#9298
Originally posted by str
I just posted this in the newbie forum but it can apply to anyone who wants to become a better gambler.
Thought I would post it here as well. If this helps one person, it will be well worth it.
A discussion on chasing bets, doubling up to get even and things of that nature.
Comment:
"If you take that gamblers competitiveness and point it towards beating the sport, whichever that might be, then you fuel the itch towards gaining an edge, continuing to learn and eventually beating the game. It is that simple to say but so hard to try. Thing is, once you achieve that, it is a compulsion in itself to continue doing so. It takes discipline at first but that becomes a part of the process soon after."
A perfect response:
Finally learning not to chase is like reaching nirvana or a state of enlightenment for a gambler. Before a gambler learns this they are lost in the wilderness.
Amen to that.
Ditto. 60 years later wish I had a better way to share. GOD knows it took many years for me to overcome.
Comment
Madison
SBR Hall of Famer
09-16-11
6432
#9299
Originally posted by Madison
Ditto. 60 years later wish I had a better way to share. GOD knows it took many years for me to overcome.
Emotions (and home one's) have no place in (winning) gambling.
Comment
JBEX
SBR Posting Legend
01-02-12
23205
#9300
by army mule..friday @ fg R7 #7 ceepeegee (12-1) @ 4:45
Comment
JBEX
SBR Posting Legend
01-02-12
23205
#9301
Originally posted by JBEX
by army mule..friday @ fg R7 #7 ceepeegee (12-1) @ 4:45
without considering the sire this one would be a play for me
Comment
str
SBR Posting Legend
01-12-09
11629
#9302
Originally posted by JBEX
by army mule..friday @ fg R7 #7 ceepeegee (12-1) @ 4:45
Originally posted by JBEX
without considering the sire this one would be a play for me
Sure. Need a fair price but plenty between the lines to like IMO. A couple of additional positives as well like the trainer change and that work two back. Certainly worth a solid look.
Comment
Jellymancan
SBR MVP
03-09-20
3694
#9303
Originally posted by lesterdymond
Happy New Year STR, Eazy, JBex all the horse fellas
No sport or hobby like Horses. “Horse players are some of best people on earth “ boa12 2024
Happy New Year!
Comment
trytrytry
SBR Posting Legend
03-13-06
23650
#9304
2025 will be epic lets get some
Comment
Madison
SBR Hall of Famer
09-16-11
6432
#9305
Looked at the next 2 months stakes races and not much got me excited.
What happened to Mindframe?
Comment
str
SBR Posting Legend
01-12-09
11629
#9306
Originally posted by Madison
Looked at the next 2 months stakes races and not much got me excited.
What happened to Mindframe?
He had that bruised cannon bone issue and they can take their sweet time healing. I don't know if he has even breezed yet but I would say that in all probability, he would have been retired by now I would think if they did not hope to run him this year.
Comment
str
SBR Posting Legend
01-12-09
11629
#9307
Originally posted by batt33
[COLOR=rgba(77, 76, 76, 0.9)]Caldera Workout Report [/COLOR] Caldera breezed five furlongs in 1:01.40 on Sunday morning over a muddy track. Your son of Liam’s Map always traveled comfortably on the outside of fellow maiden Big Walk and appeared to have plenty of horse under him if he was ever called upon. Given that there was plenty of moisture in the track, the barn wasn’t looking for anything special in addition to there being no immediate race targets. The next available maiden special weight option falls on January 25th going one mile and one-sixteenth but there will likely be the option of considering an extra before that as well.https://cdnb-media.myracehorse.com/b...5600674238.mp4
Sorry Batt. Missed this.
That work was excellent ! He looked great.
Comment
str
SBR Posting Legend
01-12-09
11629
#9308
Originally posted by batt33
[COLOR=rgba(77, 76, 76, 0.9)]Straight No Chaser Workout Report [/COLOR] Straight No Chaser breezed a sharp half mile in :48(6/56) flat this morning at Santa Anita Park. Per usual, your son of Speightster did this effortlessly. Trainer Dan Blacker couldn’t be happier with where we are at currently and didn’t want him to do anything more than he did today. “I don’t know if he can go any slower,” laughed Blacker but, “I’m really pleased with him right now.”
He better keep him in the 3-4 path. Any closer to the fence than that and he would be going faster.
Comment
str
SBR Posting Legend
01-12-09
11629
#9309
Originally posted by batt33
[COLOR=rgba(77, 76, 76, 0.9)]Moonlit Courage Workout Report [/COLOR] Moonlit Courage breezed an unrecorded quarter (two furlongs) this morning at Santa Anita Park under exercise rider Jose Contreras. Your daughter of Omaha Beach is still in the early stages but everything continues to progress forward as planned.https://cdnb-media.myracehorse.com/b...5503042305.mp4
Awh. Little chunky babies. Love it !
Lookin all over the place by herself the first time by but worked well the 2nd time by, especially by herself. She was running and not thinking in that blow out. Just what you hope she will do.
[COLOR=rgba(77, 76, 76, 0.9)]Black Tie Optional Update (Stylishly) [/COLOR] The newly named Black Tie Optional continues to do well down at Wavertree Stables where he received a brief break from training over the holidays. He will resume galloping this week with the goal of beginning to breeze towards the end of January.
Nice eye, neck, shoulder, and rump. Sheww. Did not have many that looked like that. Maybe as a 4 year old. Lol.