on3's NHL home chase 55-3 in 2010, 94-1 in 2009

[Tuesday]

Same here.

Do you know the frequency of bets that have hit on (A) (B) and (C) for past seasons. It seems as though the majority of the bets hit on (B), has this also happened in previous years. If so, this would be a great candidate for (B) and (C) only bets, playing them at 2 units instead of 1 unit. Could you post previous years results, or tell me where I can find them so I don't have to run an extensive backtest. Thanks. The losses would cost less, and the profits would be higher on wins, if this holds true.

Wallco, I like the way you think.

.

[on3]

System record 12-0-0
Units -2
1 unit = $20

11/6

#9 -- tampa bay @ FLA -110 (C)

Game 1 win = 5-8
Game 2 win = 5-3
Game 3 win = 2-0

Labby Line

x-40-x-x
x-x-115-86
x-7-x-28

reshuffle

20-x-x-20
40-40-45-46
28-x-x-37

FLA to win 65

[DANO74]

What a f'in choke job by FLA

[oklahoma]

the bad beats this system has taken has been fuckin digusting

[bauerranch]

Florida pooped in the bed!

[eric14tsui]

It is frustrating to see panthers to lose three straight games in SO. Be honest, even it is the first loss for the system, I think they will somehow get back on track in the next few games.

[Wallco99]

Going straight up against JM today, hopefully both ways can win.

[knugen]

Is it any plays out for today? Havent seen anyone!?

[gofightingirish]

Isnt Boston an A bet today?

[lecubs28]

Boston is a play, starting a 3 game home stand, favored by more than -145.

[on3]

[COLOR=#000000 !important]System record 12-1-0
Units -6.5
1 unit = $20

11/7

#14 -- new york @ BOS -180 (A)

Game 1 win = 5-8
Game 2 win = 5-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

20-x-x-55
40-40-45-46
28-x-x-72

BOS to win 55[/COLOR]

[eric14tsui]

Boston to win!

[knugen]

Niice with à À bet win finally

[on3]

System record 13-1-0
Units -4
1 unit = $20

11/8

no plays

Game 1 win = 6-8
Game 2 win = 5-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

20-x-x-x
40-40-45-46
28-x-x-72

[Mr. Green]

What about Detroit?

I realize they just won a 3 game chase but have 3 more games left at home and are fav by -150

Thanks for your work

[oklahoma]

was curious so i quickly ran through the unofficial series this season.
heres the record: (official/unofficial added together in brackets)
A 3-9 (9-17)
B 6-3 (11-6)
C 3-0 (5-1)

clearly the A bets are atrocious. think ill see how the next few weeks play out and maybe start a chase on the B bet like wallco suggested, but only for a half unit if anything.

[Wallco99]

was curious so i quickly ran through the unofficial series this season.
heres the record: (official/unofficial added together in brackets)
A 3-9 (9-17)
B 6-3 (11-6)
C 3-0 (5-1)

clearly the A bets are atrocious. think ill see how the next few weeks play out and maybe start a chase on the B bet like wallco suggested, but only for a half unit if anything.

Too small of a sample, I was hoping he could give us previous years data so we could better judge that. What is the unofficial? The ones that were 3 games at home and (-111) to (-144)?

[oklahoma]

Too small of a sample, I was hoping he could give us previous years data so we could better judge that. What is the unofficial? The ones that were 3 games at home and (-111) to (-144)?

the sample is small sure, i had some time so only quickly ran through the other series' for curiosity sake, still bugged by the florida loss. to me unofficial means all teams that started 3 or more game homestand that opened below -144 and below.

[on3]

Too small of a sample, I was hoping he could give us previous years data so we could better judge that. What is the unofficial? The ones that were 3 games at home and (-111) to (-144)?

sorry wallco, i dont have previous years' data. i didnt create the system and have only been following it for the past 2 years.

[Wallco99]

sorry wallco, i dont have previous years' data. i didnt create the system and have only been following it for the past 2 years.

Ok, no problem.

[Wallco99]

the sample is small sure, i had some time so only quickly ran through the other series' for curiosity sake, still bugged by the florida loss. to me unofficial means all teams that started 3 or more game homestand that opened below -144 and below.

That would include them being dogs in game 1 also? Did you figure M/L or P/L on those games?

[oklahoma]

That would include them being dogs in game 1 also? Did you figure M/L or P/L on those games?

i didnt look at any of the lines, strictly if the team could manage a win within those 3 games, thats it. i didnt think of pucklines because to my knowledge we dont play the puckline in this system, and i wouldnt anyway cause the juice would be death.

[on3]

System record 13-1-0
Units -4
1 unit = $20

11/9

no plays, Anaheim doesn't qualify

Game 1 win = 6-8
Game 2 win = 5-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

20-x-x-x
40-40-45-46
28-x-x-72

[eric14tsui]

Eyes are on Hawks tmr, dont be surprised if they lose their first one vs CBJ.

[dominate.]

Thanks for all your hardwork ON3

[bisturis]

System record 13-1-0 Units -4 1 unit = $20 11/9 no plays, Anaheim doesn't qualify Game 1 win = 6-8 Game 2 win = 5-3 Game 3 win = 2-1 Labby Line 20-x-x-x 40-40-45-46 28-x-x-72

So even with a 13-1-0 record you are down 4 units? Is that correct?

[on3]

So even with a 13-1-0 record you are down 4 units? Is that correct?

yes. using the money management that i am in this thread, i am down 4 units. if you are playing this martingale, you are probably up around 2-3 units. the one loss works to something like...9 or 10 units since FLA was pretty juiced the whole time.

[on3]

System record 13-1-0
Units -4
1 unit = $20

11/10

no plays, Columbus doesn't qualify

Game 1 win = 6-8
Game 2 win = 5-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

20-x-x-x
40-40-45-46
28-x-x-72

[jcygts6]

Thanks i think ml home favorites are overpriced in nhl since home ice doesnt mean much in the nhl as in other sports

[therizz]

Hey guys, here is the breakdown for the system last year

Overall Series Record 44-2
Game 1 : 31-15, 67%
Game 2 : 8-7, 57%
Game 3 : 5-2, 83%
Losses: 2

I stopped in early March as some of the juice was getting out of hand. Unlike my similar system in MLB, I never backtested this against opening lines as I did not have a database that included them for NHL. These numbers were only based on closing lines. I know that resulted in a loss with FLA, but it may have just been a fluke, I don't know... unfortunately, I did not do a good job of keeping track of units last year. I was more aggressive with my labby lines for this system however, since there are fewer simultaneous series going than MLB. The more the numbers are split up on the labby the more wins it takes to recoup losses, but I know On3 knows this and is rightfully being more conservative with this. Good luck this season, good job with the thread On3. You are awesome at keeping everything up to date and on top of the plays

[donnydoucher]

Any plays for tonight? And thanks for all the work you do

[knugen]

nashville should be a play for tonight, but we wait for on3 to confirm it!

[on3]

System record 13-1-0
Units -4
1 unit = $20

11/12

#15 -- montreal @ NSH -160 (A)

Game 1 win = 6-8
Game 2 win = 5-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

20-x-x-x
40-40-45-46
28-x-x-72

NSH to win 20

[bauerranch]

Missed the bet so I guess I save money-Thanks for your efforts!

[on3]

System record 13-1-0 (NSH open)
Units -5.5
1 unit = $20

11/13

#16 -- new york @ VAN -180 (A)

Game 1 win = 6-9
Game 2 win = 5-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

20-x-x-16
40-40-45-62
28-x-x-72

VAN to win 36