on3's NHL home chase 55-3 in 2010, 94-1 in 2009

[on3]

System record 19-1-0
Units +4.5
1 unit = $20

11/28

no plays
#21 -- ???

Game 1 win = 11-9
Game 2 win = 6-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

x-10-10-x
30-10-35-10
10-28-10-72

[knugen]

What do u mean with
#21--- ????

[drvotip]

What do u mean with
#21--- ????

I means 21st play for system

[Daveo]

System record 19-1-0
Units +4.5
1 unit = $20

11/28

no plays
#21 -- ???

Game 1 win = 11-9
Game 2 win = 6-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

So based on your wins/losses and +/- units above, you have bet on 11+9+6+3+2+1 games = 32 games. And the result (so far) is +4.5 units. This is 4.5/32 = +.14 units per game, on average. But of course this average can go up or down pretty fast.

I'd be interested to know what your average units per game would be if you simply bet 1 unit per game (on each of the 32 games), and didn't follow a chase system. Do you have these numbers available? All you'd need to calculate this is the odds for each of the 32 bets and wheter or not the bet won or lost. Would you be above 0 units per game if you just bet on the same 32 games, bet 1 unit per game?

Thaks for this thread, it's interesting and potentially nicely profitable !

[on3]

So based on your wins/losses and +/- units above, you have bet on 11+9+6+3+2+1 games = 32 games. And the result (so far) is +4.5 units. This is 4.5/32 = +.14 units per game, on average. But of course this average can go up or down pretty fast.

I'd be interested to know what your average units per game would be if you simply bet 1 unit per game (on each of the 32 games), and didn't follow a chase system. Do you have these numbers available? All you'd need to calculate this is the odds for each of the 32 bets and wheter or not the bet won or lost. Would you be above 0 units per game if you just bet on the same 32 games, bet 1 unit per game?

Thaks for this thread, it's interesting and potentially nicely profitable !

19 wins, 13 losses.

avg line is 1.58 (or around there). 19 wins = 19 units, 13 losses x 1.58 = -20.54 units.

[Daveo]

Thanks for the info, on3.

So if you were not using a labby and simply betting 1 unit per game, would be -1.54 units, but with the labby system you're at +4.5 units. So it seems that in this case the labby is helpful.

I'm trying to test out myself the usefulness of a labby system; my initial inclination is that a labby system is overrated, i.e. perhaps just betting 2% of your pot each bet would be just as good. But I'm new to the idea of a labby; I'm sure someone experienced knows what works and what doesn't. As I'd recommend to anyone, it's best to test out each system (back-testing) yourself to see what really works, and to make sure you understand how it works. I'm going through that process myself right now.

[on3]

System record 19-1-0
Units +4.5
1 unit = $20

11/29

#21 -- columbus @ VAN -215 (A)

Game 1 win = 11-9
Game 2 win = 6-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

x-10-10-x
30-10-35-10
10-28-10-72

VAN to win 20

[oklahoma]

[on3]

System record 20-1-0
Units +5.5
1 unit = $20

11/30

no play today
#22 --

Game 1 win = 12-9
Game 2 win = 6-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

x-x-x-x
30-10-35-10
10-28-10-72

[Daveo]

on3,

Let's say in 2010 for this home-chase system, which was 55-3, you placed a total of 200 bets. You're using a labby system...some bets are A bets, others B, others C. And let's say if you added up all the wagers in that season, the total wagered was $8000. This means that the average wager was $8000 / 200 bets = $40 per bet.

Now, if you were to go back into that 2010 season and start over again and simply wager $40 per bet instead of running a labby line, shouldn't the end result be almost the same? There would be some differences depending on good or bad streaks, but if you average it out over an entire season, shouldn't the end result be very similar, considering that the average amount wagered per bet ($40) is the same?

Or would you expect the result to be better with the labby...if so, why?

I'm be really interested to get your opinion on this.

Daveo

[on3]

[COLOR=#000000 !important]System record 20-1-0
Units +5.5
1 unit = $20

12/1

#22 -- montreal @ SAN JOSE -190 (A)

Game 1 win = 12-9
Game 2 win = 6-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

15-15-15-15
15-10-20-10
10-13-10-57[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#000000 !important][/COLOR]
[COLOR=#000000 !important]SAN JOSE to win 30 [/COLOR]

[on3]

on3,

Let's say in 2010 for this home-chase system, which was 55-3, you placed a total of 200 bets. You're using a labby system...some bets are A bets, others B, others C. And let's say if you added up all the wagers in that season, the total wagered was $8000. This means that the average wager was $8000 / 200 bets = $40 per bet.

Now, if you were to go back into that 2010 season and start over again and simply wager $40 per bet instead of running a labby line, shouldn't the end result be almost the same? There would be some differences depending on good or bad streaks, but if you average it out over an entire season, shouldn't the end result be very similar, considering that the average amount wagered per bet ($40) is the same?

Or would you expect the result to be better with the labby...if so, why?

I'm be really interested to get your opinion on this.

Daveo

the labby would yield better results, and this is why: the losses are carried forward. so even though you experience a loss, it stays on the labby and is eliminated over the year (as long as the system is successful). looking at our labby line, we have...about 9 units from the loss still on there. as long as the A, B, C bets hit over 58% each, we clear all of our lines for profit.

[on3]

System record 21-1-0
Units +7
1 unit = $20

12/2

no plays

Game 1 win = 13-9
Game 2 win = 6-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

x-15-15-x
15-10-20-10
10-13-10-57

[oklahoma]

good time for a break. doesnt look like there will be plays for another week.

[Wallco99]

I believe Calgary is a play tonight.

[knugen]

I have the schedule at Home for all the Home series, i Will let u know if on3 dont do it before me

[knugen]

i looked on scoresandodds.com and calgary opened at -143, so i think they are not a plaY?

[on3]

[COLOR=#000000 !important]System record 21-1-0
Units +7
1 unit = $20

12/6

CALGARY currently at -130, opened at -135 at 5dimes.com. no play unless it moves over -145.

Game 1 win = 13-9
Game 2 win = 6-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

x-15-15-x
15-10-20-10
10-13-10-57[/COLOR]

If CALGARY is a play, it is to win 30

[jcygts6]

Lets do it!!!!😜😝🎄

[Wallco99]

Covers.com said that Calgary opened at -150 at 5Dimes, that would make it a play. 5Dimes is the site you said you used for official plays.

[Wallco99]

i looked on scoresandodds.com and calgary opened at -143, so i think they are not a plaY?

He said a few weeks ago that he uses 5Dimes for official plays, can't change now.

[knugen]

then its a play.. im onthem

[nitsuj378]

Ya 5dimes opened at -150. Is there a stipulation on the line dropping below a certain number to make it not a play?

[on3]

so i personally did not play calgary because i missed the opening line last night and saw this morning's line at -130. for tracking purposes i am recording it as a win.

System record 22-1-0
Units +8.5
1 unit = $20

12/7

no plays

Game 1 win = 14-9
Game 2 win = 6-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

10-10-10-10
15-10-10-10
10-13-10-27

[knugen]

No play today

[jcygts6]

Thanks

[knugen]

nashville is a A bet today

[on3]

System record 22-1-0
Units +8.5
1 unit = $20

12/10

#24 -- anaheim @ NSH -165 (A)

Game 1 win = 14-9
Game 2 win = 6-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

10-10-10-10
15-10-10-10
10-13-10-27

NSH to win 20

[jcygts6]

thanks for the update sir

[oklahoma]

wasnt til 10minutes left in the 3rd that i realised i was rooting for anaheim. pretty good feeling to see we were actually up 2 goals.

[on3]

another day, another unit. system has been killing it for about a month now.

System record 23-1-0
Units +9.5
1 unit = $20

12/11

no plays

Game 1 win = 15-9
Game 2 win = 6-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

x-10-10-x
15-10-10-10
10-13-10-27

[knugen]

no play today either

[xgame]

nice system on3. always with you.

[knugen]

today we have florida and montreal as plays

[on3]

System record 23-1-0
Units +9.5
1 unit = $20

12/13

#25 -- new jersey @ FLA -155 (A)
#26 -- new york @ MTL -160 (A)

Game 1 win = 15-9
Game 2 win = 6-3
Game 3 win = 2-1

Labby Line

x-10-10-x
15-10-10-10
10-13-10-27

FLA to win 20
MTL to win 20