DG's 2011-2012 NHL Picks

DennisGreen · 05-25-12, 09:55 PM

#6 vs #8 seeds in the final

So unreal. If you would have told me before the playoffs began that a #6 seed would have home ice in the cup finals I would have laughed in your face

Congrats to LA and NJ fans and anyone with futures on them. Guess I gotta cheer for LA since I have $100 on them at +1700 from back in the summer

odog11 · 05-25-12, 10:56 PM

Originally posted by DennisGreen

#6 vs #8 seeds in the final

So unreal. If you would have told me before the playoffs began that a #6 seed would have home ice in the cup finals I would have laughed in your face

Congrats to LA and NJ fans and anyone with futures on them. Guess I gotta cheer for LA since I have $100 on them at +1700 from back in the summer

Nice, going to hedge that or let it ride? I cashed LA +800 and NJ +1400 for the conference wins, Bruins, Rangers and Detroit futures from the season down the drain, but sill profitable overall . Nothing riding on this one as of yet, have to like Kings here.

Pride · 05-26-12, 12:05 AM

Originally posted by odog11

Nice, going to hedge that or let it ride? I cashed LA +800 and NJ +1400 for the conference wins, Bruins, Rangers and Detroit futures from the season down the drain, but sill profitable overall . Nothing riding on this one as of yet, have to like Kings here.

DennisGreen · 05-26-12, 01:25 AM

Originally posted by odog11

Nice, going to hedge that or let it ride? I cashed LA +800 and NJ +1400 for the conference wins, Bruins, Rangers and Detroit futures from the season down the drain, but sill profitable overall . Nothing riding on this one as of yet, have to like Kings here.

Yeah I'm not gonna hedge for now but if LA faces elimination at any point I will start the hedging.

dugdogg · 05-26-12, 03:19 PM

Kings are winning. certainly no reason to hedge...congrats DG

remeedella · 05-26-12, 04:09 PM

big oppurtunity game 1 LAkings?

Totolover1409 · 05-26-12, 08:46 PM

Kings!

a4u2fear · 05-29-12, 06:33 PM

DG, do we bet the statistic that shows the home team went 19-0 in the first 4 home games of the finals last few years?

DennisGreen · 05-29-12, 07:27 PM

Originally posted by a4u2fear

DG, do we bet the statistic that shows the home team went 19-0 in the first 4 home games of the finals last few years?

Wow that's an unreal stat

Hard to go against that I guess

I was thinking less pressure on the Kings plus they're 8-0 on the road so far.

dugdogg · 05-30-12, 01:07 AM

yes but how many of those 19 games was the home team the UNDERDOG??? ZERO i bet ... i can't even remember what cup finals would the home ice team be an underdog in the series

so the real stat is 19-0 for the favored team... ---> go with the favored team = KINGS

PuckIt · 05-30-12, 07:11 AM

That's a nice stat, but when was the last time the road team was 8-0 on the road? I love 1st O1.5 +175.

DennisGreen · 05-30-12, 12:27 PM

1st period could definitely hit. These teams don't know each other at all and I could see 2-3 goals in the 1st before things settle down in the later stages.

I always find it strange when the ML is a near pick em yet one team has a 2 TT (NJ) and the other has a 2.5 (LA)

TheBeastMode · 05-30-12, 01:07 PM

Originally posted by DennisGreen

1st period could definitely hit. These teams don't know each other at all and I could see 2-3 goals in the 1st before things settle down in the later stages.

I always find it strange when the ML is a near pick em yet one team has a 2 TT (NJ) and the other has a 2.5 (LA)

So what does that tell you DG?

DennisGreen · 05-30-12, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by TheBeastMode

So what does that tell you DG?

Tells me the bookies think LA will win this one. Either that or they're playing mind games

TheBeastMode · 05-30-12, 03:05 PM

Got it. Thanks.

lato89 · 05-30-12, 03:27 PM

my local has LA over 1,5 goals @ 1,55..is this safe or worth to take?thx

DennisGreen · 05-30-12, 03:41 PM

Originally posted by lato89

my local has LA over 1,5 goals @ 1,55..is this safe or worth to take?thx

Yeah I would definitely take that. I think LA gets at least 2 goals, win or lose.

Totolover1409 · 05-30-12, 04:26 PM

Dig the 1st O

PuckIt · 05-30-12, 05:15 PM

Wow, wish my book had LAK O1.5

PuckIt · 05-30-12, 05:22 PM

edit: Whoops wrong post

PuckIt · 05-30-12, 05:38 PM

This game is a toss up. My gut says LAK, but I'm going to play O4.5 and O1.5 [1st]

DennisGreen · 05-30-12, 06:41 PM

LA/NJ Over 1.5 (1st) (+174)

Can't resist

Will be looking for live bets too.

zizoudane10 · 05-30-12, 06:54 PM

Do like the over 1.5 @+174, and the over 5 @+158. Going to play both of them with 150€, can't decide to choose a side here, to close to call for me.

a4u2fear · 05-30-12, 07:31 PM

Yikes, no shots so far, not liking chances

DennisGreen · 05-30-12, 07:40 PM

Lucky goal. No chance of another in the 1st

DennisGreen · 05-30-12, 08:58 PM

LIVE BET : LA/NJ Over 3.5 (+100)

Ugly game so far but I think this ends 3-1 or 3-2 in OT for someone.

Winnipeg Jets · 05-30-12, 09:54 PM

who you like to win.....

DennisGreen · 05-30-12, 09:56 PM

Coin flip now who knows.

DennisGreen · 05-30-12, 10:43 PM

Knew I should have just bet Kings

Ah well 3 wins away from $1700 from the Kings cup prop. Love how I forgot about the bet on 5dimes I made in July.

Will be a nice unexpected cash flow if they win

Will improve the overall numbers on the year and give me a respectable overall +$ number.

hockey216 · 05-31-12, 01:55 AM

DG, have you ever bet a 1st period under? Not criticising, but i would like to know your theory. You love 1st period overs. Why so? Even if there is an added scoring probability in 1st period, don't you think lines would reflect that? You know more about this than i do. I'd like the insight. thanks.

DennisGreen · 05-31-12, 02:07 AM

Originally posted by hockey216

DG, have you ever bet a 1st period under? Not criticising, but i would like to know your theory. You love 1st period overs. Why so? Even if there is an added scoring probability in 1st period, don't you think lines would reflect that? You know more about this than i do. I'd like the insight. thanks.

0/4 in my career I think and no way I'm laying that type of chalk (-150+) as it would be hard to sustain long term.

Lots of times I know it will be tough to hit but with these ridiculous values (+175+) you only need to hit 50% to make some dough. I don't play them everytime but try to pick my spots on them.

I haven't been doing that well on them lately but I have no problem betting $100 on them even if they haven't worked out that well lately.

dugdogg · 05-31-12, 03:06 AM

kings and the under 4.5 all playoffs has been so money...i've taken the under 4.5 in kings games every game since round 2 game 3. and i will be taking it every game in the finals as well

the kings should sweep. i would get in on the kings series now. it's free money and it's only getting juiced more after every game. the rangers probably would've won a game. new jersey won't. it's absurd how dominant the kings have been on this nhl record tying run of 16-2

DennisGreen · 05-31-12, 09:32 AM

Originally posted by dugdogg

kings and the under 4.5 all playoffs has been so money...i've taken the under 4.5 in kings games every game since round 2 game 3. and i will be taking it every game in the finals as well

the kings should sweep. i would get in on the kings series now. it's free money and it's only getting juiced more after every game. the rangers probably would've won a game. new jersey won't. it's absurd how dominant the kings have been on this nhl record tying run of 16-2

They're 13-2 but very well could end 16-2. That's just ridiculous in this day and age. 9-0 on the road too now has got to be another record. If they win game 2 they very well could sweep this thing. I haven't seen this type of dominance ever

dugdogg · 05-31-12, 03:00 PM

i am giving them the benefit of the doubt by saying 16-2 haha.

quite possibly the most dominant playoff performance ever in sports. considering they were the bottom seed and they ran a train through the 1,2,3 seeds in the west like nothing. and those were the only teams besides the pens who had a chance to beat them....no defensive team like the devils or rangers are gonna beat the kings. only a team that can score more than them will win. the kings aren't going to get shutout all the time. and that's the only way the devils can beat them. if the kings score 1 goal it's likely over

DennisGreen · 05-31-12, 11:57 PM

Originally posted by dugdogg

i am giving them the benefit of the doubt by saying 16-2 haha.

quite possibly the most dominant playoff performance ever in sports. considering they were the bottom seed and they ran a train through the 1,2,3 seeds in the west like nothing. and those were the only teams besides the pens who had a chance to beat them....no defensive team like the devils or rangers are gonna beat the kings. only a team that can score more than them will win. the kings aren't going to get shutout all the time. and that's the only way the devils can beat them. if the kings score 1 goal it's likely over

Just a ridiculous run and all that from the #8 seed. Not like they were a cup favorite going in which makes the run all that more incredible. Most low seeds that make the finals have a couple 7 game series and are grinding every game out. The Kings are on total cruise control.