For updated data please see my Half-Point Calculator.
Total N Std. Err. Freq.
5 789 1.556% 25.602%
6 2,296 0.630% 10.148%
7 847 1.424% 21.960%
Methodology:
- All NHL regular season final scores and closing over/unders (from covers.com/) from the 2005/06 season through October 23rd of the 2007/8 season were analyzed (2,584 games in total) for the push frequencies of various totals.
- The push frequency for a given over/under was determined by the percentage of games with a closing over/under within 0.5 points of the over/under in question ending with a total equal to that over/under. For example, the push frequency of an over/under of 6 was determined from all games with a closing over/under between 5.5 and 6.5.
- This is based on Stanford Wong's methodology as described in Sharp Sports Betting.