-== Russian Rocket's 2014-15 NHL season hockey plays ==-

[Russian Rocket]

Capitals -1.5
Oilers on the road vs (let's call it lately a) solid defensive/offensive team.

Blackhawks over 3
Top offense in the league with some struggling losses lately. Home ice with a good opponent to bounce back vs. I am not convinced Chicago can have a blowout but I think it's realistic to expect them to score at least 3 goals vs crappy Smith and crappy Arizona with no defense.

Flyers/Penguins over 5
Always a derby and despite how shitty Philly is at the moment they should as always give hard time to Penguins who are also in a slump. Shitty defense and shitty goalie vs bad defense and solid goalie who got pulled prematurely in the last match where he was showing some signs of insecurity. Sounds like a good recipe for over, though Flyers played yesterday.

Stars ML
Bruins will play vs Colorado tomorrow but I believe Rask will go vs Lehtonen in Finnish duel tonight. Stars have picked up their form recently before second half of the season to pursue the playoff spot. They are not far behind. Seguin is doing awesome since he left Boston and tonight he should be motivated vs his old palls. Bruins are better defensively but Stars are playing well at the moment and their top line should be a difference maker to conclude the half mark of the season with a W before going on All-Star break.

Thoughts?

1. Not a bad play...I'm on the over in that game as I don't think this is going to be a very defensive minded, sit back and protect the net type of a game. I think both team will be able to put puck in the net tonight.
2. I took Hawks over 3.5 in their previous game against Dallas...they've hit 3 by the 7th minute in the 2nd period and then went completely dry for the next 33 minutes. Obviously Arizona is not Dallas and I still like this bet - might jump on it a bit later.
3. Pass on the over, but I'm all over Pittsburgh tonight.
4. Took BOS for 2 units - not completely sold on Stars recent success...I think Bruins will simply overpower them with their physical play.

good luck!

[RollinDo]

Here are my plays...tailing you on Ottawa TT (U 2.5)

Edmonton TT (U 2.5)...top play...when Holtby wins, the opposition does not score...he also holds a sick 1.60 GAA career vs Oilers...think he shuts these guys down...maybe a 4-1 type game...hoping anyways

Vancouver TT (U 2.5)...just think TB wins, but not willing to put down the gaudy -175 on TB ML...this should be a 3-2 kinda game, but maybe with empty net, 4-2 TB.

Pens -1 (+100)...one of my favorite plays here...take Pitt after a loss - they are a strong road team...Flyers are not very good...hungrier team will win.

[RollinDo]

Actually will wait on goalie confirmations...if Miller in net for Canucks, like the U 5.5 for the game instead of Vancouver TT (U 2.5)...game very well could end 3-2 if Miller vs Bishop.

[RollinDo]

I just got Pens -1 for +165...can this be right? I just noticed you got them for +175.
What's up with this line?

[ZdenoK]

1. Not a bad play...I'm on the over in that game as I don't think this is going to be a very defensive minded, sit back and protect the net type of a game. I think both team will be able to put puck in the net tonight.
2. I took Hawks over 3.5 in their previous game against Dallas...they've hit 3 by the 7th minute in the 2nd period and then went completely dry for the next 33 minutes. Obviously Arizona is not Dallas and I still like this bet - might jump on it a bit later.
3. Pass on the over, but I'm all over Pittsburgh tonight.
4. Took BOS for 2 units - not completely sold on Stars recent success...I think Bruins will simply overpower them with their physical play.

good luck!

1. It's how Capitals played the last two matches where they both lost for a single goal vs Stars and Predators but they are back to home ice now and they had few days off to regroup and go back to solid goaltending and defensive efforts. Holtby finally had an off day with Peters starting, I think that's a good thing. Oilers are playing a bit better lately, especially in the defense so I don't expect a blowout. But Caps are known to have problems with shitty teams so -1.5 HC might not be a good idea. They lost in Edmonton earlier in the season but they weren't "hot" back then.

2. I hate the 3.5 line, that's why I would rather buy chalk and go with 3. I don't trust Hawks to score 4 but I believe they can manage 3 goals. If I get a push, no harm done, if they score 4, I could have won more but I could have lost like you did vs Dallas. I saw your bet back then and I checked the lines. Over 3 was at like -215 so I passed. I didn't take 3.5 because... well exactly because of what happened. Hawks are too inconsistent to expect 4 goals. Sure, it was Dallas, but it was also Winnipeg playing back-to-back 2 days before which they couldn't beat on home ice. I think they will beat Coyotes tonight but I'm not getting on ML with these odds and I don't trust them enough to cover the handicap. They will probably play 3-3 and win in OT, leaving people hammering regulation and HC lines with empty pockets. I just checked and over 3 went down to -200 so I'll pass.

3. Yeah, I've hammered the 5dimes kind offer and few minutes later the line already went down. I don't know why bookies are favoring Penguins so much. I would pass the ML with these crappy odds but the 5dimes offer I couldn't pass.

4. I saw you took Bruins yesterday already. I was considering it as well but as one can't be sold on Stars, I think the same for Bruins. Few weeks ago people considered them staying out of the playoffs. They've picked up since but so did Stars. Bruins were owned by banged up Jackets who were playing B2B, certainly not looking so solid. Is Marchand still suspended?

[Russian Rocket]

I just got Pens -1 for +165...can this be right? I just noticed you got them for +175.
What's up with this line?

it's a bad line...but I'll pound it...I also got +110 in another book just in case this one gets canceled

[RollinDo]

it's a bad line...but I'll pound it...I also got +110 in another book just in case this one gets canceled

That's not fair that they would cancel it...if/when they change it, it will not be as good a line...guess that's why you did +110 in another book...you must have gotten +175 at 5Dimes?

[ImBetting]

Hello Rusian Rocket! I'm new here and had registered today. I'm liking your picks and will follow you. Want to ask you what do you think about Chicago (-1) after their two loses in a row. Is it worth to take them (-1)?

Thanks!

[Russian Rocket]

Yeah Marchand is done for 4 games...I think we'll see him back at the end of the month after All-Star break.

[Russian Rocket]

Hello Rusian Rocket! I'm new here and had registered today. I'm liking your picks and will follow you. Want to ask you what do you think about Chicago (-1) after their two loses in a row. Is it worth to take them (-1)?

Thanks!

Hey Betting! There is way too much juice in that minus 1 line on Hawks. Pass for me.

[ZdenoK]

That's not fair that they would cancel it...if/when they change it, it will not be as good a line...guess that's why you did +110 in another book...you must have gotten +175 at 5Dimes?

They can't change it, they can just void it and return your money. They made a big mistake last year where they had ridicolous lines for player props in first playoff game between Rangers and Kings. They listed main players withprops to have goals+assists under 4 or 5. Odds were around -200 and limit was really small but that is practically a sure bet as none of the players will score 5 points in a single Stanley cup final match. If I recall correctly, they listed about 10 players. Perhaps they meant it for whole series but they listed it under Game 1. At first they graded it as a victory but the next day they voided it and took back the winnings.

[Russian Rocket]

That's not fair that they would cancel it...if/when they change it, it will not be as good a line...guess that's why you did +110 in another book...you must have gotten +175 at 5Dimes?

yes I got +175 at 5Dimes...and as far as 'it's not fair' goes - unfortunately they can do whatever the want with us Rollin...that's just the nature of this business. All we can do is take our shots and hope for the best possible outcome.

[RollinDo]

yes I got +175 at 5Dimes...and as far as 'it's not fair' goes - unfortunately they can do whatever the want with us Rollin...that's just the nature of this business. All we can do is take our shots and hope for the best possible outcome.

Guess you're right, but I have mistakenly made 5 or 6 bets in the past year and they refuse to cancel the wager even within 10-15 minutes of placing the bet...and without any line movement.

[ZdenoK]

yes I got +175 at 5Dimes...and as far as 'it's not fair' goes - unfortunately they can do whatever the want with us Rollin...that's just the nature of this business. All we can do is take our shots and hope for the best possible outcome.

Mmm plot twist. I believe public is heavy on Penguins. What if 5dimes know something we don't. Well of course they know more than we do. So they set up a trap for us to hammer it, watch Flyers win and then in the sounds of Who song they put on sunglasses and say "maybe the mistake wasn't a mistake after all".

[Ebumdude]

-1.5 +175 Pens for me. Don't know if I want to bite.

[Russian Rocket]

Mmm plot twist. I believe public is heavy on Penguins. What if 5dimes know something we don't. Well of course they know more than we do. So they set up a trap for us to hammer it, watch Flyers win and then in the sounds of Who song they put on sunglasses and say "maybe the mistake wasn't a mistake after all".

I actually had one of my losing bets once voided by 5Dimes because of the bad line...so I know they're pretty honest about these things.
Caught me by a big surprise too.

[ZdenoK]

Yeah Marchand is done for 4 games...I think we'll see him back at the end of the month after All-Star break.

Hmm, no Pinocchio takes them away quite some depth.

[RollinDo]

I actually had one of my losing bets once voided by 5Dimes because of the bad line...so I know they're pretty honest about these things.
Caught me by a big surprise too.

Every time I made those mistakes the bet lost, so 0-5 for me...just learned to be more careful when placing bets...hard to do when doing more than 4 and in a rush sometimes.

[Emf66]

today's plays:



best of luck guys!

Morning Rocket & All!


Lets get it today again, quick thoughts:


After their recent run I would be struggling to back the Pens even against Philly. Rivalry blah blah here which I normally poo poo but it does impact here a bit and if Philly scores a couple the Pens arent much of a come from behind team. Pitt support thoughts?

I noticed the Rangers line has dropped from -200 but I dont see reason / goalie confirmations?
As I said last night provided Lun is netminding I will be on this hard


Im actually looking at the Habs game, Pek out so still adjusting might well be ripe for their first back to back losses of the season. To have made it this far without one is pretty good going but predicated of Peks consistent play.


Cant get myself in love with Bruins RR so I'll leave you to smack that one! I loved their consistency last year and most years and I do think they will roll again this year but Im feeling it will be close and perhaps a struggle for them if they get 2 goals behind


You would think the Hawks would love to smash the Coyotes tonight, their home stand has been poor and the lost to Dallas pathetic. I watched it again and they were all over the Stars in the 1^st period rattling shots good style but seem to love giving up 1^st period goals – see the 1^st period over streak currently sitting at 12 – which is always a sickner. Im going to update on the Coyotes but I think the
Hawks may well maul them but I will see how the Rangers get on for a couple of periods before
pulling a big trigger, play minor then see how things shake out with the earlier games.


I think you could make a case for the Canucks today, Bolts are def not what they were 2 or 3 weeks ago when the ran over teams with offense/PP and their game against the Oilers last week still has me scarred lol. With Miller running hot if they put up a goal or two as they did last night it will be interesting to see how TB reacts


All thoughts welcome!! Have a great everyone

[Russian Rocket]

Hmm, no Pinocchio takes them away quite some depth.

yeah...I still think they'll be alright without him.

[ZdenoK]

After their recent run I would be struggling to back the Pens even against Philly. Rivalry blah blah here which I normally poo poo but it does impact here a bit and if Philly scores a couple the Pens arent much of a come from behind team. Pitt support thoughts?

I only bet on them because of the line 5dimes has offered. Given the normal odds for ML it's a pass for me or even value in Flyers. Despite how shitty they are at the moment it's a derby, they always give hard time to Penguins. But Penguins still have better goalie, better defense (even though it's currently bad as well) and probably more consistent offense. Plus they are fresh since Flyers played yesterday. Philly took the first one so far, it's time for Pens to tie it up. That's why I prefer over 5 in this one rather than picking sides.

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Today: 9-2-1 +10.05u
YTD: 332-331-12 -9.63u

Solid as usual!!

do it again today, Rocky!

[Emf66]

1. It's how Capitals played the last two matches where they both lost for a single goal vs Stars and Predators but they are back to home ice now and they had few days off to regroup and go back to solid goaltending and defensive efforts. Holtby finally had an off day with Peters starting, I think that's a good thing. Oilers are playing a bit better lately, especially in the defense so I don't expect a blowout. But Caps are known to have problems with shitty teams so -1.5 HC might not be a good idea. They lost in Edmonton earlier in the season but they weren't "hot" back then.

2. I hate the 3.5 line, that's why I would rather buy chalk and go with 3. I don't trust Hawks to score 4 but I believe they can manage 3 goals. If I get a push, no harm done, if they score 4, I could have won more but I could have lost like you did vs Dallas. I saw your bet back then and I checked the lines. Over 3 was at like -215 so I passed. I didn't take 3.5 because... well exactly because of what happened. Hawks are too inconsistent to expect 4 goals. Sure, it was Dallas, but it was also Winnipeg playing back-to-back 2 days before which they couldn't beat on home ice. I think they will beat Coyotes tonight but I'm not getting on ML with these odds and I don't trust them enough to cover the handicap. They will probably play 3-3 and win in OT, leaving people hammering regulation and HC lines with empty pockets. I just checked and over 3 went down to -200 so I'll pass.

3. Yeah, I've hammered the 5dimes kind offer and few minutes later the line already went down. I don't know why bookies are favoring Penguins so much. I would pass the ML with these crappy odds but the 5dimes offer I couldn't pass.

4. I saw you took Bruins yesterday already. I was considering it as well but as one can't be sold on Stars, I think the same for Bruins. Few weeks ago people considered them staying out of the playoffs. They've picked up since but so did Stars. Bruins were owned by banged up Jackets who were playing B2B, certainly not looking so solid. Is Marchand still suspended?

Hi Z

I agree with your thoughts on the Caps & Bruins. I like the Caps on the bounce back and Holtby back in nets, I think the Bruins will start rolling but from what I have seen of them not yet and getting hit by the BJ at home when the game was tight is not something they normally do. I am not sure Chara is
fully fit either. Give them a week or so and it may well be different. The Stars are an enigma and thats what I dont like, Im they come out and hang 2 on the B's straight off what will happen? I hate that scenario so Im going to swerve it. BOL!

[Emf66]

I only bet on them because of the line 5dimes has offered. Given the normal odds for ML it's a pass for me or even value in Flyers. Despite how shitty they are at the moment it's a derby, they always give hard time to Penguins. But Penguins still have better goalie, better defense (even though it's currently bad as well) and probably more consistent offense. Plus they are fresh since Flyers played yesterday. Philly took the first one so far, it's time for Pens to tie it up. That's why I prefer over 5 in this one rather than picking sides.

yep that sounds well thought out Z

[Russian Rocket]

Morning Emfer!
Philly is on back to back games and also lost two defensemen last night due to injures...I know that they've won before on back to backs against Penguins, but I'm just not feeling them tonight. They have to be a little weary after last night's 4-7 loss and that gives a well rested Penguins team a chance to win and hopefully win big.

Also, both Anderson and Lundqvist are confirmed for tonight in Rangers game...so I guess more people now like the +160 number on Ottawa and that's why you see that line movement.

Still thinking about Habs game...pass on Vancouver and TB for now.

[ZdenoK]

Senators had some success playing in New York in the past. Though they are playing vs Leafs tomorrow, Canadian derby, so I don't know what to expect tonight.

[RollinDo]

Senators had some success playing in New York in the past. Though they are playing vs Leafs tomorrow, Canadian derby, so I don't know what to expect tonight.

This is the toughest game that I contemplating a play on...may not touch it...don't like the -150 for Ottawa TT (U 2.5) and don't like the juice on the Under...need some advice here.

My top 3 plays are:

Edmonton TT (U 2.5) -150
Van-TB (U 5.5) -120
Pens -1 (+something)
Parlay: Hawks / Wings

[Emf66]

Morning Emfer!
Philly is on back to back games and also lost two defensemen last night due to injures...I know that they've won before on back to backs against Penguins, but I'm just not feeling them tonight. They have to be a little weary after last night's 4-7 loss and that gives a well rested Penguins team a chance to win and hopefully win big.

Also, both Anderson and Lundqvist are confirmed for tonight in Rangers game...so I guess more people now like the +160 number on Ottawa and that's why you see that line movement.


Still thinking about Habs game...pass on Vancouver and TB for now.

Yep I would normally jump on Pitt after two losses but Im just not sure what will happen tonight so I think I will just swerve that one. Any time Im unsure and the team I would be playing is away I tend to fade lest it blow up and I kick my ass for doing it!! Anyway BOL on that one The Vanc play isnt one I do but was just passing on thoughts for someone that might follow it. TB could shoot out and break their goal slump and its a different game

[ZdenoK]

Haha, I almost forgot another match is on the menu tonight - Detroit - Minnesota since nobody even mentioned it. Nobody wants to touch it?

[Emf66]

Morning Emfer!
Philly is on back to back games and also lost two defensemen last night due to injures...I know that they've won before on back to backs against Penguins, but I'm just not feeling them tonight. They have to be a little weary after last night's 4-7 loss and that gives a well rested Penguins team a chance to win and hopefully win big.

Also, both Anderson and Lundqvist are confirmed for tonight in Rangers game...so I guess more people now like the +160 number on Ottawa and that's why you see that line movement.

Still thinking about Habs game...pass on Vancouver and TB for now.

Lol, Im thinking TB is goal slump because they havent hit 4 in 6 games!!! Most teams would be pretty happy hitting 3 everu night for sure lolol

[RollinDo]

Haha, I almost forgot another match is on the menu tonight - Detroit - Minnesota since nobody even mentioned it. Nobody wants to touch it?

I just think Detroit will win and Chicago will...so I went with that parlay...sort of a free play, but will be kicking myself for using it tonight if it doesn't hit.

[RollinDo]

They haven't cancelled the wager on 5Dimes yet...do you know at what point I can feel safe they won't touch it?

[Emf66]

Haha, I almost forgot another match is on the menu tonight - Detroit - Minnesota since nobody even mentioned it. Nobody wants to touch it?

Z, the Wild losing last night stabbed two of my plays so I wouldnt mind doing some pay back to them tonight lol and the Wings do seem to be playing better in fact in fact if they win tonight they would be leading the Eastern!!! Their PP has been the backbone of the goal scoring so it would be worth checking how the Wild handle it and how many they give up. The Wings lines are always inflated similar to San Jose so I dont play them to much. Hope that helps!

[Emf66]

Haha, I almost forgot another match is on the menu tonight - Detroit - Minnesota since nobody even mentioned it. Nobody wants to touch it?

I just checked, Wild are only giving up an average of 2 PP's per game over their last 6 and their PK is pretty good - 8^th @ 83%. During that 6 games they faced Hawks/Pitt/Nash too so that says something. The others were Buf/Ari/Colu so perhaps a bit less. Wings backup goal tender has been good

[Russian Rocket]

That horrible performance in the last game by Detroit against BUF is still fresh in my memory...I can't back them up here...not at this price.