HoldinMygroin NHL 2013/2014 Thread

[HoldinMygroin]

LOL... just posted for the 1st time in a few days.... see you're doing the same. Welcome back! Nice picks, I'm on CHI, ANA and LA as well! I"m trying to figure out a way to play BOS in there as well and you may have just shown me....

Haha Lets get it bro.
Great minds think alike? we'll find out tonight

[HoldinMygroin]

Swept the shit out of those bets. Will update stats later.

[Ser Pucks]

Swept the shit out of those bets. Will update stats later.

[HoldinMygroin]

132-110-13
ROI: 114.70
+72.26 Units

I have now hit the 250 mark of bets made in NHL and +72.26 units in 9 weeks.

[HoldinMygroin]

No bets tonight

[chabooky386]

No bets tonight

same here. i was leaning NYR against a very injured PENS but, I can't bet against my most $$$ making team. Maybe under 2.5 ott what do you think?

[HoldinMygroin]

same here. i was leaning NYR against a very injured PENS but, I can't bet against my most $$$ making team. Maybe under 2.5 ott what do you think?

Yep, thats true. Pens have covered every single time. Sure they are injured, but the "backups" have been playing well and is taking their chance to shine and show themselves. That added the fact that Rangers have been playing awfully and Lunkan isn't at his best, not to mention the rivalry, makes this too much of a coin toss for me. Why bet every night just to have bets out there? I'll rather bet when Im feeling more comfortable with the picks. Tons of games tomorrow so lets get it then instead

I actually would like the U2.5 Ottawa a month ago. But the Devils is playing crazy right now, very unpredictable, 7,8 goal games. In their last 7 of 10 games, the opposing team scored 3 or more goals.
Ottawa is playing the win one lose one game.... A month ago seeing goalies Brodeur and Lehner I would say the Under is a Lock! Now I just don't trust either team. Sure Devils may have the least shot allowed on home ice (or 2nd?) but that statistic is the whole season and not the 2 last weeks.
Now this may be a 1 goal game, or a 7 goal game. either way I'm staying away. GL with whatever you choose =)

[Noleafclover]

Just wanted to pop in and say thanks for the informative post, D2D(onuts) was on that under because of the season-long stat and I was considering tailing. Not that its necessarily a bad bet still, but like you say, plenty of spots to be picked.

[HoldinMygroin]

Just wanted to pop in and say thanks for the informative post, D2D(onuts) was on that under because of the season-long stat and I was considering tailing. Not that its necessarily a bad bet still, but like you say, plenty of spots to be picked.

Yes I saw that he made that bet, he got it +100 while my book has it for -110, so also its about value. Now just like you said its not necessarily a bad bet, Ottawa might leave scoreless. Its NHL everything can happen right, but considering the recents shifts in trends, defense, goalkeeping, PP, PK etc on both teams (especially Devils) I personally prefer not to bet on it.

[HoldinMygroin]

132-110-13
ROI: 114.70
+72.26 Units

Tonights Plays:
Kings vs Sharks = Kings -1 bet 1 unit
Stars vs Canucks = Canucks -1 bet 1 unit
Flyers vs Blue Jackets = Flyers -1 bet 1 unit
Penguins vs Wilds = Penguins -0.5 bet 1 unit
Avalanche vs Oilers = Avalanche -0.5 bet 2 units
Sabres vs Bruins = Bruins -0.5 bet 1 unit
Sabres vs Bruins = Bruins -1 bet 1 unit
Sabres vs Bruins = Under 5 bet 2 units
Home vs Away = Home -1.5 bet 2 units
Grand Salami = Under 59.5 bet 2 units

Parlay:
Bruins ML + Avalanche ML bet 3 units

Lots of 1 unit plays out there.

[Jerimjob]

I like almost all the picks. I like the Wild over the Pens, but should be a close one
I see lots of low scoring 1 goal games tonight.
Let's make some coin

[chabooky386]

132-110-13
ROI: 114.70
+72.26 Units

Tonights Plays:
Kings vs Sharks = Kings -1 bet 1 unit
Stars vs Canucks = Canucks -1 bet 1 unit
Flyers vs Blue Jackets = Flyers -1 bet 1 unit
Penguins vs Wilds = Penguins -0.5 bet 1 unit
Avalanche vs Oilers = Avalanche -0.5 bet 2 units
Sabres vs Bruins = Bruins -0.5 bet 1 unit
Sabres vs Bruins = Bruins -1 bet 1 unit
Sabres vs Bruins = Under 5 bet 2 units
Home vs Away = Home -1.5 bet 2 units
Grand Salami = Under 59.5 bet 2 units

Parlay:
Bruins ML + Avalanche ML bet 3 units

Lots of 1 unit plays out there.

Didn't get a chance to review injuries and what not today. Any bigger wagers you really like? I am liking the under in the PITTS game. Any thoughts?

[HoldinMygroin]

I like almost all the picks. I like the Wild over the Pens, but should be a close one
I see lots of low scoring 1 goal games tonight.
Let's make some coin

Yep, that game will be a nail biter. Lets get them brother

[Ser Pucks]

Good luck tonight bud!

[HoldinMygroin]

Didn't get a chance to review injuries and what not today. Any bigger wagers you really like? I am liking the under in the PITTS game. Any thoughts?

I really like Bruins and Avalanche tonight. But they are also the most juiced plays in tonights card. I also like the GS Under 59.5. Im seeing lots of Unders tonight, lets hope it cashes.

Im staying away from the Under in the Pens game, because of the goalies. Would it have been Fluery against Harding I would have bet the Under. But its Bäckström and Zatkoff. The last three starts that Zatkoff made was 5,6,7 goal games. And now with the defensive injury problems that they have, its up to the backups to protect him. The problem is the backups havnt played enough games to know how they gel together. But the last 4 (maybe 5) games Bäckström played the games did go Under or Push. So I really can't tell with all this changes in lineups and back-up goalies. Not sure if this answered your question mate

[HoldinMygroin]

Good luck tonight bud!

show-me-the-money-resized-600.jpg

[HoldinMygroin]

When your team does it, you love it! When the other team does it, you scream at the fukkin tv. I am of course talking about short handed goals. Bruins to ruin the night?

[HoldinMygroin]

Adding:
Montreal vs St louis blues Under 5 bet 2 units

[HoldinMygroin]

When your team does it, you love it! When the other team does it, you scream at the fukkin tv. I am of course talking about short handed goals. Bruins to ruin the night?

LOL. Now the Bruins scores a short handed goal, just as I said, lots of joy now

[HoldinMygroin]

Adding:
Montreal vs St louis blues Under 5 bet 2 units

Well the Blues are killing this bet in the first period.

Adding:
Kings vs Sharks Under 5 bet 2 units

[HoldinMygroin]

Chad Johnson you frekkin snail. I think that was the slowest wrap-around, everyone anticipated that, except this goalie.

LOL Looks like every game tonight is going over the line, except the leaf game. GS 90 goals?

[BenGooGa]

Ok, so the bruins (23-10) lose 2-4 to the Sabres (9-23)!!
Can anybody explain why this totally unexpected outcome just happened? and what were the things we should have looked at before the game to predict such result.

The other team that is intriguing to me is Pitt. Everybody predicts them to fall in the next game because of all the injuries and suspensions they have, but noo they keep doing what they're doing just fine, can you guys explain why?

[HoldinMygroin]

Ok, so the bruins (23-10) lose 2-4 to the Sabres (9-23)!!
Can anybody explain why this totally unexpected outcome just happened? and what were the things we should have looked at before the game to predict such result.

The other team that is intriguing to me is Pitt. Everybody predicts them to fall in the next game because of all the injuries and suspensions they have, but noo they keep doing what they're doing just fine, can you guys explain why?

In my opinion, its all about bad luck and better goaltending by Miller. I mean the Boston owned them in the second period, in the third period (2-2) Buffalo was nowhere near the Boston zone, they were playing defense and just playing long passes either icing or it would reach that one guy and have a breakaway. Boston were all over Miller, shot after shot, save after save. And just when you thought that Boston will score at any moment, the Buffalo get a wrap around goal, the slowest one I've ever seen. Incredible how the goalie let that one in. And with only 4 minutes left in the game. So that pretty much fukkd the Bruins mentality, so the fourth goal was no surprise after that.

People are underestimating the Penguins. Lets recap the last two-three years, whenever one of Malkin or Crosby been injured. Whenever either one of these been injured the other one played at his best, and they produced so much more, they stepped up. The bad thing with having two superstars like Malkin and Crosby is that the team is waiting or expecting for them to take care of it. But when one is injured the rest of the players steps up and play much better. And for the defensive problems that Pens had. The replacements are giving everything they have because they know that this is their chance.

I think people are underestimating the Pens because of injuries, Rangers suck and with Callahan injured they have been playing awfully, not to mention they aren't getting good goaltending by Lundqvist. So its no surprise for me that the Pens won there.
And Minnesota are not a good road team, without Harding which has been their best player, it would be tough for them. And they way Minnesota likes to play is close games, defensive and if they take the lead they have everything under control. But when the opposing team scores first, they have to chase the lead, which is out of their comfort zone.

[HoldinMygroin]

I added a 3 unit bet on the avalanche -0.5 just before I went to sleep.


5-7-2 last night. A small loss, around 0.7 unit loss.

[CatHawk]

Good insight there...

Numbers: Minny is 1-9-2 when trailing after the 1st period.

One thing though, Minnesota has a had a couple of come backers this year. If they feel a game is within their grasp they play hard. They are very good in one goal games; 12-2-5. It's when you outscore them early and often when they get in trouble.

[HoldinMygroin]

Good insight there...

Numbers: Minny is 1-9-2 when trailing after the 1st period.

One thing though, Minnesota has a had a couple of come backers this year. If they feel a game is within their grasp they play hard. They are very good in one goal games; 12-2-5. It's when you outscore them early and often when they get in trouble.

You are right Sir. I remember watching the Ducks against the Wilds a week ago or something. And the commentators was so confident that the Ducks would win that game just because of Wild isn't comfortable chasing leads combined with how bad they are on the road and how good the ducks are at home. Harding was amazing that night, otherwise they would have lost with more goals, Bäckström is shaky right now. And going against the Pens who at home have won 11 of the last 12.

[CatHawk]

Dude you had me convinced not to take Wild. They're like a way different team without Harding. I should of listened but someone else talked me into it. Figures... Good call on that one.

[CatHawk]

Yea that Ducks/Wild game was a good one. Most recent example of Harding-awesomeness/Wild one goal comebacks was against Vancouver... couple nights ago

[HoldinMygroin]

Dude you had me convinced not to take Wild. They're like a way different team without Harding. I should of listened but someone else talked me into it. Figures... Good call on that one.

Thanks, hope you had a some winners besides that Wild loss.

Yeah they had an amazing comeback against the Canucks. But its just like you said. It was against a team who lead by only one goal. And also against a recently good defensive team. So we had 2 defensive-minded team going against each other. That suits the Minnesota well.

[CatHawk]

Thanks! I did! 4-1 on the night. Kings ML, Lightning -1.5, Avs -1.5, Panthers ML. I am actually in the midst of a crazy hot streak on my NHL picks lately. Past week or so has been kind to me. I'm just hoping I don't hit the wall soon but I feel as though I am really tuned into hockey atm.

Anyways, GL for you tonight! Any early leans? Thinking Rangers in reg off-hand. Islanders are a very bad team atm

[HoldinMygroin]

Thanks! I did! 4-1 on the night. Kings ML, Lightning -1.5, Avs -1.5, Panthers ML. I am actually in the midst of a crazy hot streak on my NHL picks lately. Past week or so has been kind to me. I'm just hoping I don't hit the wall soon but I feel as though I am really tuned into hockey atm.

Anyways, GL for you tonight! Any early leans? Thinking Rangers in reg off-hand. Islanders are a very bad team atm

Nice win with the Panthers. Hope the streaks continue pal.

Early leans on Ducks. They are hot right now. With Perreault back, suddenly Selänne is playing a lot better, they play good together. And Silvferberg is back. Players are coming back from injuries. So its not just the top line (Perry, Getslaf and Penner) who have to produce now that the second line is playing better. And Jonas Hiller has been playing amazingly these last games, coming out with big saves.

[BenGooGa]

In my opinion, its all about bad luck and better goaltending by Miller. I mean the Boston owned them in the second period, in the third period (2-2) Buffalo was nowhere near the Boston zone, they were playing defense and just playing long passes either icing or it would reach that one guy and have a breakaway. Boston were all over Miller, shot after shot, save after save. And just when you thought that Boston will score at any moment, the Buffalo get a wrap around goal, the slowest one I've ever seen. Incredible how the goalie let that one in. And with only 4 minutes left in the game. So that pretty much fukkd the Bruins mentality, so the fourth goal was no surprise after that.

People are underestimating the Penguins. Lets recap the last two-three years, whenever one of Malkin or Crosby been injured. Whenever either one of these been injured the other one played at his best, and they produced so much more, they stepped up. The bad thing with having two superstars like Malkin and Crosby is that the team is waiting or expecting for them to take care of it. But when one is injured the rest of the players steps up and play much better. And for the defensive problems that Pens had. The replacements are giving everything they have because they know that this is their chance.

I think people are underestimating the Pens because of injuries, Rangers suck and with Callahan injured they have been playing awfully, not to mention they aren't getting good goaltending by Lundqvist. So its no surprise for me that the Pens won there.
And Minnesota are not a good road team, without Harding which has been their best player, it would be tough for them. And they way Minnesota likes to play is close games, defensive and if they take the lead they have everything under control. But when the opposing team scores first, they have to chase the lead, which is out of their comfort zone.

Thanks Sir, this is as clear as it can get. ill take your analysis in my future picks. Good job last night, the Bruins killed the night but, they've made us plenty of money to give'em a pass this time.

They are gonna be hosting the Sabres on Sat in front of the local crowd, i think they will get a large revenge

[HoldinMygroin]

Thanks Sir, this is as clear as it can get. ill take your analysis in my future picks. Good job last night, the Bruins killed the night but, they've made us plenty of money to give'em a pass this time.

They are gonna be hosting the Sabres on Sat in front of the local crowd, i think they will get a large revenge

Thats true, they have been cashing a lot for us lately .
Yeah Rask will probably be in net. And they will get their revenge on home ice, I think Boston have only lost 1 in their last 12 home games.
But the question is how juiced will the odds be.

[RollinDo]

Thats true, they have been cashing a lot for us lately .
Yeah Rask will probably be in net. And they will get their revenge on home ice, I think Boston have only lost 1 in their last 12 home games.
But the question is how juiced will the odds be.

Just hope the regulation odds are not juicy too.
I'll be on this tomorrow if it's like -130 or better.
I'm thinking Bruins -210 (???) for ML odds

[HoldinMygroin]

Just hope the regulation odds are not juicy too.
I'll be on this tomorrow if it's like -130 or better.
I'm thinking Bruins -210 (???) for ML odds

One of my books have the regulation for -142