HoldinMygroin NHL 2013/2014 Thread

[Ser Pucks]

Okay so two days off in the NHL. Today I only have one parlay, going with the fave's. This is a maxbet for me, so far I'm 3-1 in 8 units bets. Lets hope we make it 4-1.

117-90-9
ROI: 113.57%
+54.55 Units

Todays Parlay Play:
Penguins ML + Ducks ML bet 8 units

Welcome back brother... took the weekend off too. Wanted to ask you if you have a soccer thread going anywhere around here? I'd be interested in having a peek at it... especially if you're winning

I love the parlay bro... I'm still looking at the Pittsburgh game trying to figure out a way Columbus can win and I don't see it. Even if Malkin doesn't play, I think the Pens roll here at home. Jackets missing a big piece of their D with Wisniewski out.... GL with your parlay... I might have to tail for a few units myself....

[HoldinMygroin]

Welcome back brother... took the weekend off too. Wanted to ask you if you have a soccer thread going anywhere around here? I'd be interested in having a peek at it... especially if you're winning

I love the parlay bro... I'm still looking at the Pittsburgh game trying to figure out a way Columbus can win and I don't see it. Even if Malkin doesn't play, I think the Pens roll here at home. Jackets missing a big piece of their D with Wisniewski out.... GL with your parlay... I might have to tail for a few units myself....

Thanks brother, It was needed. Feel much more relaxed now, was stressed to turn around the losing streak.
Its been going good, Im 28-17-0 and +48 Units in soccer, but unfurtunatly, and this is why I love NBA & NHL, soccer games is max 2 times a week.
I don't have a soccer thread. I could start one, but there isn't many matches now that its Xmas, and I stay away from games in this period (out of experience, teams do not play as themselves during the holidays, much harder to predict & the odds not being favorable). So I might do it in Januari instead.

Neal is out, and I think its 3 (Orpik, Martin and Scuderi) of their defensive players who is out aswell. NHL.com is predicting that Malkin is going to play, as he went through the morning skate as usual with his teammates.
But I believe the Blue Jackets is going to miss Wisniewski way more than the Penguins is going to miss their D-players. Not only is he out, but Gaborik and Brobrovsky is still out, thats three of their best players. The Pens are as we all know, a far superior team compared to the Blue Jackets. And even with these injuries with Orpik, Martin out and even if Malkin is out, they should still win this game 8/10 in my opinion.
They've met two times this year, which wasn't that long ago (I remember picking Pens then aswell ), Pens won both of them. Penguins have only lost 3 times at home this season so far.
Columbus has won 5 times away, where three of those teams were (Calgary, Islanders and Buffalo). Im not going to over think this one, as they should take care of business.

Just hoping Ducks will take care of their game, and it scares me because I'm not going to be able to see that game and I HATE having to see the score on livescore.

[Ser Pucks]

Glad to hear the couple days refreshed ya... definitely more to life than this grind. Sometimes we need to be reminded of that!

No big deal if you get a soccer thread going or not, I just always hear ya say you're doing well so I was just curious.

What time do the NHL games air for you locally? I agree.. watching the tickers suck. I much prefer being able to watch the games I wager on, that way if something good live comes up the option's always there.

Good call on the not over-thinking, as maybe that's what I'm doing right now.... only thing that scares me is Fleury shitting the bed because I think that's what happened that last time I bet the penguins. He didn't play his greatest game in Boston the other night so hopefully he'll come back strong tonight.. he usually doesn't suck twice in a row. But like you said, Pittsburgh win's this 8/10 times.

GL tonight bro.

[HoldinMygroin]

What time do the NHL games air for you locally? I agree.. watching the tickers suck. I much prefer being able to watch the games I wager on, that way if something good live comes up the option's always there.

The first games which starts 7PM (Which is the eastern teams) Is 1AM my time. And teams like Vancouver, Los Angeles, Ducks and San Jose usually play 4AM my time so thats pretty much unwatchable for me.
Thats also the reason why I feel more confident betting on eastern than western because I've seen so many more eastern games than western.
Thankfully my job isn't anything that makes me wake up at 7AM

[Ser Pucks]

The first games which starts 7PM (Which is the eastern teams) Is 1AM my time. And teams like Vancouver, Los Angeles, Ducks and San Jose usually play 4AM my time so thats pretty much unwatchable for me.
Thats also the reason why I feel more confident betting on eastern than western because I've seen so many more eastern games than western.
Thankfully my job isn't anything that makes me wake up at 7AM

LOL... unfortunately I'm up at 5am local which means when I watch the west games at 10pm I'm fukkin exhausted the next day, so were in the same boat being more plugged in with the East.

Good luck tonight....I tailed your play for 2 units!

Lets get it!

[HoldinMygroin]

I hear you pal. Lets get it Ser Puck, Long time ago we both had a great winning on the same day.

[slam77]

Okay so two days off in the NHL. Today I only have one parlay, going with the fave's. This is a maxbet for me, so far I'm 3-1 in 8 units bets. Lets hope we make it 4-1.

117-90-9
ROI: 113.57%
+54.55 Units

Todays Parlay Play:
Penguins ML + Ducks ML bet 8 units

Good luck tonight Holdin

[HoldinMygroin]

Good luck tonight Holdin

[HoldinMygroin]

Updating stats later. In the last few years, the teams that I love to fade has been Islanders, Sabres, Panthers.. And often I would win but when I didn't win, there was always that one player who fukked it up. In Islanders it was Tavares and in Sabres it was Vanek. And now that Vanek has gone to the Islanders. There's two of them (spread-fukkers) in the same team. Well they weren't successful this time

[Ser Pucks]

[HoldinMygroin]

Well I'm 4-1 now on my pound plays (8 unit bets). +10 units last night.

118-90-9
ROI: 115.74%
56.73%
+64.55 Units


Todays Plays:
Sharks vs Islanders = Over 5.5 bet 2 units
Rangers vs Predators = Rangers -1 bet 1 unit
Flames vs Bruins = Bruins -1 bet 1 unit
Panthers vs Red Wings = Red Wings ML bet 3 units

Parlay:
Boston ML + Rangers ML bet 2 units

[RollinDo]

I like all of them, but would have stayed away from Rangers, who are mediocre/unpredictable at home. You have only 1 unit riding though.

I got the Wings ML too as my NHL pick of the day.
If I had to choose an OVER play, I would do the Sharks game. Hope it doesn't turn out to be 4-1 Sharks.
If not so juicy, I would go with Sharks (-1).

A few good Unders I'm seeing too - may buy 1/2 pt. on a couple 5.5 totals...or should I just take them at 5.5?
Was thinking Grand Salami, but the later games could rock that over.

Nice to see you in the + again, Holdin'!!!

I had a terrible betting weekend.

[Ser Pucks]

Well I'm 4-1 now on my pound plays (8 unit bets). +10 units last night.

Fukk ya! I like the Wings tonight too bud. They've had 3 days to sit and stir about Florida coming into the Joe and stealing a win from them while Florida had to travel to Chicago the next night and deal with the Hawks. I like your other plays too, I can see Nashville keeping it very tight tonight as well (they're a "C" bet @ +1.5 in Wallco's system tonight, don't know if you follow that at all, but C bets hit at a high % usually) but I think NAS will have a tough time stealing the W @ MSG.

GL tonight sir.

[HoldinMygroin]

No I usually don't look in to Wallco's thread because I don't follow any kind of systems. Lets hope he's C bet don't go in then .
Rangers have been playing better lately. They lost against their rivals Devils. There are so much tension in those games, Tonight against Nashville it won't be the same. Sure they got hammered by Capitals and thats part of the reason I like Rangers tonight. They will go out hard and strong! Lundqvist against Hutton. Lunkan will play much better tonight then he did against the Caps. Usually when I do write up the opposite happens, lets see tonight

You said it Ser Pucks. They have been waiting for this game. And last time they meet they had two of their best players out. Tonight Datsuyk is back. And thats a great boost for the whole team, he is such a leader and it will be a different game compared to the last one.

[slam77]

Well I'm 4-1 now on my pound plays (8 unit bets). +10 units last night.

118-90-9
ROI: 115.74%
56.73%
+64.55 Units


Todays Plays:
Sharks vs Islanders = Over 5.5 bet 2 units
Rangers vs Predators = Rangers -1 bet 1 unit
Flames vs Bruins = Bruins -1 bet 1 unit
Panthers vs Red Wings = Red Wings ML bet 3 units

Parlay:
Boston ML + Rangers ML bet 2 units

With you on the wings and Bruins. Gl tonight Holdin

[RollinDo]

Lines Out of Line?

Detroit ML odds getting better...I think this should be at -140 or so by now...getting a steal tonight at -125, but should have gotten it last night at -105 or should have waited, as it's dipped to -120.

Also, why is the Under odds for the LA-Mont getting better with more people betting on it tonight?

I'm not an odds expert, but these 2 lines today have me baffled and thinking the oddsmakers know something we don't. (???)

[HoldinMygroin]

Adding:
Canadiens vs Kings = Canadiens ML bet 1 unit
Canadiens vs Kings = 1P Under 1.5 bet 1 unit
Devils vs Blue Jackets = 1P Under 1.5 bet 1 unit
Senators vs Sabres = 1P Senators ML bet 1 unit
Panthers vs Red Wings = Red Wings ML bet 1 Unit (Total 4 Units)

[HoldinMygroin]

With you on the wings and Bruins. Gl tonight Holdin

Lets get it Slam!

[HoldinMygroin]

Detroit ML odds getting better...I think this should be at -140 or so by now...getting a steal tonight at -125, but should have gotten it last night at -105 or should have waited, as it's dipped to -120.

Also, why is the Under odds for the LA-Mont getting better with more people betting on it tonight?

I'm not an odds expert, but these 2 lines today have me baffled and thinking the oddsmakers know something we don't. (???)

Might be because Scrivens might not start for LA tonight their rookie is, although he has been very good in his two NHL starts this far, but it wasn't against a team like Montreal, one of them was against the Islanders. Don't really know why the Red Wings odds went up, but I still like it, and just added 1 unit to that game.

[RollinDo]

Thanks for the info. Holdin'.
I saw you had a rough go last night after a stellar Monday night.
I won't be playing any games tonight - real tough to pick.
Going with a 5-way Parlay in nba/college hoops/nfl tomorrow night...in an attempt to get back my losses the last 2 nights.

Shoot - why don't I stay away from these 5-ways ones that don't usually work out!!!

[HoldinMygroin]

Well I was in a cabin deep in the woods with some friends yesterday () and the internet sucked. Took me maybe 25 tries to finally login to Pinny.
I only had 2 bets last night which went well. 5 units each on LA Kings in reg and the Over in the Hawks game. Had a rough day the night before with LA killing the Under in 1P with 10 sec left. And Red Wings just broke down in the third. So the NHL is back on track after yesterday.

But I won BIG (!) on NBA and soccer yesterday. And now my total winnings in all sports is +242 units. Because of this I'm probably going up my betting size and bet 3 units more often and 1 unit bets will probably be less.

121-98-10
ROI: 115.66%
+63.17 Units

Now I'm hungover, but still feel wonderful being +242 Units, been awake for a very long time. Im going to go out and take a walk with Mojo then I'm heading to bed and most likely sleep 14 hours. Ill try to login and post my plays before I sleep though. Leaning Boston, Montreal, Hurricanes, Over in phoenix. I havn't really looked into it yet.

[HoldinMygroin]

By the way I have a questions for anyone who reads this and bets in Pinnaclesports.
How much money should I be comfortable having there? What I mean is, can I trust that website and that bookie to keep a large portion of my money? Or should I start to withdraw?

[HoldinMygroin]

Todays Plays:
Oilers vs Bruins = Bruins ML bet 3 units
Flyers vs Canadiens = Canadiens ML bet 3 units

13 Dec:
Panthers vs Capitals = Capitals ML bet 3 units

[Noleafclover]

By the way I have a questions for anyone who reads this and bets in Pinnaclesports.
How much money should I be comfortable having there? What I mean is, can I trust that website and that bookie to keep a large portion of my money? Or should I start to withdraw?

New to the thread, but from everything I've heard pinnacle is the #1 most trustworthy book.

[Ser Pucks]

Nice to see ya back buddy... yeah I use Pinny too and have never had a problem... don't know what kind of funds you're dealing with though, but no need to explain yourself.

Good luck tonight, I'm on Boston and Montreal as well.

[HoldinMygroin]

1-1 and -0.78 units

122-99-10
ROI: 115.37%
+62.39 Units

[HoldinMygroin]

New to the thread, but from everything I've heard pinnacle is the #1 most trustworthy book.

Okey, thanks for answering. Was just worried that maybe they are one of those books that complicate thing when you withdraw a bigger amount of money.

[HoldinMygroin]

Nice to see ya back buddy... yeah I use Pinny too and have never had a problem... don't know what kind of funds you're dealing with though, but no need to explain yourself.

Good luck tonight, I'm on Boston and Montreal as well.

Didn't catch the game, but looking at highlights seems like Philly had everything under control. But man when they made it 2-1 I was hoping for another goal in the last minute. That would have been a great turnaround. On to tonight

[Ser Pucks]

Didn't even see the highlights.... I really should stop betting on Philly games, they are very unpredictable... show up some nights, get their ass kicked on others. Very Jekyl and Hyde. Sorry, I shoulda let you know I was on PHX as well... didn't look too bad of a spot for them after NYI upset SJ. I almost took SJ -1 last night as well as it was like +105 or something. Oh well. On to tonight. Kinda leaning the square favs but we'll see.

[HoldinMygroin]

I really should stop betting on Philly games, they are very unpredictable... show up some nights, get their ass kicked on others. Very Jekyl and Hyde.

Spot on. They are to you what Devils are to me. Can't get a handle on them aswell. Boy do they miss Kovalchuk & Parise.

[imarkp]

live in philly area so know what you mean. every time I think fly boys are going to make a move they take a step back. they changed top line last night and got both gls.... don't give up many gls with mason in net... need lecavalier in line up (9gls in 22 gms) and more scoring. only giroux's 6th last night. until vinny comes back won't bet them.

[HoldinMygroin]

122-99-10
ROI: 115.37%
+62.39 Units

Tonights Plays:
Panthers vs Capitals = Capitals ML bet 3 units (Got this one last night, at a better price)
Panthers vs Capitals = Capitals ML bet 1 unit
Panthers vs Capitals = Capitals TT O2.5 bet 3 units
Canucks vs Oilers = Under 5.5 bet 3 units
Canucks vs Oilers = Canucks in regulation bet 2 units
Penguins vs Devils = Penguins in regulation bet 2 units

I placed a 3 unit bet on Capitals last night. And now I just saw that Clemmensen is starting and that means = go BIG on Capitals, so I placed another 1 unit bet on them and a 3 unit bet on the Team Total. A total of 7 units on Caps, almost a max play.

[mrginandtonic]

GL HMG, Im on the CAP tonight as well.

I know you are on PIT, but the line has been moving against them, what do you make of that?? I have my own little system that is based on lines and line movements. And NJD seems to fit my system well tonight. Is there an injury or some sort that makes the line move??

[HoldinMygroin]

GL HMG, Im on the CAP tonight as well.

I know you are on PIT, but the line has been moving against them, what do you make of that?? I have my own little system that is based on lines and line movements. And NJD seems to fit my system well tonight. Is there an injury or some sort that makes the line move??

Lets hope for an Ovechkin hat trick .
On what book? Because on Pinnacle the line has dropped. its -119 (1.84) and I got it at -114 (1.87). Just made some quick research on a few websites and it doesn't seem to be any last minute changes. So I'm not really sure why the lines at your book have moved against them. The goalkeepers are the same as predicted. How has your system been going? GL tonight

[mrginandtonic]

I'm referring the line of NJD/PIT. Tks