SBR 128 Man Round 1: UntilTheNDofTimE vs andrewaxia

[SBR Lou]

All plays MUST be used from the Daily Lines Thread located in this subforum. It is "stickied" at the very top of the thread list.

• All plays will be graded as 'to win' one unit.
• There are no maximums on plays made per day. However, you must make from 8-10 picks for Round One. If you make less than 8 picks, one unit will be subtracted from your record for every missing one.
• If your opponent picks the side of a game, you may not pick the same side OR the opposite side. You may, however, pick the total.
• Lines will be posted overnight and the following morning up to 11AM EST. No further additions will be made.
• Past-posted plays will not count.

For a complete list of rules and regulations, please refer to the Official 128 Man Registration Thread.

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

1)San Antonio +1
2)Orlando Magic -6.5

[andrewaxia]

Best of luck...

1) New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 217 -105

[andrewaxia]

Saturday Football
2- Texas -3.5 (-104)
3- Michigan St -5.5 (-102)
4- Boston College -3.5 (-101)
5- Notre Dame -4.5 (-103)

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

3) celtics -6
4)Mavericks -4.5
5) suns/blazers over 192.5

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

Nfl
6)eagles -6.5

[andrewaxia]

6- Ravens +1 (+1080
7- Cardinals/Rams OVER 48.5 (-111)
8- Jets/Bills OVER 41.5 (-110)

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

7) Denver broncos -3.5 -110

[andrewaxia]

9- Packers +4.5 (-113)

[SBRforum Staff]

untiltheendoftime 2-2-1, -0.04
andrewaxia 1-4, -3.10

[andrewaxia]

10th and final play

Pittsburgh Steelers +1 +123

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

over 44 ne/indy

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

got that pick in 1 minute too early so im at 3-4-1 your 4-5 this is going to be 1 close call,

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

by my calculations since your possible win is a +123 and i cant take a higher +ev dog i either need to go 2-0 or not pick at all and hope you loose, hmmmmm great picking today andrea

[andrewaxia]

Yea I kicked myself in the butt yesterday with college football. I'm beating myself up over two things...1 not picking the Cards instead of the over and 2) not picking the Pats which would have put me in a great position. Decides to go with the Steelers since they had the bigger juice.

By my calculation we are both even at -1.19 units. If I win Monday then you must go 2-0, unless you have confidence in the Skins and don't make a play hoping I lose :-) But yea, I think it's safe to say you need to make 2 picks or 0 picks

Best of luck

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

can u explain to me your math , im not saying its wrong id jsut like to no how you clacualte it. sbr says im -0.04

today i went 1-2 the win wins 1 unit so the juice is kinda obsolete

my 2 losses were -102 and -110 totaling -2.12 and then taking away 1 for the win.
making me -1.12 on the day making me overal -1.16. i got you at -1.13 how are you doing it?

[andrewaxia]

I'm wrong. I misread that each wager is to win 1 unit. I thought it's a standard one unit bet, so if you bet on a -102 you would bet 1 to win .98 that's how my math was off.

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

so after doing it a few times i got you at -1.21( you won 3 units today and lost 1.11 units giving you + 1.89 off of the -3.10) and me -1.16(as stated above) but the numbers dont matter what you said above in your post about staying put or 2-0 is all that matters gonna be a tuff decision for me

[SBR Lou]

untiltheendoftime 3-4-1, -1.16
andrewaxia 4-5, -1.13

Plays are to win one unit on a favorite, risk 1 unit on a dog.

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

ok cool so i had it right the first time

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

for what its worth my picks in nba would of been Det -6 and gs -1 so looks like i made the right decision so far, lets go redskins

[andrewaxia]

Game set match point! Nice hard fought matchup.

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

congrats! those late comebacks by balt and packers killed me but hey i cant root for losses i had to win myself, good luck in the next round

[SBR Lou]

untiltheendoftime 3-4-1, -1.16
andrewaxia 5-5, +0.1

Congrats Andrew.