Round 2 ~ shoebox vs Brandon Laz ~

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  • Dexter
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-24-08
    • 25829

    #1
    Round 2 ~ shoebox vs Brandon Laz ~
    OK Guys - continue to send back your confirmations to me. Here are the rules myself and suicideking have come up with. Lets all do well, as i've tried to construct this towards the weighted gambling approach that i love to use. With the rules in place, these plays should mirror what you are actually wagering each day. Win or lose, this contest should teach you all about the beauty of weighted gambling with sound money management (no chasing)
    • Each player will have a starting bankroll of 60 units, and you must make a minimum of 50 plays for the round (no max). however, each day you can only play 15% of your starting bankroll for the day. ie, if you have 30 units going into a day, you may only wager 4.5 units for that day which can be broken up however you choose. This will eliminate chasing, and will hopefully help us all use better proper money management techniques for our real world wagers.<o></o>>
    • ****Since we have no official score keeper, it is up to you to keep track of your record AND your opponents. This will be our only obstacle for having a clean tourney, so pay attention to the following rules. Each day, both of the participants should be noting the results of the prior day, along with the net total bankroll (do it for your opponent as well so you have an extra pair of eyes). If its noticed that the results/lines etc from past days are incorrect, they can obviously should corrected at any time. However that will not have an affect on any units bet on games after that (the 15% daily limit). If the results from the prior day are posted correctly, however a player goes over the 15% limit for the day, the opponent (or any other sbr member) has until the next days first pitch to report the error. If reported in time, ALL BETS made that day are cancelled for the person who broke the 15% rule.<o></o>
    • all lines will be the opening consensus from sbr (far left), and plays must be posted 5 minutes before the start time of the first day game/night game (anything before 6:00 eastern is considered a day game) ie, if the first game is at 1:05 eastern, the plays for all afternoon games must be posted by NO LATER then 1pm. Night games will be considered anything that starts at 6pm eastern and forward. So for a normal night with 7:05 first pitch, those plays for all night game (including west coast) must be in by 7:00. a lot can happen in the first few at bats, so make sure these picks are in on time.<o></o>
    • all bets must be for the full game and can consist of moneyline, runlines or totals. No reverse run lines.<o></o>
    • we will be betting the team, not the pitcher - so a late scratch of the pitcher stands unless you cancel the bet prior to first pitch (here you can cancel a west coast game if your pitcher is scratched)<o></o>
    • no posts can be edited<o></o>
    • ML = moneyline - RL = run line. When betting a total, make sure you assign the proper money line per SBR. On the totals, over/under section – you will see a total mentioned with a 2 moneylines next to it. The top moneyline is if you take the over, the bottom is if you take the under.<o></o>
    • If there happens to be a tie after 6/11 has concluded. Each player will have to make 5 picks on 6/12, all for 1 unit each. If that doesn’t end the tie, then the same thing the next day, and so on.<o></o>

    *once you are down to 0 units, you have lost the match.<o></o><o></o>
    additionally, the 15% rule pertains to just your units bet for that day - meaning its not based on *potential* returns (from underdogs) or *potential* losses from favorites.
    ie....you have 9 units to bet today.

    4x mets -200
    2x giants -150
    3x cards +180
    <!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]-->
    <!--[endif]-->*note how im not factoring the line into my 9 units allowed for the day. hope thats clear.
    <o></o>
    Added Rule - if a game is called for rain (but if *official* after 5 inn) we will only count the side and not the total. the total is a push regardless if you're over got there, or if you're under lost.

    So based on 30 days per round, plus one tiebreak day, the start/end dates for the rounds are:

    Rd 2: June 11 - July 10, July 11 tiebreaker
    July 12 - August 10, August 11 tiebreaker
    August 12 - September 10, September 11 tiebreaker
  • BrandonLaz
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-18-08
    • 855

    #2
    Good Luck shoe I will start posting my plays tomorrow
    Comment
    • BrandonLaz
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-18-08
      • 855

      #3
      06/14/09 Plays

      NY Mets (+100) = 3u
      Detroit Tigers (-101) = 2u
      St. Louis Cardinals vs Cleveland Indians u7.5 (-129) = 1u
      Comment
      • BrandonLaz
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-18-08
        • 855

        #4
        06/14/09 Plays

        NY Mets (+100) = LOSS = -3.00
        Detroit Tigers (-101) = LOSS = -2.02

        St. Louis Cardinals vs Cleveland Indians u7.5 (-129) = WON = +1.00

        Day Results = 1-2 = -4.02
        Contest Total = 1-2 = -4.02
        Total Bankroll = 53.98
        Comment
        • BrandonLaz
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-18-08
          • 855

          #5
          06/15/09 Plays

          Milwaukee Brewers (+101) = 2u
          Los Angeles Angels (-115) = 2u
          Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Indians Under 9.5 (-112) = 2u
          Los Angeles Angels vs San Fransisco Giants Under 8.5 (-114) = 2u
          Comment
          • shoebox
            Restricted User
            • 11-26-08
            • 5710

            #6
            6/15/09

            angels 5 units -115
            angels giants under 8.5 -114 4 units

            gl Brandon
            Comment
            • shoebox
              Restricted User
              • 11-26-08
              • 5710

              #7
              bank 60.44
              Comment
              • BrandonLaz
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-18-08
                • 855

                #8
                06/15/09 Results

                Milwaukee Brewers (+101) = WON = +2.02
                Los Angeles Angels (-115) = WON = +2.30
                Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Indians Under 9.5 (-112) = LOSS = -2.24
                Los Angeles Angels vs San Fransisco Giants Under 8.5 (-114) = LOSS = -2.28


                Day Results = 2-2 = -0.20
                Contest Total = 3-4 = -4.22
                Total Bankroll = 55.78


                06/16/09 Plays

                PLAY OF THE DAY = Detroit Tigers RL -1.5 +147 = 2u
                Seattle Mariners RL -1.5 +123 = 2u
                NY Mets +112 = 2u
                Chicago Cubs -155 = 2u

                Cincinnati Reds +115 = 2u
                Comment
                • BrandonLaz
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-18-08
                  • 855

                  #9
                  Thats what I get for the PLAY OF THE DAY comment. Stupid I knew I shouldn't have said that I jinxd myself dangit.

                  06/16/09 Plays


                  PLAY OF THE DAY = Detroit Tigers RL -1.5 +147 = LOSS = -2.00
                  Seattle Mariners RL -1.5 +123 = WON = +2.46
                  NY Mets +112 = WON = +2.24
                  Chicago Cubs -155 =
                  POSTPONED
                  Cincinnati Reds +115 = WON = +2.30

                  Day Results = 3-1 = +5.00
                  Contest Total = 6-5 = +.78
                  Total Bankroll = 60.78
                  Comment
                  • BrandonLaz
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-18-08
                    • 855

                    #10
                    06/17/09 Plays

                    Detroit Tigers -120 = 2u
                    NY Mets +120 = 2u
                    Kansas City RL +135 = 2u
                    Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals u7.5 (-110) = 2u
                    Boston Red Sox RL +120 = 2u
                    Comment
                    • shoebox
                      Restricted User
                      • 11-26-08
                      • 5710

                      #11
                      buccos +145 2u
                      braves -135 2 u
                      kc rl +135 2u
                      wash/yanks over 11 2u -120

                      Comment
                      • BrandonLaz
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-18-08
                        • 855

                        #12
                        06/17/09 Results

                        Detroit Tigers -120 = LOSS = -2.40
                        NY Mets +120 = LOSS = -2.00
                        Kansas City RL +135 = -2.00
                        Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals u7.5 (-110) = -2.20

                        Boston Red Sox RL +120 = WON = +2.40

                        Day Results = 1-4 = -6.20
                        Contest Total = 7-9 = -5.42
                        Total Bankroll = 54.58


                        06/17/09 Plays

                        NY Mets vs Baltimore Orioles o10.5 (-120) = 2u
                        Colorado Rockies (-115) = 2u
                        NY Mets (-115) = 2u
                        Chicago White Sox (+140) = 2u
                        Detroit Tigers (-105) = 2u
                        Comment
                        • shoebox
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-26-08
                          • 5710

                          #13
                          July 18
                          Mets ml -115 2u
                          Kc ml +110 2u
                          Det ml -105 2u
                          Comment
                          • shoebox
                            Restricted User
                            • 11-26-08
                            • 5710

                            #14
                            June 18 correction
                            Comment
                            • BrandonLaz
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-18-08
                              • 855

                              #15
                              06/18/09 Plays

                              Tampa Bay Rays vs NY Mets o9.5 (-105) = 2u
                              NY Mets (-130) = 2u
                              Chicago White Sox (-110) = 2u
                              St. Louis Cardinals (-115) = 2u
                              Florida Marlins (+130) = 2u
                              Comment
                              • shoebox
                                Restricted User
                                • 11-26-08
                                • 5710

                                #16
                                bank 53.94

                                8 un available
                                Comment
                                • shoebox
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-26-08
                                  • 5710

                                  #17
                                  June 19th

                                  KC -105 8 units


                                  Comment
                                  • BrandonLaz
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-18-08
                                    • 855

                                    #18
                                    06/20/09 Plays

                                    Chicago Cubs RL (+125) = 2u
                                    St. Louis Cardinals RL (+105) = 2u
                                    Detroit Tigers (-115) = 2u
                                    Comment
                                    • BrandonLaz
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-18-08
                                      • 855

                                      #19
                                      06/18/09 Results

                                      NY Mets vs Baltimore Orioles o10.5 (-120) = LOSS = -2.40
                                      Colorado Rockies (-115) = WON = +2.00
                                      NY Mets (-115) = LOSS = -2.30
                                      Chicago White Sox (+140) = LOSS = -2.00
                                      Detroit Tigers (-105) = WON = +2.00

                                      Day Results = 2-3 = -2.70
                                      Contest Total = 9-12 = -8.12
                                      Total Bankroll = 51.88

                                      06/19/09 Results

                                      Tampa Bay Rays vs NY Mets o9.5 (-105) = LOSS = -2.10
                                      NY Mets (-130) = WON = +2.00
                                      Chicago White Sox (-110) = LOSS = -2.20
                                      St. Louis Cardinals (-115) = WON = +2.00
                                      Florida Marlins (+130) = LOSS = -2.00


                                      Day Results = 2-3 = -2.30
                                      Contest Total = 11-15 = -10.42
                                      Total Bankroll = 49.58
                                      Comment
                                      • shoebox
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-26-08
                                        • 5710

                                        #20
                                        bank 45.54
                                        7 un available
                                        Comment
                                        • shoebox
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 11-26-08
                                          • 5710

                                          #21
                                          June 21

                                          buccos +125 3 un
                                          reds RL +170 2 un
                                          braves +120 2 un
                                          Comment
                                          • BrandonLaz
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-18-08
                                            • 855

                                            #22
                                            06/20/09 Plays

                                            Chicago Cubs RL (+125) = LOSS = -2.00
                                            St. Louis Cardinals RL (+105) = WON = +2.10
                                            Detroit Tigers (-115) = WON = +2.00


                                            Day Results = 2-1 = +2.10
                                            Contest Total = 13-16 = -8.32
                                            Total Bankroll = 51.68


                                            06/22/09 Plays

                                            Chicago Cubs (+117) = 2u
                                            Colorado Rockies (+115) = 2u
                                            Oakland Athletics RL -1.5 (+145)= 2u
                                            Comment
                                            • shoebox
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 11-26-08
                                              • 5710

                                              #23
                                              bank 38.54

                                              rockies 3u +115
                                              A's RL +145 3u
                                              Comment
                                              • BrandonLaz
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-18-08
                                                • 855

                                                #24
                                                06/22/09 Results

                                                Chicago Cubs (+117) = LOSS = -2.00
                                                Colorado Rockies (+115) = WON = +2.30
                                                Oakland Athletics RL -1.5 (+145)= WON = +2.90

                                                Day Results = 2-1 = +3.20
                                                Contest Total = 15-17 = -5.12
                                                Total Bankroll = 54.88
                                                Comment
                                                • BrandonLaz
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-18-08
                                                  • 855

                                                  #25
                                                  06/23/09 Plays

                                                  Kansas City Royals RL (+125) = 2u
                                                  Detroit Tigers (-135) = 2u
                                                  Baltimore Orioles (-105) = 2u
                                                  Comment
                                                  • shoebox
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 11-26-08
                                                    • 5710

                                                    #26
                                                    Bank 46.34
                                                    Comment
                                                    • shoebox
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 11-26-08
                                                      • 5710

                                                      #27
                                                      Twins -110 7 units....
                                                      Comment
                                                      • shoebox
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-26-08
                                                        • 5710

                                                        #28
                                                        bank 53.34
                                                        Comment
                                                        • shoebox
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-26-08
                                                          • 5710

                                                          #29
                                                          June 25

                                                          pirates RL +155 3 un
                                                          hou RL +130 3 un
                                                          yankees RL +130 2 un
                                                          Comment
                                                          • shoebox
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 11-26-08
                                                            • 5710

                                                            #30
                                                            Bank 57.59
                                                            Comment
                                                            • shoebox
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 11-26-08
                                                              • 5710

                                                              #31
                                                              June 25
                                                              Indians -150 2 units
                                                              CLE/PIT Under 8.5 -110 2 units
                                                              YANKS/BRAVES Under 8.5 -115 2 units
                                                              Nats -105 2 units
                                                              Comment
                                                              • shoebox
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 11-26-08
                                                                • 5710

                                                                #32
                                                                bank 56.29
                                                                Comment
                                                                • shoebox
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-26-08
                                                                  • 5710

                                                                  #33
                                                                  June 26

                                                                  cubs +100 3 units
                                                                  reds -105 3 units
                                                                  Marlins +115 2 units
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • shoebox
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 11-26-08
                                                                    • 5710

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Bank 54.14
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • shoebox
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 11-26-08
                                                                      • 5710

                                                                      #35
                                                                      June 27

                                                                      Phillly 8 units
                                                                      Comment
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