64 Man Final 4: aca vs. SamsNCharge99

[VegasDave]

Rules

• One entry per household. No exceptions.
• MLB, NBA, and NHL: moneylines, sides, and totals. There will be a -300/+300 cap on each wager. Dogs that are priced higher than +300 will be offered at +300. Favorites priced higher than -300 will not be on the board.
• Picks are 'to win' one unit on favorites, 'risk one' on dogs.
• Contestants must use the plays listed in the Daily Lines thread. Lines for MLB, NBA, and NHL will be posted overnight and the day of game day up to 7PM EST.
• Once you make a pick in your head-to-head match up thread, it is official and cannot be canceled under any circumstance, no exceptions will be made.
• You may pick the opposite selection to your opponent (to fade them), but you may not pick the exact same side or total*. You may also not pick both sides to the same game to minimize losses to juice. *This includes RL and ML, you CAN NOT bet an RL or ML if your opponent is already on that side.
• Any past posted plays will NOT be counted. If the scheduled start time per the Daily Lines thread is 7:30, any plays at 7:31 will be disregarded. Plays at 7:30 will stand. All times listed in the Daily Lines thread are EST.
• The Handicapping Contests subforum automatically prevents any user from 'editing' posts, but in the event of a rare software glitch, any picks posts that are edited will incur a 1.50 unit penalty and count as a loss on their record.
• In the event of a cancellation due to act of God, weather, or other forfeiture, your play will be graded as a push. This push will count towards your minimum requirement but not your maximum. In other words, you will have the option of making another play, but you will not be penalized. Please note that this stipulation only applies to pushes based on event cancellation; ordinary pushes on sides and totals WILL count towards your maximum allowed.

Round Structure

• All rounds will run from Tuesday to Sunday.
• All rounds will have a minimum 8 picks, maximum 12.
• If you make less than the minimum amount of 8, one unit will be subtracted from your record for each missing pick. If you make over the max of 12, excess plays will be no actioned without a unit penalty.

[SamsNCharge99]

Good Luck ACA

Pick #1
Minn. Twins ML (-167)

Pick #2
Toronto Blue Jays ML (-163)

[SamsNCharge99]

OK, I am editing 1 of my plays and adding one....so here they are again

Play #1 (edit from 1st post)
Minn. Twins -1.5 (+110)

Pick #2
Toronto Blue Jays ML (-163)

Pick #3
SF Giants ML (-146)

[MexicanStallion]

The rules say that you cannot cancel your plays, so now you have four plays going for today.

[VegasDave]

Sorry Sammy, Mex is right...

"Once you make a pick in your head-to-head match up thread, it is official and cannot be canceled under any circumstance, no exceptions will be made."

[diogee]

Good luck guys.

[SamsNCharge99]

sorry about the mistake, but it's looking like it will work out good

[MexicanStallion]

Results:

Sammy: 2-2 (-0.46)
aca:

[SamsNCharge99]

Today, I picked Twins ML and Blue Jays ML, I then added 2 more plays which both lost, both in the 8th inning when they were looking good. Instead of going 2-0 (+2 units) I ended 2-2 (-0.46 units). This may fukk me in the end. FML

[onthewhat]

Shouldn't Sammy's Minnesota runline play not count? Minnesota RL and ML are coorelated plays...

He played the moneyline first therefore the runline play should not count.

[MexicanStallion]

Shouldn't Sammy's Minnesota runline play not count? Minnesota RL and ML are coorelated plays...

He played the moneyline first therefore the runline play should not count.

As far as I know, you are allowed playing RL and ML If you want to. I don't see where it wouldn't be allowed in the rules.

[VegasDave]

Shouldn't Sammy's Minnesota runline play not count? Minnesota RL and ML are coorelated plays...

He played the moneyline first therefore the runline play should not count.

It is not like a coorelated parlay where obviously if the RL hits the ML hits so you get the increased payout for free...

Go to any book and they will gladly take action if you want to bet both the ML and the runline/spread separately.

These are two individual bets, so their correlation isn't relevant.

[aca]

#1 903 San Francisco Giants O: 8 ½ -115

#2 918 Detroit Tigers U: 9 +100

#3 925 Cleveland Indians O: 8 ½ +102

#4 928 Chicago White Sox U: 8 ½ +100


Best of Luck Sams!

[MexicanStallion]

Results:

aca: 2-1-1 (+1.02) *option min/max*
Sammy: 2-2 (-0.46)

[SamsNCharge99]

Hey Dave, does ACA's play for Giants UNDER count because the game will be played this afternoon???

If so, let me know before that game, I may play the opposite side.

[Chi_archie]

it won't sammy....

[MexicanStallion]

Hey Dave, does ACA's play for Giants UNDER count because the game will be played this afternoon???

If so, let me know before that game, I may play the opposite side.

Aca took the over, and no it won't count unless he lists the play again for today

[SamsNCharge99]

Pick #5
Boston Red Sox ML (-123)

Pick #6
C. White Sox -1.5 (+120)

[SamsNCharge99]

Pick #7
TBay Rays -1.5 (+125)

Pick #8
SF Giants/Nationals UNDER 8.5 GM 1 (+100)

[SamsNCharge99]

Pick #9
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+120)

Pick #10
LALakers ML (-285)

[SamsNCharge99]

I tried something different this week and it's not working out. I made some mistakes in my picks especially on Tuesday night which could kill me.

And again today, I tried something in hopes of putting pressure on ACA. I picked RL instead of ML which I originally intended to on Rays and if I did that, my strategy would have worked better, but luckily, I'm still not in bad shape.....(assuming Lakers don't blow 1st half lead)

If I'm correct, I should be
6-4 (+1.54 units) after tonight (w/ Lakers winning) and I will be leading by a half unit. he still needs to make at least 5 plays and I still have 2 for insuracne.

I at least took the lead...could have been a lot better, up to maybe 3-4 or even +5 units, but I'll take +1.54.

Well I'm done until Sunday and even Sunday, I'll be in Turning Stone...(Casino)....so ACA...good luck to you sir. The final 4 is your hands.

[MexicanStallion]

Results:

Sammy: 6-4 (+1.74)
aca: 2-1-1 (+1.02) *option min/max*

You had the Cards RL instead of ML, so I think that is where your units are off Sammy.

[aca]

#5 918 Detroit Tigers U: 8 ½ -115

#6 924 Toronto Blue Jays U: 7 ½ -110

[aca]

#7 910 Houston Astros U: 9 +100

#8 914 San Diego Padres U: 7 ½ -110

[MexicanStallion]

Results:

Sammy: 6-4 (+1.74)
aca: 3-4-1 (-1.18) *option min/max*

[Chi_archie]

should be an interesting closing day... good luck sammy and ACA

[aca]

#9 911 Arizona Diamondbacks O: 7 -115

#10 929 Minnesota Twins O: 7 -115

[aca]

#11 914 Florida Marlins U: 7 ½ -110

[Chi_archie]

is this gonna come down to a magic ML bomb attempt?????


I'm on Sammy here....

[Chi_archie]

KROW OD, samuel

[aca]

#13 703 Orlando Magic +6 ½ -110

#12 915 Philadelphia Phillies +108

[SamsNCharge99]

ok, after doing a lot of math and 20 million scenarios, I need to make this play out of defense of what could happen.

Pick #11
Dodgers ML (-118)

[SamsNCharge99]

wow, ACA if you hit your last 3 plays you would have +1.75 units, so I needed to make a play.

But, 1 loss and you lose. Even if you hit Philies and I lose Dodgers. 1 loss and you lose.

great round ACA and congrats on making it to final 4. It's coming down to final games.

Good Luck man and good luck in finals if you win

[losturmarbles]

sam, you shouldve played a total if you were going to make a play,

if the phillies win, youre probably dead.

[aca]

Thanks and the best of luck in finals!