Discrepancy in Soccer Betting Probablilities

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  • waealu
    SBR Rookie
    • 12-07-11
    • 2

    #1
    Discrepancy in Soccer Betting Probablilities
    In decimal soccer odds, the probability of success is 1/(decimal odds).

    For example, in a game on 12/10/11, Sportsbook.com has the money line for a game:
    Southampton (1.60)
    Blackpool (5.75)
    Tie (3.50)

    Using the first equation, the probabilities of each success is as follows:
    Southampton 62.5%
    Blackpool 17.4%
    Tie 28.6%

    However, the summation of these probabilities is 108.5% Why is the summation of the probabilities more than 100%? Are my calculations correct or else, what causes this discrepancy?

    Thank you.
  • buby74
    SBR Hustler
    • 06-08-10
    • 92

    #2
    Welcome to the think tank you have just learned how bookies make their money
    Comment
    • WDR
      SBR Hustler
      • 09-21-10
      • 88

      #3
      108.5% is not bad, i have seen worse
      Comment
      • wrongturn
        SBR MVP
        • 06-06-06
        • 2228

        #4
        Originally posted by waealu
        In decimal soccer odds, the probability of success is 1/(decimal odds).

        For example, in a game on 12/10/11, Sportsbook.com has the money line for a game:
        Southampton (1.60)
        Blackpool (5.75)
        Tie (3.50)

        Using the first equation, the probabilities of each success is as follows:
        Southampton 62.5%
        Blackpool 17.4%
        Tie 28.6%

        However, the summation of these probabilities is 108.5% Why is the summation of the probabilities more than 100%? Are my calculations correct or else, what causes this discrepancy?

        Thank you.
        It is same reason that it gives us -110 (US odds) on each side of every bet. You add them up it is more than 100%. Shocking!
        Comment
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