Pitt -win
cal - win
cal - win
-
Comment -
Stanford also should be added to the watch list.... Lines moving towards 7. 7.5 at a lot of offshores right now.Comment -
Thank you mattyheisman for helping out, you are correct with the Cal game, as that line opened at 17.5 and closed at 17 --- No play there. However, 5Dimes, Heritage, and Pinny all had the Pitt game open at 11.5 and close at 10. For a home team, that 1.5 is enough to make it a play, which i stated in post 34.
Here is the list I put together. Let me know if you see any mistakes
SMU +10.5 (H) - L
Pitt +10 (H) - W
Kansas +19 (missed this play in the noon batch of games) (H) - W
ECU +7 (had 40% on their side) (A) - W
Arizona State +4 (A) - Push
Troy +14.5 (H) - W
That makes it 4-1-1 on the day, with 3 home wins, 1 home loss, and an away win. Home wins worth 1.25, aways are worth 1, home losses -1.375, aways are -1.1
+ 3.75 - 1.375 + 1 = +3.375
Note: these are only from the data collected before the 3:30 games. Any late line moves for night games were probably missed, so please point them out if you think you saw something.Comment -
<table border="1" bordercolor="#FFCC00" style="background-color:#FFFFCC"> <tr> <td>Week</td> <td>Record</td> <td>Units</td> </tr>
<tr><td>Week 1</td> <td>2-0-0</td> <td>+2.0u</td></tr>
<tr><td>Week 2</td> <td>3-0-4</td> <td>-1.4u</td></tr>
<tr><td>Week 3</td> <td>4-1-1</td> <td>+3.375</td></tr>
<tr><td>YTD</td> <td>9-1-5</td> <td>+3.975u</td></tr> </table>Comment -
Week 3 turned out to be very solid. From my data, there have been very few consecutive losing weeks in the past.
Virginia Tech is looking like an early play for Saturday.Comment -
only play shaping up during the week is UL Monroe Friday night.Comment -
just saw this thread.
good stuff hoosier... always like seeing some rlm when im on a play
are you doing nfl too?Comment -
it's One of my favorite things to look at, especially in NCAAF. I'm playing situational NFL RLM, but am not tracking. Already doubting my ability to keep track of each and every college game as I'm usually out on saturdays, so don't want to fail at sunday's on top of thatComment -
Gotcha yeah its especially tough with over 50 games on most sundays... easier to attempt to track on Sunday games.. need to start doing rlm for nflComment -
BYU would be a play at +5 tonight, but current line is at +6.5, so doubt it gets there.
Baylor v UL Monroe doesn't look close to RLM either.Comment -
Lots of games potential games. These numbers are the spreads that are 1.5 or 2 points from the opener. If you can find a spread more negative (aka, UAB +34, +31, etc), then it is a play; anything less negative and it's not a play
UAB 35.5 (will only play if it crosses 35 per rules in post #1)
Maryland 26
Massachusetts 24.5
Kentucky 23
Western Michigan -0.5
Oregon State 9.5
Colorado State 12.5
Akron 32.5 (again, will probably not play as line is too high without crossing a significant #)
Oklahoma -15Comment -
UMass +24 for 1uComment -
Kentucky +23 for 1uComment -
UAB doesn't look like it will cross 35, no playComment -
No play on Maryland, late line movement is pushing it in wrong directionComment -
I believe Florida International +10.5 was a play for 1.25u.
Anyone else believe there were other plays?Comment -
<table border="1" bordercolor="#FFCC00" style="background-color:#FFFFCC"> <tr> <td>Week</td> <td>Record</td> <td>Units</td> </tr>
<tr><td>Week 1</td> <td>2-0-0</td> <td>+2.0u</td></tr>
<tr><td>Week 2</td> <td>3-0-4</td> <td>-1.4u</td></tr>
<tr><td>Week 3</td> <td>4-1-1</td> <td>+3.375</td></tr>
<tr><td>Week 4</td> <td>4-0-1</td> <td>+3.4</td></tr>
<tr><td>YTD</td> <td>13-1-6</td> <td>+7.375u</td></tr> </table>Comment -
Neither the Thursday nor Friday game has anything close to RLM at the moment. Will update on gamedayComment -
Washington saw some resistance at 6.5 and moved back to 7. Need to check laterComment -
Hoosier - tell me if you're seeing what I'm see thus far for Saturday:
Baylor - went from +12.5 to +11 with 70% on WVU
Boston College - went from +10 to +7.5 with 73% on Clemson
Wisconsin - went from +13 to +11 with 70% on Nebraska
Another to watch is Mississippi which has gone from +31 to either +30 or +29.5 with 70% on Alabama.Comment -
That's what it would appear.Well scratch that. You don't really have anyway of knowing, I guess. You just know that the line is moving the opposite what of what you would expect.Comment -
What's up with UTSA-N. Mex st????Sat 8pm.looks like 6pt movement???Comment -
Think the boston college line drop just has to do with sammy watkins has just been declared out for the game, not sure when/how line moved, also in wisconsin wasnt montee ball just cleared to play.....certain instances like these I find it hard to justify it towards a RLM system such as this, or atleast line movement attributed to injuries should atleast be notedComment -
Injuries to key players are definitely a huge factor for what looks like 'RLM'. Personally, I avoid these games should I know about an injury, so thank you for bringing these up.
For the record, Wisconsin and Boston College will not be I will RLM plays due to the injury news that smut has providedComment -
Where did you say you are getting your public % numbers from? I see 50/50 on Indiana and Texas State through my SportsOptions subscription. But you are right about SMU and Colorado.Comment -
I get my data from SportsInsightsComment -
going to need some help today as i'm leaving for a wedding in a little over an hour if anyone is interested.Comment -
Here's what I see this morning. May have time for 1 more update.
Buffalo if it gets to +16
Indiana
Baylor if it gets to +10.5
Nc state if it gets to +1.5
Texas State
South Alabama at 8
SMU
Colorado if it gets to +19
Good luck today everyone.Comment -
thanks hoosier, love it when your RLM system is in agreeance with one of my bets, and Ive learned to always hedge if its on the other sideComment
