Subscribed and tailing
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New Mexico appears to be a play; two sites showing 60+ on Boise.Comment -
Hope everyone had a profitable morning. Here's what I have for early games.
Middle Tennessee State +24.5 (A) - W : +1
Texas State +18 (H) - W : +1.25
BC was previously mentioned as a no play due to major injuries probably causing line movement
South Alabama +7.5 (H) - L : -1.375
Colorado +17.5 (H) - in play
SMU +13.5 (H) - in play
I believe that is everything. San Diego State needs to get down to +6 to be a play, so it doesn't look like there will be anything else tonight.Comment -
SPortsinsights is showing 44% on New Mexico and SBR is at 54%. This was not a play. Mind if I ask wehre you saw 60% on boise?Originally posted by trendonComment -
Covers and freesportsbetComment -
Interesting... Ya, I'm going to use Sportsinsights as my main source for recordkeeping purposes as that is the source that has been successful in the past. Feel free to continue stopping by and updating us with possible games! From other sites and feel free to track other sites In this thread as well if you're up for itOriginally posted by trendonComment -
Did you play Indiana?Comment -
IU ended up moving 1.5 points from +11 to +12.5 from the time I posted to game time, so it ended up not being a play. I know it's hard to always get online to place bets just before gametime, but that's the best way to be sure you get true RLM (as opposed to placing wagers at 9am).Originally posted by geauxtac1911Comment -
Week 5
Middle Tennessee State +24.5 (A) - W : +1
Texas State +18 (H) - W : +1.25
South Alabama +7.5 (H) - L : -1.375
Colorado +17.5 (H) - L : -1.375
SMU +13.5 (H) - W : +1.25
3-2 +0.75uComment -
<table border="1" bordercolor="#FFCC00" style="background-color:#FFFFCC"> <tr> <td>Week</td> <td>Record</td> <td>Units</td> </tr>
<tr><td>Week 1</td> <td>2-0-0</td> <td>+2.0u</td></tr>
<tr><td>Week 2</td> <td>3-0-4</td> <td>-1.4u</td></tr>
<tr><td>Week 3</td> <td>4-1-1</td> <td>+3.375</td></tr>
<tr><td>Week 4</td> <td>4-0-1</td> <td>+3.4</td></tr>
<tr><td>Week 5</td> <td>3-0-2</td> <td>+0.75</td></tr>
<tr><td>YTD</td> <td>16-1-</td> <td>+8.125u</td></tr> </table>Comment -
ECU has moved 0.5 points so far with 45% and the rest of the games are going the other direction. Doesn't look like there will be any midweek actionComment -
are you saying in that graph that RLM is 16-1 on the year?Comment -
its a type-o, its 16-1-8, but for some reason he has pushes in the middle instead of at the end....so in actuality its 16-8-1Comment -
Was in fact a typo. RLM is 16-8 with 1 push. I put a key in the table, so hopefully this isn't confusing for others. wins-pushes-losses.Originally posted by EXhoosier10Comment -
ECU moved a lot today, but betting is 50/50. CHeck back on SaturdayComment -
I see 3 games for tomorrow with another 4 or 5 on the cusp. Check back in the morning and I'll post what I seeComment -
Navy, right?Comment -
Navy at +8 will be a play, correct, trendon. I'll be waiting until a bit closer to gametime to see last minute movement before it is officialComment -
Bold teams are currently plays. Non-bolded still need more movement or are not quite under or equal to 40%
11:30
Navy (crossover point is +8) 1u
12pm
Army (-8 or better) 1.25u
Temple (-3.5 or better) only has 43%
Uconn (+8 or better) 1u
Southern Miss (+9.5 or better) line is currently only +10
North Carolina (-5 or better) currently has 41%Comment -
Bet us has Navy +9 should I jump on it
Originally posted by EXhoosier10Comment -
Just got it at +8.5
You mean Army at +8 or better?Comment -
Navy is turning into a no play as it has moved to 8.5 at some books and 9 at others.Comment -
in this thread, by 'better', i mean more negative. So +8 was the crossover. +8, +7.5, +7 would be a play, +8.5, +9, +9.5 etc is no playOriginally posted by Dfjay9Comment -
Well I bought points got Navy +10 will that work
Originally posted by EXhoosier10Comment -
I think I understand the Ml went from 370 to 320Comment -
I mean, it's not a true RLM move, so it won't be a play in this thread, but I suppose you could still win.Originally posted by 16johnnymacComment -
So navy was a play at +7.5 and not 8.5?Comment -
your not understanding the concept of this thread. The plays in this thread are based on certain line values at certain books (books move their lines in an effort to balance their action) so when a large % is on one side yet the line value is moving another direction is when and only when their is a play in this thread. just listen to exhoosier....Originally posted by 16johnnymacComment -
YesComment -
For my criteria, away teams need to move 2 points to be considered a play. Navy opened at +10, so it needs to close at at least +8 to be a play. If it's at 8.5, then yes, it is not a play.Originally posted by Dfjay9Comment -
So Kstate opened at -25 they are know -27 so would you play KState ......-27 or Kansas @+27?
Originally posted by EXhoosier10Comment -
no. everyone is betting on kansas state, so that move is expected. If everyone was betting on kansas state and the line moved towards Kansas (i.e. to +23 or lower), then it would be a play.Originally posted by 16johnnymacComment -
Check out my first postOriginally posted by 16johnnymac
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Army is official for 1.25uComment -
Uconn official for 1uComment
