CFB 2012 (also NFL)

[BiffTFinancial]

Glad the Skins brought home your 3X.

thanks! have one-point lead heading into final week. every game is huge now.

[jakeloftin2186]

Fresno smuggled line dropping

[2daBank]

Sticking w the system,, been really good so far, had to chase into 2nd half the last 2 but the under came thru on both so sticking w it..1st half under, if that loses re-pop the 2nd half under... Gl everyone, and happy holidays!!

[cok puke]

good luck

[2daBank]

system on a roll,,like it better when the 1st half hits and dont gotta worry bout 2nd half, lol...that said im a degen and prob a sucker for making this bet after watcing 1st half but played fresno team total ov 20 +110 for 2nd half with little of 1st half profit, feel like i already lost,,,here's to some halftime adjustments! lol

[Madison]

NFL Week Sixteen updated card
3* Moneyline Parlay: Packers + Panthers + Patriots + Colts + Redskins + Texans (+284) - LOSER
2* Redskins TT over 26 - WINNER
2* Raiders/Panthers over 46' (-106) - LOSER
2* Giants TT over 24 (-120) - LOSER
1* Redskins/Eagles over 45' - WINNER
1* Jets TT under 20 - WINNER

3-3 -3.52u

Texans queered the ML parlay, resulting in 11+u swing. oh well, at least it wasn't close.

58-54 -2.3u NFL season to date. back in the red. bah.

Apologies for being asleep the last few days. Actually working, but the only one I might have tried to turn you off was the texans.

[BiffTFinancial]

Apologies for being asleep the last few days. Actually working, but the only one I might have tried to turn you off was the texans.

i'm happy blaming you haha.

[BiffTFinancial]

Bank, games i've identified for potential use of 1H under system: CMU/WKU, Wisky/Stanford, Michigan/S Carolina, TCU/MSU, UNL/UGA, Florida/Louisville, Bama/ND.

games where i would not use it: Cincy/Duke, Baylor/UCLA, WVU/Cuse, A&M/OU, Purdue/Okie State.

[BiffTFinancial]

okay, more company coming over soon. wanted to pop in and wish everyone Merry Christmas. lean CMU and under in tomorrow's bowl game, may be a good one for the 1H under system Bank's using. back tomorrow.

[Smutbucket]

Merry Christmas Biff and Friends.....getting pretty excited for these bowl games, really need em the NFL is kicking my ass! Lets finish the football season off well

[BiffTFinancial]

Merry Christmas Biff and Friends.....getting pretty excited for these bowl games, really need em the NFL is kicking my ass! Lets finish the football season off well

let's get em, Smut. i plan to book my bowl games through Monday tonight probably. blizzard heading to Cleveland so might as well. will post leans and such later in case anyone wants to discuss.

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

1* Central Michigan/Western Kentucky first half under 28' (-105)

2012-13 Bowls updated card
5* Vanderbilt (4* Vandy -6.5, 1* Vandy -7 -115)
3* BYU (2* BYU -2', 1* BYU -3 -115) - WINNER
2* Utah St -10 - WINNER
2* East Carolina/Louisiana Lafayette over 64' - WINNER
2* Washington/Boise State under 46 - LOSER
1* Nevada +10 - WINNER
1* Nevada TT over 35' - WINNER
1* Washington/Boise State 1H under 21' (+100) - LOSER
1* Central Michigan/Western Kentucky 1H under 28' (-105)

[jinxpro13]

adding

1* Central Michigan/Western Kentucky first half under 28' (-105)

2012-13 Bowls updated card
5* Vanderbilt (4* Vandy -6.5, 1* Vandy -7 -115)
3* BYU (2* BYU -2', 1* BYU -3 -115) - WINNER
2* Utah St -10 - WINNER
2* East Carolina/Louisiana Lafayette over 64' - WINNER
2* Washington/Boise State under 46 - LOSER
1* Nevada +10 - WINNER
1* Nevada TT over 35' - WINNER
1* Washington/Boise State 1H under 21' (+100) - LOSER
1* Central Michigan/Western Kentucky 1H under 28' (-105)

sup biff.. on the 1st half under with you. got 29. gl to us

why you leaning c. michigan? I locked them in at +6.. im kinda scared. dexter makes some good points in his thread for rolling with kentucky. im thinking the spread would go over 7 if vegas really wanted more balanced action tonight. i know its stupid to cap a game based on this stuff, but after the fresno/smu game I just wanted to side with vegas on this one.

[BiffTFinancial]

sup biff.. on the 1st half under with you. got 29. gl to us

why you leaning c. michigan? I locked them in at +6.. im kinda scared. dexter makes some good points in his thread for rolling with kentucky. After the fresmo/smu game I just wanted to side with vegas on this one.

i have WKU winning 28-24. i like CMU for a few reasons. first, CMU finished regular season on a roll, winning 4 of 5, while WKU lost 3 of 4 (and only covered 1 of those 4, vs ULL, and that was by a half-point). second, WKU's coach Willie Taggart left for USF job (i view coaching change as huge negative in bowl generally speaking). third, WKU lost one of its two best defenders (DL Quanterus Smith, had 3 sacks vs Bama) to ACL injury in mid-November. fourth, CMU is a short trip from Detroit, where the game will be played, so i expect CMU to have the travel/fan advantage (though i doubt that either fan base is going to fill Ford Field). fifth, CMU has better offensive line.

yeah, CMU has 2 of its top 3 receivers suspended, but that should be roughly equalized by Q Smith's injury (for both side and total). the biggest mismatch in WKU's favor is RB Antonio Andrews against CMU rush defense that allowed 4.9 ypc on season. however, the rush defense improved as the season went on and posted solid performances in 4 of 5 games to close the season. in the end, i think that it's a pretty decent leap to expect a cold team with a new coach to cover a TD at a neutral site where the dog is in its home state. BOL whatever you decide. i think that if you like WKU, take CMU TT under.

[jinxpro13]

i have WKU winning 28-24. i like CMU for a few reasons. first, CMU finished regular season on a roll, winning 4 of 5, while WKU lost 3 of 4 (and only covered 1 of those 4, vs ULL, and that was by a half-point). second, WKU's coach Willie Taggart left for USF job (i view coaching change as huge negative in bowl generally speaking). third, WKU lost one of its two best defenders (DL Quanterus Smith, had 3 sacks vs Bama) to ACL injury in mid-November. fourth, CMU is a short trip from Detroit, where the game will be played, so i expect CMU to have the travel/fan advantage (though i doubt that either fan base is going to fill Ford Field). fifth, CMU has better offensive line.

yeah, CMU has 2 of its top 3 receivers suspended, but that should be roughly equalized by Q Smith's injury (for both side and total). the biggest mismatch in WKU's favor is RB Antonio Andrews against CMU rush defense that allowed 4.9 ypc on season. however, the rush defense improved as the season went on and posted solid performances in 4 of 5 games to close the season. in the end, i think that it's a pretty decent leap to expect a cold team with a new coach to cover a TD at a neutral site where the dog is in its home state. BOL whatever you decide. i think that if you like WKU, take CMU TT under.

already locked in with cmu..... no turning back now. didn't watch either team all year so I wanted some analysis from people i trust n respect.. mucho appreciated buddy.. GL

[BiffTFinancial]

already locked in with cmu..... no turning back now. didn't watch either team all year so I wanted some analysis from people i trust n respect.. mucho appreciated buddy.. GL

sure thing. living in MAC country should afford some benefits, i suppose....

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

2* UCLA -2' (-105)
1* UCLA team total over 41

may add another unit to UCLA, almost booked at -1 yesterday, pissed i waited.

2012-13 Bowls updated card
5* Vanderbilt (4* Vandy -6.5, 1* Vandy -7 -115)
3* BYU (2* BYU -2', 1* BYU -3 -115) - WINNER
2* Utah St -10 - WINNER
2* East Carolina/Louisiana Lafayette over 64' - WINNER
2* Washington/Boise State under 46 - LOSER
2* UCLA -2' (-105)
1* Nevada +10 - WINNER
1* Nevada TT over 35' - WINNER
1* Washington/Boise State 1H under 21' (+100) - LOSER
1* Central Michigan/Western Kentucky 1H under 28' (-105)
1* UCLA TT over 41

[BiffTFinancial]

Bowl leans rest of the way if anyone wants to discuss
BGSU +7
Duke +8
Cincy/Duke over 60'
Duke TT over 26'
Baylor/UCLA over 81'
Ohio U/ULM over 60'
WV/Cuse over 73'
Cuse TT over 35
Oregon St/Texas over 57'
TCU/MSU under 40'/1H under 20'
Iowa State -1
Clemson -5
Northwestern ML +105 or +1'
Okie State TT over 43
Mississippi State TT under 26'
Michigan +6
Michigan/S Carolina under 48/1H under 24
S Carolina TT under 27
Nebraska +10'
UNL/UGA under 60'/1H under 30'
Wisky/Stanford under 47'/1H under 24
Florida -13'
Louisville TT under 16'
A&M/Oklahoma over 72
A&M TT over 38'
Ole Miss -3'
Kent State +4

[groovybrandone]

wow i didnt realize bgsu was getting pts (though i havent looked)

i think a&m tt over, and game over are strong plays. a&m 1h line will probably be very appealing as well when i get it.

[Rick22]

Liking Duke and the points...............

[BiffTFinancial]

wow i didnt realize bgsu was getting pts (though i havent looked)

i think a&m tt over, and game over are strong plays. a&m 1h line will probably be very appealing as well when i get it.

wish i'd played that at +8' or +8. as it is, i can still easily justify putting a unit on it. i think BGSU could easily win straight up. they have a lot of experience and SJSU has the bowl-time coaching change factor, which i think is big negative (esp that coach, he really turned the program around and quick).

[jakeloftin2186]

A&m 1st half has hit everytime in the past two years

[BiffTFinancial]

Liking Duke and the points...............

me too (obviously), esp with game in Charlotte and Cincy coaching change, but my concern is Duke's defensive numbers. i have this game 37-33, and i think that over is probably how i have to play this one. here are the stats that i cannot get past:
Def plays/TD: Cincy 43.4, Duke 17.2
Opp PPPlay: Cincy .24, Duke .49
Opp Pass YPA: Cincy 6.5, Duke 8.6

granted, the ACC is better than the Big East (relatively speaking of course), but Duke has allowed 44.8 points/game over their last 6 games. put another way, i think that we'll see Duke put on a better performance (relative to their ability) than a better Cincy team, but i think that will show up more on offense than defense with Cutcliffe finding some weaknesses to exploit. put a better way, how can i bet this game and not find a way to benefit from UC offense against Duke defense?

[BiffTFinancial]

A&m 1st half has hit everytime in the past two years

for real? if so, this could be sweet as 1H will be a plum line with game line of -4'.

[BiffTFinancial]

fk me sideways, UCLA now at -3 and getting juiced.

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

2* Cincinnati/Duke over 60' (-105)

after working my way through it in above post, i think that i have to play over but i think that both teams get their TT over and Duke gets the backdoor cover.

2012-13 Bowls updated card
5* Vanderbilt (4* Vandy -6.5, 1* Vandy -7 -115)
3* BYU (2* BYU -2', 1* BYU -3 -115) - WINNER
2* Utah St -10 - WINNER
2* East Carolina/Louisiana Lafayette over 64' - WINNER
2* Washington/Boise State under 46 - LOSER
2* UCLA -2' (-105)
2* Cincinnati/Duke over 60' (-105)
1* Nevada +10 - WINNER
1* Nevada TT over 35' - WINNER
1* Washington/Boise State 1H under 21' (+100) - LOSER
1* Central Michigan/Western Kentucky 1H under 28' (-105)
1* UCLA TT over 41

[jakeloftin2186]

for real dog...remember they were big in just about every game last year and blew it in 2nd half and this year they hit 1h in every game too

for real? if so, this could be sweet as 1H will be a plum line with game line of -4'.

[BiffTFinancial]

for real dog...remember they were big in just about every game last year and blew it in 2nd half and this year they hit 1h in every game too

now that you mention it, i do think that i recall hearing something about this. i don't play a lot of 1H sides in CFB, so never looked at A&M 1H proficiency numbers, but it makes sense. last year, they had some notable 2H collapses; this year, they've had some notable great starts. thanks for the thoughts. i have something like A&M, 43-37, so maybe some 1H and some TT over and forget the game spread.

[BiffTFinancial]

Really wish that ESPN would stop republishing Tim Tebow's shitty grammar every 30 seconds on the bottom-line. I take that "real serious."

[BiffTFinancial]

1* CMU/WKU 1H under 28' (-105) - LOSER

[Smutbucket]

ESPN reported a few days ago that "Tebow requested to be taken out of wildcat package" , now espn reports that tebow would never do anything like that......

feel like were getting jerked around here.....and why? I dont give a penetrate about him

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

2* Bowling Green +7 (-102)
1* UCLA -3

2012-13 Bowls updated card
5* Vanderbilt (4* Vandy -6.5, 1* Vandy -7 -115)
3* BYU (2* BYU -2', 1* BYU -3 -115) - WINNER
3* UCLA (2* UCLA -2' (-105), 1* UCLA -3)
2* Utah St -10 - WINNER
2* East Carolina/Louisiana Lafayette over 64' - WINNER
2* Washington/Boise State under 46 - LOSER
2* Cincinnati/Duke over 60' (-105)
2* Bowling Green +7 (-102)
1* Nevada +10 - WINNER
1* Nevada TT over 35' - WINNER
1* Washington/Boise State 1H under 21' (+100) - LOSER
1* Central Michigan/Western Kentucky 1H under 28' (-105) - LOSER
1* UCLA TT over 41

5-3 +4.75u thus far

[BiffTFinancial]

ESPN reported a few days ago that "Tebow requested to be taken out of wildcat package" , now espn reports that tebow would never do anything like that......

feel like were getting jerked around here.....and why? I dont give a penetrate about him

Tebow = annoying as my wife's most drunken stories about her friends. i can no longer pretend to pay attention.

[BiffTFinancial]

probably passing on the three Friday bowls (Ohio U/ULM, Rutgers/VT, Minn/TT). lean OU/ULM over, VT, Minn if i had to play them, but at the moment, pass. probably pass on AF/Rice, Navy/ASU Saturday while i'm at it.

after that, weekend plays i like best are WV/Cuse over (waiting for better weather info; it's supposed to snow and that's not a football stadium; that said, over or Cuse TT over are only plays on this game i say), TCU/MSU under/1H under, Oregon St/Texas over/UT TT over

[jinxpro13]

Tebow = annoying as my wife's most drunken stories about her friends. i can no longer pretend to pay attention.

i cant even stand her sobre stories