Penn St. vs. 'Bama

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  • Dutch
    SBR MVP
    • 09-21-10
    • 4339

    #1
    Penn St. vs. 'Bama
    Biggest bet I ever layed, by far, was Bama -12 vs. Penn st. week 2 last year. P st was starting a true freshman QB on the road against the 1# team at the time. Easy money.

    This year it's Bama -10. I'm going to wait for a 1st half number, but either way I'm going to pound this game.

    Not a lot of points were scored last year, and I think Bama's D is better this year. I don't have an o/u line yet but the under might be good.
  • wal66
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-14-08
    • 5305

    #2
    There is reason for concern after a 4 turnover day last Saturday for the Tide. I think it stands to reason that Bama will run, run, run some more and then run even more this week. They have the backs and enough of them and they still have a huge offensive line.

    Penn St in the highlights at least appeared to run well and especially on the outside but I feel confident that bama is just a lil bit faster.

    I didn't use this game as one of my posted plays but I still like Bama in this spot. Even if you don't trust the full line they are a solid anchor for some teaser action.

    I just noticed your avatar. I like Iowa this week as well but it is another of those games I like but didn't use as a posted play.
    Comment
    • MoneyLineDawg
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-01-09
      • 13253

      #3
      Bama teased down with another game is my plan......I still like -10, but Bama -3 in a 2 team teaser is a great bet IMO
      Comment
      • utmoody10
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-19-08
        • 304

        #4
        Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
        Bama teased down with another game is my plan......I still like -10, but Bama -3 in a 2 team teaser is a great bet IMO
        Couple with Stanford -14 perhaps? Those two look almost too good to be true.
        Comment
        • khaden
          SBR MVP
          • 01-19-09
          • 1864

          #5
          Penn state may not have one quality win this year -10 is a gift IMO. Penn state wont keep this within 2 td's
          Comment
          • Dutch
            SBR MVP
            • 09-21-10
            • 4339

            #6
            I don't like how Saban will switch up QB's, seems like it would fuk with their confidence, but I kinda like that they had 4 turnovers last week, Saban with be up their ass and the team will be ready to go.
            Comment
            • MoneyLineDawg
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-01-09
              • 13253

              #7
              Originally posted by utmoody10
              Couple with Stanford -14 perhaps? Those two look almost too good to be true.
              That seems good.....Also looking at Mississippi St +.5, Michigan +11, Rutgers +17.5, Ohio St. +13, or maybe even Iowa +1

              Dutch, will Iowa beat Iowa St.?
              Comment
              • Dutch
                SBR MVP
                • 09-21-10
                • 4339

                #8
                I bet against Iowa more than I bet on them.

                St. has beat Iowa when Iowa is a top 15 team, and usually lose to Iowa when Iowa is an average team. These in state rivalries are tough to cap...So I guess what I'm trying to say is you're own your own killer.
                Comment
                • MoneyLineDawg
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-01-09
                  • 13253

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Dutch
                  I bet against Iowa more than I bet on them.

                  St. has beat Iowa when Iowa is a top 15 team, and usually lose to Iowa when Iowa is an average team. These in state rivalries are tough to cap...So I guess what I'm trying to say is you're own your own killer.
                  Gotcha....won't touch it
                  Comment
                  • my2pennies
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 09-06-11
                    • 10

                    #10
                    After all last year of getting on here to read what people are saying about games, I have finally got un-lazy and decided to create an acct and post. I'm a huge Bama fan, and I think they cover the 10. I'd like to see it at a 9.5, but I think 10 is a great play. The concern of 4 picks is there, but at least 1 of them hit an Alabama receiver in the hands, and should've been a catch, but instead were picked. I like Bama -10
                    Comment
                    • Dutch
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-21-10
                      • 4339

                      #11
                      Originally posted by my2pennies
                      I'd like to see it at a 9.5

                      A couple of online spots have it at 9.5, my guy has it at 10.
                      Comment
                      • Vin_vermillion
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-24-11
                        • 1537

                        #12
                        Its at 9.5 9 some places.

                        I think PSU will cover....maybe not win, but cover.
                        Comment
                        • ZBOIZ
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 06-22-08
                          • 21464

                          #13
                          I did'nt pay Penn State any attention last week to bet on anybody.

                          What's the total ?
                          Comment
                          • Covy
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-13-11
                            • 1433

                            #14
                            I'm a big time PSU fan and their QB situation will screw them here

                            Teased Bama Stanford
                            [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                            [/SIZE]
                            Comment
                            • Vin_vermillion
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-24-11
                              • 1537

                              #15
                              Trust me...I have been to PSU as an opposing team and in the midst of their pathetic fans.... In a big game, on a national stage, as major underdogs...it's no place you want to be. Just take the plus 9.5 and be happy when they cover.
                              Comment
                              • BernardMadoff
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-12-09
                                • 6679

                                #16
                                Bama cant have a better defense this year when they lost better players.
                                Comment
                                • Jones10
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-24-08
                                  • 2251

                                  #17
                                  This is another game which I'm uncertain about. I wanna pull the trigger on Bama but there is something holding me back. Just like S. Car in Georgia and Michigan vs ND. Games just seem to fishy to me with the lines. Def got me


                                  The only game I love this week is N. Ill vs Kansas, I took the wolfpack at -5.5 and the line went up to -6.5 already, but I don't see Kansas slowing down N. Ill offense at all.

                                  GL this week.....
                                  Comment
                                  • mstone897
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 09-09-10
                                    • 403

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by BernardMadoff
                                    Bama cant have a better defense this year when they lost better players.
                                    Not necessarily true when you recruit as well as they do. Dareus is not replaceable but everyone else they lost is.
                                    Comment
                                    • dume walker
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 04-08-10
                                      • 971

                                      #19
                                      Did anyone take note of the fact that, despite the lopsided score, Richardson had only 37 yards rushing on 13 carries? And this against Kent State. Anyone have any concerns about that?
                                      Comment
                                      • Sunde91
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-26-09
                                        • 8325

                                        #20
                                        I dont think we even know who's starting at QB for Bama, but you're expecting him to win by 10 for his first road start in Happy Valley?

                                        Penn State wont get beat down twice to the same team, especially not at home this time. Penn State or Under or no play. Dont even like Bama in a teaser.
                                        Comment
                                        • HoldEmHook!!
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-08-09
                                          • 2962

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by mstone897
                                          Not necessarily true when you recruit as well as they do. Dareus is not replaceable but everyone else they lost is.
                                          Darieus is very replaceable, He only showed up at 2 games in 2 years (big games as they were Tex,MichSt) he took numerous plays a game off......as far as the QB situation it has all but settled itself. McCarron tokk all the snaps today with the 2:00 minute offense. If the spread were -17 I would be concerned about the respect factor between Saban/Paterno but -10 shouldn't be a problem.

                                          The main concern for Bama bettors should be that Barret Jones played 4 of the 5 o-line possitions against Kent St. imo that means the offense is still looking for the right combination of starters on the o-line. That is a worrie for me.

                                          Highly toughted freshmen Cyrus crushed people on individual blocks but missed assignments picking up backside-help blocks and scrapping blocks, anything that involved switching blocking assignments that were situationaly based......Best of luck ROLL TIDE!!!!!!!!!!!
                                          Comment
                                          • HoldEmHook!!
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-08-09
                                            • 2962

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by dume walker
                                            Did anyone take note of the fact that, despite the lopsided score, Richardson had only 37 yards rushing on 13 carries? And this against Kent State. Anyone have any concerns about that?
                                            Eddie Lacey had over 100 yards rushing, just saying and Kent state had the #10 ranked defense in the nation last year (2nd rushing defense) do your homework
                                            Comment
                                            • dume walker
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 04-08-10
                                              • 971

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by HoldEmHook!!
                                              Eddie Lacey had over 100 yards rushing, just saying and Kent state had the #10 ranked defense in the nation last year (2nd rushing defense) do your homework
                                              I did do my homework. And am in the process of doing more. It was in doing that homework that I noticed what I took to be a startling stat about Richardson. I put my question out there in a civil and professional manner to get honest responses to help all of us make better-informed decisions, which is what these forums should be about. I do not appreciate your smug and smart-ass wisecrack.
                                              Comment
                                              • dume walker
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 04-08-10
                                                • 971

                                                #24
                                                And as an addendum to the above, whatever their stats last year, Kent State is a MAC team that went 5-7 and had only 5 starters returning on D. Do your own damn homework, and try not to look at it through your crimson-colored homie glasses.
                                                Comment
                                                • dontazeme1
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 08-22-10
                                                  • 447

                                                  #25
                                                  road game in happy valley, you know the penn state defense will come to play and force one of those qbs to have a big game....-10 is a little high
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Sunde91
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                    • 8325

                                                    #26
                                                    86% on Bama is so laughable

                                                    please push this to 10.5 where Ill bet State
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BernardMadoff
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-12-09
                                                      • 6679

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by mstone897
                                                      Not necessarily true when you recruit as well as they do. Dareus is not replaceable but everyone else they lost is.
                                                      And you honestly think those first year recruited freshman are gonna play? They arnt better on defense this year and wont be.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dutch
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-21-10
                                                        • 4339

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Sunde91
                                                        86% on Bama is so laughable

                                                        please push this to 10.5 where Ill bet State

                                                        Did you lose a lot on last years game?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Sunde91
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-26-09
                                                          • 8325

                                                          #29
                                                          how did you extract that from my post? didnt bet that game last year

                                                          question is how much you're going to lose laying 10 points with a QB making 1st road start in a top 5 toughest stadium against a top 25 team
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jwbama23
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-17-10
                                                            • 2373

                                                            #30
                                                            Bama alum and homer......not touching this game. Very nervous based on last weeks game. Bama should and probably will win but im not touching it
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mstone897
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 09-09-10
                                                              • 403

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by BernardMadoff
                                                              And you honestly think those first year recruited freshman are gonna play? They arnt better on defense this year and wont be.
                                                              How many years have they recruited in the top 5 or 10? Not talking about the Freshman. Talking about sophomores and juniors who have been waiting in the wings behind NFL caliber players.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jwbama23
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-17-10
                                                                • 2373

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by mstone897

                                                                How many years have they recruited in the top 5 or 10? Not talking about the Freshman. Talking about sophomores and juniors who have been waiting in the wings behind NFL caliber players.
                                                                Madoff is biggest Bama hater at sbr. Ignore anything he says in regards to Bama. I learned my lesson last year.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mstone897
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 09-09-10
                                                                  • 403

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by jwbama23
                                                                  Madoff is biggest Bama hater at sbr. Ignore anything he says in regards to Bama. I learned my lesson last year.
                                                                  I figured. If you're gonna hate, atleast make sense with an argument.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dutch
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-21-10
                                                                    • 4339

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Sunde91
                                                                    how did you extract that from my post? didnt bet that game last year

                                                                    question is how much you're going to lose laying 10 points with a QB making 1st road start in a top 5 toughest stadium against a top 25 team

                                                                    All you said was that the public is all over Bama, the public was all over 'em last year...

                                                                    Edit: I'll probably lose $400, I haven't decided yet. Waiting on a 1st half line, although Bama plays till the end, so it really doesn't matter I guess.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BernardMadoff
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-12-09
                                                                      • 6679

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Take note Dutchie, if the biggest bama homer isnt touching this game that should tell you something. You might wanna keep your money in your pocket.
                                                                      Comment
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