on3's CFB 2011 season

[on3]

Baylor...smh

[mantorras77]

Baylor...smh

Need that parlay to hit to keep it from being a bad day

[hagball52]

The only thing that saved me yesterday was all 3 JM like plays cashing. Otherwise it would have been a brutal day. On to next week.

[mantorras77]

Parlay came through! phew!

[on3]

baylor (L, -3.9), clemson (W, +3), clemson ML (W, +1.2), over (L, -5.5), parlay (L, -2), parlay (W, +5.2)
down 2 units this week.


sides/OU: 8-6-1 -2.2 units
teaser: 2-1 +5 units
ml parlay: 3-0 +8.1 units
parlay: 0-1 -2 units

[hagball52]

I'm looking at about 8 or 9 games again this week. I'll put them up tomorrow. Appreciate the feedback. I don't know what went wrong with Col. St. last weekend. It was a really strong play and for whatever reason Col. St. just didn't show up. The one game I really like is Oklahoma v Texas. I think Oklahoma is going to do Texas like Alabama and Wisconsin did their opponents last week.

[hagball52]

On3 here are the games I'm looking at this week:
#307 Oklahoma
#314 Clemson
#328 NC St.
#340 BYU (providing R. Nelson starts at QB)
#350 Ga. Tech
#352 Stanford
#357 AF
#361 UNLV
#388 Utah St (there's a chance I might flip flop on this one)
#392 Neb
#395 TCU

As the week goes on I'll narrow it down but these are the games I'm researching. Who do you like?

[on3]

sides/OU: 8-6-1 -2.2 units
teaser: 2-1 +5 units
ml parlay: 3-0 +8.1 units
parlay: 0-1 -2 units

plays this week:

AIR FORCE +15 @ Notre Dame -- 3 units
6 point teaser: OREGON -18 and Oregon/Cal OVER 59 -- 3 units

[hagball52]

Air Force is one of my stronger plays. The line has moved from +16.5 down to 15 already. We're not the only ones liking it.

Another game that has creeped up on the radar is Michigan @ NW. NW's starting running back is out and the QB is questionable with a recurring achilles injury.

[on3]

northwestern is sneaky. line is fishy too. im actually leaning northwestern at +7.5.

[alexknyc]

sides/OU: 8-6-1 -2.2 units teaser: 2-1 +5 units ml parlay: 3-0 +8.1 units parlay: 0-1 -2 units plays this week: AIR FORCE +15 @ Notre Dame -- 3 units 6 point teaser: OREGON -18 and Oregon/Cal OVER 59 -- 3 units

5 dimes won't accept the teaser. Any ideas?

[gleamingthecube]

I have this same problem. I hate it when they limit your bets like this. My other book (local) only offers ML and spread bets on sides and over/unders, no parlays or teasers at all.

[on3]

5 dimes won't accept the teaser. Any ideas?

bump it to a 7 point tease and take LSU -6.5 and the Oregon Over at 58.5

[on3]

sides/OU: 8-6-1 -2.2 units
teaser: 2-2 +2 units
ml parlay: 3-0 +8.1 units
parlay: 0-1 -2 units

plays this week:

AIR FORCE +15 @ Notre Dame -- 3 units
COLORADO +30 @ Stanford -- 1 unit
Miami @ VA TECH -7 (-125) -- 1 unit
ARIZONA -2 @ Oregon State -- 3 units
10 point, 3 team teaser: West Virginia, Boise St, LSU -- 3 units

[hagball52]

I am also on A/F and VA TECH. Also playing a 7 pt tease with Oklahoma, Air Force and LSU. GL all

[mantorras77]

Hey On3...check this guy out: http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-fo...thread-p8.html

He does a NCAAF/NFL system..been awesome so far. Makin good dough over there.

[hagball52]

On3 it's a new week. Let's get 'em. Here are the games I'm looking at this week. Any thoughts?

#117 Toledo -7
#119 Clemson -7
#123 Ga. Tech -8
#147 LSU -15.5
#153 Ohio St. +4
#158 Cinn. -17
#171 Boise -32
#177 Ok. St. -7.5

The 2 strongest plays I like are Cincy and Okey St.

[on3]

OK State is a play for me at -7
I'm also playing USC -3 @ Cal tomorrow night

sides/OU: 8-10-1 -10.2 units
teaser: 3-2 +5 units
ml parlay: 3-0 +8.1 units
parlay: 0-1 -2 units

plays this week:

USC -3 @ Cal -- 1 unit
OK. STATE -7 @ Texas -- 1 unit

[hagball52]

Texas starts 18 freshmen. They got exposed last week. They're really talented but very young and prone to mistakes. Ok. St. with Weeden and Blackmon are one of the best combos in all of college football. I think Texas gets taken out back of the wood shed again.

Loiusville took the play calling duties away from their OC. He used to be UNLV's coach (worst we ever had). The Cardinals are a mess and their coach is on the hot seat already. Cincy has an NFL qb and they are rollong right now and the game is at Cincy.

[on3]

this is actually one of my favorite weeks in college football. when the big boys go on the road in conference. spreads are under 3 TD's and many can be teased to under 1 TD (with a 10 pointer). say what you will about teasers, but on certain weeks they come in mighty handy.

[ThePickSix]

Love USC -3, Ohio St +6, SMU -3, Baylor +10

[on3]

plays this week:

OK. STATE -7 @ Texas -- 1 unit
Michigan @ MICHIGAN ST -2.5 -- 1 unit

[hagball52]

Last weekend was a little better. This week I'm looking at

#311 Indiana
#315 Illinois
#346 Utah St.
#355 Oregon
#357 Nebraska
#362 Boise St.
#371 Fresno St.
#385 Washington
#389 Wisconsin

I like Indiana only because Iowa is totally incapable of covering large point spreads and it's a Rivalry game. Teams like Oregon, Boise and Wisky have to keep the hammer down to stay in contention in the BCS. What are you looking at On3 ?

[mp5070]

Liking Wisky, Clemson and Ok. state

[Lucylee]

Last weekend was a little better. This week I'm looking at

#311 Indiana
#315 Illinois
#346 Utah St.
#355 Oregon
#357 Nebraska
#362 Boise St.
#371 Fresno St.
#385 Washington
#389 Wisconsin

I like Indiana only because Iowa is totally incapable of covering large point spreads and it's a Rivalry game. Teams like Oregon, Boise and Wisky have to keep the hammer down to stay in contention in the BCS. What are you looking at On3 ?

Hey Hagball,

I was one of your "silent followers" during baseball and was completely satisfied with your picks, excellent work! I was curious (and hoping) that you might elaborate more on your college football picks and share your teasers as well.
thanks!

[on3]

sides/OU: 11-10-1 -7.2 units
teaser: 3-2 +5 units
ml parlay: 3-0 +8.1 units
parlay: 0-1 -2 units
total: +3.9 units

went 3-0 last week, hopeully I can build some momentum.

plays this week:

GEORGIA TECH +3 @ Miami --- 3 units
6 point teaser: Arizona/UCLA OVER 55, USC +14.5 --- 1 unit

[allidoiswin89]

Last weekend was a little better. This week I'm looking at

#311 Indiana
#315 Illinois
#346 Utah St.
#355 Oregon
#357 Nebraska
#362 Boise St.
#371 Fresno St.
#385 Washington
#389 Wisconsin

I like Indiana only because Iowa is totally incapable of covering large point spreads and it's a Rivalry game. Teams like Oregon, Boise and Wisky have to keep the hammer down to stay in contention in the BCS. What are you looking at On3 ?

I went to Iowa and they aren't incapable of covering large point spreads. They are about 50/50. But when it comes to playing Indiana, we have trouble beating them. When I first saw this line I was 100% on Indiana. However, there are two key injuries for Indiana, their best WR (Bechler or however you spell it) and their Center who has started every game in his career (I think 33). Might be a couple of mistakes from center to QB. Indiana has always had talent at WR but for some reason they just never click. Iowa's defense is awful this year and our cover 2 is one of the reasons Indiana beats us or comes close almost every single year. I look for these Indiana WR's to finally click and put up points. It all comes down to how many points can Iowa's offense put up, which has looked one of the more explosive offenses in the Big 10 (thought I would never say that in my lifetime) if you don't count a pitiful performance at Penn State (who has one of the best D's). I think Iowa will put up in the low 40's and I can see Indiana scoring a late TD to put them in the 20's and get a backdoor cover. If anything, I might tease up Indiana 7 points and Teaser the O/U and bet on the Over as I don't see Defense being anything in this game (something else I would have never done with Iowa's D in the past)

Good luck on whatever you decide. I've been extremelly successful in NFL and College this year. I don't bet much on NHL (except blackhawks as I'm a homer) and NBA (same with Bulls). I only follow the Systems for those two sports that have been lights out. Pretty sure I've seen you and On3 in those forums.

BOL

[djprimem]

Tonight's games

GL this week. I like Arizona tonight


thx, djprimem

[hagball52]

Hey Hagball,

I was one of your "silent followers" during baseball and was completely satisfied with your picks, excellent work! I was curious (and hoping) that you might elaborate more on your college football picks and share your teasers as well.
thanks!

It's pretty simple with me on the picks. When the lines come out at the first of the week I look at all of the games and mark down the ones that either look favorable or the point spread does not look right. Then I spend the rest of the week handicapping the games. By weeks end I drop the games that I consider too close to call. That's where my teasers come in. I'll usually take the stronger leans and tease them. No less than three that way it's a plus money bet. Then finally on game day I'll go to the service plays in the rx forum and check who all the touts are picking and make my final decision from there. I'll have anywhere from 1 to 4 single bet games and anywhere from 1 to 4 teaser parlays. I have 2 losing weekends in college and 1 losing weekend in NFL. This week has been pretty tough to stay on top of it cause my wife just had major surgery so I may tail On3 and some others this weekend. The one teaser for sure I'm playing is Indiana, Washington and Wisconsin. If I choose any more I'll post before game time on Saturday. GL all

[hagball52]

I went to Iowa and they aren't incapable of covering large point spreads. They are about 50/50. But when it comes to playing Indiana, we have trouble beating them. When I first saw this line I was 100% on Indiana. However, there are two key injuries for Indiana, their best WR (Bechler or however you spell it) and their Center who has started every game in his career (I think 33). Might be a couple of mistakes from center to QB. Indiana has always had talent at WR but for some reason they just never click. Iowa's defense is awful this year and our cover 2 is one of the reasons Indiana beats us or comes close almost every single year. I look for these Indiana WR's to finally click and put up points. It all comes down to how many points can Iowa's offense put up, which has looked one of the more explosive offenses in the Big 10 (thought I would never say that in my lifetime) if you don't count a pitiful performance at Penn State (who has one of the best D's). I think Iowa will put up in the low 40's and I can see Indiana scoring a late TD to put them in the 20's and get a backdoor cover. If anything, I might tease up Indiana 7 points and Teaser the O/U and bet on the Over as I don't see Defense being anything in this game (something else I would have never done with Iowa's D in the past)

Good luck on whatever you decide. I've been extremelly successful in NFL and College this year. I don't bet much on NHL (except blackhawks as I'm a homer) and NBA (same with Bulls). I only follow the Systems for those two sports that have been lights out. Pretty sure I've seen you and On3 in those forums.

BOL

My wife was born and raised in Iowa and her whole family are huge Hawkeye fans and one of her nephews is being recruited by Iowa form high school in Davenport. The one thing Kirk Ferentz doesn't have is a killer instinct. When he gets a big lead he backs off. Usually when they win by large margins the other team self destructs which Indy is totally capable of doing. But you are right Indy almost always plays Iowa tough just like Iowa State does. I'm teasing Indy with Washington and Wisky. GL

[hagball52]

GL this week. I like Arizona tonight


thx, djprimem

I was on Arizona also. Went 3-1 tonight. Had the Texas Rangers which covered late and had the Blackhawks and lost on Cent. Fla.

[on3]

[COLOR=#000000 !important]sides/OU: 11-10-1 -7.2 units
teaser: 3-2 +5 units
ml parlay: 3-0 +8.1 units
parlay: 0-1 -2 units
total: +3.9 units

went 3-0 last week, hopeully I can build some momentum.

plays this week:

GEORGIA TECH +3 @ Miami --- 3 units[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#000000 !important]Army @ VANDERBILT -11 --- 2 units[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#000000 !important]Cincy @ SOUTH FLORIDA -3 --- 2 units (this seems to be everyones pick du jour, makes me nervous)
6 point teaser: Arizona/UCLA OVER 55, USC +14.5 --- 1 unit[/COLOR]

[on3]

hagball, sorry i didnt get back to you earlier. i like wisconsin and washington, but still didnt pull the trigger waiting for the best number. i like +21 or +21.5 for washington and need -7 for wisconsin. i like oregon to blow out, but am nervous about a backdoor cover at -30. i like illinois to win, but i need -3 to play it, otherwise its a no go for me.

i also like south florida.

[hagball52]

hagball, sorry i didnt get back to you earlier. i like wisconsin and washington, but still didnt pull the trigger waiting for the best number. i like +21 or +21.5 for washington and need -7 for wisconsin. i like oregon to blow out, but am nervous about a backdoor cover at -30. i like illinois to win, but i need -3 to play it, otherwise its a no go for me.

i also like south florida.

That's okay. I've been at the hospital the past 2 days and haven't had much time for anything. I like your picks just a little nervous about So. Fla. You say it's the pick du jour just like Rutgers was tonight. I had 'Cuse but I also had Rutgers. GL tomorrow.

I think I might tease G. Tech with Oregon and somebody else. I really like Fresno but some people I respect are on Nevada.

[allidoiswin89]

I went to Iowa and they aren't incapable of covering large point spreads. They are about 50/50. But when it comes to playing Indiana, we have trouble beating them. When I first saw this line I was 100% on Indiana. However, there are two key injuries for Indiana, their best WR (Bechler or however you spell it) and their Center who has started every game in his career (I think 33). Might be a couple of mistakes from center to QB. Indiana has always had talent at WR but for some reason they just never click. Iowa's defense is awful this year and our cover 2 is one of the reasons Indiana beats us or comes close almost every single year. I look for these Indiana WR's to finally click and put up points. It all comes down to how many points can Iowa's offense put up, which has looked one of the more explosive offenses in the Big 10 (thought I would never say that in my lifetime) if you don't count a pitiful performance at Penn State (who has one of the best D's). I think Iowa will put up in the low 40's and I can see Indiana scoring a late TD to put them in the 20's and get a backdoor cover. If anything, I might tease up Indiana 7 points and Teaser the O/U and bet on the Over as I don't see Defense being anything in this game (something else I would have never done with Iowa's D in the past)

Good luck on whatever you decide. I've been extremelly successful in NFL and College this year. I don't bet much on NHL (except blackhawks as I'm a homer) and NBA (same with Bulls). I only follow the Systems for those two sports that have been lights out. Pretty sure I've seen you and On3 in those forums.

BOL

I literally wrote a perfect and exact description of what was going to happen lol. I guess I know my team pretty well. Hope ya all jumped on Indiana and the over like I did.