Diesel's Public Fade Thread of Dogs 51% or Higher (2nd Season)

[angelodebo]

I'm surprised Michigan is not one of ur picks. The public is favoring San Diego St.

I usually play a similiar philosophy. I FADE the top picks of the public.

TODAY'S TOP BETTING TRENDSRKTeam
1Notre Dame (12;00)
2Louisiana State Tigers
3Georgia Bulldogs (12;00)
4Georgia Tech (12;00)
5Florida St. Seminoles
6Oregon Ducks
7Oklahoma State
8San Diego State (12:00)
9Alaba Crimson Tide
10Michigan Wolverines

Early games I'm taken Pitt,UNC, Michigan, Ole Miss & Cuse

[09Gamecock]

Diesel,

Any reason Rutgers is missing from your list? They're looking like a strong play to me. Hardly ever going to see a MAC team getting so much public backing against on the road against a BCS opponent.

[The-Diesel]

9/24/11 plays

This will be quick I'm at work. Beware this week the publis has had two bad weeks in a row. GL gang.

1 unit
Duke -10 (-105)
Syracuse (-2 (-105)
Penn St. -28.5 (-102)
Clemson -2.5 (-110)
San Jose St. -10.5 (+100)
Oregon St. -4.5 (+100)
S.C. -15.5 (-105)
Texas A&M -4.5 (+100)
B.C. -12 (-110)
TCU -44.5 (-110)
Kent St. -9.5 (-110)
Minnesota 9 (-110)
Houston -36.5 (-110)
Arkansas St. -16 (-110)
UNLV -10.5 (-110)
Hawaii 25 (-110)

YTD Results
Week 1 = (2-6) (25%) (-49.05 units)
Week 2 = (5-2) (71%) (+28.70 units)
Week 3 = (13-3) (81%) (+97.60 units)
Total = (20-11) (64%) (+77.25 units)

Sorry guys I couldn't get on much today because I was at work.

Pretty much an average week going 8-8 loosing a little juice. Let's see what we can do in the NFL today.

YTD Results
Week 1 = (2-6) (25%) (-49.05 units)
Week 2 = (5-2) (71%) (+28.70 units)
Week 3 = (13-3) (81%) (+97.60 units)
Week 4 = (8-8) (50%) (-0.42 units)
Total = (28-19) (59%) (+76.83 units)

[MexicanStallion]

Nice work so far. What are your units worth? 10 units per play seems insane. Good luck next week.

[Tanko]

This week we were brought back down to earth from that unbelievable "high" last week. But I'll take 50% now and then to for the opportunities at those 13-3's, like last week.

Good job.
Keep it up Diesel

[The-Diesel]

This week we were brought back down to earth from that unbelievable "high" last week. But I'll take 50% now and then to for the opportunities at those 13-3's, like last week.

Good job.
Keep it up Diesel

That's correct Tanko

The public will have there winning weeks. They will even have big weeks at times. It's money manage from this point that's why I dropped down to 1 unit per play this week. Since we hit at 50% this week may play everything at 2 unit next week. When we have a bad week the following week should be gold.

[No coincidences]

Seems like either the public had a really big week in college football, or I picked the wrong plays, because a lot of big RLM moves crashed and burned (most notably Cal and Idaho).

[figue]

wait week 5

[09Gamecock]

Diesel, one quick question:

Do you still play the games you post (usually around 11:00 or so on Saturday morning) even if public money has moved over 50% on the favorite by kickoff? Furthermore, are you actually placing all the bets at the same time you post them here?

Also, do you use VegasInsider for your percentages or do you have a better site to get the best up to the minute betting data? I've noticed that VegasInsider often screws up the percentages on their main page, and you have to click on the individual match-up to get the correct information. Let me know if there's a better, more reliable resource to use.

Keep up the great work. You're honestly the best capper on these boards and few people realize it.

[Inkwell77]

I'm only finding a couple of plays this week, are these right?

Virginia Tech -7
Texas A&M -2.5
USC -12.5
South Carolina -10.5
New Mexico -1 (?)
Boston College -1 (?)

Illinois (this could be a play, maybe, sftc is on Northwestern, but the covers consensus is 51% on Illinois)
LSU (this could be a play, sftc is on Kentucky, but the covers consensus is 55.94% on LSU)

[The-Diesel]

Diesel, one quick question:

Do you still play the games you post (usually around 11:00 or so on Saturday morning) even if public money has moved over 50% on the favorite by kickoff? Furthermore, are you actually placing all the bets at the same time you post them here?

Also, do you use VegasInsider for your percentages or do you have a better site to get the best up to the minute betting data? I've noticed that VegasInsider often screws up the percentages on their main page, and you have to click on the individual match-up to get the correct information. Let me know if there's a better, more reliable resource to use.

Keep up the great work. You're honestly the best capper on these boards and few people realize it.

Use pregame, they update right up to the second with no delay. It will help you.

[The-Diesel]

9/28/11 Plays

Here's what I have today guys. GL on your card.

2 units
Illinois -9.5 (-110)
UConn -2.5 (-110)
E. Michigam -8.5 (-103)
Ohio St. -3 (-115)
USC -12.5 (-102)
Virginia Tech -7 (-110)
Maryland -25.5 (-110)

YTD Results
Week 1 = (2-6) (25%) (-49.05 units)
Week 2 = (5-2) (71%) (+28.70 units)
Week 3 = (13-3) (81%) (+97.60 units)
Week 4 = (8-8) (50%) (-0.42 units)
Total = (28-19) (59%) (+76.83 units)

[naslax13]

id ur fadin public why dont u have kansas st, nc state or florida??

[doin]

thank you dielsel. so glad i found your forum.!

[The-Diesel]

9/28/11 Plays

Here's what I have today guys. GL on your card.

2 units
Illinois -9.5 (-110)
UConn -2.5 (-110)
E. Michigam -8.5 (-103)
Ohio St. -3 (-115)
USC -12.5 (-102)
Virginia Tech -7 (-110)
Maryland -25.5 (-110)

YTD Results
Week 1 = (2-6) (25%) (-49.05 units)
Week 2 = (5-2) (71%) (+28.70 units)
Week 3 = (13-3) (81%) (+97.60 units)
Week 4 = (8-8) (50%) (-0.42 units)
Total = (28-19) (59%) (+76.83 units)

The public had a huge day on the dogs so therefore I went a perfect 0-7. That's OK because we kept it small this week. Next week will be a big money maker for us so all my plays will be 10 units.

YTD Results
Week 1 = (2-6) (25%) (-49.05 units)
Week 2 = (5-2) (71%) (+28.70 units)
Week 3 = (13-3) (81%) (+97.60 units)
Week 4 = (8-8) (50%) (-0.42 units)
Week 5 = (0-7) (0%) (-15.20)
Total = (28-26) (51%) (+61.63 units)

[DSchex]

Let's bounce back this week, Diesel. What you got today?

[The-Diesel]

10/8/11 Plays

Here we go. GL today guys

10 units
Penn St. -4.5 (-101)
Arkansas -9.5 (-110)
Missouri -4 (-102)
Utah St. -11 (-101)
Troy -6 (-101)
North Texas -3.5 (-102)

YTD Results
Week 1 = (2-6) (25%) (-49.05 units)
Week 2 = (5-2) (71%) (+28.70 units)
Week 3 = (13-3) (81%) (+97.60 units)
Week 4 = (8-8) (50%) (-0.42 units)
Week 5 = (0-7) (0%) (-15.20)
Total = (28-26) (51%) (+61.63 units)

[The-Diesel]

10/8/11 Plays

Here we go. GL today guys

10 units
Penn St. -4.5 (-101)
Arkansas -9.5 (-110)
Missouri -4 (-102)
Utah St. -11 (-101)
Troy -6 (-101)
North Texas -3.5 (-102)

YTD Results
Week 1 = (2-6) (25%) (-49.05 units)
Week 2 = (5-2) (71%) (+28.70 units)
Week 3 = (13-3) (81%) (+97.60 units)
Week 4 = (8-8) (50%) (-0.42 units)
Week 5 = (0-7) (0%) (-15.20)
Total = (28-26) (51%) (+61.63 units)

Pretty good day winning over 19 units.

YTD Results
Week 1 = (2-6) (25%) (-49.05 units)
Week 2 = (5-2) (71%) (+28.70 units)
Week 3 = (13-3) (81%) (+97.60 units)
Week 4 = (8-8) (50%) (-0.42 units)
Week 5 = (0-7) (0%) (-15.20 units)
Week 6 = (4-2) (66%) (+19.70 units)
Total = (32-28) (53%) (+81.33 units)

[Aussiecapper101]

I cant believe the variance we are seeing in these plays! wow

[figue]

[No coincidences]

Hope he's not fading the public right now -- he'd be flat broke.

[Aussiecapper101]

Yeh I wonder how his picks are doing lately? Gone MIA?

[Aussiecapper101]

The diesel has been going well, don't get me wrong

[The-Diesel]

11/5/11 Play

Took some time off. I like one play tonight but it's not one of my system plays. Let's cash

10 units
Arizona -4 (-105)

[figue]

[Tanko]

Welcome back! I hope the time off settled your mind and that you are ready for a good run of picks.
Lets abuse the books.

Good Luck,
Tanko

11/5/11 Play

Took some time off. I like one play tonight but it's not one of my system plays. Let's cash

10 units
Arizona -4 (-105)

[The-Diesel]

Lay off Illinois

As a matter of fact bet Michigan here!!!!

10 units
Michigan (Even)

GL Gang

[Tanko]

Nice call & at 10 units.... Nice hit.

Lay off Illinois

As a matter of fact bet Michigan here!!!!

10 units
Michigan (Even)

GL Gang

[The-Diesel]

Nice call & at 10 units.... Nice hit.

[The-Diesel]

11/19/11 Play

Tigers in a blow out guys, Cash in !!!!!!!!!!!

10 units
Clemson -7

[figue]