I think there is some value in picking Ball State. Iowa has an important game next week as they start conference play going against Penn State playing at home. Iowa is coming off a big loss and although they should look better this week they might be thinking more about penn state. Last week Iowa's great D only gave up 2 touchdowns, against Iowa State they gave up a garbage TD at the end of the game, and only one touchdown in their first game. So it going to be important that Ball State try to get some points against this stingy D because I do not think that Iowa will score no more than 35 points. In recent times, Ball state's history when facing the Big 10, their games have went the following: Indiana(42-20 win), Indiana(20-38 loss), Illinois(17-28 loss), Michigan(26-34 loss), Purdue(28-38 loss), and Indiana(23-24 loss). The last time they faced Iowa they did loss 56-0 back in 2005. In the last 16 games Iowa has only scored 42 points once and several scores in the 30's giving them an average of 25.0 ppg for the offense and 15.5 ppg for the defense. Also every year since 2005 they have loss back to back games as well. Iowa's games versus the Mid Atlantic goes as following: Akron(57-21 win), Miami(OH)(29-24 win), Miami(OH)(21-3 win), Buffalo(56-7), Kent State(39-7 win), Northern Illinois(24-14 win), Northern Illinois(16-3 win), and Western Michigan(28-19 loss). SO I think that giving 28 points is a little to high. It would be aweome if it moves to get that extra half or full point meaning generally they would have to win by 31 up to 35 points. Just think that Ball State can pull it off.