Texas/UCLA line going down?

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  • Uncle Harv
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-30-09
    • 238

    #1
    Texas/UCLA line going down?
    This line has moved significantly down from -17 to -15 even though the public is overwhelmingly on Texas. I cant imagine what the oddsmakers think will happen in this game. UCLA is awful this year, if it werent for Houstons two QB's going down, they are prob 0-3. I know its not McCoy's Longhorns that'll drop 50 on you, but last time I checked, playing the Longhorns in Austin is not an easy task. If the line goes to 14, buy the half a point to -13.5...its a gift.
  • harlee71
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-02-09
    • 7202

    #2
    Harv, this line will go even lower. No way can you touch this right now. Longhorns are starting to open there offense up a little, but they are not to the point they can cover large spreads on a consistent level yet. I dont know if it will get there, but -10-11 might be the right number here. Just my opinion.
    Comment
    • Uncle Harv
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-30-09
      • 238

      #3
      Good advice...but dont you think they can and will get all over the Bruins here? Im thinking by 20 or more.
      Comment
      • harlee71
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-02-09
        • 7202

        #4
        Being a Texas fan, I want them to whip that ass. On the other hand I just see this offense with issues at times. I see the passing game struggle and the rushing game struggling too with flashes of brilliance that is the future to come. If the Horns win by 20 or more the D and special teams will score atleast once and keep UCLA under 14-17 range at best. To me this game has 31-20 written all of it. I am not saying you are wrong with 41-13 kinda score either, just saying the offense will need help to get there. If I bet this game I will buy down a little and do 3-5 units.

        What I do LOVE LOVE LOVE is the total 43 I am already all over this!
        Comment
        • TPowell
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-21-08
          • 18842

          #5
          I have Texas at -15.5....... might play it if it drops below 14
          Comment
          • CMangano
            SBR Hustler
            • 09-20-10
            • 58

            #6
            Where are you seeing the line was at -17? I see it as opening at -14.5 and has since moved to -15/-15.5 depending on the book. Looks to me like this line is gonna go up.
            Comment
            • Uncle Harv
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-30-09
              • 238

              #7
              My site, The Greek, had it open at -17. 5 Dimes and Pinnacle had it reach -17 before falling. And Bookmaker it got to -16.5 before dropping. But I dont see it going below 14.
              Comment
              • CMangano
                SBR Hustler
                • 09-20-10
                • 58

                #8
                I don't see it going any lower but you never know. Texas is getting the action at the moment.
                Comment
                • Givemhell Horns
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-23-09
                  • 424

                  #9
                  Harv, this is a sandwich game for the Horns coming off TT and with Oklahoma next, i would favor the Horns by around 10.
                  Comment
                  • dxguy2001
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 12-13-09
                    • 124

                    #10
                    Originally posted by harlee71
                    Being a Texas fan, I want them to whip that ass. On the other hand I just see this offense with issues at times. I see the passing game struggle and the rushing game struggling too with flashes of brilliance that is the future to come. If the Horns win by 20 or more the D and special teams will score atleast once and keep UCLA under 14-17 range at best. To me this game has 31-20 written all of it. I am not saying you are wrong with 41-13 kinda score either, just saying the offense will need help to get there. If I bet this game I will buy down a little and do 3-5 units.

                    What I do LOVE LOVE LOVE is the total 43 I am already all over this!
                    HAAHAHAHAHAHA I'm a die hard UCLA fan and I would bet my house we don't put up more than 7 points. We got shut out by an inferior Stanford defense at home. Texas has a much better defense and the game is in Austin. The best bet one can make on this game is the 1st half under, we have a very good defense that gets worn out by the 2nd half because they are on the field so much. GL all, GO BRUINS!!
                    Comment
                    • The General
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 13279

                      #11
                      Texas shall roll the Bruins here. I am assuming anyhow.

                      GL
                      Comment
                      • eatdust11
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-16-09
                        • 683

                        #12
                        This is definitely a strange line.. Notice that Oklahoma's line is also dropping... must be a play on both Texas and OU overlooking this week's opponent?
                        Comment
                        • Michigan
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 08-02-10
                          • 92

                          #13
                          people have UCLA fever I guess because of the Houston game.
                          Comment
                          • Mac4Lyfe
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-04-09
                            • 48377

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Uncle Harv
                            This line has moved significantly down from -17 to -15 even though the public is overwhelmingly on Texas. I cant imagine what the oddsmakers think will happen in this game. UCLA is awful this year, if it werent for Houstons two QB's going down, they are prob 0-3. I know its not McCoy's Longhorns that'll drop 50 on you, but last time I checked, playing the Longhorns in Austin is not an easy task. If the line goes to 14, buy the half a point to -13.5...its a gift.
                            UCLA was totally dominating this game and Keenum going down (in the 3rd quarter I think) had zero affect on UCLA winning. UCLA made UH and Keenum look like shit. They only put up 3 points in the first half. Maybe his concussion really affected him but even the back up QB whose pretty good, couldn't get anything done against UCLA. I was very surprised how big UCLA's offensive line looked. Granted it was against UH but they looked like giants.

                            UCLA looked so good against UH that this game has me puzzled. UT has struggled against smaller teams so my gut tells me UCLA may be able to control the LOS. UT's offense has sputtered at times so that tells me that it may be a low scoring game as well. Plus the week before OU and this could be UT looking ahead. On the other hand, UCLA has to travel, the weather could play a factor as we've been having afternoon showers here in Texas as well.

                            I'm leaning UCLA but not by much. Very low play if at all for me.
                            Comment
                            • Mr Windy City
                              Restricted User
                              • 12-27-09
                              • 5018

                              #15
                              UCLA IS ******* TERRIBLE.


                              On that note, they probably cover
                              Comment
                              • kickenchicken
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-17-10
                                • 430

                                #16
                                ucla covers
                                Comment
                                • thezbar
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-29-06
                                  • 6421

                                  #17
                                  Can't play Ucla in this spot. They were a class level above Houston. Not so against Texas. Lets not forget the Bruins QB issues before the last game. Can't say I'll lay the wood but no way Jose with UCLA.
                                  Comment
                                  • Duby
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 3608

                                    #18
                                    This is a stay away game IMO. The line coming down like that is a red flag. And I told myself I would not put a penny on UCLA this year.
                                    Comment
                                    • antifoil
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-11-09
                                      • 3993

                                      #19
                                      texas probably wins 35-7
                                      Comment
                                      • SBR_John
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 07-12-05
                                        • 16471

                                        #20
                                        I like Texas. Had them last week against Tech too.

                                        Their pass defense is just too good. You have to be careful because like in the Tech game Tech just gave up down 10 and even punted with 2mins to go. Against Rice they had freshmen all over the field including QB only up in the 20's and didnt cover. BUT, Texas will take a big name like UCLA pretty serious. I see the defense absolutely strangling this slow UCLA offense. UCLA will be happy to get out of Austin with a 24-6 type beating.
                                        Comment
                                        • Willie Bee
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-14-06
                                          • 15726

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by harlee71
                                          What I do LOVE LOVE LOVE is the total 43 I am already all over this!
                                          Hope I'm not jinxing you, Harlee, but I like the 'over' as well.

                                          No doubt Texas fans all remember the last time UCLA was in Austin. Even an old Aggie like me will be rooting for the 'Horns to run it up on Pretty Boy Neuheisel's bunch. Good luck.
                                          Comment
                                          • Mr KLC
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-19-07
                                            • 31097

                                            #22
                                            I think it will be closer than expected. Mack Brown doesn't want to put too much on tape before the Oklahoma and Nebraska games.
                                            Comment
                                            • AlphaOmega
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-31-08
                                              • 1146

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                              UCLA was totally dominating this game and Keenum going down (in the 3rd quarter I think) had zero affect on UCLA winning. UCLA made UH and Keenum look like shit. They only put up 3 points in the first half. Maybe his concussion really affected him but even the back up QB whose pretty good, couldn't get anything done against UCLA. I was very surprised how big UCLA's offensive line looked. Granted it was against UH but they looked like giants. UCLA looked so good against UH that this game has me puzzled. UT has struggled against smaller teams so my gut tells me UCLA may be able to control the LOS. UT's offense has sputtered at times so that tells me that it may be a low scoring game as well. Plus the week before OU and this could be UT looking ahead. On the other hand, UCLA has to travel, the weather could play a factor as we've been having afternoon showers here in Texas as well. I'm leaning UCLA but not by much. Very low play if at all for me.
                                              Well put ... right now UT's qb is almost as bad as UCLA's qb. If UCLA can find a running game and the WRs catch the freaking balls being thrown at them they could end up pulling an upset in Austin. UCLA's def is solid if it were not for the shitty field postion its offense puts them in when they turnover the ball they could easily be 2-1 right now.

                                              Comment
                                              • MathewXB
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-08-09
                                                • 1629

                                                #24
                                                I am gonna go bold here and say that UCLA puts nothing on the board. Texas has a D that is so powerful they look like they do not even have to try. UCLA won against UH purely because UH underestimated them. Horn's Roll the bruins 35-0. Just my thoughts though.
                                                Comment
                                                • antifoil
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-11-09
                                                  • 3993

                                                  #25
                                                  texas really does have an nfl defense. pretty much all of those players will be higher nfl draft picks
                                                  Comment
                                                  • AlphaOmega
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-31-08
                                                    • 1146

                                                    #26
                                                    Texas def will keep them in the game but Gilbert will throw some picks to a very oppourtunistic UCLA def that will keep UCLA in the game ... I dare say win??? Nah but will cover.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SBR_John
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 07-12-05
                                                      • 16471

                                                      #27
                                                      Gilbert is kind of under rated.

                                                      He is way ahead of McCoy who had training wheels on at this point(see loss to Ohio st at home). Gilbert has a better arm and better downfield vision. He just obviously doesnt create as well and is not a runner.

                                                      UCLA bettors have to hang their hat on the weak offensive line play/no running game against semi-quality talent. Texas will be trying to make progress in the running game and if their defense shuts down UCLA expect Texas to focus on improving their running game before the step up in opponents.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • harlee71
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-02-09
                                                        • 7202

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Willie Bee
                                                        Hope I'm not jinxing you, Harlee, but I like the 'over' as well.

                                                        No doubt Texas fans all remember the last time UCLA was in Austin. Even an old Aggie like me will be rooting for the 'Horns to run it up on Pretty Boy Neuheisel's bunch. Good luck.

                                                        I hate to even think about rout 66....


                                                        I will probly do 5units on the over and a 6pt teaser tor 2.5units just in case. This is my top end bet amount. I like this game a lot better giving 10-11. I want a 50-0 ass whipping, but I dont like to over estimate what my heart wants.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BobHarvey
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-08-08
                                                          • 3987

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Uncle Harv
                                                          This line has moved significantly down from -17 to -15 even though the public is overwhelmingly on Texas. I cant imagine what the oddsmakers think will happen in this game. UCLA is awful this year, if it werent for Houstons two QB's going down, they are prob 0-3. I know its not McCoy's Longhorns that'll drop 50 on you, but last time I checked, playing the Longhorns in Austin is not an easy task. If the line goes to 14, buy the half a point to -13.5...its a gift.
                                                          I agree with everything you say except I don't think it's going down to 14.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sanchez985
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 02-11-10
                                                            • 105

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by BobHarvey
                                                            I agree with everything you say except I don't think it's going down to 14.

                                                            i think texas will cover, will watch game from a good place
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Sledge187
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-25-08
                                                              • 3722

                                                              #31
                                                              I love Texas but not in this spot. Staying away.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • sanchez985
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 02-11-10
                                                                • 105

                                                                #32
                                                                hook 'e m horns. lets get them
                                                                Comment
                                                                • surftex
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 09-23-10
                                                                  • 125

                                                                  #33
                                                                  On the small chance it gets to -15, I would be willing to buy a point and take Texas -14. As one dimensional as UCLA's offense is I just don't see them getting more than 10 points against Muschamp's D. Texas will continue the trend of opening up their playbook and should put up 27/30 pts. here. My .02 anyway. BOL, everyone!
                                                                  Comment
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