Okay, I guess I will share my NCAAF system/strategy

[70kgman]

Wow. Cant believe the bad luck we are getting today. AF gives up a 92 yard drive in the closing minutes to let Col. ST. cover by 1 point on a last second touchdown. Col St. converted like three 4th downs on that last drive too

At least TCU looks good, if TCU and Oregon both cover, it will at least still guarentee a profit for the day no matter what happens in the last game.

[zaj128]

First week following this system and you can see why these are good plays two absolute bs losses so far with solid teams giving up meaningless tds late... Tough being on the right side n just getting screwed but I def appreciate the work and the picks, BOL to everyone on the remaining games

[shroomysoup]

It's my fault, guys. Whenever I trail someone, I make everyone lose. Oh well.

[jakeandba]

i dont think that it is anyone's fault. the last time i looked i was not a player in the game and we can not alter the orbits of planets...things like this happen and if the system is good, it will over come this type of week for positive gains.

[70kgman]

Still are 2-2 are the moment. So still could be a good day. Just should be 4-0 right now. Two BS losses.

[jose21_us]

Oregon not looking good...

[hitman2010]

SCA

[70kgman]

3-3 on the day (-1.6 units). Sorry guys. Took two really bad beats in the closing seconds of two of those. I think we were on the right side of 5 of the 6 games. Shit happens. Ran into some bad luck.

YTD:
A: 4-3 (+1.4 units)
B: 1-1 (-0.1 units)
------------------
5-4 (+1.3 units)

[DReeves997]

I really like the principal of this system though.

[70kgman]

Week 7:

Filter A: Boise St. -39

Filter A: TCU -30

Filter B: Arizona -23.5

[jose21_us]

gl this week.

[frognose20]

just found the tread last week. lost a few bucks but like the system so far. keep up the good work!

[Ralphie Halves]

The only thing it doesn't seem to account for is the market catching up to it. Hell, 75% is 75% though, it's worth riding anyway.

[hoopmagic5]

just a question but does Vir Tech against Wake forest fit the formula???? THanks

[70kgman]

just a question but does Vir Tech against Wake forest fit the formula???? THanks

Not exactly. It was very close though. Wake averages just under 5 ypc against. And I usually stick to my exact parameters and don't play "close enough".

[hoopmagic5]

Thanks!!! Only three plays....i have teased these and done very well!!!!

[M.W.]

Thanks -- the plays look solid.

[DBaseball23]

70kgman,

Why is Utah not a play this week? Seems to fit the system unless I'm missing something.

Utah -20.5

Utah's offense is averaging 5.5 yds
Wyoming's defense is averaging 5.4 yds

Shouldn't this be an A bet? What am I missing?

[PeePee]

70kgman,

Why is Utah not a play this week? Seems to fit the system unless I'm missing something.

Utah -20.5

Utah's offense is averaging 5.5 yds
Wyoming's defense is averaging 5.4 yds

Shouldn't this be an A bet? What am I missing?

correct. ut is a play

[70kgman]

70kgman,

Why is Utah not a play this week? Seems to fit the system unless I'm missing something.

Utah -20.5

Utah's offense is averaging 5.5 yds
Wyoming's defense is averaging 5.4 yds

Shouldn't this be an A bet? What am I missing?

I make all my wagers on the opening lines Sunday night. It opened at 19.5 which is why I didn't play it. I have always stuck with the exact parameters I came up with, so again, I like to stay disciplined and not play "close enough". The past results also reflect that.

But like I have mentioned earlier in the thread, use the info I provided however you would like...as a guide, starting point, or feel free to be flexible with my specific parameters. I just personally am not considering it a system play because it didn't fit exactly since it opened under 20.

[DBaseball23]

I make all my wagers on the opening lines Sunday night. It opened at 19.5 which is why I didn't play it. I have always stuck with the exact parameters I came up with, so again, I like to stay disciplined and not play "close enough". The past results also reflect that.

But like I have mentioned earlier in the thread, use the info I provided however you would like...as a guide, starting point, or feel free to be flexible with my specific parameters. I just personally am not considering it a system play because it didn't fit exactly since it opened under 20.

Thanks 70kg!

GL

[shroomysoup]

2-2 for Filter A this week if you include Utah. One thing I will never do again is back TCU if they are favored by more than 24 points because they are the not kind of team that will put up a ton. I think Zona was a good play, just bad luck with an overachieving Wash St. defense.

Let's get a winning record next week!

[shroomysoup]

I looked up the Filter A's ahead of time for 70kgman. I didn't look at Filter B.

Filter A:

Texas -22 vs. Iowa State
Idaho -21.5 vs. New Mexico St.
Stanford -35 vs. Washington St.
Virginia -22.5 vs. Eastern Michigan

None of these look good to be honest.

[frankzig]

some good inf bol

[hoopmagic5]

If you tease these teams which I have done in 7 point teasers..... i have not lost the last two weeks...just a suggestion Good Luck!!!!

[70kgman]

Off to a bit of a slow start. But it seems more bad luck than bad picks, most losses seem to be losing by just a couple points every week that you can usually trace back to one missed opportunity in the game that blew the cover.

Here are the week 8 plays:

Filter A: Stanford (-34.5)

Filter B: Texas (-21.5)

YTD:
A: 5-4 (+1.2 units)
B: 1-2 (-1.2 units)
------------------
6-6 (+0 units)

[70kgman]

I looked up the Filter A's ahead of time for 70kgman. I didn't look at Filter B.

Filter A:

Texas -22 vs. Iowa State
Idaho -21.5 vs. New Mexico St.
Stanford -35 vs. Washington St.
Virginia -22.5 vs. Eastern Michigan

None of these look good to be honest.

Think you have it a little backwards. Only defensive teams that average over 5 YPC qualify. And the team you are wagering on offensive YPC average sets the filters. Therefore, Stanford is a filter A, Texas is a filter B, and Idaho and Virginia are voided because they average under 4 YPC offensively.

I think Zona was a good play, just bad luck with an overachieving Wash St. defense.

More like bad luck with Zona's starting QB getting injured on one of the first plays of the 2nd quarter. I think Zona would of covered easily without that injury.

[jose21_us]

i will try to tease them this week to see if it hits!

[DBaseball23]

I missed week 5, but I teased every play for weeks 6-7 and finished at 6-3-1. Im going to continue to tease until the system proves itself otherwise. GL

[sunzal]

i teased em this week and it worked great...i really love this idea when you get those extra 7-10 points (i took 10 to be safe)

[He_Who_Forgets]

I missed week 5, but I teased every play for weeks 6-7 and finished at 6-3-1. Im going to continue to tease until the system proves itself otherwise. GL

how did you tease them?

[daddyv]

thats a great idea i just went a 2T: Stanford -27.5 & Texas -13.5 n unloaded 10U on it.

[70kgman]

For you playing the teasers, here is what I came up with for the season so far if you played them that way...

If you teased each game individually 7+ points (even 6 would of been good enough) to win one unit each: 10-2 (guessing around +5 units)

If you took all the plays game each week and played every possible combination of a 2-team 7 point teaser to win 1 unit each: 13-6 (+6.7 units)

[gogogo]

good luck all u guy this week

[barnefrank]

I have watched this seasons NCAA games live on Fox Sports and enjoyed a lot. Thia was nice to watch matches live online through the internet direct to my pc.