VIA's Week 5 Wagers

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  • VolinArizona
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-06-07
    • 171

    #1
    VIA's Week 5 Wagers
    YTD: 27-22 +2.8u

    I don't see too many juicy lines this week, but I've made good money on totals so far this year. Up to now, I have 3 bets placed.

    Michigan State +7 @ Wisconsin
    I don't understand this line. Michigan State has played better football than Iowa, who took Wisconsin to the brink, and probably should have won. MSU has already been to a hostile stadium in South Bend (though against a bad team). Both teams will run the ball and grind the clock out. MSU ranks 33rd against the run, 35th against the pass, and 17th in total yardage defense. In fact, MSU's defense ranks better than the Badgers' defense in almost every category, with a big time advantage in pass defense. I'll take a long look at the under, as well.

    Indiana +11.5 @ Iowa
    I think Indiana honestly could win this game outright. I like Illinois a lot, so I feel like the Hoosiers loss wasn't that big of a deal. This could be a revenge game for the Hawkeyes, though, as they lost at home to Indiana by 3 last year. Indiana ranks 55th in rushing defense and 68th in passing defense, but Iowa doesn't have the offense to take advantage, as they rank in the bottom 10 teams in total offense! Keep in mind that Iowa has tons of injuries and suspensions to key players as well.

    UTEP +2 @ SMU
    Eh? This SMU team allows 362 passing yards per game and actually ranks 164th in the country behind many 1-AA teams. Granted, the UTEP offense isn't very good, but their defense (while also bad) is better all around than SMU's. Plus, Mike Price is a better coach Phil Bennett. UTEP also kept it close at New Mexico State, a place much harder to play at than SMU, and covered at Texas Tech. While UTEP won't blow SMU out, I think they should win outright.
  • bigboydan
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-10-05
    • 55420

    #2
    I'm liking your UTEP game sir.

    SMU shouldn't be giving points to UTEP in this matchup at all IMO
    Comment
    • VolinArizona
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-06-07
      • 171

      #3
      Thank you sir. I was surprised, so I looked for anything that might make that make sense.
      Comment
      • rjt721
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-06-07
        • 7929

        #4
        I'm leaning to UTEP as well.

        I was hoping to get +9 or better with MSU, so I'll probably pass. I do agree with the play, though.

        Good luck.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Looks like 3-0 to me!

          Good Luck Vol.
          Comment
          • BuddyBear
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-10-05
            • 7233

            #6
            not so sure about MSU...hope they win though.
            Comment
            • pags11
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-18-05
              • 12264

              #7
              volin,

              while I'm not sure playing at Notre Dame and at Wisconsin are comparable in terms of HFA (Wisconsin's is much stronger), I do agree with your thoughts on MSU...GL...
              Comment
              • VolinArizona
                SBR High Roller
                • 09-06-07
                • 171

                #8
                Added at the last minute:

                Memphis @ Arkansas State O62
                Comment
                • onlooker
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 36572

                  #9
                  Originally posted by VolinArizona
                  Added at the last minute:

                  Memphis @ Arkansas State O62
                  I have the UNDER 62 on that game.
                  Comment
                  • bradleysnyder
                    Restricted User
                    • 04-18-07
                    • 6662

                    #10
                    Msu Is "due" For A Let Down.
                    Comment
                    • VolinArizona
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 09-06-07
                      • 171

                      #11
                      Originally posted by bradleysnyder
                      Msu Is "due" For A Let Down.
                      I agree that they are, but Wisconsin is "due" for one of those close games to not go their way. What do you think?
                      Comment
                      • VolinArizona
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 09-06-07
                        • 171

                        #12
                        Originally posted by onlòóker
                        I have the UNDER 62 on that game.
                        Should be a close one. If ASU gets the O on track, it's an easy over, but it's also a big IF.
                        Comment
                        • Tus
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 09-11-07
                          • 31

                          #13
                          Why everytime you guys say this team is going to win but at the end the opposite usually the winner... why...why...why???
                          Comment
                          • VolinArizona
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 09-06-07
                            • 171

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Tus
                            Why everytime you guys say this team is going to win but at the end the opposite usually the winner... why...why...why???
                            What?
                            Comment
                            • VolinArizona
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 09-06-07
                              • 171

                              #15
                              Added a good amount of plays tonight. Here is the most likely final slate:

                              Indiana +11.5 @ Iowa
                              Michigan State +7 @ Wisconsin
                              UTEP +2 @ SMU
                              Cal @ Oregon O72
                              Michigan State @ Wisconsin U45.5
                              Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan O59
                              Buffalo @ Ball State O64.5
                              UCLA @ Oregon State O52.5
                              Notre Dame @ Purdue O54
                              Washington State @ Arizona O60
                              Arizona State @ Stanford O59.5
                              Louisiana Tech @ Fresno State -11.5
                              Florida Atlantic @ Kentucky O65.5
                              Wisconsin Total Points U26 -115 instead of -110
                              Baylor @ Texas A&M O59
                              Memphis @ Arkansas State O62 WINNNNNNNER
                              Last edited by VolinArizona; 09-29-07, 10:58 AM.
                              Comment
                              • rjt721
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-06-07
                                • 7929

                                #16
                                I also like the MSU/Wisky under.

                                Good luck this weekend.
                                Comment
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