Big Money on Texas

**Frankie4fingers** · 01-06-10, 06:15 PM

OR

Tough Call...I gotta do some more research

**theplagy** · 01-06-10, 06:22 PM

I'll take both and pay them both juices

**SRBI** · 01-06-10, 06:32 PM

Gonna have to take some time and study these two, though I am leaning Texas

**Serbone** · 01-06-10, 06:41 PM

Originally posted by SamsonSharp

The line is anywhere from 3.5-5 (from what Ive seen).
From what Ive gathered all signs seem to point to Alabama covering the spread.

But theres alot of big money on Texas.. What do they know?

-IMO Alabama is a little bit better than last and if they dont come to play you saw what happened in the Utah game, maybe thats it?

-But Bama has played a tougher schedule they have been battle tested. They beat Florida easily while Texas really struggled with Nebraska.

-Bama has a good Defense good, running game, average passing game, Texas has a good defense, good passing, horrible running..

1 dimensional team against a good pass rush smells trouble

....So the question is... What do they know??

Big money on Texas? Says who? I see 66% on Alabama.

**Jasonal_98** · 01-06-10, 06:43 PM

The line has gone down despite the percentage. That indicates $$$ going toward UT. I still don't see it.

**Ralphie1412** · 01-06-10, 06:54 PM

Remember when bama played ole miss.....it went from -6 to -4 with everyone on bama.....sometimes vegas is backed into a corner and has to try tricks to get people to take texas.

**TT77** · 01-06-10, 06:58 PM

Texas huge

**paste_me** · 01-06-10, 07:42 PM

bama is way more determined to win this game!!! they don't have a national tittle!

**Busterflywheel** · 01-06-10, 08:19 PM

Neither...I WANT ME SOME LATINA

**Busterflywheel** · 01-06-10, 08:19 PM

Oh wait a minute the game....UMM texas plus points yea..

**mmike032** · 01-06-10, 09:18 PM

Originally posted by paste_me

bama is way more determined to win this game!!! they don't have a national tittle!

Bama has a bunch of national titles.

**LT Profits** · 01-06-10, 09:20 PM

Originally posted by Serbone

Big money on Texas? Says who? I see 66% on Alabama.

There is HUGE money on Texas here, which frankly baffles me. 67% of all bets are on Alabama, and yet the line has dropped two points at Pinny.

**INVEGA MAN** · 01-06-10, 09:30 PM

Too many people like Bama. Maybe Texas isnt going to show up

**LT Profits** · 01-06-10, 09:36 PM

Originally posted by INVEGA MAN

Too many people like Bama. Maybe Texas isnt going to show up

Sharps obviously like Texas, and I hate being on opposite side of them. I just think Alabama should win easily here vs. a one-dimensional offense like the Horns.

**thebestthereis** · 01-06-10, 10:05 PM

Bama wins and covers

**mmike032** · 01-06-10, 10:32 PM

sharps were on Cincy also

**LT Profits** · 01-06-10, 11:07 PM

Originally posted by mmike032

sharps were on Cincy also

True but they are right more often than they are wrong, so I always hate to be on the opposite side.

**lenahanj** · 01-06-10, 11:11 PM

Texas wins the game i dont give a crap who likes who. . .the public is ALWAYS wrong now i not just betting Texas because of that fact but it doesnt worry me one bit ohh shit 66% of people pick bama watch Texas out play them Bama comes in over there head expecting to win because they killed the oh so great Tebow and Florida. . . Mccoy and Shipley will dominate watch and learn fellas stop looking at BS numbers

**pavyracer** · 01-06-10, 11:13 PM

Remember the sharps were on Ohio St +3.5 two years ago. LSU won easily by 2 TD's. Texas offense can't outscore Alabama. This is all you need to cap for this game.

**GiveMeaBJ** · 01-06-10, 11:14 PM

The sharps aren't on Texas. You guys read into things too much and 90% of the time have no clue what a line move means.

**GiveMeaBJ** · 01-06-10, 11:16 PM

Originally posted by lenahanj

Texas wins the game i dont give a crap who likes who. . .the public is ALWAYS wrong now i not just betting Texas because of that fact but it doesnt worry me one bit ohh shit 66% of people pick bama watch Texas out play them Bama comes in over there head expecting to win because they killed the oh so great Tebow and Florida. . . Mccoy and Shipley will dominate watch and learn fellas stop looking at BS numbers

This coming from you. The public is ALWAYS wrong. You make no sense. If the public was always wrong we would all be rich.

**Brick** · 01-06-10, 11:17 PM

Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ

The sharps aren't on Texas. You guys read into things too much and 90% of the time have no clue what a line move means.

Enlighten us as to what a line move means.

**easyaxess** · 01-06-10, 11:19 PM

Texas

**harlee71** · 01-06-10, 11:25 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Remember the sharps were on Ohio St +3.5 two years ago. LSU won easily by 2 TD's. Texas offense can't outscore Alabama. This is all you need to cap for this game.

Your crazy for saying that.

Bama scored 12 against Tennessee
Auburn had Alabama until the end

National Rank of Offense

Texas

Rush 55
Pass 14
Total yards 20
Scoring 3

Bama

Rush 12
Pass 84
Total Yards 35
Scoring 26

I like the Longhorns chances.

**tltaylor89** · 01-06-10, 11:26 PM

I really hope Texas wins tomorrow

**MartyMcFly** · 01-06-10, 11:28 PM

Should be a good game

**pavyracer** · 01-06-10, 11:29 PM

Originally posted by harlee71

Your crazy for saying that.

Bama scored 12 against Tennessee
Auburn had Alabama until the end

National Rank of Offense

Texas

Rush 55
Pass 14
Total yards 20
Scoring 3

Bama

Rush 12
Pass 84
Total Yards 35
Scoring 26

I like the Longhorns chances.

What's the highest ranked team Texas faced all season? Nebraska? They needed a FG as time expired to win as 14 points favorites.

How many ranked teams Alabama faced and covered the spread handily? Ole Miss, Florida, LSU, Virginia Tech etc

**jayc88** · 01-06-10, 11:31 PM

Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ

The sharps aren't on Texas. You guys read into things too much and 90% of the time have no clue what a line move means.

if you believe anyone who says he is hitting around 60 or 70 % of his plays for the year,
i wonder who the one is who doesnt have any clue at all.

**GiveMeaBJ** · 01-06-10, 11:32 PM

Originally posted by Brick

Enlighten us as to what a line move means.

Ok, this game actually came up when I called out to Vegas for my article. I am tracking this line move in the article. Here is an excerpt from the line moves section:

"So what about a game with a months worth of hype surrounding it? Here is Sharp #1's take on the Alabama/Texas National Championship contest:
"Most places opened this at Texas +6 or +5.5. A lot of big money came in on Texas early on forcing them to push the line as low as Alabama +4. However, in games like these, Super Bowls, BCS Bowls, etc. Big money will always come in early on a dog this high, no matter the teams. The bottom line is there is more value in the early line with the dog in big games. They know the line will sink and once it does they will either come over the top with Alabama for more money or hedge it completley with a shot at a small middle. Texas backers who missed out on the +6 decided to wait the line out as the difference between +4/+5/+5.5 is very minimal in football. They will wait as long as they can to try to get that line as high as they can. Most of the big money I have talked to is going on Alabama and since the +6 was too high to play for a Bama backer they had to put up a bet on Texas to start this line moving down. Most guys I have talked to either already came over the top on Alabama -4 but some are waiting until Thursday to see if bigger line services will release Texas and books will move the line to -3.5. Sure they are laying extra juice by betting both sides but they got 2 points of value making it well worth it."

Amazing how complex one game can be.

**mav2112** · 01-06-10, 11:34 PM

Originally posted by lenahanj

Texas wins the game i dont give a crap who likes who. . .the public is ALWAYS wrong now i not just betting Texas because of that fact but it doesnt worry me one bit ohh shit 66% of people pick bama watch Texas out play them Bama comes in over there head expecting to win because they killed the oh so great Tebow and Florida. . . Mccoy and Shipley will dominate watch and learn fellas stop looking at BS numbers

If you think Shipley is even going to be any kind of factor on offense you have watched Nick Saban coach defense...........I can assure you Saban will make sure that Texas #1 threat Jordan Shipley will be netralized by double teams and taken completely out of the equation.........he will make someone else beat him.

**GiveMeaBJ** · 01-06-10, 11:34 PM

Originally posted by jayc88

if you believe anyone who says he is hitting around 60 or 70 % of his plays for the year,
i wonder who the one is who doesnt have any clue at all.

They have no reason to lie to me. I don't think it is incredibly far fetched for someone to be hitting 65%. I am talking big pros in Vegas, not the guys who do this offshore and call themselves pros.

Do your thing.

**TheLock** · 01-06-10, 11:35 PM

Originally posted by paste_me

bama is way more determined to win this game!!! they don't have a national tittle!

Ugh I hate this line of thinking. It's the fvcking National Championship game. Texas won't be up for this game?

**harlee71** · 01-06-10, 11:36 PM

If Tennessee can hold Alabama to 12 pts at home, Texas CAN out score Alabama.

**TheLock** · 01-06-10, 11:37 PM

Originally posted by mmike032

sharps were on Cincy also

Not the sharps who got FLA -10.5 when it opened.