BYU, Oregon St. battle in Sin City at Las Vegas Bowl

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  • Chance Harper
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-20-07
    • 788

    #1
    BYU, Oregon St. battle in Sin City at Las Vegas Bowl
    BYU, Oregon St. battle in Sin City at Las Vegas Bowl

    The bowl season kicks off officially on Saturday, and the first matchup of ranked teams will be next Tuesday in Las Vegas when the Beavers take on the Cougars of BYU.


    This has been a pretty lousy year for the Pacific-10 Conference. The Oregon Ducks are going to the Rose Bowl as the No. 7 team in the BCS standings, but every other team in the Pac-10 lost at least four games this year.

    That includes two of the participants in the opening week of the college football bowl season, each facing a tough opponent from the Mountain West Conference. Motivation will be hard to come by for the Pac-10 representatives in these matchups.

    Las Vegas Bowl: No. 18 Oregon State vs. No. 14 Brigham Young (+2½, 60½)
    Tuesday, Dec 22 - 8:00 p.m. (ET) ESPN
    The Beavers (8-4 SU, 7-4 ATS) had a chance to be in the Rose Bowl, but they missed out by losing 37-33 to the Ducks in the latest installment of their Civil War. Little consolation for the Beavs that they were 9 ½-point underdogs in this contest, their fourth cover in a row and seventh in eight games.

    The Cougars (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS) are in their fifth straight Las Vegas Bowl after finishing the season strong at 8-1 SU and 4-5 ATS, but mostly against cupcake opposition. BYU went 2-2 SU and 2-1 ATS in the previous four bowls – there were no betting odds at game time for last year’s 31-21 loss to Arizona.

    The advanced stats suggest Oregon State is easily the better of the two teams. The Beavers rank No. 13 in the FBS according to Brian Fremeau’s efficiency numbers, with BYU trailing at No. 48.

    Again, the Mountain West was pretty weak this year aside from Brigham Young, Utah and Texas Christian. The Horned Frogs (-2½) stomped the Cougars 38-7 in Week 8, but the Cougs were able to overcome Utah (+7½) 26-23 in overtime to win the Holy War. There was also that 14-13 season-opening upset over Oklahoma (-22½), although the Sooners proved to be less than championship material this year.

    The consensus reports at press time had 85 percent of bettors hitting Oregon State, although the Cougars were drawing 65 percent support on the moneyline at +115. The 'under' was marginally ahead, thanks to the massive betting total.

    Both teams have strong offensive identities with QB Max Hall (30 TDs, 14 INTs) leading the Cougars and the talented Rodgers brothers, Jacquizz (1,377 yards rushing, 74 catches) and James (5.4 yards per carry, 87 catches) spearheading the OSU attack. Neither team is any great shakes on defense. OSU has won five straight bowl games at 3-2 ATS, so motivation might not be a problem for coach Mike Riley after all.

    Poinsettia Bowl: No. 23 Utah vs. California (-3½, 52½)
    Wednesday, Dec 23 - 8:00 p.m. (ET) ESPN
    The Utes (9-3 SU, 5-7 ATS) weren’t able to keep up with the Horned Frogs this year either, taking a 55-28 beating as 20-point road dogs. Brian Fremeau has Utah ranked No. 59 in the nation, a fair distance behind California (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS) at No. 42.

    The Golden Bears (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS) were a chic preseason pick to win the Pac-10, but flamed out with big losses to Oregon and USC to start conference play. They also got flattened 42-10 at Washington (+6½) to end the regular season.

    We see the same split on the consensus reports here as we do with the Las Vegas Bowl, as the favorites from Cal are drawing about two-thirds of the pointspread action while Utah is a near-unanimous pick on the moneyline, building even more steam as the Utes move from +130 to +145.

    The Utes are on a seven-game bowl winning streak at 6-1 ATS, so they’re used to being undervalued at this time of year. Cal has won its last four bowl games at 2-2 ATS.
    Utah may have had the simpler schedule of the two teams, but this was still the No. 25-ranked defense in the FBS and the only notable feature of either team this year. The Golden Bears have issues on the offensive line, QB Kevin Riley (14 TDs, six INTs) is prone to inconsistency, and RB Jahvid Best (6,1 yards per carry) is uncertain to play after missing the last three games of the regular season with a major concussion.

    One thing Cal will have going for it is a partisan crowd at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego.
  • LLXC
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-10-06
    • 8972

    #2
    I want to take both Pac 10 teams but seems a little square?
    Comment
    • BigdaddyQH
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-13-09
      • 19530

      #3
      Just to clarify, Arizona went off at -3.5 against BYU last year in the Vegas Bowl, and covered. A tremendous amount of late money wnet down on Arizona, moving the line from -1 to it's final resting place. As far as these two games go, The Pac 10 had 5 teams finish at 8-4. They have 7 bowl teams, and only Stanford is a dog. The Pac 10 won every bowl game they appeared in last year (5-0), and went 4-1 ATS. This is why there is so much support for Pac 10 teams. Breaking them down:

      Las Vegas Bowl: This is the 5th straight Las Vegas for BYU, so you have to ask yourself how into the game they will be. To their advantage, they did win their way into this game with an exciting win over Utah. Oregon State simply does not loose Bowl games of late. They are 5-0 in their last 5 Bowl Games. Without repeating an excellent write up above, as long as you can get Oregon State at less than -3, that should be the play.

      Pointsettia Bowl: Talk about your teams that do not lose Bowl Games, how about Utah? Since 1999 they are 8-0 S/U, and 6-2 ATS. Utah's three losses came against Oregon, TCU and BYU. Cal is an enegma. They were crushed by Oregon and USC with their best player healthy, then defeat Arizona and Stanford with him out of the line up, only to get crushed by Washington after those two wins. Go figure the Bears out. I certainly can not. If Cal plays their game, they win. If not, they lose. The line is curently -3, but it could be +3 and it would not matter to me. This game is strictly a Pass.
      Comment
      • NorCal
        SBR Rookie
        • 12-12-09
        • 25

        #4
        I disagree that it was a down year for the Pac-10, I think the opposite happened. The Pac-10 was strong all the way through, apart from WSU, and they beat each other up. For example, Washington is a lot stronger then many bowl teams this year IMO. I like a lot of the Pac-10 teams in the bowls because a lot of public money is going to think that the Pac-10 is down (because USC is down) and go against the Pac-10 schools. I feel like they will be motivated to go play someone else. I dont really like Cal or USC but if they play well I can see the Pac-10 going undefeated, ATS, in this bowl season.
        Comment
        • NorCal
          SBR Rookie
          • 12-12-09
          • 25

          #5
          Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
          Pointsettia Bowl: Talk about your teams that do not lose Bowl Games, how about Utah? Since 1999 they are 8-0 S/U, and 6-2 ATS. Utah's three losses came against Oregon, TCU and BYU. Cal is an enegma. They were crushed by Oregon and USC with their best player healthy, then defeat Arizona and Stanford with him out of the line up, only to get crushed by Washington after those two wins. Go figure the Bears out. I certainly can not. If Cal plays their game, they win. If not, they lose. The line is curently -3, but it could be +3 and it would not matter to me. This game is strictly a Pass.
          You are so right, that Cal-Utah game could flip 7pts and I still wouldn't touch it either.
          Comment
          • cmatth1326
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-18-08
            • 761

            #6
            I am going to be there! Loading up on Oregon St. There is only one problem though. My buddy that I am going with is a HUGE BYU fan.
            Comment
            • Chi_archie
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-22-08
              • 63165

              #7
              i'll be on BYU, last hoorah for a lot of these boys before they go on a 2 year door to door "mission"
              Comment
              • clarkd32
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-15-06
                • 863

                #8
                oregon st... with a little on the over as well.
                Comment
                • iceminers26
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-13-08
                  • 15600

                  #9
                  I like the under, could see BYU winning 27-21
                  Comment
                  • Shortstop
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 01-02-09
                    • 27281

                    #10
                    No opinion yet on this game...
                    Comment
                    • titleist1604
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 11-09-09
                      • 75

                      #11
                      OSU all the way
                      Comment
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