Missouri/Kansas

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  • Joepbj
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-11-09
    • 507

    #1
    Missouri/Kansas
    I love Kansas for some reason. They've lost 6 straight but 4 of those 6 were on the road. Here's why I like them:

    Motivation: Missouri is already going to a bowl regardless of this game. Kansas needs a win here to become bowl eligible. Edge: Kansas

    Location: Kansas is at home and it's their last game. Obviously there's an edge here especially playing against their biggest rival.

    QB: Kansas has the better, veteran QB in Todd Reesing and this will be his last game at home. I expect him to play well.

    History: The only trend I can see in the last 10 years is that one team will win ATS in consecutive years. There wasn't a time when 1 team beat the spread 1 year then the other team the next year. It has been the same team ATS for at least 2 years. Kansas won last year SU & ATS to start a new trend. If they win tomorrow, the pattern continues. Sounds stupid but a trend is a trend.

    The spread: 3 points.......You would think Missouri would be favored by at least 7 but I believe the oddsmakers want you to take Mizzou thinking a strong possibility Kansas wins SU. 75% of the public is on Mizzou yet no line movement. Tells me smart money (like me) is on Kansas.

    The law of averages: Kansas is 2-8 ATS.......they're just due for ATS and SU.

    Recommendation: Kansas Money Line
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