addbball - Week 1 Leans

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  • addbball
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-11-08
    • 14

    #1
    addbball - Week 1 Leans
    I've been crunching some numbers based on the moneylines available at 5dimes. Below are my current leans for Week 1. I'd prefer about twice as many bets per week to overcome the volatility involved with making so many underdog bets, but sometimes the lines with high value just aren't there. Criticism and advice are welcome.

    syracuse +220 (2.1% of bankroll)
    toledo +325 (1.45% of bankroll)
    w michigan +315 (1.68% of bankroll)
    nevada +425 (1.48% of bankroll)
    baylor +103 (2.11% of bankroll)
    n illinois +600 (0.83% of bankroll)
    new mex +425 (1.26% of bankroll)
    fl atl +1400 (0.71% of bankroll)
    buffalo +230 (2.18% of bankroll)
    c mich +360 (1.23% of bankroll)

    The percentages above are the maximum I'm willing to risk on the wager.
  • Cougar Bait
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-04-07
    • 18282

    #2
    I don't play moneylines, but I wish you luck. Welcome to SBR
    Comment
    • xyzky
      SBR MVP
      • 08-23-07
      • 1577

      #3
      You might want to research the teams as well...
      Comment
      • addbball
        SBR Rookie
        • 11-11-08
        • 14

        #4
        Originally posted by xyzky
        You might want to research the teams as well...
        I have researched the teams. If you are implying something else, please explain.
        Comment
        • SoonerBS
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 08-26-08
          • 518

          #5
          I would go with these as value bets:

          South Carolina +155

          Georgia +255

          Oregon +173

          Baylor +112

          Army +175

          Idaho +135
          Comment
          • footballmoney
            SBR High Roller
            • 01-09-09
            • 185

            #6
            Oregon +173 VALUE!!!!!!!

            Syracuse +220 NO VALUE!!!!!!
            Comment
            • soonerfan
              SBR Hustler
              • 08-04-09
              • 61

              #7
              Listen to SoonerBS.
              Comment
              • Saunders FTW
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-10-08
                • 986

                #8
                good luck abb
                Comment
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