The thing to watch is how good Tom Savage will be as Pitt's starting QB. This guy has been on 3 different teams (Rutgers, Arizona and now Pitt). This will be his first time throwing a ball in a game since 2010. If he's a good as he was, back in '09, this could be a decent game.
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hot damn. well as long as they slow it down and keep the total under 48 im good.Comment -
And another game in which the team I faded has scored in the first couple of minutes. Unfukkingreal.Comment -
I don't know why FSU is running sideways most downs? They need to just pound them straight ahead. I hated that sideways running last year and now more of the same???Comment -
And there it is Mac4lyfe.... wrap up that first half as a win....Comment -
2nd half play??Comment -
Looks like Savage can't read a defense, and Pitt can't cover any WR for FSU.Comment -
I'm usually not a parlay guy but here's one I love. I may put the Bronco's and Gators in a bunch of parlays.
#1) NFL Football
Selection : Denver Broncos 9/5/2013 5:30PM - (PST) Spread -7 -120 for Game
#2) College Football
Selection : Florida 9/7/2013 9:00AM - (PST) Spread -3 -105 for Game
Risking : 750.00 To Win : 1,934.52 USDComment -
Defense optional in the ACC...
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Football - 219 Florida State -6 -110 for 1st Half
Football - 219 Florida State/Pittsburgh U under 48 -110 for Game
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Updated Record
17-17 (50%)
8-6 (57%) on bolded playsComment -
Some Early Leans...
Oklahoma -20 -116 versus WVU
Cincinnati - 7 -124 versus Illinois
South Carolina +3.5 versus UGA
SDSU +28 versus Ohio State
Oregon -21 -125 versus Virginia
So Miss +28.5 versus Nebraska
Eastern Mich +23 versus Penn State
Michigan -3 -128 versus ND
Wash St +15 versus USC
Toledo +17.5 versus MizzouComment -
I like the dogs this week and a few that aren't.
FL -3 still looks good and starting RB back.
Western Kentucky +14 @ Tenn
SJSU +28 @ Stanford
OK State -27.5 against UTSA
I like Mich, Toledo, Oregon, Cincy, OU.
USC has QB issues, I need to read up more.
Not sure Southern Miss has offsense to cover spread.Comment -
I'm leary about Western Kentucky. Tennessee is very pumped up this season and their fans think they can win the SEC. I'm not buying it but with an energized home crowd, anything can happen. They could lose (which I doubt) but they could cover the spread in the 1st quarter. You have to think WKU will be set for a letdown.
I'm not sure about Okie State either. Their offense took a while to get going and they too could be smarting from a hard hitting game and a let down of sorts. Many of UTSA players have played against OK St guys as well.
I do like SJSU, Mich, Toledo, Oregon, Cincy and OU. I'm more fade mode with USC because of the QB situation. Neither one of them looked like they wanted the job.
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I jumped on Texas Tulane Mich And Florida earlyComment -
Anyone like the U41 or 42 in Cards/Rams?Comment -
Mac u alive bro?Comment -
Nothing booked so far this weekend correct??Comment -
I've already booked Florida -3 which I absolutely love. Only play so far.
I have several other leans in addition to the ones I posted above but still crunching numbers.
Leaning a bunch of dogs as teams will step off the gas and insert backups early in preparation for week 3...
The following games are way too many points IMO.
SE Mizzou +52 vs Ole Miss
Samford +32 vs Arkansas
Austin Peay +49 vs Vandy
I like Arky State +12.5 vs Auburn
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Congrats on that Denver cover. With ya on Florida. 4 unit bet for me. Way too physical for the canes still.Comment -
Added Play...
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Sam Houston State +38 -118 versus Texas A&M
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Bolded play that really should be double bolded along with UF.
Wow, what a spot. TAM has to be looking ahead to Alabama. Sumlin will certainly call off the dogs early in preparation for next week. Sam Houston State is no pushover. These guys were runner up in FCS the last 2 years. They've seen all these FCS schools upset FBS schools last week. This dog is ready to bite. I hate to say this but they could win this game...
TAM has so much controversy around the team. They have multiple players out again. 3 defensive starters are still out with suspensions. This is a defense that gave up 3 TD's to Rice in the first half last week. I don't trust Sumlin's defenses, never have. TAM will put up points but they will also give up points too. 38 is way too much. SHSU has 4 quality RB's that can run the rock. That should run clock well for the high cover.
Last year, Sam Houston St played TAM very well. The game was closer than the 19 point margin. TAM defenders look like they don't know how to tackle/wrap up. That is never good to cover large spreads.Comment -
I was fortunate enough to jump that Sam Houston line at +47.5 early Monday. It still is a great play at 39. No clue what the line-makers were doing there.Comment -
^I should also say that you should sprinkle a little on Sam Houston St for shits and giggles. TAM has had a media circus surround them and they have a lot of freshman out there playing football. That can always spell disaster if they start feeling pressure that can burst pipes.
Another bolded play...
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Michigan -3 -118 vs Notre Dame
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I had a long write up but my computer crashed. Dammit. I don't trust Notre Dame's offense. I don't see them putting enough points on the board in this one. Michigan threw 5 interceptions last year plus lost a fumble and still was within 7 points last year. I can't stress how much of an upgrade getting rid of Denard is. I don't think this game will be close. I'm liking UM by about 15 points. I think the Under is a good play as well.
This is a big booty play...
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btw, nice W on Denver
it started off shaky but ya cashed it.Comment -
Yeah, Manning looked a bit flustered in that first half. I had a good feeling about it though.
Bronco's should be on auto tail in the 2nd half at home. That altitude and uptempo offense just demolishes defenses in the 2nd half. They were money last year and you have to think they are going to be covering fools this year too.
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This game was tighter than the score. A&M was struggling in the first half. Sam Houston got a few drives but would stall on each one of them. TAM sat on 7 for a while off a big play I think then got 14 off something else (I can't remember) but it was like 14-0. Then Sam Houston throws a stupid interception in their own red zone then fumbled in their red zone on the next possession and that started the rout near the end of halftime. TAM put up like 14 points in a minute and 21 in a few minutes. That was the game.
but 2nd half SHSU got their legs under them and started driving the ball better. They were moving the ball pretty much at will. TAM was getting quick TD's but SHSU was getting good sustained drives, several of them stalled without points but I think they outscored TAM in the 2nd half. They were also hitting hard as well. Manziel came out in the 3rd early but I thought he might had to go back in. It really felt like they could have gotten back in that game with a little more time. I think they were in the red zone at the end of the game too, so they could have put up a few more points.
I expect to see a very similar result but more than likely closer. TAM will want to rest guys so SHSU should be able to make a little run. TAM's defense seemed so porous against the run that if SHSU can stay committed to the run they can eat clock and lower the score. Look back at that game. It was much closer than the score. Look at the Texas/ New Mexico St game this week. NMSU is playing neck and neck with them in what looked like a possible upset then Texas started scoring at will. Most casual observers will say they got their asses kicked (which they did) but it really was closer than the score IMO (at least in the first half).
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Another game I'm really liking but still researching before I make it a play just yet is UNLV +10.5 versus Arizona.
These teams look like mirror images of each other. Short passing mixed with runs. Okay defense but lousy special teams. UNLV actually dominated Minny last week but Minny had a kickoff for a TD, then a block FG attempt ran back for a TD and an interception for a TD. Hard to come back from all those mistakes. I think at home, they are going to be a bit more confident and are still smarting from last week and can't wait to get back on the football field.
This line should be more like Zona -3. What am I missing??Comment
