2013 Mac's Early Leans

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  • Urbanwildlife
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-06-11
    • 5958

    #736
    It is all in a days work my friend, some guys have it, others do not! Thank you for your kind words. Come visit me here in Colombia on the 26th of the month. I am going to have a great party that you will never want to leave. I have a place for you to stay. Contact me via email if you are interested. I live in Cartagena. Out of Houston you can take a Copa flight via Panama, as I have taken it many times. Check your message box my friend.
    Comment
    • Go State
      SBR High Roller
      • 11-01-09
      • 137

      #737
      Just a heads up on the MSU game Russell still has not been cleared to play Mullen has said that if he is cleared medically he will start.
      Comment
      • easyliving
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-25-12
        • 8876

        #738
        remember you had a solid year last year looking forward to your picks, especially those big dogs.
        Comment
        • Mac4Lyfe
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-04-09
          • 48424

          #739
          He'll be cleared in the morning. He will be available. But, I personally don't mind having Dak at the wheel.

          Grind time...







          Originally posted by Go State
          Just a heads up on the MSU game Russell still has not been cleared to play Mullen has said that if he is cleared medically he will start.
          Comment
          • Mac4Lyfe
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-04-09
            • 48424

            #740
            Originally posted by easyliving
            remember you had a solid year last year looking forward to your picks, especially those big dogs.

            Here are a few dogs I'm looking at. I haven't made them plays yet but for shits and giggles it's always fun to throw a little ML action. Unfortunately, Heritage seems to not put out a lot of high dogs ML's until late if not at all.


            Georgia State +39 vs WVU... Can WVU's offense put up 39 points??

            New Mexico +22 vs Pitt... Pitt's defense looked horrible. New Mexico is a running team, which Pitts struggles more against the pass but this team has issues. Will almost an extra week help?

            Tennessee +28 vs Oregon... Tennessee just doesn't have the team speed but can they put up points on offense to cash the large spread? I kinda like UT first half as Oregon tends to start slow. Plus an early start on the west coast tends to not have the crowd support.

            Southern Miss +22 vs Arkansas... Arkansas is still inconsistent to me but SoMiss is a train wreck. I don't see them having a chance to cash ML but a team like Arkansas could feel the pressure and implode.

            Tulsa +24.5 vs Oklahoma... Another game where a team like OU could feel pressure early and implode. I don't trust the offense which means they have to play very close to the vest. Tulsa had a nice win over Colorado State after the BG debacle. They are a pretty solid MAC team that could bite as a dog here.

            Purdue +21 vs ND... I already mentioned this game. Another situation where the offense (ND) isn't consistent enough to be relied on. Purdue took a step back with a new system but will the light bulb turn on?

            Western Mich +31 vs Northwestern... NWU has been playing very good ball BUT don't they always shit the bed in games you don't expect? They still keep teams hanging around and never seem to put them away. NWU should take care of business but you never know when they are looking ahead.

            UTSA +26 vs Arizona... Hmmnm, this game may be a play for me. UTSA is a freaking scrappy bunch. They piss you off with their offense. The QB is very underrated IMO and is getting better every week. Az really impressed me against UNLV but how legit is UNLV? How well can UTSA play on the road at night is a big question but this team can put up points when they are clicking and can milk clock which helps cover a large line.
            Comment
            • El Nino
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-03-12
              • 18426

              #741
              Mac, talk me out of Rice -6.5. Been considering it as a big play. Just feel like I'm missing something. They should run all over Kansas.

              Also, is the line delay for Texas/Ole Miss due to Ash & Johnson's injuries, the D-Coord. getting shit canned? Combo of both? Ready to hop on Ole Miss and the over unless it's sky high.
              Comment
              • wacked
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-13-09
                • 719

                #742
                Originally posted by El Nino
                Mac, talk me out of Rice -6.5. Been considering it as a big play. Just feel like I'm missing something. They should run all over Kansas.

                Also, is the line delay for Texas/Ole Miss due to Ash & Johnson's injuries, the D-Coord. getting shit canned? Combo of both? Ready to hop on Ole Miss and the over unless it's sky high.
                The line is -4.5 Texas at some places.
                Rice should win, but as Mac stated, the QB transfer from BYU is good, just doesn't have anything around him..
                Comment
                • Jani7Bray
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 09-09-13
                  • 8

                  #743
                  The Under should be looked at in most games as well.
                  Comment
                  • El Nino
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-03-12
                    • 18426

                    #744
                    Originally posted by wacked
                    The line is -4.5 Texas at some places.
                    Rice should win, but as Mac stated, the QB transfer from BYU is good, just doesn't have anything around him..
                    Haven't seen a single Texas line at 5Dimes or BookMaker. SBR odds listed BookMaker and DSI -4.5 Texas but BookMaker has nothing for a line yet, line is blank.
                    Comment
                    • caseyman011
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-01-11
                      • 583

                      #745
                      Mac, you mentioned not wanting to go back to 5dimes. What happened with your relationship with them if you don't mind saying?
                      Comment
                      • Mac4Lyfe
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-04-09
                        • 48424

                        #746
                        I've got to take Ole Miss here. Other than it being on the road and them making mistakes for being young, this is a great spot for them to punch UT while they're down. UT's offense is suspect and the defense is smarting after an ass whooping. Heritage has Ole Miss +2.5, I took them +120 ML.


                        Originally posted by El Nino
                        Haven't seen a single Texas line at 5Dimes or BookMaker. SBR odds listed BookMaker and DSI -4.5 Texas but BookMaker has nothing for a line yet, line is blank.

                        Me 2. Rice should roll here. The line gave me caution but it's going up as expected. This is a great play IMO. I took Rice -7 -103.

                        [QUOTE=El Nino;19604846]Mac, talk me out of Rice -6.5. Been considering it as a big play. Just feel like I'm missing something. They should run all over Kansas.



                        Their site had a lot of problems last year. You couldn't log on prior to a lot games, had to use alternate mirror sites, which was a pain in the ass to keep up with. But, they made a mistake on a payout, then wanted me to pay a fee for their mistake. WTF? That was enough to let me know to go elsewhere.
                        Originally posted by caseyman011
                        Mac, you mentioned not wanting to go back to 5dimes. What happened with your relationship with them if you don't mind saying?
                        Comment
                        • wacked
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-13-09
                          • 719

                          #747
                          Mac's here's what I'm on this week. Lots of games out there.
                          Here's what I like and I've put a little on all these so far.

                          Minnesota -24 vs W. Illinois (Too much for W. Illinois to weather)
                          Youngstown St +25.5 vs Michigan St (This team is no slouch, & Mich St has the case of the USC scoring)
                          Bowling Green +3 vs Indiana (Tough one, but Indiana has no run D, as we saw last week)
                          Western Kentucky -9.5 vs South Alabama (So many turnovers last week against Tenn, should roll here)
                          Oregon -27.5 vs Tenn (Oregon's QB is amazing, offense keeps rolling, D is not too bad either)
                          Louisiana Monroe +3.5 vs Wake Forest (More offense than Wake can handle)
                          Rice -6.5 vs Kansas (I hope Rice destroys Kansas)
                          N. Illinois -28 vs Idaho (This team is really good, hope they don't pull starters early, but Idaho is horrid)
                          Utah -3 vs Oregon St (Multiple O-Line starters out for OSU and starting LB is out I believe also)
                          Arizona -26 vs UTSA (Arizona is running Rich Rod's hurry up spread and they can put on the points)
                          Texas A&M +7.5 vs Bama (Just think they can score enough & Bama's offense won't score every time)
                          Navy -16 vs Delaware (Navy rolling with option attack. Don't see the Fightin Blue Hens stopping them)
                          o59.5 Navy vs Delaware (45-21?... more?)
                          Louisville -13.5/-13 vs Kentucky (UL great on both sides of ball, and they want this game)
                          Illinois +10 vs UDUB (Soldier Field) (Can't beat +10 &, this isn't being played in Seattle)
                          o63 Illinois vs UDUB (Soldier Field) (All they do is both score points.)
                          u43 /USC vs BC (How bad is USC's offense? Worst I've seen in forever)

                          Looking at these:

                          o60 Bama vs A&M (Should be a shoot out, not sure if they can really stop each other, I know A&M won't, so they will need to score and I see it being in the 30s for both teams.

                          Nicholls St +26 vs UL Lafayette (If Nicholls gets their #1 starting QB back who has been out since Week 1 with a concussion then I'll take the points. If not, they are on the #4, who can't pass worth crap, but he can scramble. I think he's going to play, just sure, Beaux Hebert (Bobby Hebert's son)

                          Quote from article below:

                          "If veteran Beaux Hebert – son of former Northwestern State star and long-time Saints signalcaller Bobby Hebert – can't go after sitting out the WMU game with a concussion, the starting QB role will fall to Tuskani Figaro for his first-ever collegiate start. Projected NSU signalcaller Landry Klann is redshirting after a shoulder injury in spring drills required surgery, and dynamic Kalen Henderson suffered a broken leg in the Western Michigan game and is lost for the season."
                          Comment
                          • Mac4Lyfe
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-04-09
                            • 48424

                            #748
                            2 Big Booty plays, locked and loaded... Both bolded

                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            Rice 9/14/2013 4:30PM - (PST) Spread -7 -103 for Game vs Kansas
                            Utah 9/14/2013 7:00PM - (PST) Spread -3 -113 for Game vs Oregon State

                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                            Comment
                            • Urbanwildlife
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-06-11
                              • 5958

                              #749
                              Take it to the pay window my friend! See you there! You know I love the pic and the picks!
                              Comment
                              • gojetsgomoxies
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-04-12
                                • 4222

                                #750
                                Mac,

                                like your picks. i can't do SoMiss (no play) and i like oregon. but other than that i agree on them.

                                i see another following had the fade MSU low scoring offense as big favourite. i like it, even against FCS (i think it was FCS... youngstown state)..

                                i'm also liking GT -8.5 @ duke. GT is powerful high scoring system. duke is really going to miss renfree. see win over memphis last week. and i think their defense buckles as the offense suffers.

                                i might have missed it, but i haven't seen you on the "game of the century". gotta like bama i think.
                                Comment
                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-04-09
                                  • 48424

                                  #751
                                  I keep going back and forth on this BC +14 at USC game. Who the hell are these teams?? I don't trust USC's offense which makes this 14 look like a gift but will BC screw up and score TD's for USC via pick 6's and fumbles? I'm liking BC but can't pull the trigger.
                                  Comment
                                  • gojetsgomoxies
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-04-12
                                    • 4222

                                    #752
                                    Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                    I keep going back and forth on this BC +14 at USC game. Who the hell are these teams?? I don't trust USC's offense which makes this 14 look like a gift but will BC screw up and score TD's for USC via pick 6's and fumbles? I'm liking BC but can't pull the trigger.
                                    i basically agree... although i think BC had a great game from running back last week, so maybe the coach has things working somewhat. the problem with BC apparently has been they don't have the talent for the coach's system...

                                    i was leaning UNDER but i might just do BC and the points.
                                    Comment
                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-04-09
                                      • 48424

                                      #753
                                      I don't know about GT. Duke's defense is underrated and they can move the ball offensively. I don't like that many points on the road in that game. I'm leaning Duke but not enough to play it.

                                      Yeah, it's hard to take lousy teams like SoMiss.

                                      I'm leaning TAM. That's a lot of points for an Alabama team that struggled some on offense and showed some holes on defense. TAM's offense is going to put up points. Can Alabama keep up? The crowd is going to be rocking and if TAM can stop the run (tough task), I don't see McCarron out playing Manziel.

                                      Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies
                                      Mac,

                                      like your picks. i can't do SoMiss (no play) and i like oregon. but other than that i agree on them.

                                      i see another following had the fade MSU low scoring offense as big favourite. i like it, even against FCS (i think it was FCS... youngstown state)..

                                      i'm also liking GT -8.5 @ duke. GT is powerful high scoring system. duke is really going to miss renfree. see win over memphis last week. and i think their defense buckles as the offense suffers.

                                      i might have missed it, but i haven't seen you on the "game of the century". gotta like bama i think.
                                      Comment
                                      • Mac4Lyfe
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-04-09
                                        • 48424

                                        #754
                                        An early NFL play... Bolded

                                        -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                        Selection : Cincinnati Bengals 9/16/2013 5:40PM - (PST) Spread -6½ -113 for Game vs Steelers
                                        -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                        Comment
                                        • Urbanwildlife
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-06-11
                                          • 5958

                                          #755
                                          Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                          I don't know about GT. Duke's defense is underrated and they can move the ball offensively. I don't like that many points on the road in that game. I'm leaning Duke but not enough to play it.

                                          Yeah, it's hard to take lousy teams like SoMiss.

                                          I'm leaning TAM. That's a lot of points for an Alabama team that struggled some on offense and showed some holes on defense. TAM's offense is going to put up points. Can Alabama keep up? The crowd is going to be rocking and if TAM can stop the run (tough task), I don't see McCarron out playing Manziel.
                                          BC/USC - stay away as both are bad teams.
                                          Texas A&M/Alabama, - stay away as it is a game to just enjoy watching.
                                          Comment
                                          • Mac4Lyfe
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-04-09
                                            • 48424

                                            #756
                                            Not football related BUT, I love Floyd Mayweather Saturday night. Canelo is not in the same league. Canelo will come into the fight fairly heavy once hydrated which means he will be even slower than he already is. He will try to cut the ring off on Floyd but FM is a master at controlling the ring.

                                            The line has wavered between -270 to -290. Wait right up to fight time as all the Mexican nickle and dimers drive the line up. Also look at the Under 11.5 rounds and Mayweather win by TKO. TKO was paying 5 to 1 at some shops. I like Mayweather to make a statement in this one. He is no dummy. He picks and chooses his opponents very carefully. He sees Canelo, like I see him. A slow, plodding, boxer that does not have the defensive skills nor the technique and stamina to go 12 rounds with Money May. If I can break his game down, you better believe Mayweather has.

                                            Don't fall for the trap. Every fighter Mayweather fights is built up to have a great shot to beat him by fight night. A few minutes into the fight it becomes real clear that the fighter isn't in the same class. Mayweather was born and bred to be a fighter. His defense is the best in the business, his speed is insane and he has more power than most give him credit. He just hasn't taken a lot of chances in his career but as he gets older he understands the money aspect. Plus his father is going to want him to go for the TKO.
                                            Comment
                                            • Mac4Lyfe
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-04-09
                                              • 48424

                                              #757
                                              Yeah, but bad teams and catching +14 could be a good thing. I'm curious what the line will do. You expect the west coasters to drive it up but too many have got to feel burned.

                                              I agree on enjoying TAM/Bama but this might be a good time to back the better QB. McCarron has not looked good thus far. Manziel should be better IMO.

                                              Originally posted by Urbanwildlife
                                              BC/USC - stay away as both are bad teams.
                                              Texas A&M/Alabama, - stay away as it is a game to just enjoy watching.
                                              Comment
                                              • Urbanwildlife
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-06-11
                                                • 5958

                                                #758
                                                You are correct in all aspects. Sent you a pm earlier. See you at the pay window and then come and enjoy my party!
                                                Comment
                                                • Pin Fish
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-28-08
                                                  • 1295

                                                  #759
                                                  Question do you really want to bet against a pissed of Lou Saban......do you think he has not been 200% focused on CRUSHING A&M....Do you know that in the Bama weight room the ONLY thing you have been able to watch since the Championship game is a tape of the A&M loss...........Do you think Saban showed his hand against VT...........how many starters are gone from A&M and who replaced them....BAMA loses a starter and another 5 STAR replaces him..that guy ges down and another 5 STAR is taking his place............BAMA covers easy....oh I almost forgot who did TIDE play last week...NOBODY..look for a beat down and possible take down of Mr Football.... is it possible TIDE boosters have place a bounty on him........
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Urbanwildlife
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-06-11
                                                    • 5958

                                                    #760
                                                    Totally agree with you Pin Fish. Alabama by 10+
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jalein
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-19-08
                                                      • 1005

                                                      #761
                                                      Love your Big Booty Plays. I LOVE THE GIRL YOU HAVE featured in your BIG BOOTY plays more! Where did you find that sexy, beautiful woman?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jalein
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-19-08
                                                        • 1005

                                                        #762
                                                        I am on the following:
                                                        TTech +3
                                                        Maryland -6.5
                                                        Louisville -13 for 4 units
                                                        Rice -7

                                                        BOL with all your plays!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • PorkChop
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-18-08
                                                          • 8193

                                                          #763
                                                          MAC -

                                                          Love these three with you: Western Mich, Purdue and Tulsa.

                                                          Tulsa scares me a bit with how poorly Oklahoma played against West Va last weekend. Oak may come out firing. But i like all three.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Fred The Hammer
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 08-13-13
                                                            • 11590

                                                            #764
                                                            Whats up Mac!!

                                                            Purdue is pure trash....don't do it! Kelly won't let ND sleepwalk which is the only way they don't roll. Love the Bengals pick....Steelers are done! What are your thoughts on Ttech and TCu tonite? I was really impressed with TTs fresh QB vs SMU and this doesn't look like one of TCUs better teams....although Gary Patterson is a great coach. I still think Lubbock is rocking with a young coach and +145 looks pretty tempting for atleast a small play.

                                                            Really like South. Miss @ Arkansas Over 50 and Bowling Green/Indiana Over 62.5

                                                            Arkansas might get 50 themselves....9-1 Over in SMs last 10 road games. Indy has a great high speed offense (returning 10 offensive starters and 6 of top 8 receivers) and no def. whatsover. They had 14 straight Overs from 2011-2012 and both Over this year so far. Nothing ever changes defensively for my Hoosiers unfortunately.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Fred The Hammer
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 08-13-13
                                                              • 11590

                                                              #765
                                                              Hey Mac...speaking of boxing. Have you seen this GGG kid (32 I think...def not a kid) and if so do you think he's for real? Boxing needs to get him some real fights b4 he gets too old. FM doesn't want none of that!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • wacked
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 01-13-09
                                                                • 719

                                                                #766
                                                                Troy +7 -105 looks good for tonight. The teams seem pretty even to me and the QB for Troy is having a amazing start to the year. Already set the NCAA record when he was 30/32 against UAB.

                                                                Corey Robinson threw four touchdown passes and Troy racked up 531 total yards en route to a 66-3 victory over Savannah State on Saturday night.Robinson completed 17 of 19 passes and had 180 yards passing. He has now completed 47 of 51 (92%) passes this season.

                                                                Also Troy ML +250 also would be a dog play for me.

                                                                The o67 looks like the play, but that's basically 17 points per quarter. These teams lit it up last year for 75 total points in a close 41-34 Arkansas St win.

                                                                I'll play a little on all the above, but I'll be watching the Pats game to see if they can hit the over and see how good or bad Geno Smith really is, and also to watch Brady throw to Julian Edelman, Kendel Thompkins and now, and update TE Zach Sudfeld is inactive. I'm starting to like the under even more.

                                                                Tulane +7 -105 also looks like a nice play. Joe Montana's son is the QB there and they a team on the rise. The game is on the road, which does hurt as Ruston, LA is not a fun place to live, work or play. hah
                                                                But damn, looks like there is going to be a big crowd due to these two people being there.

                                                                Comment
                                                                • ghetto1
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 10-13-09
                                                                  • 174

                                                                  #767
                                                                  Any pick for Patriots/Jets tonight Mac?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-04-09
                                                                    • 48424

                                                                    #768
                                                                    Hey. Posting from my phone.

                                                                    1 college play and 1 NFL tonite.

                                                                    -----------------------------------------------------------
                                                                    Texas Tech 9/12/2013 4:30PM - (PST) +3.-103 vs TCU

                                                                    Patriots team total Under 27 -103
                                                                    ---------------------------------------------------
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • wacked
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-13-09
                                                                      • 719

                                                                      #769
                                                                      Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                                                      Hey. Posting from my phone.

                                                                      1 college play and 1 NFL tonite.

                                                                      -----------------------------------------------------------
                                                                      Texas Tech 9/12/2013 4:30PM - (PST) +3.-103 vs TCU

                                                                      Patriots team total Under 27 -103
                                                                      ---------------------------------------------------
                                                                      I like both of those and add under 15.5 for Jets TT.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ghetto1
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 10-13-09
                                                                        • 174

                                                                        #770
                                                                        I really like TCU But I don't know much info like ya so imma following ya.i believe in u Mac and u too wacked
                                                                        Comment
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