2013 Mac's Early Leans

[Mac4Lyfe]

Yeah, I redid some numbers and now, Rice first half is bolded and the full game line is not. I still think it's a good play and I may rebold it but the first half is a better play.

Let's take Utah off the board for now. It just missed the cut. It went from bolded to no play. Both these games are later in the day so it may change. I may reduce my bet on Utah, possibly hedging out and losing juice. I'll let you know by mid afternoon.

Sorry for the change but got to get it right. Hopefully, I'm not over thinking it.

So is the rice full game vs. kansas now not a bolded play? I know you had both the Utah and Rice full games as bolded plays earlier in the week. Does that still stand?

Thanks!

[Hawaii]

Yeah, I redid some numbers and now, Rice first half is bolded and the full game line is not. I still think it's a good play and I may rebold it but the first half is a better play.

Let's take Utah off the board for now. It just missed the cut. It went from bolded to no play. Both these games are later in the day so it may change. I may reduce my bet on Utah, possibly hedging out and losing juice. I'll let you know by mid afternoon.

Sorry for the change but got to get it right. Hopefully, I'm not over thinking it.

Awesome thanks for the clarification! I'm tailing!

You said some of the bolds are 3x-5x and can go as high as 20x! Are these bolds 3x/4x type bets or more?

[Hawaii]

Here are a few dogs I'm looking at. I haven't made them plays yet but for shits and giggles it's always fun to throw a little ML action. Unfortunately, Heritage seems to not put out a lot of high dogs ML's until late if not at all.


Georgia State +39 vs WVU... Can WVU's offense put up 39 points??

New Mexico +22 vs Pitt... Pitt's defense looked horrible. New Mexico is a running team, which Pitts struggles more against the pass but this team has issues. Will almost an extra week help?

Tennessee +28 vs Oregon... Tennessee just doesn't have the team speed but can they put up points on offense to cash the large spread? I kinda like UT first half as Oregon tends to start slow. Plus an early start on the west coast tends to not have the crowd support.

Southern Miss +22 vs Arkansas... Arkansas is still inconsistent to me but SoMiss is a train wreck. I don't see them having a chance to cash ML but a team like Arkansas could feel the pressure and implode.

Tulsa +24.5 vs Oklahoma... Another game where a team like OU could feel pressure early and implode. I don't trust the offense which means they have to play very close to the vest. Tulsa had a nice win over Colorado State after the BG debacle. They are a pretty solid MAC team that could bite as a dog here.

Purdue +21 vs ND... I already mentioned this game. Another situation where the offense (ND) isn't consistent enough to be relied on. Purdue took a step back with a new system but will the light bulb turn on?

Western Mich +31 vs Northwestern... NWU has been playing very good ball BUT don't they always shit the bed in games you don't expect? They still keep teams hanging around and never seem to put them away. NWU should take care of business but you never know when they are looking ahead.

UTSA +26 vs Arizona... Hmmnm, this game may be a play for me. UTSA is a freaking scrappy bunch. They piss you off with their offense. The QB is very underrated IMO and is getting better every week. Az really impressed me against UNLV but how legit is UNLV? How well can UTSA play on the road at night is a big question but this team can put up points when they are clicking and can milk clock which helps cover a large line.

Saw that you liked these bets earlier in the week as far as underdog ML's go.

I love throwing a few on heavy underdogs where I can see value especially because it's still early in the week!

Other than New Mexico (which I love) do you see any other underdogs that are capable of pulling the upset? Maybe Nevada over FSU or Kent St. over LSU?

[PorkChop]

Mac - you playing the Va Tech - East Car game?

[Mac4Lyfe]

It's so tough when these dogs are heavily outmatched. Georgia State and New Mexico are the 2 that stick out not because they are very good (they're both trash) but WVU and Pitt are both struggling. Both offenses are erratic and inconsistent, which means they have a low margin for error. USC and the drama with Kiffen opens up a possible ML with Boston College (it was very close to a play for me). Their offense is also stuck in the mud. It's always worth throwing a lil bit if you can fading these type of teams.

I see no way in hell that Tennessee can hang with Oregon. Oregon 2nd half is probably going to be a big play for me. The game line was very close an Oregon play for me because when UT loses, they lose by a lot of points BUT, I could see some stupid back door shit. Watch the first half and get ready to hammer Oregon 2nd half if it's somewhat close in the first half. UT has a lot of guys out in this one and their depth is poor. UT will have a ton of fans at the game (~8,000 - 10,000), and Oregon tends to start slow, especially an early start, I can't touch Oregon 1st half. Heavy lean to the 2nd half and small lean that they cover the -28. UT ML has no value to me here.

UTSA is the type of team that can get under your skin and make you make mistakes because you're pissed off mentally. Arizona is a lot better than them but perfect storm and they have the offense that could cause teams trouble.

Tulsa is possible as OU is inconsistent but very low probability. Western Michigan I don't see winning, neither Purdue nor Arkie St.

I'm going to throw a lil on Georgia State and NM.

Saw that you liked these bets earlier in the week as far as underdog ML's go.

I love throwing a few on heavy underdogs where I can see value especially because it's still early in the week!

Other than New Mexico (which I love) do you see any other underdogs that are capable of pulling the upset? Maybe Nevada over FSU or Kent St. over LSU?

[Mac4Lyfe]

VaTech -8.5 is one of my plays...

I also like them first half -4.5 but it didn't make my final list. We'll see today if ECU can really move the ball against a quality defense. I don't think so and I think they will turn the ball over here. I just need Logan Thomas to not get stupid and do the same. I have a feeling, he is going to have a great day in this one which is why I like VT.

Mac - you playing the Va Tech - East Car game?

[Taco MacArthur]

With you on Louisville first half. Would love a first down from them.

[wassup]

Texas A&M +290 first half ... vs Alabama

Is this one for full or 1st half, it says 1st half but the odds are for full game (1st half is around +200)

[DirtyBird1500]

Hey Mac - GL today brother. Not feeling Illinois anymore? I can get them at +10 right now and thinking about pulling the trigger...

[loodachris99]

This bowling green game is brutal

[jalein]

I got 7 units on the Louisville game between the half and the game total. I am NOT liking what I am seeing ONE LITTLE BIT thus far. any thoughts recommendations on a second half play to minimize loss? I got Louisville -13.5 an -13 for the game and -7.5 for the half.

[Mac4Lyfe]

Yeah, typo, should be +195 for the first half.

Is this one for full or 1st half, it says 1st half but the odds are for full game (1st half is around +200)

[Mac4Lyfe]

Of course both teams shit the bed when I'm on the over. Can't even punch in first and goal on the 1/2 yard line... TWICE.

And, I don't know what the fukk UL is doing? Is Bridgewater hurt? He's not even able to pass the ball.

There we go. TD, finally. Dam. UL may find a way to lose this game.

Ga State and New Mexico both look like they don't give a shit. Taking the pay check and ready to get on the bus already. Unfukingreal.

This bowling green game is brutal

[Mac4Lyfe]

UL is a better 1st half team than 2nd half which is not good. Half to find a way to hedge. Coach Strong is playing this game too tight for my likening. He needs to open this shit up on offense.

I got 7 units on the Louisville game between the half and the game total. I am NOT liking what I am seeing ONE LITTLE BIT thus far. any thoughts recommendations on a second half play to minimize loss? I got Louisville -13.5 an -13 for the game and -7.5 for the half.

[Mac4Lyfe]

Bowling Green and Indiana are both in the red zone every possession but neither can score points. Frustrating as fukk... The over is dead.

Stupid penalties not helping the over either.

[jalein]

agreed

[Mac4Lyfe]

WTF Charlie Strong??? You get a turnover with 50 seconds left and you don't try to get a FG??? I hope these bitches lose now. That was straight up horseshit. Is he on the fukking take?

[thunderous]

WTF Charlie Strong??? You get a turnover with 50 seconds left and you don't try to get a FG??? I hope these bitches lose now. That was straight up horseshit. Is he on the fukking take?

That is what I was thinking....fukkers

[Mac4Lyfe]

Logan Thomas is such a fukk up. He has all that athleticism and is horrible. Dammit. VT should be up 14 points if he was worth a dam.

[Mac4Lyfe]

This BG/Indiana game should have went over in this first half. So many missed opportunities. You can't script all these failures at the goal line.

[Mac4Lyfe]

Another missed FG for BG...

Stop letting this kicker kick. He is on the fukking take. Fuk.

[Mac4Lyfe]

Now, Indiana takes a knee to end the half??? WTF? These coaches are fukking clueless. BG was hemorrhaging and you let them off the hook? This is how you lose games.

[gojetsgomoxies]

TD Georgia State!?!?..... that's my Mac "tail of the week"

[Mac4Lyfe]

It took them long enough... Good grief.

And, BG once again gets in the redzone and comes up with zero points. This unfukkking believable. Gonna need Indiana to put up 50 points on their own. WTF...

TD Georgia State!?!?..... that's my Mac "tail of the week"

[Hawaii]

Mac I remember you big on Akron a couple weeks back and I was gonna sprinkle a little on ml for giggles but got to the casino 5 mins too late! Crazy if Akron pulls it off at 100x!!

[Mac4Lyfe]

You have got to be fukking kidding me??? VaTech kicker has missed his 5th FG? Why the fukk is Beamer still letting this asshole kick FGs? This bitch has missed every fukking kick including extra point.

ECU ran into him on the miss so now it's 4th and 1. If Beamer goes for this I will fly to Va and kick his ass myself.

[Mac4Lyfe]

I played them +36... but Fukking Heritage didn't have a ML on them. UM just took the lead.

VT couldn't make a 4th and inches. Logan Thomas is so lousy. Come on ECU, beat these bitches now. I can't believe this shit. Keep missing FG's and keep throwing him out there to miss more??? It's time for Beamer to retire.

Mac I remember you big on Akron a couple weeks back and I was gonna sprinkle a little on ml for giggles but got to the casino 5 mins too late! Crazy if Akron pulls it off at 100x!!

[ghetto1]

lol mac

You have got to be fukking kidding me??? VaTech kicker has missed his 5th FG? Why the fukk is Beamer still letting this asshole kick FGs? This bitch has missed every fukking kick including extra point.

ECU ran into him on the miss so now it's 4th and 1. If Beamer goes for this I will fly to Va and kick his ass myself.

why i cant give u 5 or more sbr points? i can only give 1 or 2 points

[Dfjay9]

Rough morning Mac. I was on VT and the BG over with you as well as UL 1H. I got lucky with UL for the game. As I was placing the line changed from 14 to 13.5!

[ghetto1]

Lost bad bolded morning games...let's make a come back evening and night games Mac.

Follow u t a&m 1st half..got bama whole game and over only ore/tenn.

[Vinnie Paz]

Ghetto--you have to be an sbr pro to send more than 2 points.

[ghetto1]

ahhh ok ty

Ghetto--you have to be an sbr pro to send more than 2 points.

[No coincidences]

Now, Indiana takes a knee to end the half??? WTF? These coaches are fukking clueless. BG was hemorrhaging and you let them off the hook? This is how you lose games.

This game was, ummm, "interesting," given Billy Walters was on the under.

Coincidence?

[Mac4Lyfe]

You have to be a pro to give more than 2 points. Non pro's can only give 2 points a day.

No big deal. I'm not a big points guy. I may buy a shirt or something for the wife so she can at least think I spend a lot of time on a legitimate website. lol

lol mac


why i cant give u 5 or more sbr points? i can only give 1 or 2 points

[Mac4Lyfe]

Unreal morning. VT kicker and Beamer very suspect in that game. Miss after miss and you keep letting him kick? You're only up 3 points and you kick, then you go for it on 4th down and 1 and try a QB sneak when you couldn't get an inch before? I want to think they fixed that game because they should have easily gotten -8.5 but Beamer is so old and crusty it's just his lousy coaching.

I have never seen 2 teams get in the red zone so often like BG and Indiana and come away with 0 points. That game should have been over in the first half. Very fish shit there.

Coach Strong was very suspect in his play calling today too. Can't cap incompetence. Frustrating.

Rough morning Mac. I was on VT and the BG over with you as well as UL 1H. I got lucky with UL for the game. As I was placing the line changed from 14 to 13.5!