2013 Mac's Early Leans

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  • Mac4Lyfe
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-04-09
    • 48437

    #911
    Early leans for this week...

    Clemson 9/19/2013 4:30PM - (PST) Spread -13½ -113 for Game at NC State - Veteran Clemson team shouldn't overlook NC State

    Boise State 9/20/2013 6:00PM - (PST) Spread +3 -115 for 1st Half at Fresno State - Hate Friday games. Fade the obvious.


    Florida Intl 9/21/2013 9:00AM - (PST) Spread +43½ -108 for Game at Louisville - Seems a lot of points as UL has struggled a bit on Offense

    Massachusetts 9/21/2013 9:00AM - (PST) Spread +32 -108 for Game versus Vanderbilt - UMass is awful but are they this awful?

    Georgia Tech 9/21/2013 9:00AM - (PST) Spread -6 -108 for Game versus UNC - I hate UNC having an extra week to prepare but GT's offense is a little harder to stop than the past.

    Army 9/21/2013 9:00AM - (PST) Spread +3 -113 for Game versus Wake Forest - Wake is on life support after losing the last 2 weeks. With Clemson coming up next week, they not only looking ahead but don't have enough time to prepare for Army's run game.

    Louisiana Tech 9/21/2013 9:00AM - (PST) Spread +11 -108 for Game at Kansas - Tough call here. Kansas is starting to play better but can they put up enough points. Hate the early start for Kansas. The under is a possible play here.

    North Texas 9/21/2013 9:20AM - (PST) Spread +32½ -108 for Game at Georgia - UGA look ahead with LSU on tap. Too many points for a NTexas team that can pass well.

    Pittsburgh U/Duke 9/21/2013 9:30AM(PST) Total Points OVER 50½ -110 for Game - Are both these defenses overrated?


    Kent/Penn State 9/21/2013 12:30PM(PST) Total Points UNDER 54 -110 for Game - tough total to call. I don't see Kent scoring much so probably prefer their team total under but I haven't quite warmed up to PSU's offense either.

    Tennessee U 9/21/2013 12:30PM - (PST) Spread +16 -108 for Game at Florida - Can Florida cover any spread with that offense?

    Maryland 9/21/2013 12:30PM - (PST) Spread -5 -108 for Game Versus WVU

    Utah State/USC 9/21/2013 12:30PM(PST) Total Points UNDER 51 -110 for Game - 2 average offenses.

    UL Monroe 9/21/2013 1:00PM - (PST) Spread +29 -108 for Game at Baylor - Baylor playing better than anyone but will a week layoff have them start slow? Will they be focused with a bye after this game too?

    Notre Dame 9/21/2013 12:30PM - (PST) Spread -6½ -113 for Game versus MSU - Can MSU's offense score more than it's defense?


    Texas A&M 9/21/2013 4:00PM - (PST) Spread -28 -113 for Game versus SMU - TAM has to be smarting after the loss. Can their defense make stops? Will the offense be fired up?

    Colorado State 9/21/2013 4:00PM - (PST) Spread +39½ -108 for Game at Alabama Love this game. Might be the pick of the week. Bama coming off an emotional victory, sandwich game with Ole Miss on tap. Sabans old friend and ex OC Jim McElwain who knows Bama well. Saban calls off the dogs early in this one and rest players for next week.

    Stanford 9/21/2013 4:00PM - (PST) Spread -7 -113 for Game versus Arizona State. ASU stole a game last week. Karma bites them quick.

    Texas State 9/21/2013 4:00PM - (PST) Spread +27½ -108 for Game at Texas Tech - Texas Tech crushed TSU last year but why is the line this low? Seems like Tech should be +40 with better coaching and better players. Trap line has me leaning TSU?

    Kansas State/Texas 9/21/2013 5:00PM(PST Total Points UNDER 58 -110 for Game. Can Texas stop anyone?


    Utah 9/21/2013 7:15PM - (PST) Spread +7 -113 for Game at BYU. Can BYU pass? Can Utah stop the run better than Texas?
    Comment
    • Night-Tripper
      SBR MVP
      • 12-14-09
      • 3205

      #912
      Originally posted by Urbanwildlife
      I suppose since I am a nice guy, and your friend, I can help you!

      Utah State +6.5 (Quite simply is the better team on both sides of the ball, and they have a very very good quarterback, running backs, and receivers)

      Texas State/Texas Tech over 58.5 (Texas Tech can score this many points themselves in this game)

      Missouri/Indiana over 70 (another given, as neither team can play defense)

      Baylor -28 (UL-Monroe does not even come close to the offense of past years, scoring only 21 points last week against a poor Wake Forest team, while Baylor put up 70 points two weeks ago against Buffalo, and 69 the previous week against Wofford. Last week was a bye week for them)


      Clemson -13.5 (North Carolina State is very weak team this year, winning last week against RICHMOND by a whopping 2 points!)

      Kansas State +5.5 (Kansas State is obviously not as good as in the past few years, but they are better coached than Texas, still have a good running game, and we all know Texas has the worse of the worse of defenses against the run, as well as a new defensive coordinator in only his 2nd game at that position, plus he is worthless to begin with. Also, Texas always has problems with Kansas State)

      Now take it to the pay window, compliments of your friend Urbanwildlife!
      • I like Utah State, but I'm not comfortable in betting them at +6.5. Should it get above 7.5, I may reconsider.
      • I only play totals when there's a full moon.
      • See above comment.
      • Love Baylor, but the -28 is making me uncomfortable. They should blow ULM out, but I'm not convinced that they will.
      • Clemson -13.5. I would like to make this a 5+ unit play, but I'm not going to pull the trigger. The fact that 84% of the bets are going on the Tigers and the line has dropped from 14 isn't the sort of thing that makes me comfortable. So, I'm just going to watch the Chief game and keep tabs on Clemson/North Carolina State in the event an attractive LBO is offered. I won't make a bet because of RLM, but I will damn sure stay away from betting into the teeth of it.
      • As a Red Raider alum, I hate Texass.. and I have for over 40 years. Having said that, I will bet on the wHorns ~ once/decade. The one I made yesterday will satisfy that urge until 2020.
      Comment
      • Mac4Lyfe
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-04-09
        • 48437

        #913
        I like these picks... but,

        not sure if USC has turned a corner with Kiffens head on the chopping block. He may be finally working his ass off in order to keep it.

        The over in TSU/TT should cash in the first half.

        Same for Mizzou/Indiana but last weeks game with Indiana smelled very fishy. I hate taking teams that just played a fishy game the week before.

        Is Baylor the real deal? I want to think they are pretenders but not real sure?

        Clemson seems too easy but fukking Thursday night football.

        KSU - seems real easy but Brown fighting for his life?

        Got to look closer at these...

        Originally posted by Urbanwildlife
        I suppose since I am a nice guy, and your friend, I can help you!

        Utah State +6.5 (Quite simply is the better team on both sides of the ball, and they have a very very good quarterback, running backs, and receivers)

        Texas State/Texas Tech over 58.5 (Texas Tech can score this many points themselves in this game)

        Missouri/Indiana over 70 (another given, as neither team can play defense, and both have explosive offenses, particularly Indiana)

        Baylor -28 (UL-Monroe does not even come close to the offense of past years, scoring only 21 points last week against a poor Wake Forest team, while Baylor put up 70 points two weeks ago against Buffalo, and 69 the previous week against Wofford. Last week was a bye week for them)


        Clemson -13.5 (North Carolina State is very weak team this year, winning last week against RICHMOND by a whopping 2 points!)

        Kansas State +5.5 (Kansas State is obviously not as good as in the past few years, but they are better coached than Texas, still have a good running game, and we all know Texas has the worse of the worse of defenses against the run, as well as a new defensive coordinator in only his 2nd game at that position, plus he is worthless to begin with. Also, Texas always has problems with Kansas State)

        Now take it to the pay window, compliments of your friend Urbanwildlife!
        Comment
        • Mayonnaise
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-15-13
          • 159

          #914
          i think texas tech is suspect... i think they have spent the last week wondering how the refs still have jobs instead of preparing for a opponent. ill got with TS "+" the points

          I think mack brown needs to make a statement to keep his job, and a win in the first conference game of the season may overlook the lose to BYE & Ole MISS. id have to take texas "-" the points

          i think Duke +4 @ home is a

          GT @ home vs NC is a lock at -6
          Comment
          • Mac4Lyfe
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-04-09
            • 48437

            #915
            NFL results...

            Chicago Bears 9/15/2013 10:00AM - (PST) Spread -6 -103 for Game

            Cincinnati Bengals 9/16/2013 5:40PM - (PST) Spread -6½ -113 for Game vs Steelers
            New Orleans Saints 9/15/2013 1:05PM - (PST) Spread -3 -113 for Game
            Football - 208 Green Bay Packers -7 -113 for Game
            Football - 218 Oakland Raiders -4 -108 for Game
            Football - 197 Cleveland Browns +180 for 1st Half <------ Was supposed to been bolded
            Football - 206 Atlanta Falcons -3 -115 for 1st Half
            Football - 219 Denver Broncos -2½ -115 for 1st Half


            How did the Bears and Saints not cover? Both teams looked like they were so much better than Minny and TB but kept both teams close with WTF turnovers. Brees' pick 6 fukked us and the Bears Special teams shit the bed.

            6-2, 2-2 on bolded plays

            Updated NFL Record...

            14-5 (74%)
            6-4 (60%) on bolded plays
            Comment
            • Mac4Lyfe
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-04-09
              • 48437

              #916
              College Football results...

              Georgia State +24 First half... vs WVU
              Louisville -7.5 First half ... vs Kentucky - WTF Coach Strong. Took a knee with over a minute in the half?
              Virginia Tech -8.5 ... vs ECU - VaTech found every way possible not to cover this spread.
              New Mexico +22.5 ... vs Pitt
              Georgia Tech -8.5 ... vs Duke

              Ball State -3 ... vs North Texas - Ball State was cruising going into the half and then didn't come out of the locker room??
              Marshall 7.5 ... vs Ohio - - fukkers even lost the dam game
              Vandy +14 ... vs USC
              Maryland -3 first half ... vs Uconn
              Rice -6.5 ... vs Kansas
              Rice -3.5 first half ... vs Kansas

              ND -18.5 ... vs Purdue
              Penn State/UCF under 50.5 - WTF, when did these teams get an offense?
              BG/Indiana over 63 - This shit should have went over in the 1st half. Did Billy Walters fukk me?
              Texas A&M +290 first half ... vs Alabama - TAM went up 14-0 but couldn't sustain it with Johnny football throwing up shit for grabs.
              Utah Spread -1 -120 for 1st Half - I fell for this trap. Saw it, knew it but still went stupid.

              VaTech, UL, BG/Indy and TAM were solid plays that got bad breaks IMO. The rest, I was way off on my handicapping. Not even fukking close. Should have used a dart board on the majority of them. My worst week in a very long time. I'm going to have to reduce the number of games and focus on certain spots. I usually do much better in college but what a rough start so far.


              6-9, 3-3 on bolded plays

              Updated CFB Record
              32-33 (49%)
              14-13 (52%) on bolded plays
              Comment
              • Mac4Lyfe
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-04-09
                • 48437

                #917
                2 college plays for tonight.

                --------------------------------------------------------------------
                Clemson 9/19/2013 4:30PM - (PST)Spread -7 -115 for 1st Half
                Clemson 9/19/2013 4:30PM - (PST) Spread -13½ -113 for Game-------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Comment
                • wassup
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 05-08-13
                  • 65

                  #918
                  Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

                  Football - 219 Denver Broncos -2½ -115 for 1st Half
                  Don't want to be a bad santa , but Broncos didn't cover 1st Half spread (lead 10-9).
                  Comment
                  • ghetto1
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 10-13-09
                    • 174

                    #919
                    No nfl picks Mac? I like eagles tonight.
                    Comment
                    • AO1733
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 11-09-12
                      • 11

                      #920
                      Chiefs +3 is a great play. Short week, defense will be tired with that offense. A lot of emotion in the game but Chiefs +3 is the play.
                      Comment
                      • Mayonnaise
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 09-15-13
                        • 159

                        #921
                        I think tonite will be a easy cover for Philly. I think there defense alone is worth 7 points. Chiefs offense struggled at home against the cowboys. If des Bryant had better hand eye coordination, the chiefs would be going to Philly coming off a loss. I think Andy Reid hasn't slept last nite, and I think chip Kelly WILL make a statemt coming off a home loss and let all of philidaphia know that they hires the right guy. I think Philly -3 is a gift, because I would play them at -7.5. Just my 2 cents. Don't think chip Kelly hasn't had this game circled, and don't think Andy Reid doesn't wish he could call in sick tonite
                        Comment
                        • ghetto1
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 10-13-09
                          • 174

                          #922
                          Agree!
                          Originally posted by Mayonnaise
                          I think tonite will be a easy cover for Philly. I think there defense alone is worth 7 points. Chiefs offense struggled at home against the cowboys. If des Bryant had better hand eye coordination, the chiefs would be going to Philly coming off a loss. I think Andy Reid hasn't slept last nite, and I think chip Kelly WILL make a statemt coming off a home loss and let all of philidaphia know that they hires the right guy. I think Philly -3 is a gift, because I would play them at -7.5. Just my 2 cents. Don't think chip Kelly hasn't had this game circled, and don't think Andy Reid doesn't wish he could call in sick tonite
                          Comment
                          • Mayonnaise
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 09-15-13
                            • 159

                            #923
                            one game that does kind of worry me, is clemson tonite, and it only worries me because i have been thinking about it all day... but were talking about the #3 ranked team... playing on thursday night, only major college football game being played tonite and they want to show the world what clemson football is all about, i think -13 1/2 is a gift. looks like both teams r coming off bye weeks. i think if this game was being played in death valley, the spread would be -30 1/2... is HFA worth 14pts for NC ST? i dont think so. thats just my 2 cents tho
                            Comment
                            • Tanko
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-19-09
                              • 5143

                              #924
                              I think you are right on. The Chip Kelly offense should really be clicking by this week and theres the incentive for all the Eagles to beat their former coach.

                              Originally posted by Mayonnaise
                              I think tonite will be a easy cover for Philly. I think there defense alone is worth 7 points. Chiefs offense struggled at home against the cowboys. If des Bryant had better hand eye coordination, the chiefs would be going to Philly coming off a loss. I think Andy Reid hasn't slept last nite, and I think chip Kelly WILL make a statemt coming off a home loss and let all of philidaphia know that they hires the right guy. I think Philly -3 is a gift, because I would play them at -7.5. Just my 2 cents. Don't think chip Kelly hasn't had this game circled, and don't think Andy Reid doesn't wish he could call in sick tonite
                              Comment
                              • Night-Tripper
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-14-09
                                • 3205

                                #925
                                Originally posted by Tanko
                                I think you are right on. The Chip Kelly offense should really be clicking by this week and theres the incentive for all the Eagles to beat their former coach.
                                Majority of players were fond of Andy Reid and hated to see him go.
                                Comment
                                • ghetto1
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 10-13-09
                                  • 174

                                  #926
                                  clemson points -12.5 went down.what thats mean? vegas want you to pick nc state?
                                  Comment
                                  • brigade125
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 07-03-11
                                    • 685

                                    #927
                                    yea i saw that... seems majority of sbr on nc state cause the keep saying the public on clemson..
                                    Comment
                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-04-09
                                      • 48437

                                      #928
                                      1 NFL play tonight... Alternative line.

                                      -----------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      Kansas City Chiefs 9/19/2013 5:25PM - (PST) Spread -3 +230 for Game
                                      -----------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      Comment
                                      • Mac4Lyfe
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-04-09
                                        • 48437

                                        #929
                                        Not at all. I need you guys to keep me straight. It was a lot easier keeping track with 5Dimes. The formatting sucks in Heritage and the grading too. I may have some wins graded as losses too. I think I thought I had Bronco's game line posted which I ended up going by memory in grading.

                                        Good looking out.

                                        Originally posted by wassup
                                        Don't want to be a bad santa , but Broncos didn't cover 1st Half spread (lead 10-9).

                                        Updated below...


                                        NFL results...

                                        Chicago Bears 9/15/2013 10:00AM - (PST) Spread -6 -103 for Game

                                        Cincinnati Bengals 9/16/2013 5:40PM - (PST) Spread -6½ -113 for Game vs Steelers
                                        New Orleans Saints 9/15/2013 1:05PM - (PST) Spread -3 -113 for Game
                                        Football - 208 Green Bay Packers -7 -113 for Game
                                        Football - 218 Oakland Raiders -4 -108 for Game
                                        Football - 197 Cleveland Browns +180 for 1st Half
                                        Football - 206 Atlanta Falcons -3 -115 for 1st Half
                                        Football - 219 Denver Broncos -2½ -115 for 1st Half <-----------Updated

                                        How did the Bears and Saints not cover? Both teams looked like they were so much better than Minny and TB but kept both teams close with WTF turnovers. Brees' pick 6 fukked us and the Bears Special teams shit the bed.

                                        5-3, 2-2 on bolded plays

                                        Updated NFL Record...

                                        13-6 (68%)
                                        6-4 (60%) on bolded plays
                                        Comment
                                        • Mac4Lyfe
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-04-09
                                          • 48437

                                          #930
                                          Clemson offense looking like shit so far. Going backwards more than forwards. Not good at all. NC State has always been the giant killer in the ACC which is worrying me right now.

                                          Originally posted by Mayonnaise
                                          one game that does kind of worry me, is clemson tonite, and it only worries me because i have been thinking about it all day... but were talking about the #3 ranked team... playing on thursday night, only major college football game being played tonite and they want to show the world what clemson football is all about, i think -13 1/2 is a gift. looks like both teams r coming off bye weeks. i think if this game was being played in death valley, the spread would be -30 1/2... is HFA worth 14pts for NC ST? i dont think so. thats just my 2 cents tho
                                          Comment
                                          • Mayonnaise
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 09-15-13
                                            • 159

                                            #931
                                            i am right there with you... still alot of football left but man... this dosnt look like the same team that played georgia
                                            Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                            Clemson offense looking like shit so far. Going backwards more than forwards. Not good at all. NC State has always been the giant killer in the ACC which is worrying me right now.
                                            Comment
                                            • Mayonnaise
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 09-15-13
                                              • 159

                                              #932
                                              wow... i just placed a 2nd half wager...... and i thought it was a 2nd quarter wager......
                                              Comment
                                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-04-09
                                                • 48437

                                                #933
                                                Hopefully second half Clemson?? I just put a bit more on them for the 2nd half. I think they're going to stretch this lead. Hate they didn't cover that first half. Hopefully NC State Dline slows down a bit. They were on fire in that first half.

                                                Originally posted by Mayonnaise
                                                wow... i just placed a 2nd half wager...... and i thought it was a 2nd quarter wager......
                                                Comment
                                                • Urbanwildlife
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-06-11
                                                  • 5958

                                                  #934
                                                  My friend, patience, as Clemson is going to take care of business! See you at the pay window!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mayonnaise
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 09-15-13
                                                    • 159

                                                    #935
                                                    next score being NOT a TD. apparently it was for the 2nd half.... COME ON FEILD GOAL TEAM lol
                                                    Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                                    Hopefully second half Clemson?? I just put a bit more on them for the 2nd half. I think they're going to stretch this lead. Hate they didn't cover that first half. Hopefully NC State Dline slows down a bit. They were on fire in that first half.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Urbanwildlife
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-06-11
                                                      • 5958

                                                      #936
                                                      Clemson is going to be just fine, lots of football left.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Urbanwildlife
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-06-11
                                                        • 5958

                                                        #937
                                                        http://i976.photobucket.com/albums/a...happy-face.gif
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Mac4Lyfe
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-04-09
                                                          • 48437

                                                          #938
                                                          That TD helped. Now need the defense to make a stop. NC State has played well. Shouldn't be down 13 at all.

                                                          Originally posted by Urbanwildlife
                                                          Clemson is going to be just fine, lots of football left.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Urbanwildlife
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 09-06-11
                                                            • 5958

                                                            #939
                                                            No problema amigo! Clemson is taking us to the pay window, relax and enjoy the 4th quarter!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • playmaker79
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 09-01-13
                                                              • 170

                                                              #940
                                                              fukk I've got Clemson too but even if they score here early or midway in the 4th wouldn't be surprised at all to see ncstate backdoor them....seeing as how they have hit several big plays on offense in this game....Clemson just looks so blah. Havent played well enough to be up the 13 they are now
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Urbanwildlife
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 09-06-11
                                                                • 5958

                                                                #941
                                                                You all have to relax and enjoy the rest of the 4th quarter and quit worrying, Clemson is not going to be stopped.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Urbanwildlife
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 09-06-11
                                                                  • 5958

                                                                  #942
                                                                  Soooooo easy!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Mayonnaise
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 09-15-13
                                                                    • 159

                                                                    #943
                                                                    philly isnt looking to good... and KC looks worse... but KC is up 10....
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Urbanwildlife
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 09-06-11
                                                                      • 5958

                                                                      #944
                                                                      Kansas City was the play as the Eagles defense simply sucks. I have had no inclination to even watch it, as I much prefer to watch a college game over an NFL game, and I am not into watching both. I like seeing Clemson take me to the pay window!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • playmaker79
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 09-01-13
                                                                        • 170

                                                                        #945
                                                                        the backdoor is wide the fukk open unfortunately
                                                                        Comment
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