Roulette strategy

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  • smandur
    SBR Hustler
    • 10-26-12
    • 58

    #1
    Roulette strategy
    Hy,I am thing on a strategy, please help my mind flow a bit.

    Lets say starting bet is 1 dollars, table limit is 100 dollars. We bet on red/black, until it comes.

    We us martingle levels:
    1) 50% chance, 1 dollars
    2) 25% chance, 2 dollars
    3) 12,5 % chance, 4 dollars
    4) 6,25 % chance, 8 dollars
    5) 3,125 % chance, 16 dollars
    6) 1,5625 % chance, 32 dollars
    7) 0,78125 % chance, 64 dollars

    That means we fail 0,78 times out of a hundred times.
    But 100 times x 1 is 100 .
    Fail level 100 x 0,78 is 78.

    That means over 100 times our margins should be 22,factor in a loss of 127, that means 127-122 is 5 . (that is the casino edge).

    If this happens:Now we use bigger level of 5 dollars a bet limit 500 until we get our loss back in the 1 to 100 system. Our risk of ruin is 5%? I will take that 5 % risk to make a nice run any day
  • VeggieDog
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-21-09
    • 7214

    #2
    Damn, why didn't I think of this? They're just giving money away!
    Comment
    • indio
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 06-03-11
      • 751

      #3
      Originally posted by smandur
      Hy,I am thing on a strategy, please help my mind flow a bit.

      Lets say starting bet is 1 dollars, table limit is 100 dollars. We bet on red/black, until it comes.

      We us martingle levels:
      1) 50% chance, 1 dollars
      2) 25% chance, 2 dollars
      3) 12,5 % chance, 4 dollars
      4) 6,25 % chance, 8 dollars
      5) 3,125 % chance, 16 dollars
      6) 1,5625 % chance, 32 dollars
      7) 0,78125 % chance, 64 dollars

      That means we fail 0,78 times out of a hundred times.
      But 100 times x 1 is 100 .
      Fail level 100 x 0,78 is 78.

      That means over 100 times our margins should be 22,factor in a loss of 127, that means 127-122 is 5 . (that is the casino edge).

      If this happens:Now we use bigger level of 5 dollars a bet limit 500 until we get our loss back in the 1 to 100 system. Our risk of ruin is 5%? I will take that 5 % risk to make a nice run any day
      I hope this is a level, because if you're being sincere, I have great concerns if you plan to procreate.

      You should at least get your basic math correct if you're going to post such nonsense. You'll never be a 50% chance to win on red or black. Assuming you're at least smart enough to be playing a European roulette wheel with only 1 zero, your chance of winning on red or black is 48.65%. This will make the chances of going 0 for 7 .009414 or 0.94% Now, every time you don't go 0 for 7, you win $1, every time you do go 0 for 7, you lose $127. It's incredibly difficult to know how much you'll make if you can go 120 spins without a single 0 for 7 streak because of the factors involved, but we know for sure it's less than $120. We know that the chances of going 120 spins without a single 0 for 7 streak is only 57.96%. Hence, not only is this a negative equity prop (as playing any house edge game relying on nothing but chance always is), but it's also a complete waste of time.
      Comment
      • 5918mike
        SBR MVP
        • 04-16-14
        • 1881

        #4
        Spend some time doing it for play money first, you'll soon see how many times 0 for 7 happens and you lose your money.
        Comment
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