August playlist.

[gabe]

Did all your parlays get busted? I think I am going to follow your trend and start making "gabe-tarded" parlays too. They are fun if nothing else.

Why would they get busted? Ones with Varner got busted, ones with Davis won. Won big tonight, 6 out of 9, hit all my main plays. Only the Varner loss effected me, just had Gomez in a few small parlays, and didn't get a chance to bet Vera. I was trying to get a bet on him, but internet connection on my iphone at the staples center was shitty. I wasn't able to log in to make a big bet on Phan and Machida by KO. That cost me big. But still, profitable night.

[bogbat]

I honestly think Varner would have won that fight with a full training camp. Also, he actually may have won if he kept the third round on the feet, he seemed to be landing the more effective strikes throughout the fight.

[gabe]

I honestly think Varner would have won that fight with a full training camp. Also, he actually may have won if he kept the third round on the feet, he seemed to be landing the more effective strikes throughout the fight.

Yeah, I think he was on his way to a decision win.

[gabe]

Josh Barnett?

No, Melvin Guillard.

[bogbat]

Yeah, I think he was on his way to a decision win.

I actually put a bit of coin on Varner at +200 between rounds two and three.

[Vaughany]

Was a fun night, went w/ Brody Stevens and was chillin' with Jay Mohr in the suite. Dana White and Ray Mancini came in, then Rashad Evans and Chael Sonnen came in. It was pretty sweet. There was a blonde in there that I can't seem to forget about. I want that chick.

Sounds gooood

[Vaughany]

I honestly think Varner would have won that fight with a full training camp. Also, he actually may have won if he kept the third round on the feet, he seemed to be landing the more effective strikes throughout the fight.

Broke his hand in second as well which is why he went for the takedowns in third

[gabe]

Sounds gooood

Why does the guy who tweets famous people asking them which hotels they're staying at call me a name dropper? LOL You dirty stalker. Get a life.

I personally don't give too big a shit about Rashad/Sonnen/Dana, but I know for a fact you personally would give years off your life just to hang with them during fights. Can't stand jealous people, man.

[Vaughany]

hahha nibble nibble! Gabe, you really are ridiculously sensitive! Sooo easy

[gabe]

hahha nibble nibble! Gabe, you really are ridiculously sensitive! Sooo easy

You're right, I'm easily annoyed, especially by stupid shit. So quit fkn around.

[sideloaded]

gabe did u hammer max halloway?

[gabe]

gabe did u hammer max halloway?

Lines aren't up for me, yet. But I'm not an idiot. I wouldn't bet him now, if the line was up. Waiting for it to improve to a fair sized dog is the way to go, methinks.

[sideloaded]

he opened at -190 how low do you think this is going?

[bogbat]

Was a fun night, went w/ Brody Stevens and was chillin' with Jay Mohr in the suite. Dana White and Ray Mancini came in, then Rashad Evans and Chael Sonnen came in. It was pretty sweet. There was a blonde in there that I can't seem to forget about. I want that chick.

Gabe is almost famous, signing autographs with his balls in your anus.

[gabe]

he opened at -190 how low do you think this is going?

+125 now... I'll be happy if he reaches +200... I was expecting him to open around +250, but again like last week with the Gamburyan fight, they were right with the line. I was hoping to get Many as +250 as well-- books are getting wiser.

[AdamB]

+125 now... I'll be happy if he reaches +200... I was expecting him to open around +250, but again like last week with the Gamburyan fight, they were right with the line. I was hoping to get Many as +250 as well-- books are getting wiser.

Do you/others favour Lawrence then? I haven't really seen him as being super impressive outside of his fight to get into the TUF house and even that was because the single 5 minute round favoured his style of totally blowing his wad. Personally I could see Holloway outpointing him with the pace he sets, but I would like to hear other perspectives on it.

[gabe]

Do you/others favour Lawrence then? I haven't really seen him as being super impressive outside of his fight to get into the TUF house and even that was because the single 5 minute round favoured his style of totally blowing his wad. Personally I could see Holloway outpointing him with the pace he sets, but I would like to hear other perspectives on it.

I'm on Holloway.

[El Nino]

I'm on Holloway.

Holloway looks wild as shit with his hands. Knees and kicks look good though. Is this Lawrence kid going to be another overvalued TUF guy?

[sideloaded]

Holloway opened at the right line. Lawrence is a over hyped BIG time

[El Nino]

Holloway opened at the right line. Lawrence is a over hyped BIG time

Thanks

[sideloaded]

gabe what are we going to do? this max line isnt going down much

[gabe]

gabe what are we going to do? this max line isnt going down much

parlay with nik lentz

[gabe]

My plays for UFC 150:

#1 - Nik Lentz - The first round could go either way, but I give the edge to Lentz. Second and third will be all Lentz. I don't see him getting caught and put away in the first, so as long as this fight makes it to the second, I see him finishing it with a choke. If it goes three, he takes the decision. I don't see it making the distance, though. Nik Lentz ITD is the play here. This is one of my biggest plays of the year.

#2 - Ben Henderson - I see Bendo finishing this one with a guillotine. Wouldn't be surprised if he scores a KO, either. I went all-in on Fight Goes Over 4.5 rounds last time around, but this time my gut is telling me the chances of it ending ITD are a lot better than before. I'm gonna take a shot at Bendo by Sub and Bendo ITD and sprinkle a little on Bendo by KO. Also taking him straight-up, big.

#3 - Max Holloway - I see Holloway winning by stoppage or decision. Worst case scenario, I think he earns a split decision. He should be able to get the better of one of the first two rounds, and the third will very likely belong to him due to his cardio advantage. Fighting at altitude in Denver is no good for Justin Lawrence. If he tries to wrestle Holloway, he's going to tire even quicker, 'cos Holloway has great TDD and if goes to the ground, is very active off his back. Especially for a blue belt.

#4 - Yushin Okami - Okami ITD is what I'm going with. I don't expect to see this make it to the second half of the fight, so I'm not too worried about him gassing like before. Also, I'm not too worried about him gassing out because Buddy Roberts has poor cardio, too, and doesn't possess the KO power Tim Boetsch has.

#5 - Donald Cerrone - Cerrone ITD -- For some reason, I see a lot of finishes on this card! May continue over from the FOX card... Cerrone should fight smart, and fight to win. I know he's an idiot, but I think he knows better this time around. Cerrone by sub.

#6 - Ed Herman - Herman ITD - Could see him taking a decision, too. I'm taking him straight up, parlayed with Nik Lentz.

[Vitooch]

I agree that Bendo/Edgar ITD will have some value

[DirtyX]

My plays for UFC 150:

#1 - Nik Lentz - The first round could go either way, but I give the edge to Lentz. Second and third will be all Lentz. I don't see him getting caught and put away in the first, so as long as this fight makes it to the second, I see him finishing it with a choke. If it goes three, he takes the decision. I don't see it making the distance, though. Nik Lentz ITD is the play here. This is one of my biggest plays of the year.

#2 - Ben Henderson - I see Bendo finishing this one with a guillotine. Wouldn't be surprised if he scores a KO, either. I went all-in on Fight Goes Over 4.5 rounds last time around, but this time my gut is telling me the chances of it ending ITD are a lot better than before. I'm gonna take a shot at Bendo by Sub and Bendo ITD and sprinkle a little on Bendo by KO. Also taking him straight-up, big.

#3 - Max Holloway - I see Holloway winning by stoppage or decision. Worst case scenario, I think he earns a split decision. He should be able to get the better of one of the first two rounds, and the third will very likely belong to him due to his cardio advantage. Fighting at altitude in Denver is no good for Justin Lawrence. If he tries to wrestle Holloway, he's going to tire even quicker, 'cos Holloway has great TDD and if goes to the ground, is very active off his back. Especially for a blue belt.

#4 - Yushin Okami - Okami ITD is what I'm going with. I don't expect to see this make it to the second half of the fight, so I'm not too worried about him gassing like before. Also, I'm not too worried about him gassing out because Buddy Roberts has poor cardio, too, and doesn't possess the KO power Tim Boetsch has.

#5 - Donald Cerrone - Cerrone ITD -- For some reason, I see a lot of finishes on this card! May continue over from the FOX card... Cerrone should fight smart, and fight to win. I know he's an idiot, but I think he knows better this time around. Cerrone by sub.

#6 - Ed Herman - Herman ITD - Could see him taking a decision, too. I'm taking him straight up, parlayed with Nik Lentz.

I must say, very good post. Whether or not I agree with your plays is irrelevant. The fact that you posted them before, in a clear/thought out manner is what I like. Well done. I am on Bendo, only. GL.

[Grabaka]

I must say, very good post. Whether or not I agree with your plays is irrelevant. The fact that you posted them before, in a clear/thought out manner is what I like. Well done. I am on Bendo, only. GL.

I agree.
Gaber i like #1 and #5. Actually kinda like them all but you taking too many props brotha...GL

[gabe]

I agree.
Gaber i like #1 and #5. Actually kinda like them all but you taking too many props brotha...GL

Picks are for ml plays, I won't be going big on any props, they're just for fun. No guarantees like JDS by TKO vs Mir

I would bet the Lentz ITD kinda big but I won't get props for non main card fights

[gabe]

I must say, very good post. Whether or not I agree with your plays is irrelevant. The fact that you posted them before, in a clear/thought out manner is what I like. Well done. I am on Bendo, only. GL.

So, like I've always done?

Thanks

[gabe]

I would recommend Nik Lentz to be included with every bet you make, as part of a parlay.

[gabe]

Also, if you get Lentz ITD - tap that ass.

[gabe]

I like Dennis Bermudez via Decision - I won't be getting that prop, but if you are, p0und it.

[Educ8d Degener8]

Goddamn, with you on all picks to win cousin... not quite as enthusiastic regarding all the finishes though...

Not sure what to do with Okami, 'cos I'm not playing that ML, and honestly don't have a lean on ITD or by Dec... in addition, I'm lacking in my study of Buddy Roberts... so likely will be a no bet unless i toss Okami in degen parlay.

Agree completely in theory regarding Cerrone, but am tempted by Melvin tko/ko +410 in case Cerrone strays from a conservative gameplan and agrees to put on a show with his former teammate -- I'd hope that (with a potential title shot a fight or two away) NCAA Cerrone shows up and goes for the TD when Melvin engages, ala the Paul Kelly fight... but Melvin has decent scrambles, and ADCC Guillard made an appearance against Camoes, so... but overall defo leaning Cerrone. Cerrone SOTN will have my attention if offered... but will probably be priced sans value... Cowboy better not f*ck this up. Sh*t, I'm all over the place on this fight...

Also looking at Ken Stone and Hamman.

GL cousin

[sideloaded]

Gabe are you fading every pacific rim fighter? But in this case I agree on Lentz.

[Vaughany]

My plays for UFC 150:

#1 - Nik Lentz - The first round could go either way, but I give the edge to Lentz. Second and third will be all Lentz. I don't see him getting caught and put away in the first, so as long as this fight makes it to the second, I see him finishing it with a choke. If it goes three, he takes the decision. I don't see it making the distance, though. Nik Lentz ITD is the play here. This is one of my biggest plays of the year.

#2 - Ben Henderson - I see Bendo finishing this one with a guillotine. Wouldn't be surprised if he scores a KO, either. I went all-in on Fight Goes Over 4.5 rounds last time around, but this time my gut is telling me the chances of it ending ITD are a lot better than before. I'm gonna take a shot at Bendo by Sub and Bendo ITD and sprinkle a little on Bendo by KO. Also taking him straight-up, big.

#3 - Max Holloway - I see Holloway winning by stoppage or decision. Worst case scenario, I think he earns a split decision. He should be able to get the better of one of the first two rounds, and the third will very likely belong to him due to his cardio advantage. Fighting at altitude in Denver is no good for Justin Lawrence. If he tries to wrestle Holloway, he's going to tire even quicker, 'cos Holloway has great TDD and if goes to the ground, is very active off his back. Especially for a blue belt.

#4 - Yushin Okami - Okami ITD is what I'm going with. I don't expect to see this make it to the second half of the fight, so I'm not too worried about him gassing like before. Also, I'm not too worried about him gassing out because Buddy Roberts has poor cardio, too, and doesn't possess the KO power Tim Boetsch has.

#5 - Donald Cerrone - Cerrone ITD -- For some reason, I see a lot of finishes on this card! May continue over from the FOX card... Cerrone should fight smart, and fight to win. I know he's an idiot, but I think he knows better this time around. Cerrone by sub.

#6 - Ed Herman - Herman ITD - Could see him taking a decision, too. I'm taking him straight up, parlayed with Nik Lentz.

Holloway is a blue belt now?

[gabe]

Holloway is a blue belt now?

He should be by now