UFC 149: Calgary (July 21 2012)

**Educ8d Degener8** · 07-21-12, 04:33 AM

Leaning Faber and Kongo at the moment. I'm drunk. Want to fade Jimmo but will stay away from that fight. If Cam Gigandet wasn't anorexic and shaved his head, he would be... Ryan Jimmo.

Will revisit thread in the AM when not as drunk and can type more.

(contemplating a flier on James Head, but I'm pretty sure that is the drunkness; Faber and Kong is for real though, I think)

**PunisherIND** · 07-21-12, 07:12 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

LMAO

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uwP04-diHtc&feature=player_embedded

missed this yesterday. fuckin hilarious. the bit about jens pulvers smile had me rolling.

**Crassus** · 07-21-12, 09:19 AM

Did Boetsch look a little puffier than usual at weigh-ins?

**The Fobfather** · 07-21-12, 10:11 AM

Anybody else like Ebersole by decision at +149?

**PunisherIND** · 07-21-12, 10:18 AM

Originally posted by The Fobfather

Anybody else like Ebersole by decision at +149?

yup. grabbed it at +155.

**PunisherIND** · 07-21-12, 10:21 AM

also took ebersole/head goes distance at +110.

shawn jordan ITD +150

kongo/jordan o1.5 at -130

**Vaughany** · 07-21-12, 10:42 AM

Took Kongo by decision at +530 or sumin

**PunisherIND** · 07-21-12, 10:52 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Took Kongo by decision at +530 or sumin

Contemplating a pittance on draw.

**Beelzebubzy** · 07-21-12, 10:55 AM

Arbing out with ring at 105

**NunyaBidness** · 07-21-12, 11:18 AM

Originally posted by Crassus

Did Boetsch look a little puffier than usual at weigh-ins?

I thought maybe. Also thought he was moving very very slowly. Haven't watched old weighin tapes to see if thats his usual MO.

**Crassus** · 07-21-12, 11:35 AM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

I thought maybe. Also thought he was moving very very slowly. Haven't watched old weighin tapes to see if thats his usual MO.

Middleweight Debut

second middleweight fight

Okami fight

Yesterday

Interestingly enough this is his first fight at middleweight without Rampage on the card. Found that kinda weird tbh.

Overall I'd say he looks about the same.

**gabe** · 07-21-12, 12:06 PM

I thought he looked more dehydrated than usual...

**NunyaBidness** · 07-21-12, 12:13 PM

I'm more concerned with the way they act then their actual physical appearance. Watch Rampage climb the stairs when he was against Bader, I was pounding that line immediately.

**Thor4140** · 07-21-12, 12:43 PM

Well here are my thoughts on these fights. At these odds i would have to take Faber but i don't like all the pressure he is getting lately with people saying this is his last chance at the title. To much of that going around. I think if he gets past round one he eventually wears Renan down. He needs to come in confident or he might get wax. I think the Faber who fought Aldo would get killed by this version of Faber so we shall see.
I can't stand this douchebag Head but those odds on Ebersole are a little two much for my liking.
Boy Timmy looks huge compared to Lombard. The simple size difference would make me take Timmy. He gets this out of round one i think he takes it. Live betting would be what i would wait for in this fight. Cris Clements i know nothing about but i would still take him over Riddle who sucks. Perosh looked awful against Crocop but for some reason he has turned it around or just just fought a few cans. Time for him to lose but he does have a size advantage. Mcgee and Ring should be a good fight. I think Mcgee is a tough kid but this is in Calgary and a close decision doesn't really favor McGee. Jordan/Kongo I hear all these great things about Jordan but he looks like a fat mess. Kongo is Kongo. Nice hands but terrible defense. Stann says Jordan is the strongest guy in the UFC. Will the strength help him with a guy with better hands? This is another i would wait for live betting.

**gabe** · 07-21-12, 12:48 PM

Originally posted by Thor4140

Well here are my thoughts on these fights. At these odds i would have to take Faber but i don't like all the pressure he is getting lately with people saying this is his last chance at the title. To much of that going around. I think if he gets past round one he eventually wears Renan down. He needs to come in confident or he might get wax. I think the Faber who fought Aldo would get killed by this version of Faber so we shall see.
I can't stand this douchebag Head but those odds on Ebersole are a little two much for my liking.
Boy Timmy looks huge compared to Lombard. The simple size difference would make me take Timmy. He gets this out of round one i think he takes it. Live betting would be what i would wait for in this fight. Cris Clements i know nothing about but i would still take him over Riddle who sucks. Perosh looked awful against Crocop but for some reason he has turned it around or just just fought a few cans. Time for him to lose but he does have a size advantage. Mcgee and Ring should be a good fight. I think Mcgee is a tough kid but this is in Calgary and a close decision doesn't really favor McGee. Jordan/Kongo I hear all these great things about Jordan but he looks like a fat mess. Kongo is Kongo. Nice hands but terrible defense. Stann says Jordan is the strongest guy in the UFC. Will the strength help him with a guy with better hands? This is another i would wait for live betting.

I think that's kinda dumb. The fight could be over quick, and if it's not and Jordan is taking over the fight as expected, then the live betting line on him will be really juiced up.

**Crassus** · 07-21-12, 12:55 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

I'm more concerned with the way they act then their actual physical appearance. Watch Rampage climb the stairs when he was against Bader, I was pounding that line immediately.

Did you figure out if the slowness was a common thing with him?

**NunyaBidness** · 07-21-12, 01:12 PM

Inconclusive. He's always a bit of a slow mover up there, but he did seem just a bit slower than usual. Not enough to change my plays either way.

**PunisherIND** · 07-21-12, 01:17 PM

Originally posted by Thor4140

Perosh looked awful against Crocop but for some reason he has turned it around or just just fought a few cans.

he's been fighting at LHW subsequent to crocop.

**Vaughany** · 07-21-12, 01:17 PM

I think the fact he missed weight was the biggest indicator!

**Crassus** · 07-21-12, 01:19 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

he's been fighting at LHW subsequent to crocop.

Crocop fight was on like 3 days notice as well right?

**NunyaBidness** · 07-21-12, 01:21 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

I think the fact he missed weight was the biggest indicator!

Who do you mean? Rampage? Yeah, of course, but even if he hadn't missed weight it was apparent he'd had a really tough time.

**NunyaBidness** · 07-21-12, 01:24 PM

Go nuts arbers.

Lombard -325 under boxing.
Boetch +360 under MMA.

Both at SBR sportsbook. Lock up those pizza moneys.

**TheCalculator** · 07-21-12, 01:29 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

I'm more concerned with the way they act then their actual physical appearance. Watch Rampage climb the stairs when he was against Bader, I was pounding that line immediately.

I also look for the guy's ENERGY and VITALITY. Is the guy pumped and bouncing around? Or is he spaced out and his vital energy is drained to the hilt? Sonnen looked pretty out of it at the last weigh-in. He seemed to still be in that head space during the fight.

**PunisherIND** · 07-21-12, 01:30 PM

Originally posted by Crassus

Crocop fight was on like 3 days notice as well right?

i believe it was very short notice

anyone have any FOTN leans, aside from the obvious main event?

im taking a stab with delorme/cisco at +1600.

**PunisherIND** · 07-21-12, 01:33 PM

Originally posted by TheCalculator

I also look for the guy's ENERGY and VITALITY. Is the guy pumped and bouncing around? Or is he spaced out and his vital energy is drained to the hilt? Sonnen looked pretty out of it at the last weigh-in. He seemed to still be in that head space during the fight.

that could do a lot with a fighters personality though. you got guys like matt riddle who always act like a douche. while other guys never show emotion.

did you hear what wannabet does? he looks to see if a guy is sporting a woody, or a semi. lol.

**DeFactoCrippler** · 07-21-12, 01:40 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

did you hear what wannabet does? he looks to see if a guy is sporting a woody, or a semi. lol.

I thought thats what theCalculator meant by

Originally posted by TheCalculator

I also look for the guy's ENERGY and VITALITY. Is the guy pumped and bouncing around? Or is he spaced out and his vital energy is drained to the hilt?

Wannabet is on that phaggy time for sure, but checking for penile turgidity at the weigh ins is still legit, imo.

**NunyaBidness** · 07-21-12, 01:41 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

t

did you hear what wannabet does? he looks to see if a guy is sporting a woody, or a semi. lol.

Anybody who can get a boner being that drained of water is a ******* superhero, and I would be all in.

**Beelzebubzy** · 07-21-12, 01:48 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

i believe it was very short notice

anyone have any FOTN leans, aside from the obvious main event?

im taking a stab with delorme/cisco at +1600.

Putting a 5er on Riddle/Clements at +750 ... yeah Im a high roller be jealous

**DeFactoCrippler** · 07-21-12, 01:48 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

Anybody who can get a boner being that drained of water is a ******* superhero, and I would be all in.

Exactly. Cerebral MMA handicapping at it's finest.

**Vaughany** · 07-21-12, 01:54 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

Who do you mean? Rampage? Yeah, of course, but even if he hadn't missed weight it was apparent he'd had a really tough time.

yeah, took him about 10 minutes to get on the scales!

**Vaughany** · 07-21-12, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

that could do a lot with a fighters personality though. you got guys like matt riddle who always act like a douche. while other guys never show emotion.

did you hear what wannabet does? he looks to see if a guy is sporting a woody, or a semi. lol.

lol

**Beelzebubzy** · 07-21-12, 02:00 PM

Adding a Parlay
Anton/Jones/Benavidez 1u to win 1.43

**PunisherIND** · 07-21-12, 02:09 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Putting a 5er on Riddle/Clements at +750 ... yeah Im a high roller be jealous

I likey.

**gabe** · 07-21-12, 02:16 PM

Almost certain that Barao vs Faber will be FOTN.

**Beelzebubzy** · 07-21-12, 02:18 PM

Originally posted by gabe

Almost certain that Barao vs Faber will be FOTN.

If it doesnt get stopped in the first round, this is and should be the clear cut favorite.