UFC 321 goes does Saturday, October 25th in Abu Dhabi, headlined by a heavyweight title fight between Tom Aspinall and Ciryl Gane.
SBR's Ethan Diamandas breaks down the fights and shares his best bets in his UFC 321 predictions:
Tom Aspinall by submission vs. Ciryl Gane (+275 via DraftKings)
"Aspinall’s speed, precision, and black-belt grappling make this a stylistic nightmare for Gane. The Frenchman’s past losses to Francis Ngannou (4/5 takedowns conceded) and Jon Jones (first-round submission loss via guillotine) exposed his ground gaps. Aspinall averages over 8 significant strikes landed per minute (67% accuracy) and smoothly chains entries from his boxing. One clean level change could end with a rear-naked choke or arm-triangle."
Virna Jandiroba by decision vs. Mackenzie Dern (+270 via FanDuel)
"This rematch hinges on control. Jandiroba lands 2.29 takedowns per 15 minutes (35% accuracy) and defends at 71%, giving her the wrestling edge over Dern’s 0.89 takedown rate (18%). Expect Virna’s positional BJJ with half-guard pins and shoulder pressure to bank rounds rather than chase a risky submission. Dern’s striking defense (44%) means Jandiroba can score early, then grind the rest."
Umar Nurmagomedov by decision vs. Mario Bautista (-167 via BetMGM)
"From the opening bell, expect Umar to dictate every layer of this bout. He works behind disciplined kicks and straight punches, then drops levels when opponents overcommit. Once he grips the hips, the takedown chain begins using singles, trips, and body locks until control is his. Mario Bautista is durable, but Umar’s top-ride and positional patience stack minutes of dominance without risk."
Alexander Volkov by KO, TKO, or DQ vs. Jailton Almeida (+300 via bet365)
"Volkov’s length and timing can flip this fight instantly. Jailton Almeida is a takedown machine, but he defends strikes at just 41%, which is a dangerous flaw against Volkov’s kickboxing. If Almeida’s initial shots fail, he'll walk into knees and uppercuts from the 6’7″ Russian. Volkov has ended half his wins by KO and won’t miss his moment in the pocket."
Who is on your UFC 321 betting card? Share your predictions below!
SBR's Ethan Diamandas breaks down the fights and shares his best bets in his UFC 321 predictions:
Tom Aspinall by submission vs. Ciryl Gane (+275 via DraftKings)
"Aspinall’s speed, precision, and black-belt grappling make this a stylistic nightmare for Gane. The Frenchman’s past losses to Francis Ngannou (4/5 takedowns conceded) and Jon Jones (first-round submission loss via guillotine) exposed his ground gaps. Aspinall averages over 8 significant strikes landed per minute (67% accuracy) and smoothly chains entries from his boxing. One clean level change could end with a rear-naked choke or arm-triangle."
Virna Jandiroba by decision vs. Mackenzie Dern (+270 via FanDuel)
"This rematch hinges on control. Jandiroba lands 2.29 takedowns per 15 minutes (35% accuracy) and defends at 71%, giving her the wrestling edge over Dern’s 0.89 takedown rate (18%). Expect Virna’s positional BJJ with half-guard pins and shoulder pressure to bank rounds rather than chase a risky submission. Dern’s striking defense (44%) means Jandiroba can score early, then grind the rest."
Umar Nurmagomedov by decision vs. Mario Bautista (-167 via BetMGM)
"From the opening bell, expect Umar to dictate every layer of this bout. He works behind disciplined kicks and straight punches, then drops levels when opponents overcommit. Once he grips the hips, the takedown chain begins using singles, trips, and body locks until control is his. Mario Bautista is durable, but Umar’s top-ride and positional patience stack minutes of dominance without risk."
Alexander Volkov by KO, TKO, or DQ vs. Jailton Almeida (+300 via bet365)
"Volkov’s length and timing can flip this fight instantly. Jailton Almeida is a takedown machine, but he defends strikes at just 41%, which is a dangerous flaw against Volkov’s kickboxing. If Almeida’s initial shots fail, he'll walk into knees and uppercuts from the 6’7″ Russian. Volkov has ended half his wins by KO and won’t miss his moment in the pocket."
Who is on your UFC 321 betting card? Share your predictions below!
