UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi | 14.01.2018 (St. Louis, Missouri)

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  • UncleChael
    SBR MVP
    • 10-30-13
    • 3979

    #141
    Anybody can train for a fight and show up all ready, but a real man just steps in there. - Chael P. Sonnen
    Comment
    • brooks85
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-05-09
      • 44709

      #142
      damn just saw hall/belfort is off
      Comment
      • ImmortalKrop
        SBR High Roller
        • 12-05-10
        • 127

        #143
        Originally posted by ImmortalKrop
        What’s the reasoning for the Aldana line drop? She was one of my more confident bets on this card
        Bump
        Comment
        • Shagdogy
          SBR MVP
          • 06-16-10
          • 3564

          #144
          Originally posted by turbozed
          Between this and two 48-47s in Cyborg/Holly, incompetent judging has screwed me out of over $1k in the past two fights I've had bets on.

          If there were a way to handicap, strategize, or hedge poor judging, I'd really like to know. I don't recall being on the winning end of a controversial decision in 2017.
          Well then just a heads up with your Aldrich play... check out MMAdecisions.com (if you don't already). Majority media outlets had Taylor losing all three of her fights in the UFC but she's 2-1 thanks to questionable judging. For your sake I hope Aldrich can make this very clear.
          Comment
          • Shagdogy
            SBR MVP
            • 06-16-10
            • 3564

            #145
            I'm capping Danielle Taylor right now and as a fan I'm bored out of my mind. Every fight is the same... she circles nonstop and occasionally plants and looks to land her right hand. In her fight vs. Moroz her coach tells her "jab, jab, right hand" and that's basically her only move in every fight. If she wasn't faster and more powerful than most of her opponents she would have nothing. I really don't enjoy watching her. move move move move move move, punch, move move move move, punch, etc. etc.
            Comment
            • TPowell
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-21-08
              • 18842

              #146
              Originally posted by Shagdogy
              I'm capping Danielle Taylor right now and as a fan I'm bored out of my mind. Every fight is the same... she circles nonstop and occasionally plants and looks to land her right hand. In her fight vs. Moroz her coach tells her "jab, jab, right hand" and that's basically her only move in every fight. If she wasn't faster and more powerful than most of her opponents she would have nothing. I really don't enjoy watching her. move move move move move move, punch, move move move move, punch, etc. etc.
              Aldrich is a much quicker striker than what she has faced so far and Taylor is not a td threat to Aldrich
              Comment
              • KingHawkins
                SBR MVP
                • 04-18-13
                • 1311

                #147
                Originally posted by TPowell
                Aldrich is a much quicker striker than what she has faced so far and Taylor is not a td threat to Aldrich
                I am really hoping you are right about not being a TD threat. I think D.T.'s best path to victory here is with takedowns and control. Her hands suck, she is boring to watch (echoing Shag there), and I think Aldrich could and should dominate. But man, I am worried about that pesky little thing taking down my red little stringbean girl a few times and stealing rounds.


                On a side note, I couldn't help myself and fired a little bit on Paige by KO/TKO/DQ at +450 (at a shitty book, I am sure I am getting a bad # there)...
                Comment
                • Shagdogy
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-16-10
                  • 3564

                  #148
                  Originally posted by KingHawkins
                  I am really hoping you are right about not being a TD threat. I think D.T.'s best path to victory here is with takedowns and control. Her hands suck, she is boring to watch (echoing Shag there), and I think Aldrich could and should dominate. But man, I am worried about that pesky little thing taking down my red little stringbean girl a few times and stealing rounds.


                  On a side note, I couldn't help myself and fired a little bit on Paige by KO/TKO/DQ at +450 (at a shitty book, I am sure I am getting a bad # there)...
                  Sorry King but you coulda done literally anything else with that Paige money IMO. Clark has never been finished and outside of that head kick against Rawlings (which really should not have landed), Paige has very little KO/TKO threat. Just my two cents - but I was terrible with props last year so I guess I shouldn't act like I really have a clue. I'm on the Clark ML though.
                  Comment
                  • Shagdogy
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-16-10
                    • 3564

                    #149
                    Man... Aldrich was day and night from her short notice debut to her fight with Chan Mi Jeon. She did not show what she is capable of against Lima and she put on a very nice display of striking vs. Jeon.

                    Against Taylor I think she will be the more varied, crisp, fluid striker. She does well slipping strikes against fighters with much more reach than Taylor and Jeon had decent speed in her hands too. I think Aldrich holds a pretty clear edge here. Taylor is very static. Unless she has added more attacks to her arsenal then I think she will struggle to edge Aldrich in a striking match.

                    And King - I don't worry too much about the TD game of Taylor. She hasn't implemented it yet in the UFC, and she wasn't clearly winning any of those bouts. Aldrich stuffed Lima's initial shots but could not avoid the TD once Lima worked against the cage and got bodylock. Even still, she was able to get up a number of times. Since that fight, working out there with champ Rose, I have to imagine she's put some effort into the TDD against the cage.

                    I also suspect that we could see even more improvement out of Aldrich this time. She's at a good place in her training, a camp that has momentum, and she is at a ripe age. Gotta take a shot with her here. Never thought I'd be betting all these women's fights...
                    Comment
                    • KingHawkins
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-18-13
                      • 1311

                      #150
                      Originally posted by Shagdogy
                      Sorry King but you coulda done literally anything else with that Paige money IMO. Clark has never been finished and outside of that head kick against Rawlings (which really should not have landed), Paige has very little KO/TKO threat. Just my two cents - but I was terrible with props last year so I guess I shouldn't act like I really have a clue. I'm on the Clark ML though.
                      I am banking on the TKO GnP threat with this action. Not the most likely outcome, but anything can happen, and the unexepected often occurs as we all have witnessed many times over.
                      Comment
                      • KingHawkins
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-18-13
                        • 1311

                        #151
                        Originally posted by Shagdogy
                        Man... Aldrich was day and night from her short notice debut to her fight with Chan Mi Jeon. She did not show what she is capable of against Lima and she put on a very nice display of striking vs. Jeon.

                        Against Taylor I think she will be the more varied, crisp, fluid striker. She does well slipping strikes against fighters with much more reach than Taylor and Jeon had decent speed in her hands too. I think Aldrich holds a pretty clear edge here. Taylor is very static. Unless she has added more attacks to her arsenal then I think she will struggle to edge Aldrich in a striking match.

                        And King - I don't worry too much about the TD game of Taylor. She hasn't implemented it yet in the UFC, and she wasn't clearly winning any of those bouts. Aldrich stuffed Lima's initial shots but could not avoid the TD once Lima worked against the cage and got bodylock. Even still, she was able to get up a number of times. Since that fight, working out there with champ Rose, I have to imagine she's put some effort into the TDD against the cage.

                        I also suspect that we could see even more improvement out of Aldrich this time. She's at a good place in her training, a camp that has momentum, and she is at a ripe age. Gotta take a shot with her here. Never thought I'd be betting all these women's fights...
                        Awesome, good info and analysis. I'm gonna let my $375 on her ride.
                        Comment
                        • turbozed
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-15-08
                          • 2435

                          #152
                          Originally posted by Shagdogy
                          Man... Aldrich was day and night from her short notice debut to her fight with Chan Mi Jeon. She did not show what she is capable of against Lima and she put on a very nice display of striking vs. Jeon.

                          Against Taylor I think she will be the more varied, crisp, fluid striker. She does well slipping strikes against fighters with much more reach than Taylor and Jeon had decent speed in her hands too. I think Aldrich holds a pretty clear edge here. Taylor is very static. Unless she has added more attacks to her arsenal then I think she will struggle to edge Aldrich in a striking match.

                          And King - I don't worry too much about the TD game of Taylor. She hasn't implemented it yet in the UFC, and she wasn't clearly winning any of those bouts. Aldrich stuffed Lima's initial shots but could not avoid the TD once Lima worked against the cage and got bodylock. Even still, she was able to get up a number of times. Since that fight, working out there with champ Rose, I have to imagine she's put some effort into the TDD against the cage.

                          I also suspect that we could see even more improvement out of Aldrich this time. She's at a good place in her training, a camp that has momentum, and she is at a ripe age. Gotta take a shot with her here. Never thought I'd be betting all these women's fights...
                          Welcome aboard the Va-JJ warwagon Shagy! In my eyes, Taylor should be 0-3 in the UFC. I think it's hard for most people to pick a pale goofy looking ginger like JJ against an athletic chick like Taylor. But we've seen Taylor get hit repeatedly by the left straight of Hamderlei who is also a southpaw. I think Aldrich's punches come out faster and straighter than that, with better counter timing. She's also a legit weightclass above either Taylor or Ham. Taylor is improving too (she's added some jabs that are meant for making contact instead of just pawing) but I just think her punches fall short. JJ basically has as good if not better striking than Ham, and similar size/strength to Penne, and both girls arguably beat Taylor based primarily on those factors.
                          Comment
                          • Hugo de Naranja
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-14-16
                            • 14140

                            #153
                            Originally posted by ImmortalKrop
                            Bump
                            I'm not sure.
                            Comment
                            • eligibletackle
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-20-11
                              • 149

                              #154
                              Johnson (scorecards = no action)* -282


                              I like the payout profile on the above. Are we worried about chalk plays against elkins?
                              Comment
                              • JIBBBY
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-10-09
                                • 83686

                                #155
                                MMA MANIA - parts 1 and 2





                                125 lbs.: Kalindra Fariavs. Jessica Eye
                                Kalindra Faria (18-6-1) put losses to Jessica Aguilar and Karolina Kowalkiewicz behind her with three consecutive wins, including a rubber match victory over Carina Damm for the Titan FC Bantamweight title. This earned her a spot in UFC, where she suffered an upset submission loss to late replacement Mara Romero Borella in her Octagon debut.

                                She owns seven professional wins by form of knockout and another five via submission.
                                The good news for Jessica Eye (11-6) is that she’s finally in her proper division. The bad news is that “Evil” re-enters it on a four-fight losing streak, although she deserved the win over Bethe Correia last time out.
                                She has not fought since Sept. 2016 due to both Aspen Ladd and Paige VanZant pulling out of planned bouts.
                                I feel like I say this every time I predict one of her fights, but Eye is legitimately better than her 1-5 UFC record would suggest. The decisions against Alexis Davis and Bethe Correia could have easily gone her way and the three women she lost clearly to were Miesha Tate, Sara McMann and Julianna Pena, all powerhouse grapplers and considerably larger than Eye.
                                At 125 pounds, she’ll do much better. Faria is a dangerous, powerful slugger, but Eye’s boxing is significantly sharper. She picks apart Faria to finally get back on track.
                                Prediction: Eye via unanimous decision

                                135 lbs.:
                                Talita Bernardo vs. Irene Aldana

                                Talita Bernardo (5-2) — riding a four-fight win streak — stepped up on less than a week’s notice to face Marion Reneau in Rotterdam last September. While she started strong, Reneau eventually overpowered her with ground-and-pound en route to a stoppage with just six seconds to go.
                                She is a full six inches shorter than Mexico’s Irene Aldana (7-4).
                                Aldana entered UFC with some hype following a pair of impressive knockouts in Invicta. She’s since struggled to regain that form, losing decisions to Leslie Smith and Katlyn Chookagian but earning “Fight of the Night” against the former.
                                She owns five professional wins by (technical) knockout and another two by submission.
                                I won’t deny that I’ve been disappointed with Aldana’s UFC run, but she’s still way too much for Bernardo. In addition to the massive height discrepancy, Bernardo looks like a complete novice on the feet, wholly unequipped to handle Aldana’s power and aggression.
                                She’s solid on the ground, of course, but her takedowns are inconsistent and Aldana shut down Chookagian’s wrestling in their fight. “Robles” sprawls-and-brawls to her first UFC victory.
                                Prediction: Aldana via second-round technical knockout

                                115 lbs.:
                                Danielle Taylor vs. J.J. Aldrich

                                Danielle Taylor (9-2) won the King of the Cage Strawweight title twice before joining UFC, where she lost a snoozer to Maryna Moroz in her debut. She has since picked up controversial victories over Seo Hee Ham and Jessica Penne, which the majority of the mixed martial arts (MMA) media scored for her opponents.
                                She stands five inches shorter than J.J. Aldrich (5-2) at 5’0” and will give up seven inches of reach.
                                Aldrich impressed Joanna Jedrzejczyk enough to be her first pick on The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 23, only to fall in a clash with Team Claudia top pick Tatiana Suarez. Things didn’t go much better in her UFC debut against Juliana Lima, but she did manage to defeat Chan Mi Jeon at UFC Fight Night 110.
                                Two of her five professional wins have come by form of knockout.
                                I firmly believe Taylor has not won a single fight in UFC. She deserved to lose against Ham and certainly did not get the better of Jessica Penne. She has zero urgency or volume — it’s like judges look at her build and decide that any strike she lands must be a fight-changer.
                                Unfortunately for her, Aldrich is a skilled and active striker who defused a decent slugger in Jeon last time out and will have an unreasonably amount of range on her. She picks apart Taylor at range so thoroughly that even Taylor’s hypnosis fails to win enough judges over.
                                Prediction: Aldrich via unanimous decision

                                145 lbs.:
                                Mads Burnell vs. Mike Santiago

                                Mads Burnell (8-2) — riding a three-fight win streak — stepped up on short notice to face the human bulldozer that is Michel Prazeres in Rotterdam. His submission defense held up for two rounds, but the Brazilian — who came in overweight — caught him in a north-south choke early in the third.
                                His five submission wins include two by Japanese necktie.
                                The good news for Mike Santiago (21-10) was that his knockout victory on Dana White’s “Tuesday Night Contender Series” earned him a spot in UFC. The bad news was that he had to welcome Zabit Magomedsharipov to the Octagon, suffering a submission loss in the process.
                                He has just one decision win since May 2011.
                                Burnell had basically the worst possible stylistic match up in his UFC debut. I expect him to do much better at his proper weight class against someone who isn’t as wide as Burnell is tall. Santiago is aggressive and well-rounded, but those 10 losses include eight by submission and Burnell has some nasty chokes.
                                The jury’s out on whether Burnell has the wrestling to be a real threat, but he’s fighting out of a decent camp and has lots of time to improve at age 23. Santiago’s onslaught opens him up to a takedown, after which Burnell locks up something unpleasant as they scramble.
                                Prediction: Burnell via first-round submission

                                135 lbs.:
                                Kyung Ho Kang vs. Guido Cannetti

                                Kyung Ho Kang (13-7) got off to a shaky UFC start, losing close decisions to Alex Caceres and Chico Camus, before finally picking up a win over Shunichi Shimizu in Singapore. He went on to scrape past Michinori Tanaka in hostile territory, winning “Fight of the Night” in the process.
                                This will be his first fight in more than three years because of South Korea’s mandatory military service.
                                Guido Cannetti (7-2) got a second chance on TUF: “Latin America” when teammate Marlon Vera suffered a skin infection, only to get demolished by eventual winner Alejandro Perez in the semifinals. He has since split his UFC bouts, falling to Enrique Briones in his promotional debut before upsetting Hugo Viana his next time out.
                                He has not fought in more than two years because of a failed drug test.
                                Three years is a long-ass time, but not long enough to keep this from being a one-sided wipeout. Cannetti is a limited, chinny brawler who cannot match Kang’s size, wrestling ability or submission skills. Though Kang has had issues with maintaining position, Cannetti isn’t anywhere near the caliber of scrambler Caceres or Tanaka is and his wild rushes are perfect double-leg fodder.
                                The only question in this fight is whether Kang is too rusty to get the finish. I say no. He taps Cannetti in the first round.
                                Prediction: Kang via first-round submission


                                145 lbs.: Darren Elkins vs. Michael Johnson
                                Darren Elkins (23-5) — once an afterthought at 145 pounds — has emerged as an unexpected contender under the tutelage of Team Alpha Male. His current five-fight run includes wins over Chas Skelly, Mirsad Bektic and Dennis Bermudez, all fights in which he was an underdog.
                                “The Damage” will give up two inches of arm and leg reach to Michael Johnson (17-12).
                                It’s been a rocky road for Johnson, who snapped a two-fight losing streak with a stunning knockout of Dustin Poirier before dropping two straight to Khabib Nurmagomedov and Justin Gaethje. To his credit, the latter battle earned several “Fight of the Year” accolades, but he’s taking the plunge to 145 nonetheless.
                                He has scored eight professional wins by (technical) knockout.
                                I’ve picked against Elkins in three of his last four fights and the crow is starting to taste bad. I’m going to put my faith in him here, which will probably result in him losing, but I’ve actually got good reason.
                                Frankly, I think moving to 145 pounds is a terrible decision for Johnson. That 1-4 run he’s on should be 2-3 -- he deserved the win against Beneil Dariush. And losing to monsters like Khabib Nurmagomedov and Justin Gaethje is nothing to be ashamed of. A fully equipped Johnson has the firepower to take out Ekins, but I can’t pick him to win his Featherweight debut against a guy with this sort of pressure. Elkins, as always, walks through fire to wear down Johnson and eke out the decision.
                                Prediction: Elkins via split decision

                                155 lbs.:
                                James Krause vs. Alex White

                                James Krause (24-7) — despite a two-fight win streak — decided to try his luck on The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 25, where he reached the semifinals before getting overpowered by Jesse Taylor. He got back on track on the Finale with a decision over Tom Gallicchio, upping his UFC record to 5-3.
                                He is two inches taller than Alex White (12-3) and will have as many inches of reach on him.
                                White started his UFC as a Featherweight, going 2-2 with wins over Estevan Payan and Artem Lobov. Following the latter victory, he made the jump to lightweight, where he’s suffered a decision loss to Tony Martin and scored a technical knockout finish of Mitch Clarke.
                                He owns five professional wins each by knockout and submission.
                                White is tough, powerful and relentless. What he isn’t is slick enough to get inside on Krause or sufficiently equipped to exploit Krause’s iffy takedown defense. All the grit in the world isn’t worth squat if he’s getting picked off by jabs and long kicks the entire time.
                                Krause’s skillset (strong striking and grappling without the wrestling to support it) isn’t enough to carry him into the division elite. It is, however, more than sufficient to take out mid-tier sluggers like White. Krause pieces him up at range and threatens a few takedowns to take home the decision.
                                Prediction: Krause via unanimous decision

                                155 lbs.:
                                Matt Frevola vs. Polo Reyes

                                Five consecutive victories, including one each in World Series of Fighting and Titan FC, put Matt Frevola (6-0) in center stage on the “Tuesday Night Contender Series” season finale. There, “The Steamrolla” took on fellow unbeaten Jose Flores and picked up his third professional submission victory.
                                In addition to his professional record, he went 8-0 as an amateur.
                                Polo Reyes (7-4) was outgunned by teammate Horacio Gutierrez on TUF: “Latin America” 2, but proved his chops with three wins in his first three UFC appearances, including a “Fight of the Year” contender against Dong Hyun Kim. The momentum was not to last, however, as he was beaten down by James Vick this past May.
                                At 5’11,” he is two inches taller than Frevola.
                                Frevola is built for entertainment. What he isn’t built for is consistent success. He keeps his hands low and marches forward, winging haymakers and looking for poorly disguised takedowns. Reyes is right at the threshold of people he has a shot against.
                                And, I think, just ever-so-slightly on the wrong side of it. Frevola is going to slug it out with Reyes, which is the worst possible way to fight him. Unless Frevola’s wrestling is sharper than it’s looked, Reyes outbrawls him on his way to a late stoppage.
                                Prediction: Reyes via second-round technical knockout

                                170 lbs.:
                                Thiago Alvesvs. Zak Cummings

                                A tough loss to Carlos Condit sent Thiago Alves down to 155 pounds, where he promptly missed weight by over six pounds, and lost a decision to Jim Miller. He went back to 170 pounds and handily beat Patrick Cote, but Hurricane Irma left him unable to face Mike Perry in September.
                                He owns eight UFC wins by knockout, though just one since 2008.
                                Though he fell short on TUF 17, Zak Cummings (21-5) has established himself as a capable Welterweight despite a couple of scale fails. He is currently on a 4-1 streak wherein he survived the distance against Santiago Ponzinibbio and earned a stoppage in three of the four wins.
                                He stands three inches taller than Alves at 6’0.”
                                Cummings is definitely on a role and his pressure game is deceptively effective. Even so, Alves’ performance against Cote has me leaning “The Pitbull’s” way. Cummings is fairly straightforward in his attack and is almost certainly slower than Alves, who will have the edge in footwork and the takedown defense to force prolonged striking engagements.
                                Though Cummings packs a decent punch, it’s not enough to rattle Alves, who’s proven he can do real damage on the counter. He piles up leg kicks and counter punches on his way to a decision victory.
                                Prediction: Alves via unanimous decision
                                Comment
                                • Hugo de Naranja
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-14-16
                                  • 14140

                                  #156
                                  UFC Fight Night 124: Stephens vs. Choi Picks:
                                  Mike Santiago Round 1 TKO (Punches)
                                  J.J. Aldrich Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
                                  Kalindra Faria Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
                                  Kyung Ho Kang Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
                                  Irene Aldana Round 1 TKO (Punches)
                                  Matt Frevola Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
                                  Alex White Round 2 TKO (Punches)
                                  Darren Elkins Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
                                  Kamaru Usman Round 2 TKO (Punches)
                                  Jessica-Rose Clark Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
                                  Doo Ho Choi Unanimous Decision (49-46 x3)
                                  Comment
                                  • Hugo de Naranja
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-14-16
                                    • 14140

                                    #157
                                    UFC Fight Night 124: Stephens vs. Choi

                                    Fight Pass Prelims:


                                    Fight #1: Santiago vs. Burnell
                                    Santiago ITD (+217) 1u
                                    Santiago Submission (+613) .5u

                                    Hedge:
                                    Burnell Submission (+490) .5u

                                    Fight #2: Taylor vs. Aldrich
                                    No Bet

                                    Fight #3: Faria vs. Eye
                                    No Bet

                                    Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

                                    Fight #4: Kang vs. Cannetti
                                    Kang Submission (+259) 1.5u

                                    Fight #5: Aldana vs. Bernardo
                                    Aldana ITD (+293) 1.5u

                                    Hedge:
                                    Bernardo ITD (+475) .5u

                                    Fight #6: Frevola (DEBUT) vs. Polo Reyes
                                    Frevola Submission (+832) 1u

                                    Hedge:
                                    Reyes ITD (+349) 1u

                                    Fight #7: White vs. Krause
                                    White ITD (+395) 1u

                                    Main Card:


                                    Fight #8: Elkins vs. Johnson
                                    Elkins (+140) 1.5u
                                    Elkins Submission (+1305) .25u
                                    Elkins Round 3 (+2325) .25u

                                    Fight #9: Usman vs. Meek
                                    Usman KO/TKO (+270) 1u
                                    Usman Round 2 (+500) 1u
                                    Usman Round 3 (+900) .5u

                                    Hedge:
                                    Meek KO/TKO (+1049) 1u

                                    Fight #10: Clark vs. VanZant
                                    Clark+VanZant WGD (+210) .5u
                                    VanZant ITD (+499) 1u

                                    Hedge:
                                    Clark Submission (+1450) .5u

                                    Fight #11: Choi vs. Stephens
                                    Choi+Stephens Goes Distance (+235) 2u
                                    Choi Decision (+449) 2u
                                    Choi Round 1 (+388) 1u

                                    Straight Parlays:
                                    Aldana/Clark (+230) 1u
                                    White/Clark (+369) .5u
                                    White/Elkins (+536) .25u

                                    Prop Parlays:
                                    Santiago/Hall -3.5 (+147) 1u
                                    Usman -3.5/Clark/Choi (+315) .25u
                                    Kang/Aldana/Frevola -3.5 (+351) .25u
                                    Santiago+Burnell WGD/Aldrich/Faria (+566) .25u

                                    Full Card Props:
                                    Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+129) 1.25u
                                    Choi+Stephens FOTN (+250) 1u
                                    Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+413) .5u
                                    Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+1288) .25u

                                    Multi-Event Parlays:

                                    Usman -3.5/Open (+xxx) 5u
                                    Comment
                                    • Shagdogy
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-16-10
                                      • 3564

                                      #158
                                      Hugo I like the way you played Aldana/Bernardo. If either girl keeps it in their wheelhouse it's hard to imagine they don't get the finish.
                                      Comment
                                      • Hugo de Naranja
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-14-16
                                        • 14140

                                        #159
                                        Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                        Hugo I like the way you played Aldana/Bernardo. If either girl keeps it in their wheelhouse it's hard to imagine they don't get the finish.
                                        Thanks mate!
                                        Comment
                                        • firekillex
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-18-13
                                          • 6420

                                          #160
                                          elkins getting exposed tonight
                                          lucks gonna run out
                                          Comment
                                          • Sato
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-10-12
                                            • 1201

                                            #161
                                            Im not sure where Johnson heart is coming off Khabib and Gaethje like that. Weird fight.
                                            Comment
                                            • firekillex
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-18-13
                                              • 6420

                                              #162
                                              Originally posted by Sato
                                              Im not sure where Johnson heart is coming off Khabib and Gaethje like that. Weird fight.
                                              hell be extremely hungry
                                              too fast for elkins, speed kills
                                              Comment
                                              • KingHawkins
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-18-13
                                                • 1311

                                                #163
                                                Danielle Taylor up to -140 at some books, and now the favorite at most. Pinnacle showing Aldrich at +118
                                                Comment
                                                • TPowell
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-21-08
                                                  • 18842

                                                  #164
                                                  VanZant is +210 by decision? I didn't realize she had so many finishes but no matter. She's FAR more likely to win by decision than by finish.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TPowell
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-21-08
                                                    • 18842

                                                    #165
                                                    I'm not sure what people are thinking here but this is STILL a 125 pound fight between women that are very durable. I get that PVZ has a lot of finishes on her record but that crazy kick against Bec or subbing a jobber like Chambers doesn't impress me. This fight will go the distance more often than not for sure and I think this is a close fight to call. +225 is real value.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TPowell
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-21-08
                                                      • 18842

                                                      #166
                                                      My card

                                                      UFC Fight Night 124, St Louis, Missouri, 14th Jan '18

                                                      Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet
                                                      Jessica Eye Kalindra Faria -120 2
                                                      J.J. Aldrich Danielle Taylor -120 2

                                                      Props and Parlays Unit Bet
                                                      Fight Pick Odds
                                                      Pr Danielle Taylor vs J.J. Aldrich Over 2.5 rounds -290
                                                      6
                                                      Fight Pick Odds
                                                      PrPi Doo Ho Choi vs Jeremy Stephens Stephens wins by TKO/KO +338
                                                      1
                                                      Fight Pick Odds
                                                      Pr Doo Ho Choi vs Jeremy Stephens Fight starts round 4 -114
                                                      2
                                                      Fight Pick Odds
                                                      PrPi Mike Santiago vs Mads Burnell Santiago points handicap -3.5 +100
                                                      1.5
                                                      Fight Pick Odds
                                                      PrPi Paige VanZant vs Jessica-Rose Clark VanZant wins by decision +225
                                                      2
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Shagdogy
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-16-10
                                                        • 3564

                                                        #167
                                                        Originally posted by KingHawkins
                                                        Danielle Taylor up to -140 at some books, and now the favorite at most. Pinnacle showing Aldrich at +118
                                                        Damn. Stuck with a bad line there. Got on Aldrich at -115. Oh well. Hopefully she wins.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Shagdogy
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-16-10
                                                          • 3564

                                                          #168
                                                          Originally posted by firekillex
                                                          hell be extremely hungry
                                                          too fast for elkins, speed kills
                                                          I think you're right, but I won't bet it. Doesn't seem to be value on either side IMO.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Shagdogy
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-16-10
                                                            • 3564

                                                            #169
                                                            Hugo got me into ToutMaster this year so I'm gonna take a page from his playbook and post my picks and my plays, just for fun.

                                                            Fight Night 124 Picks:

                                                            Santiago, decision.
                                                            Aldrich, decision.
                                                            Eye, decision.
                                                            Kang, sub.
                                                            Aldana, TKO/KO.
                                                            Reyes, TKO/KO.
                                                            White, decision.
                                                            Johnson, decision.
                                                            Usman, TKO/KO.
                                                            Clark, decision.
                                                            Choi, decision.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Shagdogy
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-16-10
                                                              • 3564

                                                              #170
                                                              Fight Night 124 Bets:

                                                              Aldrich -115, 1.15u
                                                              Eye -120, 1.2u
                                                              Kang/Aldana parlay +113, 1u
                                                              Reyes +185, .54u
                                                              White +140, 1.5u
                                                              Clark -110, 2u

                                                              Good luck everyone!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TPowell
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-21-08
                                                                • 18842

                                                                #171
                                                                So I got +225 on PVZ by decision and then minutes late it shoots down to +181. I just don't understand how PVZ could EVER be over +200 by decision in a fight with a durable, evenly matched opponent. Glad I got a couple units on that.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • turbozed
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-15-08
                                                                  • 2435

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Just as I hoped and expected, JRC is now +105. Gotta love the public action.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • turbozed
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-15-08
                                                                    • 2435

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                                    UFC Fight Night 124: Stephens vs. Choi
                                                                    ...
                                                                    Good luck to everyone here. Let's start off 2018 with some nice profits!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PhoKing
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 07-04-16
                                                                      • 247

                                                                      #174
                                                                      fock i didn't know there was a ufc fight tonight...

                                                                      anyone got one play that's -300 or better that they're really confident in? i just want to win 1 unit and enjoy the rest of the fight card tonight
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • TPowell
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 02-21-08
                                                                        • 18842

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Originally posted by PhoKing
                                                                        fock i didn't know there was a ufc fight tonight...

                                                                        anyone got one play that's -300 or better that they're really confident in? i just want to win 1 unit and enjoy the rest of the fight card tonight

                                                                        Aldrich +3.5 is something worth looking at IMO
                                                                        Comment
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