UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi | 14.01.2018 (St. Louis, Missouri)

**turbozed** · 01-14-18, 08:03 PM

Oh and a controversial decision goes my way. Maybe complaining about it earlier helped

**Hugo de Naranja** · 01-14-18, 08:12 PM

Hit that Kang Sub prop!

**JC2008** · 01-14-18, 08:12 PM

Where the hell's JIBBBBBBBBY?

**JC2008** · 01-14-18, 08:13 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Hit that Kang Sub prop!

Tailed you Hugo. Thanks.

**the1yankee** · 01-14-18, 08:16 PM

Shit Hugo!!

**the1yankee** · 01-14-18, 08:17 PM

In a parlay, not with usman, lol

**Hugo de Naranja** · 01-14-18, 08:17 PM

Originally posted by JC2008

Tailed you Hugo. Thanks.

Sweet let's get it!

**Hugo de Naranja** · 01-14-18, 08:18 PM

Originally posted by the1yankee

In a parlay, not with usman, lol

Huh?

**JC2008** · 01-14-18, 08:21 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Sweet let's get it!

We have no choice!

**Shagdogy** · 01-14-18, 08:21 PM

Originally posted by turbozed

Dumbass Eye had the fight in the bag with that TD in the 3rd but stood up out of it. Didn't punch in top position to solidify. Fight IQ is very low on this chick. Will fade her in the future.

Still hit Eye ML and O2.5

Yes! When she stood up I yelled at the screen. WTF was she doing?

**TPowell** · 01-14-18, 08:23 PM

Well 3 fights in, my night is mostly over. Thought about a play on Alex White but going to pass I think. Thought about MJ before the price went crazy after his good cut. Still have a 2 unit play on PVZ by decision at +225 that I like a lot price wise and I like Stephens to weather the storm that Choi will bring and wear him down eventually but that was mostly an action play. Wish I could take back the Stephens by TKO but it was only a unit at least. Up 4 (3.9) units on the card so far with 5 units left. PVZ by decision would put me up over 8 units going into the main event. I'm sure I'll find something I like live beforehand though. Just flipped the TV on. Lets get it!

**JC2008** · 01-14-18, 08:24 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

Well 3 fights in, my night is mostly over. Thought about a play on Alex White but going to pass I think. Thought about MJ before the price went crazy after his good cut. Still have a 2 unit play on PVZ by decision at +225 that I like a lot price wise and I like Stephens to weather the storm that Choi will bring and wear him down eventually but that was mostly an action play. Wish I could take back the Stephens by TKO but it was only a unit at least. Up 4 (3.9) units on the card so far with 5 units left. PVZ by decision would put me up over 8 units going into the main event. I'm sure I'll find something I like live beforehand though. Just flipped the TV on. Lets get it!

- It's not how you start, it's how you finish!

**Shagdogy** · 01-14-18, 08:25 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

Well 3 fights in, my night is mostly over. Thought about a play on Alex White but going to pass I think. Thought about MJ before the price went crazy after his good cut. Still have a 2 unit play on PVZ by decision at +225 that I like a lot price wise and I like Stephens to weather the storm that Choi will bring and wear him down eventually but that was mostly an action play. Wish I could take back the Stephens by TKO but it was only a unit at least. Up 4 (3.9) units on the card so far with 5 units left. PVZ by decision would put me up over 8 units going into the main event. I'm sure I'll find something I like live beforehand though. Just flipped the TV on. Lets get it!

You could add Aldana/White small at over 3-1 just to keep you having fun. I think Aldana should win. The standup edge is immeasurable. Bernardo will have to smother the whole fight or get the sub on her first TD prob.

**TPowell** · 01-14-18, 08:32 PM

I'm looking at Aldana LIVE if I can get a nice number after a grappling heavy round. Bernardo tends to gas and a grapple heavy first round even if she wins could be a disaster.

**TPowell** · 01-14-18, 08:38 PM

Wow -530 for Aldana. Thought I may be able to scrape a -350 or so real quick for some easy money

**Hugo de Naranja** · 01-14-18, 08:39 PM

Let's get that finish!

**Shagdogy** · 01-14-18, 08:44 PM

Bernardo has a way of scoring TDs even when she seems totally out of it. She doesn't do much with them though. Same deal in her fight with Reneau too. Somehow she makes it closer than it should be.

**Shagdogy** · 01-14-18, 08:45 PM

Aldana should throw nothing but long jabs in round 3. She could probably win the round by landing a single strike if it stays on the feet because Bernardo won't land a damn thing at range. Aldana needs a win right now any way she can get it.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 01-14-18, 08:45 PM

Live-Bet:
Bernardo (+280) .5u

It could be 1-1 since we don't have the new rules here

**Thrilla** · 01-14-18, 08:49 PM

Polo Reyes vs. Matt Frevola

Predictions?

**Hugo de Naranja** · 01-14-18, 08:50 PM

Aldana keeps rocking Bernardo then getting reversed when she jumps in for the finish

**TPowell** · 01-14-18, 08:50 PM

Originally posted by Thrilla

Polo Reyes vs. Matt Frevola

Predictions?

Two sloppy brawlers on the feet IMO. Reyes lack of wrestling could be an issue though. I thought the price on Reyes ITD was a little high but passed.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 01-14-18, 08:50 PM

Originally posted by Thrilla

Polo Reyes vs. Matt Frevola

Predictions?

Frevola by Sub

**Hugo de Naranja** · 01-14-18, 08:50 PM

29-27 Aldana.

**turbozed** · 01-14-18, 08:52 PM

3-0 so far on my chick fight bets. Let's go Jessy Rose Clark for a clean sweep

**Shagdogy** · 01-14-18, 08:54 PM

Originally posted by turbozed

3-0 so far on my chick fight bets. Let's go Jessy Rose Clark for a clean sweep

Yes I am with you!

**TPowell** · 01-14-18, 08:54 PM

Originally posted by turbozed

3-0 so far on my chick fight bets. Let's go Jessy Rose Clark for a clean sweep

I won some lunch money with that arb you posted but no other action on that one for me. I'm telling you guys, womens fights are MUCH easier to handicap

**Hugo de Naranja** · 01-14-18, 08:55 PM

There was some weird line movement on that fight. Aldana opened (-260) then moved way up midweek for no apparent reason before continuing steadily all the way to the closing price of (-135).

**Hugo de Naranja** · 01-14-18, 08:55 PM

Originally posted by turbozed

3-0 so far on my chick fight bets. Let's go Jessy Rose Clark for a clean sweep

Keep up the great work boys! Let's get a Clark win.

**Shagdogy** · 01-14-18, 09:01 PM

Took a .5u stab at Reyes here. I think his chin is worrisome and Frevola launches that right hand. But I'm also thinking that Reyes's TDD has improved and Frevola doesn't have as good of takedowns as everyone may think. I'm thinking Reyes may be able to keep it standing and if he does he has a decent shot. We'll see.

**Thrilla** · 01-14-18, 09:01 PM

Originally posted by JC2008

Where the hell's JIBBBBBBBBY?

Jibbbbbbbyyyyy!

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**TPowell** · 01-14-18, 09:03 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

There was some weird line movement on that fight. Aldana opened (-260) then moved way up midweek for no apparent reason before continuing steadily all the way to the closing price of (-135).

cost me a point in ToutMaster. I try to always play on those line movements if I don't have much of an opinion on the fight. I faded Aldana with the +190 TM offered.

**TPowell** · 01-14-18, 09:03 PM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

Took a .5u stab at Reyes here. I think his chin is worrisome and Frevola launches that right hand. But I'm also thinking that Reyes's TDD has improved and Frevola doesn't have as good of takedowns as everyone may think. I'm thinking Reyes may be able to keep it standing and if he does he has a decent shot. We'll see.

ML or ITD? Neither is bad. Just curious.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 01-14-18, 09:06 PM

Reyes is a hitter!

**TPowell** · 01-14-18, 09:07 PM

Damn it! He was +330 ITD and +550 or so in Round 1