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I agree.. Ferreira should win this, maybe by decision too.. Elias if a safe fighter and probably won't get finished if I had to guess..I like Ferreira. He went through a long period of being injured, now he says he has no pain after a surgery so he can take his game to the next level. Theodoro ran from Alvey the whole fight and got pot shots, don't think he can do that vs Ferreira.
I also like Meerschaert. Here are some interviews with him for some inside info:
https://www.spreaker.com/user/fightl...ld-meerschaertComment -
Odds on Hendricks to miss weight at Middleweight?Comment -
Theodorou spent the last year at tristar, one of the best gyms to train wrestling/grappling.
I don't know if Ferreira will want to mess with Theodorou on the ground.
It might be a standup fight.Comment -
I was thinking the same thing... I don't have any of the dogs favored, but I have many of them closer than where the lines currently sit.
Janes is a horribly unathletic looking fighter but he has real good size, nonstop pressure, and a solid chin (it has to be cause he gets hit all the time). While Meerschaert holds a clear advantage on the ground, he may struggle to get it there and keep it there often enough to lose an ugly decision. That line seems too big.
There's not a lot of tape to be seen on Ricci, but there doesn't seem to be too much to separate him from Felder other than a little bit slighter build and less UFC experience. The line is quite wide considering they're both durable and they both are gonna bang.
Might need to play some over/unders on this card. I like Marshman/Santos o1.5 at +185. Both guys have heavy hands, but Santos holds a clear advantage from the outside. Why risk standing in the pocket with Marshman when he has the reach advantage, better kicks, and can play patient from the outside? I think his game plan could lead to an over. I also like o1.5 in Zahabi/Vieira at -190. Zahabi has never been out of the first round and that's probably the only reason this isn't set at 2.5. Even with the juice, this seems like a play at 1.5. Finally, Felder/Ricci is worth a shot at more than 2-1 to go u2.5. Neither guy ever finished (other than a cut for Felder), but getting better than 2-1 that someone gets taken out in what should be an aggressive striking battle also seems like value.Comment -
Keep in mind a close decision SHOULD go to Theo. He's the hometown guy here (Canadian). People think Theo is a low volume guy because of the Alvey fight but at his best, he's an attacking type of guy with his striking and takedowns. He has solid cardio and can drag guys into deeper waters and make them uncomfortable. I think Theo will be the quicker guy in there and should be able to bounce around and land some shots and get some confidence. Mutante has some pop in his punches but he isn't the greatest striker for sure. I think he has the edge on the ground with his BJJ but the wrestling and striking are both close IMO but Theo's work rate should be higher and get a decision win.Comment -
Leaning towards a stab on Ricci by decision at a big price. Felder is so inactive and I think people are sleeping on Ricci because he got physically dominated by a true FW fighting at LW in his UFC debut. Ricci is a striker first for sure and I love getting the huge dog money on a striker like Felder that isn't a great finisher on the feet and doesn't throw much at all to win on the cardsComment -
Ferreria defeated three fighters in the UFC who could have suspect wrestling and sub defense.
The reason Ferreria could be wrestling/grappling now, late in his career, could be due to his chin deteriorating and him not being able to take shots.
Theodorou is the best wrestler/grappler Ferreria has faced in the last x amount of years.
Theodorou could be a better wrestler/grappler than Ferreria is imo.Comment -
Like the Gente BkofAma Fight...... Should he win -YES....but -400 my god...should be -300 max IMO... expect a dec win by him but Taleb is no easy out....
Esparaza -280.....Should Win it...but laying almost 3:1 seems off here...
Zahabi- -230..... new guy....DO think he wins but laying -2:1 on someone I don't know much about it tough....has be more of a fade of Vie and his t-rex ness....Comment -
Janes is getting Subbed or KO'd. Meerschaert is a finisher.Comment -
Anybody feeling Taleb/Ponzo UNDER 1.5 (+175)? Both guys pack a lot of power on the feet and both are pretty bad defensively. I took a flier on Taleb ITD at +850 as well. I think Ponzo has a bad speed edge that probably wins him this fight but not hard to imagine a quick finish here unless Taleb is able to shoot takedowns successfully. I don't like the big number with Ponzo because he's pretty poor defensively and he's been fighting grinding wrestlers without much power. I know his chin is really solid but it COULD get cracked here IMOComment -
I liked that too. Hated giving up juice but Taleb by SUB would kill me LOL. Card is much pretty set right now but could be a big parlay weekend. Like Damon Jackson in LFA, Kongo and Thomson in Bellator, and I haven't even sat down and went through the Cage Warriors or Cage cards yetComment -
my straight up bets for tomorrow, current 5D odds:
Lewis (-115)
Theodorou (105)
Tucker (-165)
Taleb (325)
Mazany (450)
Marshman (160)
Vieira (190)
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I know Janes is a high level Blackbelt, but Meerschaert has sneaky subs. I see Meerschaert dropping Janes w/ strikes and either TKO'ing him or latching on a choke after Janes is hurt.
And Taleb isn't a power puncher, sure he knocked Silva out, but he's not necessarily a power puncher. Unless of course he's put it all together and now developed more power, which is possible because he's friggin massive.Comment
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