UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Mir (March 19, 2016)

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  • PaperTrail07
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-29-08
    • 20423

    #246
    LOL KO works FINE for me too....lol....
    Comment
    • JIBBBY
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-10-09
      • 83686

      #247
      I still haven't bet the Jouban fight yet.. Only fight still pending to bet on for me with this card.... It's still a toss up between these 3 props.. Hmmm?

      Jouban blasts right thru this guy and knocks him out early on is the thinking with the prop.. Could very well happen..

      1621 Jouban wins in round 1 <input id="editx" name="M1_139" size="4"> +145

      The Jouban by KO is his most likely pathway to victory in this fight period.. Odds blow though

      1633 Jouban wins by TKO/KO <input id="editx" name="M1_145" size="4"> -150

      Lastly I think the fight ends early and always did one way or the other, Joubans jaw has been cracked recently so you just never know for sure.. Safer bet then the Jouban finishs in round one prop and the odds are almost the same.. I'll probably end up hitting this and the Jouban by KO prop..

      1638 Fight won’t start round 2 <input id="editx" name="M2_147" size="4"> +125
      Comment
      • JoshKnows46
        SBR MVP
        • 07-27-12
        • 3691

        #248
        Originally posted by JIBBBY
        I still haven't bet the Jouban fight yet.. Only fight still pending to bet on for me with this card.... It's still a toss up between these 3 props.. Hmmm?

        Jouban blasts right thru this guy and knocks him out early on is the thinking with the prop.. Could very well happen..

        1621 Jouban wins in round 1 <input id="editx" name="M1_139" size="4"> +145

        The Jouban by KO is his most likely pathway to victory in this fight period.. Odds blow though

        1633 Jouban wins by TKO/KO <input id="editx" name="M1_145" size="4"> -150

        Lastly I think the fight ends early and always did one way or the other, Joubans jaw has been cracked recently so you just never know for sure.. Safer bet then the Jouban finishs in round one prop and the odds are almost the same.. I'll probably end up hitting this and the Jouban by KO prop..

        1638 Fight won’t start round 2 <input id="editx" name="M2_147" size="4"> +125

        good job, i see you're tailing me big time with this card,
        Comment
        • JIBBBY
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-10-09
          • 83686

          #249
          Originally posted by JoshKnows46
          good job, i see you're tailing me big time with this card,
          I knew you were on Jouban Josh but everyone and their mother is so that's not shocking to see. I did not see your prop play on this fight yet though... If you are playing this above then we are thinking the same for this fight period..

          This is my own reasoning and thoughts for this fight and no one elses in that above post just for the record.. I'm still thinking it over for these props and haven't bet it yet.. I'm in no hurry..

          This is why I don't post all my bets days in advance because they are not all in yet most of the time.. There is always 1 or 2 fights I usually wait til event time or after weigh ins.. If I get a bad feeling right before the fight I could hedge out as well.. Even sometimes I'll just pass up on a fight which I don't do often as you can see from past events...
          Comment
          • JoshKnows46
            SBR MVP
            • 07-27-12
            • 3691

            #250
            Originally posted by JIBBBY
            I knew you were on Jouban Josh but everyone and their mother is so that's not shocking to see. I did not see your prop play on this fight yet though... If you are playing this above then we are thinking the same for this fight period..

            This is my own reasoning and thoughts for this fight and no one elses in that above post just for the record.. I'm still thinking it over for these props and haven't bet it yet.. I'm in no hurry..

            This is why I don't post all my bets days in advance because they are not all in yet most of the time.. There is always 1 or 2 fights I usually wait til event time or after weigh ins.. Or I'll just pass up on the fight which I don't do often as you can see from past events...
            you know damn well you saw all my props, you fukin clown, make your own bets....
            Comment
            • JIBBBY
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-10-09
              • 83686

              #251
              Josh you are on Hunt and I'm on Mir, you are on Magny and I have more invested in Lombard.. So we aren't exactly on the same page down the stretch in this event.. So relax on tailing claims.. I don't even remember half the plays you are on.. I don't tail anyone in MMA and never have!!!

              You should post all your plays and amounts on this thread so I can see how you are doing during this event and then after.. I know I will...

              I already posted my 1st 4 fight plays for this event with amounts on the page before this one.... Nothing will change on those.. Fight #5 I'm still working out..
              Comment
              • JoshKnows46
                SBR MVP
                • 07-27-12
                • 3691

                #252
                Originally posted by JIBBBY
                Josh you are on Hunt and I'm on Mir, you are on Magny and I have more invested in Lombard.. So we aren't exactly on the same page down the stretch in this event.. So relax on tailing claims.. I don't even remember half the plays you are on.. I don't tail anyone in MMA and never have!!!

                You should post all your plays and amounts on this thread so I can see how you are doing during this event and then after.. I know I will...

                I already posted my 1st 4 fight plays for this event with amounts on the page before this one.... Nothing will change on those.. Fight #5 I'm still working out..
                post all your bets in one post please, and thank you, and i assure you i will.
                Comment
                • JIBBBY
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-10-09
                  • 83686

                  #253
                  Well just bet all my bet points on this event.. 1200.. Spread it out though..

                  Let's see if I can hit the straights on this event as well as the over and unders...
                  Comment
                  • JIBBBY
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-10-09
                    • 83686

                    #254
                    Originally posted by JoshKnows46
                    post all your bets in one post please, and thank you, and i assure you i will.
                    Oh I will don't worry.. They will all be pending as well..
                    Comment
                    • JoshKnows46
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-27-12
                      • 3691

                      #255
                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                      Oh I will don't worry.. They will all be pending as well..
                      before the event starts...
                      Comment
                      • JIBBBY
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-10-09
                        • 83686

                        #256
                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                        My plays in the first 4 fights since Josh is busting my balls....

                        No hedging in the first 4 fights as I just didn't see it, going with the props only and that's it..



                        Fight #1 -


                        $150.00 $210.00 Pending 3/19/16 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2205 Patrick wins inside distance +140* <small>vs</small> Not Patrick inside distance

                        Fight #2 -

                        $120.00 $216.00 Pending 3/19/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2007 Laprise wins by 3 round decision +180* <small>vs</small> Not Laprise by 3 round decision
                        Fight #3 -

                        $100.00 $219.00 Pending 3/19/16 8:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1807 Walsh wins by 3 round decision +219* <small>vs</small> Not Walsh by 3 round decision
                        Fight #4 -

                        $200.00 $300.00 Pending 3/19/16 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2107 Smith wins by 3 round decision +150* <small>vs</small> Not Smith by 3 round decision
                        Ok Josh I will continue on..

                        Fight #5 -


                        $190.00 $300.20 Pending 3/19/16 9:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1709 Hooker wins inside distance +158* <small>vs</small> Not Hooker inside distance

                        Fight #6 -

                        No play yet but probably will hit Jouban by KO $150 to win $100.. Maybe the 1st round finish as well for $50...

                        Comment
                        • JoshKnows46
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-27-12
                          • 3691

                          #257
                          My Full Card:

                          Hunt -175/-180 risking $3000 (10 units)

                          Magny +110/+115 risking $3000 (10 units)

                          Hunt/mir starts round 2 -135 risking $250 (1 unit)
                          Hunt/mir starts round 3 +183 risking $250 (1 unit)

                          Hunt/mir starts round 4 +340 risking $100
                          Hunt/mir starts round 5 +473 risking $50
                          Hunt wins by unanimous dec +2000 risking $50
                          Hunt wins by majority/split dec +2950 risking $50

                          Magny wins in the 3rd +1700 $50 to win $850
                          Magny 3rd round finish +1400 $50 to win $700
                          Magny wins by dec +245 $100 to win $245

                          Parlay
                          Antonio Carlos jr. -550
                          Not mir in round 1 -900
                          Magny/lombard start round 2 -367
                          Risking $900 to win $603.84 (3 units)

                          Magny +3.5 points handicap -215 risking $537.50 (2 units)

                          Johnny Case -115 $1200 total now (4 units)
                          Johnny Case inside the distance +325 $300 to win $975 (1 unit)

                          Smith +100/-130/-140 to win $600 (2 units)

                          Te huna wins in round 1 +120 $100
                          Case wins in round 3 +1550 $100
                          Case wins in round 2 +800 $50
                          Case no scorecards -107 $107
                          Junior wins by tko/ko +157 $100

                          Lombard wins by dec +310 $250 to win $775 (1 unit hedge)
                          Fight goes 3 round distance -155 $310 to win $200 ( 1 unit)
                          mir wins by sub +350 risking $250 to win $875 (1 unit hedge)

                          Seohee Ham wins by dec +161 Risking $250 (1 unit)

                          Case by sub +705 $100
                          Jouban inside the distance -212 $212
                          Jouban under 1.5 Rounds -120 $120

                          Parlay
                          Jouban -485
                          Ham/rawl over 2.5 -250
                          Risking $1200 (4 units)

                          Hunt finishes in 3rd +900 $30
                          Hunt finishes in 4th +1600 $30
                          Hunt finishes in 5th +2600 $50

                          Pearson +100 $300 (1 unit)
                          Pearson dec +170 $100
                          Pearson wins in round 3 +1900 $100
                          Pearson wins in round 2 +1075 $25
                          Jouban wins in rd1 +120 $100
                          Jouban wins by ko -145 risked $362.50 (1.2 units)

                          Added:

                          Jouban -525
                          Case -110
                          $1000 to win $1272.73 (3.3 units)




                          Comment
                          • JIBBBY
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-10-09
                            • 83686

                            #258
                            Originally posted by JoshKnows46
                            before the event starts...
                            I can't post them if I didn't place them yet.. Sorry pal doing the best I can.. That's first 5 fights and half the card.. I will have the bets placed and posted before the Jouban fight starts and so on like I always do..
                            Comment
                            • PaperTrail07
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-29-08
                              • 20423

                              #259
                              not too long now
                              Comment
                              • JoshKnows46
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-27-12
                                • 3691

                                #260
                                Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                I can't post them if I didn't place them yet.. Sorry pal doing the best I can.. That's first 5 fights and half the card.. I will have the bets placed and posted before the Jouban fight starts and so on like I always do..
                                you aren't gonna learn anything more about the match-ups at this point, why do you wait so late to make your bets?, my bets were in 2 weeks ago.....i'm already done watching film on the majority on the next 2 cards. your losing money by getting the worse lines possible...step your game up...
                                Comment
                                • JIBBBY
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-10-09
                                  • 83686

                                  #261
                                  QUOTE=JoshKnows46;25464165]you aren't gonna learn anything more about the match-ups at this point, why do you wait so late to make your bets?, my bets were in 2 weeks ago.....i'm already done watching film on the majority on the next 2 cards. your losing money by getting the worse lines possible...step your game up...[/QUOTE]

                                  Lines don't always move against my last minute plays Josh.. Why don't you chill out and just watch me work as the event goes.. I gave you almost all my plays already. You know my Mir/Hunt and Magny/Lombard bets as well as posted earlier on this thread and those won't change..

                                  Don't push it pal.. I think there is 3 fights left.. I got Rawling even and by decision, Tejuna still not placed yet.. Looking at the prop won't start 2nd round in that fight.. On Johnny Case straight as well.. That's it that's all my plays.. Just haven't bet the amounts yet on these but I will..

                                  Fight #11 -


                                  $300.00 $300.00 Pending 3/19/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1102 Neil Magny +100* <small>vs</small> Hector Lombard

                                  $50.00 $450.00 Pending 3/19/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1123 Magny wins in round 2 +900* <small>vs</small> Any other result


                                  Hegde -

                                  $100.00 $345.00 Pending 3/19/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1129 Lombard wins by TKO/KO +345* <small>vs</small> Any other result


                                  $50.00 $212.50 Pending 3/19/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1115 Lombard wins in round 1 +425* <small>vs</small> Any other result


                                  $100.00 $250.00 Pending 3/19/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1105 Lombard wins inside distance +250* <small>vs</small> Not Lombard inside distance

                                  Fight #12 -

                                  $200.00 $310.00 Pending 3/19/16 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1001 Frank Mir +155* <small>vs</small> Mark Hunt
                                  $188.10 $312.20 Pending 3/19/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1005 Mir wins inside distance +166* <small>vs</small> Not Mir inside distance

                                  $50.00 $175.00 Pending 3/19/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1035 Mir wins by submission +350* <small>vs</small> Any other result

                                  $100.00 $280.00 Pending 3/19/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1035 Mir wins by submission +280* <small>vs</small> Any other result
                                  Comment
                                  • JIBBBY
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-10-09
                                    • 83686

                                    #262
                                    Originally posted by PaperTrail07
                                    not too long now
                                    Still 3 hours away.. I'm going nuts over heres!!!


                                    The question at hand is -- is it too early to start drinking yet? Lol..
                                    Comment
                                    • JIBBBY
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-10-09
                                      • 83686

                                      #263
                                      I really didn't hedge much at all with this card, I hope that doesn't end up biting me in the arse..

                                      I just think the favored fighters will clearly win and there really was no point in hedging those fights, and or most of the fighters are well rounded and can win either by ITD or by decision.. So there was just not alot of hedge plays to be had with this event..

                                      This means I better hit these single play props with each fight atleast 50 percent of the time and I'm good.. Pressure is on!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • UncleChael
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-30-13
                                        • 3979

                                        #264
                                        I'm on Matthews like white on rice. Believe in Uncle.
                                        Comment
                                        • UncleChael
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-30-13
                                          • 3979

                                          #265
                                          Jibbs tails me in MMA, he's lying.
                                          Comment
                                          • mirinquads
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-22-13
                                            • 3927

                                            #266
                                            Originally posted by UncleChael
                                            I'm on Matthews like white on rice. Believe in Uncle.
                                            Matthews is not good.
                                            Comment
                                            • JIBBBY
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-10-09
                                              • 83686

                                              #267
                                              ^^^Yep, Johnny Case is the call I believe also in this one.. Unc might get buried with that play.. Celtic kid might be game early on but I fully expect Case Hollywood with his fight experience to take over at some point and begin to dominate.. Might even get the finish..



                                              Jake
                                              Matthews
                                              "The Celtic Kid"
                                              vs
                                              Johnny
                                              Case
                                              "Hollywood"

                                              AUSTRALIA
                                              Country
                                              USA

                                              10-1-0
                                              Record
                                              22-4-0

                                              50%
                                              KO/TKO
                                              68%

                                              40%
                                              SUB
                                              14%

                                              10%
                                              DEC
                                              18%
                                              Comment
                                              • UncleChael
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-30-13
                                                • 3979

                                                #268
                                                We'll see fellas.
                                                Comment
                                                • thetitanlb
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 10-31-13
                                                  • 780

                                                  #269
                                                  Am i crazy for liking Rin Nakai in this fight? I know she has no striking but she is a good grappler. She had good exchanges and almost had the upper hand a few times against Miesha Tate. Leslie Smith is no where near the level of grappler that Tate is. I kind of feel plus money for Nakai is a low key good bet.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mirinquads
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-22-13
                                                    • 3927

                                                    #270
                                                    Originally posted by thetitanlb
                                                    Am i crazy for liking Rin Nakai in this fight? I know she has no striking but she is a good grappler. She had good exchanges and almost had the upper hand a few times against Miesha Tate. Leslie Smith is no where near the level of grappler that Tate is. I kind of feel plus money for Nakai is a low key good bet.
                                                    Took her by Dec +250. Leslie just get's crazy wild and sloppy, very open to takedowns. Likely be hard to control because of the length though.

                                                    You probs just horny for them asian muscle quads though.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                      • 83686

                                                      #271
                                                      Originally posted by mirinquads
                                                      Took her by Dec +250. Leslie just get's crazy wild and sloppy, very open to takedowns. Likely be hard to control because of the length though.

                                                      You probs just horny for them asian muscle quads though.
                                                      I have Leslie by decision myself, you're making me think Hedge play with your Rin by dec play at +250 Miri.. Errrr!!! I just don't see how that short Asian muscle bound midget chick can out point the much taller Leslie round after round unless of course Rin just lays and prays in each round.....

                                                      Well that prop is +173 on 5dimes now.. I won't be hedging with that.. +250 I would have though..

                                                      2111 Nakai wins by 3 round decision <input id="radiox" value="M1_214" name="radiox" type="radio">+173
                                                      Comment
                                                      • shabang
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-23-13
                                                        • 1814

                                                        #272
                                                        good luck ladies~!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • spurginobili
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-09-09
                                                          • 3065

                                                          #273
                                                          Here we go...got Patrick in a couple parlays
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Unwritten Law
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-31-13
                                                            • 2532

                                                            #274
                                                            Nakai would have done much better if she was a bit taller. I was at the fight when she fought Miesha Tate and her legs were too short to wrap around Tate but had her back a couple times, threatening to RNC. It's tough taking Miesha down and should be easier for Nakai tonight.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JIBBBY
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-10-09
                                                              • 83686

                                                              #275
                                                              Looks like this is going to decision.. Thought he could finish. Darn
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JIBBBY
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-10-09
                                                                • 83686

                                                                #276
                                                                Originally posted by spurginobili
                                                                Here we go...got Patrick in a couple parlays
                                                                good work Spurg
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JC2008
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-27-08
                                                                  • 2258

                                                                  #277
                                                                  Patrick won or what? Lemme know as I have him parlayed with Nakai by decision.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • spurginobili
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-09-09
                                                                    • 3065

                                                                    #278
                                                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                    Looks like this is going to decision.. Thought he could finish. Darn
                                                                    Yeah, thought that guillotine was money. Brown defended it well

                                                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                    good work Spurg
                                                                    Thank you
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JoshKnows46
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 07-27-12
                                                                      • 3691

                                                                      #279
                                                                      Pearson for 300, dec for 100, 3rd round finish for 100, and 2nd round finish for 25...watch me work, pay attention jibby
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • spurginobili
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 05-09-09
                                                                        • 3065

                                                                        #280
                                                                        On Laprise, small
                                                                        Comment
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