UFC on FOX 15: Machida vs. Rockhold (April 18, 2015)

**UncleChael** · 04-16-15, 01:56 AM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

As V mentioned I do think the odds are very favorable for Cummins to win the fight by decision as OSP is crazy hard to finish.. Ground and try to Pound for 3 rounds is what I'm thinking Cummins will do to win the fight on points.. Cardio will favor Cummins and I'm thinking that will seal the deal in the later rounds if he doesn't get clipped standing early on first.....

If the props ever comes out for OSP winning in 1st round or by KO that could be a good hedge play to counter if the odds are really favorable for those..

Pending4/18/15 7:00pm Props Fighting 1511 Cummins wins by 3 round decision +140* <small>vs</small> Not Cummins by 3 round decision

Can't bet on the Starbuck's guy.

**TheCalculator** · 04-16-15, 10:17 AM

Gian Villante is gonna gas after R1. He has some of the worst cardio in the UFC. His only road to victory is a KO in R1 or early R2.

The safest bets are the distance because Gian has also one of the best chins. I doubt Anderson can KO him.

**mirinquads** · 04-16-15, 11:32 AM

I thought Roy Nelson had the best chins.

**bjpenn85** · 04-16-15, 11:35 AM

he has ufc worst cardio, up until last fight. Where he wasnt close to get tired. The fight was actually high paced, both odonell and villante suprised me. But, villante is freakin slow...so slow. And that wil be the difference maker when he bets corey. Corey also has sweet wrestling. I think it was the fight against maldonade that really woke him up...he couldnt show up one more time in the ufc with that cardio.

**JIBBBY** · 04-16-15, 12:12 PM

Originally posted by UncleChael

Can't bet on the Starbuck's guy.

He ain't a Starbuck's guy no more Haus!

If OSP can defend the TD's and keep the fight standing then perhaps he can beat up Cummins standing and maybe even KO him late.. Big IF saying that Cummins can't put OSP on his back though in every round...
My money is on the better wrestler and that just happens to be Starbuck Cummins..

**TheCalculator** · 04-16-15, 01:51 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

he has ufc worst cardio, up until last fight. Where he wasnt close to get tired. The fight was actually high paced, both odonell and villante suprised me. But, villante is freakin slow...so slow. And that wil be the difference maker when he bets corey. Corey also has sweet wrestling. I think it was the fight against maldonade that really woke him up...he couldnt show up one more time in the ufc with that cardio.

I thought he lost that fight against Odonnell. Again if someone wants to bet on Villante -- R1 is the bet.

**TheCalculator** · 04-16-15, 01:55 PM

Originally posted by mirinquads

I thought Roy Nelson had the best chins.

Hard to argue that. I said Villante has ONE of the best chins. Not THE best.

**JIBBBY** · 04-16-15, 04:30 PM

Why do I find it funny every time when I see the MMA girls dressed up, make up and heels on and then giving the hard mean looks at picture taking while ready to kick arse at any moment? Lulz.....

**JIBBBY** · 04-16-15, 04:36 PM

Originally posted by TheCalculator

I thought he lost that fight against Odonnell. Again if someone wants to bet on Villante -- R1 is the bet.

I agree to some extent but Cory Anderson has never been stopped in R1 let alone in any fight yet... His last fight went the distance as well against Justin Jones.. Seems durable from what I can tell...http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Corey-Anderson-171723

**TheCalculator** · 04-16-15, 04:39 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

I agree to some extent but Cory Anderson has never been stopped in R1 let alone in any fight yet... His last fight went the distance as well against Justin Jones.. Seems durable from what I can tell...http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Corey-Anderson-171723

I'm on Corey by decision and the over.

**JIBBBY** · 04-16-15, 04:47 PM

Originally posted by TheCalculator

I'm on Corey by decision and the over.

Oh ok Calc... I thought you were suggesting Villante will go balls out in the 1st round and then gas and slow down after that.. In other words his only chance to win this fight is by knocking out Cory Anderson in the 1st round..

I actually don't think it's a bad idea considering the odds on that prop.. I'm on the over as well..... Villante straight for small at +325 based on his chin strength and counter wrestling also.. Banking on that he has worked on his cardio......

Sat 4/18		1621 Villante wins in round 1		<input id="editx" name="M1_128" size="4"> +1200
6:30PM		1622 Any other result		<input id="editx" name="M2_128" size="4"> -2600

**UncleChael** · 04-16-15, 06:06 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Why do I find it funny every time when I see the MMA girls dressed up, make up and heels on and then giving the hard mean looks at picture taking while ready to kick arse at any moment? Lulz.....

I'm liking me some Felice a lot!

**mirinquads** · 04-16-15, 06:49 PM

Originally posted by TheCalculator

Hard to argue that. I said Villante has ONE of the best chins. Not THE best.

It's funny because Nelson has more than one chin. Get it?

**JIBBBY** · 04-16-15, 08:53 PM

One of the largest lines I've seen in a long time!!!.. My God man!!! Lol....

Talk about picking up change in front of the steam roller when playing this straight below.. Yipes!!!

9:00PM

1102 Ronaldo Souza

<input id="radiox" value="M2_1" name="radiox" type="radio">-1500

I'd say if Camozzi ever had a chance to win this fight which he probably doesn't it would be by a lucky shot to the chin of Souza...

1129 Camozzi wins by TKO/KO

<input id="radiox" value="M1_42" name="radiox" type="radio">+1800

Better yet a lucky shot to the chin in the 3rd round when Jacare is a bit tired and being careless after chasing Camozzi around after 2 rounds maybe.....

1119 Camozzi wins in round 3

<input id="radiox" value="M1_37" name="radiox" type="radio">+4000

JUST SAYING FELLAS... Laughing at all the odds going into this one...

Most likely outcome will be Jacare by submission just like last fight as Camozzi does sport the solid chin standing... I might throw this in a parlay last minute.. Right now no play for me other then a small play on the Under.... Only reasonable and logical play for odds in this fight is Souza by Submission... Parlay it up boys!!!!

1131 Souza wins by submission

<input id="radiox" value="M1_43" name="radiox" type="radio">-260

I suppose if Camozzi just completely runs the entire fight and he has really worked hard on his take down defense and anti Jits Souza could win this by decision.. Doubt it though as Camozzi is a bit slow of foot...

1111 Souza wins by 3 round decision

<input id="radiox" value="M1_33" name="radiox" type="radio">+457

**mirinquads** · 04-16-15, 11:55 PM

You missed the most valuablefilled line there

**JIBBBY** · 04-17-15, 01:49 AM

Originally posted by mirinquads

You missed the most valuablefilled line there

Miri a man of mystery indeed I see!!!!

Please enlighten the meek and curious reading in my good online friend...

**JIBBBY** · 04-17-15, 03:36 PM

Upcoming UFC weigh ins -

**Unwritten Law** · 04-17-15, 10:12 PM

Juicer is a must parlay with whichever you play. Was distracted with MLB while watching weigh-ins but will have plays the morning of the fight. Any leans? I'm thinking OSP, Machida (if line increases), Gordon, Anderson.

**tiberiusdush** · 04-18-15, 04:05 AM

OSP handles cummins

Cub over powers max

Dariush out strikes miller

**JIBBBY** · 04-18-15, 10:09 AM

It's game day!!!! Bring it!!

I got alot of money riding on this event!!!! Great card can't wait...

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 04-18-15, 10:19 AM

who you on today Jibby?

**JIBBBY** · 04-18-15, 10:24 AM

Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21

who you on today Jibby?

Too many to mention.. Got about 20 bets pending and risking a little over 2 grand in totals... I'll be posting live during the event if I'm winning.. My final play will be Luke Rockhold straight... Also have the over round bet in a sized parlay to close out in the Machida/Rockhold brawl.....

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 04-18-15, 10:34 AM

I like rockhold too..along with Dariush, Means, Sterling.

**JIBBBY** · 04-18-15, 10:37 AM

Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21

I like rockhold too..along with Dariush, Means, Sterling.

I'm on all those same guys as well.. Let's get this Jake!!!

**tebowned** · 04-18-15, 11:02 AM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

I'm on all those same guys as well.. Let's get this Jake!!!

Me three.

10U on Rockhold
3U on Dariush
2U on Souza

1U on:
Holloway
OSP
Gordon
Brandao
Means
Sterling

.25U on:
Over 2.5 Cummins/ OSP
Over 1.5

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 04-18-15, 01:33 PM

fights start in a little over an hour.

Jibby, I have some parlays brewing with a few legs down already with the guys that i mentioned mixed and matched. Also put Jacare in most and have Cummins in 1 and Holloway in 1.

**JIBBBY** · 04-18-15, 02:18 PM

Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21

fights start in a little over an hour.

Jibby, I have some parlays brewing with a few legs down already with the guys that i mentioned mixed and matched. Also put Jacare in most and have Cummins in 1 and Holloway in 1.

Got these 5 parlays pending myself... Each for around 75-125 bucks a pop... I worked it out mathematically that if I hit 2 of any 5 parlays below I pretty much break even.. If I hit more then 2 parlays I begin to rake in some decent cash.... Hoping to hit atleast 3 of 5...

I'm a bit heavy with the Van Zant, Cummins/OSP overs and the Tim Means straight plays..

Pending	3 Team Parlay
		Pending	4/18/15 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1001 Lyoto Machida/Luke Rockhold Over 3½ -145*
		Pending	4/18/15 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1301 Felice Herrig/Paige Van Zant Over 2½ -190*
		Pending	4/18/15 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1501 Ovince Saint Preux/Patrick Cummins Over 2½ -165*

Pending	2 Team Parlay
		Pending	4/18/15 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1301 Felice Herrig/Paige Van Zant Over 2½ -190*
		Pending	4/18/15 5:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Tim Means -150* <small>vs</small> George Sullivan

Pending	2 Team Parlay
		Pending	4/18/15 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1302 Paige Van Zant -140* <small>vs</small> Felice Herrig
		Pending	4/18/15 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1702 Aljamain Sterling -290* <small>vs</small> Takeya Mizugaki

Pending	2 Team Parlay
		Pending	4/18/15 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1402 Beneil Dariush -225* <small>vs</small> Jim Miller
		Pending	4/18/15 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Tim Means -160* <small>vs</small> George Sullivan

Pending	2 Team Parlay
		Pending	4/18/15 11:00pm UFC Fighting 1101 Chris Camozzi/Ronaldo Souza Under 1½ -200*
		Pending	4/18/15 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1501 Ovince Saint Preux/Patrick Cummins Over 2½ -165*

**Sanity Check** · 04-18-15, 02:22 PM

I have it something like this.

Lyoto Machida < Luke Rockhold
Ronaldo Souza > Chros Camozzi
Cub Swanson > Max Holloway
Felice Herrig < Paige VanZant

Jim Miller < Beneil Dariush
Ovince Saint Preux > Patrick Cummins
Corey Anderson > Gian Villante
Takeya Mizugaki < Aljamain Sterling

George Sullivan < Tim Means
Diego Brandão > Jimy Hettes
Eddie Gordon > Chris Dempsey

**JIBBBY** · 04-18-15, 02:41 PM

I think most of us are going with GORDON in this first fight.. Big favorite and expected to win.. Still good luck gents as it's always nice to start an event off with a win...

**Sanity Check** · 04-18-15, 02:48 PM

I think George Sullivan and Gian Villante are the most likely to pull upsets.

The great thing about this, we won't have to wait long to find out.

**UncleChael** · 04-18-15, 03:25 PM

Gian Villante sucks.

**UncleChael** · 04-18-15, 03:28 PM

Uncle chaels on Dariush, Cub, and Machida parlay them up or fade. Good day, all.

**Hollafront** · 04-18-15, 03:35 PM

Originally posted by UncleChael

Uncle chaels on Dariush, Cub, and Machida parlay them up or fade. Good day, all.

Rookie

**shabang** · 04-18-15, 03:36 PM

gL all

**shabang** · 04-18-15, 03:45 PM

gordon looking gassed