UFC on FOX 15: Machida vs. Rockhold (April 18, 2015)

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  • UncleChael
    SBR MVP
    • 10-30-13
    • 3979

    #71
    Originally posted by JIBBBY
    As V mentioned I do think the odds are very favorable for Cummins to win the fight by decision as OSP is crazy hard to finish.. Ground and try to Pound for 3 rounds is what I'm thinking Cummins will do to win the fight on points.. Cardio will favor Cummins and I'm thinking that will seal the deal in the later rounds if he doesn't get clipped standing early on first.....

    If the props ever comes out for OSP winning in 1st round or by KO that could be a good hedge play to counter if the odds are really favorable for those..

    Pending4/18/15 7:00pm Props Fighting 1511 Cummins wins by 3 round decision +140* <small>vs</small> Not Cummins by 3 round decision
    Can't bet on the Starbuck's guy.
    Comment
    • TheCalculator
      SBR MVP
      • 10-10-11
      • 1683

      #72
      Gian Villante is gonna gas after R1. He has some of the worst cardio in the UFC. His only road to victory is a KO in R1 or early R2.

      The safest bets are the distance because Gian has also one of the best chins. I doubt Anderson can KO him.
      Comment
      • mirinquads
        SBR MVP
        • 04-22-13
        • 3927

        #73
        I thought Roy Nelson had the best chins.
        Comment
        • bjpenn85
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-17-11
          • 5059

          #74
          he has ufc worst cardio, up until last fight. Where he wasnt close to get tired. The fight was actually high paced, both odonell and villante suprised me. But, villante is freakin slow...so slow. And that wil be the difference maker when he bets corey. Corey also has sweet wrestling. I think it was the fight against maldonade that really woke him up...he couldnt show up one more time in the ufc with that cardio.
          Comment
          • JIBBBY
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-10-09
            • 83693

            #75
            Originally posted by UncleChael
            Can't bet on the Starbuck's guy.
            He ain't a Starbuck's guy no more Haus!

            If OSP can defend the TD's and keep the fight standing then perhaps he can beat up Cummins standing and maybe even KO him late.. Big IF saying that Cummins can't put OSP on his back though in every round...
            My money is on the better wrestler and that just happens to be Starbuck Cummins..
            Comment
            • TheCalculator
              SBR MVP
              • 10-10-11
              • 1683

              #76
              Originally posted by bjpenn85
              he has ufc worst cardio, up until last fight. Where he wasnt close to get tired. The fight was actually high paced, both odonell and villante suprised me. But, villante is freakin slow...so slow. And that wil be the difference maker when he bets corey. Corey also has sweet wrestling. I think it was the fight against maldonade that really woke him up...he couldnt show up one more time in the ufc with that cardio.
              I thought he lost that fight against Odonnell. Again if someone wants to bet on Villante -- R1 is the bet.
              Comment
              • TheCalculator
                SBR MVP
                • 10-10-11
                • 1683

                #77
                Originally posted by mirinquads
                I thought Roy Nelson had the best chins.
                Hard to argue that. I said Villante has ONE of the best chins. Not THE best.
                Comment
                • JIBBBY
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-10-09
                  • 83693

                  #78
                  Why do I find it funny every time when I see the MMA girls dressed up, make up and heels on and then giving the hard mean looks at picture taking while ready to kick arse at any moment? Lulz.....

                  Comment
                  • JIBBBY
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-10-09
                    • 83693

                    #79
                    Originally posted by TheCalculator
                    I thought he lost that fight against Odonnell. Again if someone wants to bet on Villante -- R1 is the bet.
                    I agree to some extent but Cory Anderson has never been stopped in R1 let alone in any fight yet... His last fight went the distance as well against Justin Jones.. Seems durable from what I can tell...http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Corey-Anderson-171723
                    Comment
                    • TheCalculator
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-10-11
                      • 1683

                      #80
                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                      I agree to some extent but Cory Anderson has never been stopped in R1 let alone in any fight yet... His last fight went the distance as well against Justin Jones.. Seems durable from what I can tell...http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Corey-Anderson-171723
                      I'm on Corey by decision and the over.
                      Comment
                      • JIBBBY
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-10-09
                        • 83693

                        #81
                        Originally posted by TheCalculator
                        I'm on Corey by decision and the over.
                        Oh ok Calc... I thought you were suggesting Villante will go balls out in the 1st round and then gas and slow down after that.. In other words his only chance to win this fight is by knocking out Cory Anderson in the 1st round..

                        I actually don't think it's a bad idea considering the odds on that prop.. I'm on the over as well..... Villante straight for small at +325 based on his chin strength and counter wrestling also.. Banking on that he has worked on his cardio......

                        Sat 4/18 1621 Villante wins in round 1 <input id="editx" name="M1_128" size="4"> +1200
                        6:30PM 1622 Any other result <input id="editx" name="M2_128" size="4"> -2600
                        Last edited by JIBBBY; 04-16-15, 10:25 PM.
                        Comment
                        • UncleChael
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-30-13
                          • 3979

                          #82
                          Originally posted by JIBBBY
                          Why do I find it funny every time when I see the MMA girls dressed up, make up and heels on and then giving the hard mean looks at picture taking while ready to kick arse at any moment? Lulz.....

                          I'm liking me some Felice a lot!
                          Last edited by UncleChael; 04-16-15, 06:10 PM.
                          Comment
                          • mirinquads
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-22-13
                            • 3927

                            #83
                            Originally posted by TheCalculator
                            Hard to argue that. I said Villante has ONE of the best chins. Not THE best.
                            It's funny because Nelson has more than one chin. Get it?
                            Comment
                            • JIBBBY
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-10-09
                              • 83693

                              #84
                              One of the largest lines I've seen in a long time!!!.. My God man!!! Lol....

                              Talk about picking up change in front of the steam roller when playing this straight below.. Yipes!!!

                              9:00PM 1102 Ronaldo Souza <input id="radiox" value="M2_1" name="radiox" type="radio">-1500
                              I'd say if Camozzi ever had a chance to win this fight which he probably doesn't it would be by a lucky shot to the chin of Souza...

                              1129 Camozzi wins by TKO/KO <input id="radiox" value="M1_42" name="radiox" type="radio">+1800
                              Better yet a lucky shot to the chin in the 3rd round when Jacare is a bit tired and being careless after chasing Camozzi around after 2 rounds maybe.....

                              1119 Camozzi wins in round 3 <input id="radiox" value="M1_37" name="radiox" type="radio">+4000

                              JUST SAYING FELLAS... Laughing at all the odds going into this one...

                              Most likely outcome will be Jacare by submission just like last fight as Camozzi does sport the solid chin standing... I might throw this in a parlay last minute.. Right now no play for me other then a small play on the Under.... Only reasonable and logical play for odds in this fight is Souza by Submission... Parlay it up boys!!!!
                              1131 Souza wins by submission <input id="radiox" value="M1_43" name="radiox" type="radio">-260
                              I suppose if Camozzi just completely runs the entire fight and he has really worked hard on his take down defense and anti Jits Souza could win this by decision.. Doubt it though as Camozzi is a bit slow of foot...
                              1111 Souza wins by 3 round decision <input id="radiox" value="M1_33" name="radiox" type="radio">+457
                              Last edited by JIBBBY; 04-16-15, 11:58 PM.
                              Comment
                              • mirinquads
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-22-13
                                • 3927

                                #85
                                You missed the most valuablefilled line there
                                Comment
                                • JIBBBY
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-10-09
                                  • 83693

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by mirinquads
                                  You missed the most valuablefilled line there
                                  Miri a man of mystery indeed I see!!!!

                                  Please enlighten the meek and curious reading in my good online friend...
                                  Comment
                                  • JIBBBY
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-10-09
                                    • 83693

                                    #87
                                    Upcoming UFC weigh ins -

                                    Comment
                                    • Unwritten Law
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-31-13
                                      • 2532

                                      #88
                                      Juicer is a must parlay with whichever you play. Was distracted with MLB while watching weigh-ins but will have plays the morning of the fight. Any leans? I'm thinking OSP, Machida (if line increases), Gordon, Anderson.
                                      Comment
                                      • tiberiusdush
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 01-23-14
                                        • 35

                                        #89
                                        OSP handles cummins

                                        Cub over powers max

                                        Dariush out strikes miller
                                        Comment
                                        • JIBBBY
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-10-09
                                          • 83693

                                          #90
                                          It's game day!!!! Bring it!!

                                          I got alot of money riding on this event!!!! Great card can't wait...
                                          Comment
                                          • JAKEPEAVY21
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 03-11-11
                                            • 29235

                                            #91
                                            who you on today Jibby?
                                            Comment
                                            • JIBBBY
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-10-09
                                              • 83693

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                                              who you on today Jibby?
                                              Too many to mention.. Got about 20 bets pending and risking a little over 2 grand in totals... I'll be posting live during the event if I'm winning.. My final play will be Luke Rockhold straight... Also have the over round bet in a sized parlay to close out in the Machida/Rockhold brawl.....
                                              Last edited by JIBBBY; 04-18-15, 10:28 AM.
                                              Comment
                                              • JAKEPEAVY21
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 03-11-11
                                                • 29235

                                                #93
                                                I like rockhold too..along with Dariush, Means, Sterling.
                                                Comment
                                                • JIBBBY
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                  • 83693

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                                                  I like rockhold too..along with Dariush, Means, Sterling.
                                                  I'm on all those same guys as well.. Let's get this Jake!!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • tebowned
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 11-17-14
                                                    • 91

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                    I'm on all those same guys as well.. Let's get this Jake!!!
                                                    Me three.

                                                    10U on Rockhold
                                                    3U on Dariush
                                                    2U on Souza


                                                    1U on:
                                                    Holloway
                                                    OSP
                                                    Gordon
                                                    Brandao
                                                    Means
                                                    Sterling


                                                    .25U on:
                                                    Over 2.5 Cummins/ OSP
                                                    Over 1.5
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JAKEPEAVY21
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 03-11-11
                                                      • 29235

                                                      #96
                                                      fights start in a little over an hour.

                                                      Jibby, I have some parlays brewing with a few legs down already with the guys that i mentioned mixed and matched. Also put Jacare in most and have Cummins in 1 and Holloway in 1.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JIBBBY
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-10-09
                                                        • 83693

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                                                        fights start in a little over an hour.

                                                        Jibby, I have some parlays brewing with a few legs down already with the guys that i mentioned mixed and matched. Also put Jacare in most and have Cummins in 1 and Holloway in 1.
                                                        Got these 5 parlays pending myself... Each for around 75-125 bucks a pop... I worked it out mathematically that if I hit 2 of any 5 parlays below I pretty much break even.. If I hit more then 2 parlays I begin to rake in some decent cash.... Hoping to hit atleast 3 of 5...


                                                        I'm a bit heavy with the Van Zant, Cummins/OSP overs and the Tim Means straight plays..

                                                        Pending 3 Team Parlay
                                                        Pending 4/18/15 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1001 Lyoto Machida/Luke Rockhold Over 3½ -145*
                                                        Pending 4/18/15 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1301 Felice Herrig/Paige Van Zant Over 2½ -190*
                                                        Pending 4/18/15 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1501 Ovince Saint Preux/Patrick Cummins Over 2½ -165*

                                                        Pending 2 Team Parlay
                                                        Pending 4/18/15 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1301 Felice Herrig/Paige Van Zant Over 2½ -190*
                                                        Pending 4/18/15 5:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Tim Means -150* <small>vs</small> George Sullivan
                                                        Pending 2 Team Parlay
                                                        Pending 4/18/15 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1302 Paige Van Zant -140* <small>vs</small> Felice Herrig
                                                        Pending 4/18/15 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1702 Aljamain Sterling -290* <small>vs</small> Takeya Mizugaki
                                                        Pending 2 Team Parlay
                                                        Pending 4/18/15 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1402 Beneil Dariush -225* <small>vs</small> Jim Miller
                                                        Pending 4/18/15 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1802 Tim Means -160* <small>vs</small> George Sullivan
                                                        Pending 2 Team Parlay
                                                        Pending 4/18/15 11:00pm UFC Fighting 1101 Chris Camozzi/Ronaldo Souza Under 1½ -200*
                                                        Pending 4/18/15 9:00pm UFC Fighting 1501 Ovince Saint Preux/Patrick Cummins Over 2½ -165*
                                                        Last edited by JIBBBY; 04-18-15, 02:36 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Sanity Check
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-30-13
                                                          • 10962

                                                          #98
                                                          I have it something like this.

                                                          Lyoto Machida < Luke Rockhold
                                                          Ronaldo Souza > Chros Camozzi
                                                          Cub Swanson > Max Holloway
                                                          Felice Herrig < Paige VanZant


                                                          Jim Miller < Beneil Dariush
                                                          Ovince Saint Preux > Patrick Cummins
                                                          Corey Anderson > Gian Villante
                                                          Takeya Mizugaki < Aljamain Sterling


                                                          George Sullivan < Tim Means
                                                          Diego Brandão > Jimy Hettes
                                                          Eddie Gordon > Chris Dempsey
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JIBBBY
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-10-09
                                                            • 83693

                                                            #99
                                                            I think most of us are going with GORDON in this first fight.. Big favorite and expected to win.. Still good luck gents as it's always nice to start an event off with a win...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Sanity Check
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-30-13
                                                              • 10962

                                                              #100
                                                              I think George Sullivan and Gian Villante are the most likely to pull upsets.

                                                              The great thing about this, we won't have to wait long to find out.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • UncleChael
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-30-13
                                                                • 3979

                                                                #101
                                                                Gian Villante sucks.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • UncleChael
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-30-13
                                                                  • 3979

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Uncle chaels on Dariush, Cub, and Machida parlay them up or fade. Good day, all.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Hollafront
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-09-15
                                                                    • 1121

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by UncleChael
                                                                    Uncle chaels on Dariush, Cub, and Machida parlay them up or fade. Good day, all.
                                                                    Rookie
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • shabang
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-23-13
                                                                      • 1814

                                                                      #104
                                                                      gL all
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • shabang
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-23-13
                                                                        • 1814

                                                                        #105
                                                                        gordon looking gassed
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