Woodstick's butthole is getting stretched like a vintage film featuring Tito's ex
Comment
bjpenn85
SBR Hall of Famer
02-17-11
5059
#37
Told you.
Comment
bjpenn85
SBR Hall of Famer
02-17-11
5059
#38
All the bets break my formula which is think is pretty basic rules of ufc betting: 1. Never bet a lot on fighters making their debut/ having very few figthts in the ufc. Like Sanders, like alex white. As i stated fighters you bet on as a rule of thumb and specially if their debuting fighters, they should be vastly better than their opponent, and not only slightly. Slightly better means you only have a smaller edge, and long term, youre ******, believe me. unless you get for instance +150 or higher and you believe the odds should be evens.
2. Never risk a whole lot on fighters at even odds, because a lot of times its actually 50/50. Not always but very often. Kalikas has def developed as a capper last couple of years. I remember dhong hyung kim came in +180 underdog against amir sadollah, and ended up at evens, how often does that shit happens now?
Comment
NunyaBidness
SBR Hall of Famer
07-26-09
9345
#39
Originally posted by bjpenn85
Kalikas has def developed as a capper last couple of years. I remember dhong hyung kim came in +180 underdog against amir sadollah, and ended up at evens, how often does that shit happens now?
I agree somewhat. I would say, Kalikas has become very good at determining the market close. The difference between his opening and closing lines have gotten much shorter. I don't know if his personal capping is any good, or can be determined from that.
Comment
bjpenn85
SBR Hall of Famer
02-17-11
5059
#40
i think he has progressed as a capper and not developed as a better, a bit contradictive development, but i believe its true.
He usually like to give away -400 where he before set a line at -300. Its still value often times at -400, but you will earn less. Its ok to bet on -400 favourites now and then if a fighter has value, a concept even Nik Kalikas struggles to understand.
Comment
MarkWoodstick
SBR High Roller
06-18-14
221
#41
Originally posted by bjpenn85
All the bets break my formula which is think is pretty basic rules of ufc betting: 1. Never bet a lot on fighters making their debut/ having very few figthts in the ufc. Like Sanders, like alex white. As i stated fighters you bet on as a rule of thumb and specially if their debuting fighters, they should be vastly better than their opponent, and not only slightly. Slightly better means you only have a smaller edge, and long term, youre ******, believe me. unless you get for instance +150 or higher and you believe the odds should be evens.
2. Never risk a whole lot on fighters at even odds, because a lot of times its actually 50/50. Not always but very often. Kalikas has def developed as a capper last couple of years. I remember dhong hyung kim came in +180 underdog against amir sadollah, and ended up at evens, how often does that shit happens now?
You were absolutely right. I failed to follow my own advice and remain disciplined. The Sanders in particular was just plain bad, and I should have known better.
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#42
Originally posted by Wanna Bet On It?
Woodstick's butthole is getting stretched like a vintage film featuring Tito's ex
lol
Comment
PaperTrail07
SBR Posting Legend
08-29-08
20423
#43
Play cost me big that ************
Comment
PaperTrail07
SBR Posting Legend
08-29-08
20423
#44
Sanders was a horrible bet by all worst in a long long time
Originally posted by MarkWoodstick
You were absolutely right. I failed to follow my own advice and remain disciplined. The Sanders in particular was just plain bad, and I should have known better.
Comment
bjpenn85
SBR Hall of Famer
02-17-11
5059
#45
Most upset happens in the first fight of the night. You can almost blindly toss in money on the underdog every event and make a profit.
Comment
bjpenn85
SBR Hall of Famer
02-17-11
5059
#46
after seeing how many times white was tagged against lucas, you must admit, youre a pretty blind mf? or what? I mean, i gave you links and everything and you just scratched your head like a dumb fat white texas ranger. Go home marzwoody, youre not on my level.
Comment
MarkWoodstick
SBR High Roller
06-18-14
221
#47
Originally posted by bjpenn85
after seeing how many times white was tagged against lucas, you must admit, youre a pretty blind mf? or what? I mean, i gave you links and everything and you just scratched your head like a dumb fat white texas ranger. Go home marzwoody, youre not on my level.
Despite what happened last night in that White/Martins fight, I stand by my belief that Martins striking defense looked absolutely horrible in his previous fights. The fact that Martins was knocked down by Jeremy Larsen a couple times in undeniable. Good on Martins to make adjustments and bad on me for buying into White's hype and not listening to your warnings.
Comment
PaperTrail07
SBR Posting Legend
08-29-08
20423
#48
White was not THAT far off winning the fight....granted he may have just woke up
Comment
Keyboard Warrior
SBR MVP
06-07-14
1290
#49
have you ever sucked a dick for money?
Comment
bjpenn85
SBR Hall of Famer
02-17-11
5059
#50
You were absolutely right about martins horrible defence, but you were as wrong thinking white had any better.
Anyway, long term this is not the way to go. A guy has to be crazy good, and then matched up against a can to make the debuting fighter look good, a so called gimme fight. This wasnt a gimme fight at all, this was more like come on people lets make a party up in here ala DMX. This was two evenly matched fighters with 0 fight iq swinging like a pair of titties looking for some applauding dicks. I bet cerrone and rick story because i knew every f hair on their midget faces, that earns you money son, that earns you pesooos
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Keyboard Warrior
SBR MVP
06-07-14
1290
#51
Well said BJ, Op got raped in this thread but will come back stronger
Comment
MarkWoodstick
SBR High Roller
06-18-14
221
#52
Originally posted by Keyboard Warrior
have you ever sucked a dick for money?
I hope I'm not speaking out of school when I say that I've had my fair share
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#53
lol
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MarkWoodstick
SBR High Roller
06-18-14
221
#54
Brandao line is getting out of hand so im taking the value...
Diego Brandao +400 - Risk 5 to win 20
Comment
MarkWoodstick
SBR High Roller
06-18-14
221
#55
Ian McCall -165 - Risk 33 to win 20
I like McCall's cardio and wrestling advantage in this one.
Comment
bjpenn85
SBR Hall of Famer
02-17-11
5059
#56
most even fight on the card, and youre at it again, youre the new jesus christ.
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#57
Haha
i dont know how anybody can take mccall at these odds. Fair play if he goes and starches pickett but id be very surprised, like bj says it seems as close to a 50/50 as u can get. And Why do people think mccall has wrestling advantage as well?! I mean of course he might have, its not a ludicrous suggestion like saying nick newell has advantage because he has a stub for an arm!! but what footage is there tht demonstrates tht uncle creepy is the better wrestler?
Pickett also made a good point about the fact tht most 125ers will have to get in to his range now in order to connect unlike when he was at 135 and facing guys like wineland, barao and mayday and he was the one chasing them down and over committing in order to try and get in to range
Comment
bjpenn85
SBR Hall of Famer
02-17-11
5059
#58
Judging by all the idiots on this forum, i should consider start an own betting site. Down V?
Comment
MD
SBR Hall of Famer
01-31-12
9728
#59
Originally posted by bjpenn85
most even fight on the card, and youre at it again, youre the new jesus christ.
I'll probably be on McCall.
Maybe I'm the new Jesus Christ.
Comment
Ron_Paul_2012
SBR MVP
01-31-13
3953
#60
Originally posted by MD
I'll probably be on McCall.
Maybe I'm the new Jesus Christ.
So are you going to the fight?
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marzwoody
SBR MVP
01-03-14
3902
#61
Yep im on McCall aswell. im the new jesus? sweet.
Comment
MD
SBR Hall of Famer
01-31-12
9728
#62
Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012
So are you going to the fight?
No. Tickets sold out in minutes, and a friend of mine (who's been sort of down recently) wanted me to watch the fights with her anyway, so I plan on doing that. Hope me spending every second of non-fight time on Twitter and SBR cheers her up.
Comment
bjpenn85
SBR Hall of Famer
02-17-11
5059
#63
I dont see value @ 1.60. maybe at +140..
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#64
Originally posted by MD
No. Tickets sold out in minutes, and a friend of mine (who's been sort of down recently) wanted me to watch the fights with her anyway, so I plan on doing that. Hope me spending every second of non-fight time on Twitter and SBR cheers her up.
Ha jus get her on SBR, this forum is bound to cheer her up
Comment
MD
SBR Hall of Famer
01-31-12
9728
#65
Originally posted by Vaughany
Ha jus get her on SBR, this forum is bound to cheer her up
My last ex read SBR while we were together. Laughed at Gabe jokes every time.
Comment
Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#66
Haha
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MarkWoodstick
SBR High Roller
06-18-14
221
#67
Originally posted by bjpenn85
Judging by all the idiots on this forum, i should consider start an own betting site. Down V?
Come on Bj, don't turn on me just yet.
Comment
MD
SBR Hall of Famer
01-31-12
9728
#68
Originally posted by MarkWoodstick
Come on Bj, don't turn on me just yet.
You'll never beat the Irish.
And that goes for the rest of you focks too.
Originally posted by MD
I'll probably be on McCall.
Maybe I'm the new Jesus Christ.
Give me a couple of more cards, I'm still not convinced my downswing won't go Jesus-tier eventually.
Comment
rocky16
SBR MVP
07-22-12
1905
#69
Originally posted by bjpenn85
I dont see value @ 1.60. maybe at +140..
You done gloating bruh? McCall was easiest bet in a while. Don't know how anyone could be on Pickett. Dude is on decline and McCall is one of the best manlet fighters at straw weight. Only a fool didn't see that coming. I don't hear u and your suck hole now. Maybe too busy giving bj huh bj?