The highly cerebral bets of Sacrelicious

MD · 04-13-13, 04:56 PM

Blanco is better in every single area, but there's the chance that Blanco gets flash-KO'd because he keeps his hands down so much.

I'm going to feel as if I made the right bet even if Sicilia does get the flash KO. Too much value to pass up.

**Hannibal** · 04-13-13, 05:00 PM

no KO by sicilia yet... but you've already capped it wrong MD

MD · 04-13-13, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by Hannibal

no KO by sicilia yet... but you've already capped it wrong MD

Odds-wise or logic-wise?

**NunyaBidness** · 04-13-13, 05:10 PM

Originally posted by MD

Odds-wise or logic-wise?

Implied odds wise.

**Vaughany** · 04-13-13, 05:14 PM

hehe

**Sacrelicious** · 04-13-13, 05:30 PM

I'm baffled that the zingano line is actually getting better.

Put down 100$ more at -115

**NunyaBidness** · 04-13-13, 05:33 PM

Originally posted by Sacrelicious

I'm baffled that the zingano line is actually getting better.

Put down 100$ more at -115

If you read any other MMA forum they are all saying things like "why is meisha not that favorite, I've never heard of this Zingango"

Tapology is 72% Tate.

**Sacrelicious** · 04-13-13, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

If you read any other MMA forum they are all saying things like "why is meisha not that favorite, I've never heard of this Zingango"

Tapology is 72% Tate.

I guess I'm trying to make too much sense of what goes on in the brains of "sports fans".

**Sacrelicious** · 04-13-13, 08:40 PM

Throwing more on Zingano.

**Sacrelicious** · 04-13-13, 10:23 PM

Best day I have had since the last Fox card.

Rigondeaux will be the icing on this cake.

Hope you all did well tonight, bros.

MD · 04-13-13, 10:58 PM

Sick night for you, myself and Grabaka. Couldn't ask for more. Night would have been ruined if Hall won, though.

**Sacrelicious** · 04-13-13, 10:59 PM

Originally posted by MD

Sick night for you, myself and Grabaka. Couldn't ask for more. Night would have been ruined if Hall won, though.

Cheers bro, glad to hear we are all in the black.

I'm gonna head down to the good ol beer store and pick up some Olde E and PBR to celebrate.

**Beelzebubzy** · 04-13-13, 11:04 PM

Originally posted by Sacrelicious

Some shite for the upcoming weekend:

290$ Zingano -140
80$ Rigondeaux +180

140$ Ueda/Faber/Davis
80$ Samman/Browne
70$ Faber/Bendo
50$ Fandango/Faber

Probably more plays by the weekend as well.

Really hoping to go 4-0 this weekend.

nicely done chef

**Sacrelicious** · 04-13-13, 11:05 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

nicely done chef

Thanks boss!

**Grabaka** · 04-13-13, 11:56 PM

It was Al dente Chef well done!!

**MonkeyMoney** · 04-14-13, 02:09 AM

just rewatching the hall\gastelum fight!! high btw.. lol crazy stuff!!

**Sacrelicious** · 04-14-13, 09:53 AM

I dunno what the line is going to do, so for now, I'm taking Trout at +185 for 140$.

Also have 100$ on Nate Diaz -170.

Current running parlays for next week:

300$ DC/Frankie Edgar
200$ GSP/DC/Cain
140$ Faber/DC
140$ Faber/Ueda/Phil Davis
100$ Pearson/DC/Phil Davis
100$ Rousey/Bermudez/GSP/DC
70$ Faber/Bendo

I've got a lot riding on DC here...

**Sacrelicious** · 04-14-13, 09:54 AM

FANDANGO UPDATE:

Fandango/Faber
Fandango/McGregor
Fandango/Pickett
Fandango/Nate Diaz
Fandango/DC
Fandango/Bendo
Fandango/Phil Davis
Fandango/Cella
Fandango/De Fries

**MonkeyMoney** · 04-14-13, 01:53 PM

i think dc will not be submitted by mir!! the longer the fight goes the more slippery dc will get and it will be very hard to grab him... now he is also a fantastic scrambler with killer wrestling.. so mir won beat him imo

**Sacrelicious** · 04-14-13, 05:13 PM

Originally posted by MonkeyMoney

i think dc will not be submitted by mir!! the longer the fight goes the more slippery dc will get and it will be very hard to grab him... now he is also a fantastic scrambler with killer wrestling.. so mir won beat him imo

Make no mistake about it, Mir does possess the ability to submit just about anyone in the cage. How likely do I think he will be to submit DC? Not very.

Also, I have no doubt in my mind that once the 2nd round comes around Mir is going to be gassed, as per usual.

I'm extremely confident that DC wins this fight, and given Mir's poor standup, I'm not applying much of the typical "heavyweight variance" to this fight either.

DC by decision or late stoppage.

**Vaughany** · 04-15-13, 03:35 AM

I think Mir's standup is pretty good for HW standards..he actually throws combinations now and again unlike 90% of HW's. But still, he is very hitable and I think Cormier will land a hook or uppercut that sends him all wobbly again

**Sacrelicious** · 04-16-13, 04:46 PM

Oook not too many plays for this upcoming weekend, as posted above, I'm big on DC in parlays and am small on Bendo and Nate.

I took Larkin at +140, missed the opener unfortunately but I think +140 is still a very good price.

Also on Trout +175, that line is already dropping as well.

Might make some prop plays on the undercard if I can get good lines. Thinking about Mein ITD.

Other then that, I don't really like anything else on the card betting wise.

**Nick Papageorgio** · 04-16-13, 06:29 PM

Not sure if I think Larkins TDD can hold up to win this . I think Larkin is a bit wild at times and may open things up for Limitless to take 2 of 3 round on the ground or a possible sub/brutal ground and pound.

**Sacrelicious** · 04-16-13, 09:31 PM

Originally posted by Nick Papageorgio

Not sure if I think Larkins TDD can hold up to win this . I think Larkin is a bit wild at times and may open things up for Limitless to take 2 of 3 round on the ground or a possible sub/brutal ground and pound.

This fight could go either way, I cap him at evens.

It was strictly a value play, I saw what I thought was an off line and I took it. +140 I reckon, is a very good price.

**TheCalculator** · 04-17-13, 02:22 AM

Got Larkin at the opener as well. As long as he stuffs most of the takedowns and stays on his feet for most of the fight -- I think he wins. Capped Larkins at 55%-60%.

**Sacrelicious** · 04-19-13, 03:27 PM

Roughly 700$ on DC as my parlay anchor, a very big play for me.

340$ Trout +175
120$ Larkin +140
100$ VanBuren +110
80$ Diaz -170

50$ Mein ITD +151
50$ Dillashaw ITD +158

70$ Faber/Bendo
50$ Fandango/Bendo
50$ Fandango/DC
50$ Fandango/Diaz

**Dwil125** · 04-19-13, 03:34 PM

your thinking mein submits him?

**Sacrelicious** · 04-19-13, 03:39 PM

I was leaning more towards a KO potential, but a sub can certainly happen.

Its a bit of a stretch, but at +151 I like it better then the decision prop.

**Sacrelicious** · 04-20-13, 04:29 PM

20$ on Elkins by dec +759

**Sacrelicious** · 04-20-13, 04:32 PM

50 on Means as well. +115

**Sacrelicious** · 04-20-13, 04:42 PM

took means live at +165 small.

**Sacrelicious** · 04-20-13, 11:03 PM

penetrate you MMA judges.

Also, penetrate you too boxing judges.

MD · 04-20-13, 11:05 PM

Why didn't I bet Alvarez? I always tell myself that I'm a handicapper and that when I see a fighter with a boxing edge at those dog odds, it should be an easy bet, even when factoring the judging into my handicapping. In reality, the percentage of the time that Alvarez wins that fight is insanely high.

**Sykes** · 04-20-13, 11:11 PM

Originally posted by MD

Why didn't I bet Alvarez? I always tell myself that I'm a handicapper and that when I see a fighter with a boxing edge at those dog odds, it should be an easy bet, even when factoring the judging into my handicapping. In reality, the percentage of the time that Alvarez wins that fight is insanely high.

I reckon its because you tell yourself your a handicapper. You just bet like the rest of us.

MD · 04-20-13, 11:12 PM

Originally posted by Sykes

I reckon its because you tell yourself your a handicapper. You just bet like the rest of us.

I-... what?!